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Xauusdforecast

XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold staged a minor recovery overnight after bouncing from the 3,267 Support Zone, and is now trading around 3,305. Price remains below both the 50MA and 200MA, which continue to slope downward—confirming short-term bearish structure. This current move is still corrective unless bulls manage to reclaim the 3,309–3,334 resistance zone. A clean break and hold above 3,334 would be the first sign of strength, opening up potential retests of 3,348 and 3,362. Until then, any rallies into the 3,309–3,334 zone should be viewed with caution. If the bounce loses steam, watch for a retest of 3,289 - 3,267. A break below that would expose the 3,241 and 3,208 levels, with the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208) acting as a broader downside cushion. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,309 ‣ 3,334 ‣ 3,348 ‣ 3,362 Support: ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 ‣ 3,208 🔍 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, July 31 Big day for data. 🟥 Core PCE, Employment Cost Index, and Unemployment Claims — all critical for Fed outlook and could move gold sharply. ⚠️ Volatility expected around 2:30pm. Stay nimble and manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold’s Biggest Day of 2025: Collapse or New High Incoming?🟡 Gold Pre-FOMC Update | Patience Paid Off In my previous analysis released on Monday, we highlighted the significance of the 3310 key red level on gold. I mentioned that if we got a daily candle close below this zone, it could trigger further downside. That scenario didn’t play out — price closed above 3310, and that’s exactly why we stayed out of any short positions. No guessing, no forcing. Just patience. On the flip side, I also said we need a daily close above 3350 to even consider going long. And as you can see, for the past two days, price has been ranging tightly between 3310 and 3330 — with relatively low trading volume across the board. After 9 years of optimizing this strategy, one core principle remains unchanged: 🛡️ Capital protection and maximum risk control always come first. And I can confidently say — those filters are working beautifully. I hope you’re benefiting from this approach too. Now technically speaking, everything is lining up for a bullish DXY and bearish gold — But tonight’s FOMC meeting and Powell vs. Trump drama will be the final trigger. Let’s watch closely. Smart trading is patient trading. 🧠⚖️ 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer:This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains in a bearish structure, consolidating in a narrow range after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is trading around 3,330, testing the 3,334 resistance zone while still below the 200MA (3,362), which may act as dynamic resistance. As long as price stays below 3,348–3,362, the bias remains to the downside, with a break below 3,309 likely exposing the 3,289–3,267 support zone. A clean reclaim above 3,334- 3,348 would neutralize the immediate downside pressure and open the path back toward 3,373–3,387. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,334 ‣ 3,348 ‣ 3,362 ‣ 3,373 ‣ 3,387 Support: ‣ 3,309 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔎Fundamental Focus – FOMC The FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference later today will be the key driver for gold. Expect sharp volatility and potential whipsaws around the release. ⚠️ Manage risk carefully, avoid chasing initial spikes, and wait for clear direction once the event dust settles.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept 📊 Chart Context: Timeframe: 30M Market: Gold (XAUUSD) Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell --- 🔍 Key Observations: Premium Zone Rejection: Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill: The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves. Bearish Order Block Confirmation: A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short. --- 🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell): Entry Zone: Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone) ✅ 3325 ~3330 Stop Loss: Just above the last high or FVG origin ✅ 3340 Take Profit: TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg ✅ 3300 TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows ✅ 3280 --- ⚠️ Risk Note: This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging. --- 🏁 Summary: > A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
TVC:GOLDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under pressure, currently trading around 3,312. Price is holding just above the 3,309–3,289 Support Zone, but remains below both the 50MA and 200MA, which continue to slope downward—indicating short-term bearish pressure. As long as price remains below the 3,334–3,348 resistance zone, the bearish momentum is intact. A clean break above this area would be the first sign of recovery, opening the path toward 3,362 and 3,373, where the next round of supply may emerge. If price fails to reclaim 3,334 and breaks below 3,309, the 3,289–3,267 Support Zone becomes the next key downside target. Failure to hold that level would expose the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,334 ‣ 3,348 ‣ 3,362 ‣ 3,373 Support: ‣ 3,309 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔍 Fundamental Focus – Tuesday, July 29 Heads up — today’s focus is on 4:00pm, when we get JOLTS Job Openings 🟥 and CB Consumer Confidence 🟡 ⚠️ Stay light and nimble — bigger moves may come tomorrow with red-folder data stacking up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold starts the new week attempting to recover after last week’s drop, now trading around 3,339, just above the 3,334 intraday support. Price remains below both the 50MA and 200MA, which are now turning downward—signalling a shift to short-term bearish structure. To regain upside momentum, bulls need to reclaim the 3,362 resistance zone. A confirmed break above this area would re-open the path toward 3,373, 3,380, and 3,387. Until then, structure favors the bears, and any rejection below 3,362 keeps risk tilted to the downside. A break back below 3,334 would expose price to the lower Support 3,309. If that gives out, watch for deeper downside toward 3,289-3,267 and the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,348 ‣ 3,362 ‣ 3,373 ‣ 3,380 ‣ 3,387 Support: 3,334 ‣ 3,309 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔍Fundamental Focus: This is a high-impact week for gold traders. Expect spikes in volatility, especially around FOMC and NFP. Use wider stops, reduce position sizes, and trade only confirmed setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
