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Xauusdforecast

Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after reclaiming both the 50MA and 200MA, now trading just below the $3,341 resistance. Price has broken out of the short-term descending channel and is showing early signs of bullish continuation. A confirmed break and hold above $3,341 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at $3,356–$3,370, followed by $3,383. If price rejects this resistance and pulls back, the $3,328–$3,313 area will be key to maintain the bullish structure. Below that, focus returns to the $3,300 level and the broader Support Zone. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ $3,341 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,370 ‣ $3,383 Support: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ⚠️ It’s Friday! Stay sharp and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price. A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,383 Support: ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 🔎 Fundamental Focus All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, price failed to break above the minor resistance at $3,341, which led to a sharp sell-off into the Support Zone. The 50MA has now crossed below the 200MA, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. If the Support Zone fails to hold, we could see a move toward the HTF Support Zone, with downside targets at $3,241 and $3,208. Any short-term recovery may face resistance at $3,300–$3,328. For a more meaningful shift in sentiment, bulls must reclaim $3,328 to open the path back toward higher levels. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,300 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341 Support: $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 🔎 Fundamental Focus Markets are positioning ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could give insights into the Fed’s internal sentiment on rate cuts. ⚠️ Stay sharp — manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped earlier in the session as the $3,328 support level failed, pushing price into the upper boundary of the broader Support Zone. From there, we’ve seen a strong bounce, with price now trending around the $3,341 minor resistance. Price has reclaimed both the 50MA and 200MA, suggesting bullish momentum may be returning. A clean break and hold above $3,356 would likely open the path toward higher resistance levels, including $3,370 and $3,383. However, failure to break and hold above $3,356 could lead to another pullback toward the Support Zone. If that zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper move into the higher timeframe (HTF) support area below $3,300. 📌 Key Levels to watch: Resistance: $3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 