GOLD imminent possible buys up to 3,370 This week’s price action on GOLD is shaping up to be very interesting. After weeks of sustained bearish pressure, price has now entered a discounted 2hr demand zone sitting at a swing low, which makes it a high-probability area for a bullish reaction, especially as markets open. If we do get the expected bullish reaction from this level, I’ll be watching the 3,370 region, where there’s a clean 5hr supply zone. If price reaches that level, I’ll be looking out for distribution and a potential short setup from there. Confluences for GOLD Longs: Price has been very bearish recently, so a retracement is expected Currently sitting in a discounted 2hr demand zone The overall long-term trend is still bullish Early signs of accumulation and bullish reaction from this zone P.S. If price fails to hold this current demand zone and breaks lower, then bearish momentum may continue. In that case, I’ll look for new long opportunities around 3,290 where a deeper demand zone exists.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
LONG Setup - Smart Money Bias (15m) ## 🟢 LONG Setup - Smart Money Bias (15m) - **Pair**: XAU/USD (Gold) - **Timeframe**: 15m - **Entry Zone**: Around **3390.050** - **Stop Loss (SL)**: **3377.200** - **Take Profit Targets**: - **TP1**: 3402.800 - **TP2**: 3410.500 - **TP3**: 3418.800 --- ### 📌 Confluences: - Demand zone respected and tapped. - Bullish reaction from POI (Point of Interest). - FVG (Fair Value Gap) filled and reversal initiated. - BOS + CHoCH in lower timeframe confirmed. - Forecast projection aligns with upside inefficiency. --- ### 🧠 Strategy: - Smart Money Concepts (SMC) - Liquidity Sweep below demand - Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.3 🚨 **Note**: Trade with caution around US market open hours (volatility expected). 📌 Disclaimer & Reflection Before we dive into today's mark down, I want to take a moment to address the previous signal that hit stop loss. As traders, we must acknowledge that losses are part of the process—no matter how solid our analysis may be. I take full responsibility for the outcome, and I appreciate the trust and patience of this community. Every stop is a reminder that perfection doesn't exist in the markets—only probabilities. What matters most is how we adapt, learn, and continue to evolve. Let's move forward with clarity and discipline.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mmozafari1357
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has continued its rally, breaking through the 3,416 resistance and pushing into the next upside zone. Price is now trading around 3,421, just below the 3,440 resistance cluster. The structure remains bullish with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are acting as dynamic support. A confirmed break and hold above 3,440 would open the path toward 3,458 and potentially the higher‑timeframe target at 3,478 if momentum extends. If price fails to sustain above 3,416–3,440 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,400. A deeper move below that would shift focus to 3,383 - 3,362 and then the Pullback Support Zone. Failure to hold there could expose price to the lower Support Zone if bearish pressure builds. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,440 ‣ 3,458 ‣ 3,478 Support: ‣ 3,416 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,362 ‣ 3,336 🔎 Fundamental Focus ⚠️Not much on the calendar today. Still, manage your risk and stay prepared for any unexpected volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
GOLD: Price Made A New HHLooking to buy gold, market structure is bullish on the H1 and H4. I went over 2 different scenarios in the video... 1. Pullback Entry (Preferred) 🟢Entry Zone: 3365–3380 TP1: 3432 TP2: 3450 TP3: 3475–3500 (extended target if momentum holds) 2. Breakout Buy (Aggressive) Trigger: M15 breaks and closes above 3405–3410 with strong displacement. Entry: Retest of breakout zone at 3402–3405 Same Targets Don't forget to set those price alerts!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dynamic-Dani
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold broke above the 3,362 resistance and extended its rally into the 3,400 resistance zone, currently trading around 3,386. Price remains comfortably above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are sloping upward and acting as dynamic support—keeping short‑term structure bullish. A confirmed break and hold above 3,400 would open the path toward the next upside targets at 3,416 and 3,440, with 3,458 as a higher‑timeframe extension if momentum continues. If price fails to sustain above 3,383–3,400 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,362. A deeper move below that would shift focus to the Pullback Support Zone. Failure to hold there could expose price to the Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure builds. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 ‣ 3,440 Support: 3,362 ‣ 3,336 ‣ 3,317 ‣ 3,302 ‣ 3,289 🔎 Fundamental Focus – 📌 Fed Chair Powell Speaks – key event that can move USD and gold sharply.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAUUSD Analysis – Smart Money Perspective XAUUSD Analysis – Smart Money Perspective 🧠 Market Structure & BOS (Break of Structure): The chart clearly shows multiple Break of Structure (BOS), confirming bullish intent. After the final BOS around 3,370, price aggressively broke above resistance, forming a new high at 3,397. This indicates bullish market momentum backed by strong demand. 🔎 Key Zones Identified: 🔼 Strong Resistance (3,390 – 3,400 Zone) This level has been tested and now shows potential exhaustion, possibly trapping late buyers. Price currently rejecting this zone with a bearish reaction. 🔽 Support Zone (3,300 – 3,320) Prior consolidation and BOS originate from here. Strong bullish OB and demand lie here—key area for future long setups. 📉 Expected Short-Term Move: The projection arrow indicates a potential retracement toward 3,360, a previous BOS + potential FVG area. This aligns with Smart Money's tendency to rebalance inefficiencies before continuation. 🔺 Volume Analysis (VRVP - Volume Profile): Notice how high volume nodes align with the support and resistance zones. Price is currently sitting in a low-volume gap, supporting the idea of a retracement to a more balanced area. ⚡ Momentum Shift Signal: The steep angle of the last move up suggests possible liquidity grab above resistance. Expectation: Price may dip to mitigate demand or OB before resuming the uptrend. ✅ Conclusion: This chart illustrates a textbook SMC scenario: Bullish BOS confirms structure shift. Liquidity sweep above resistance may lead to a retracement. 3,360 is a key price point to watch for FVG fills or bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03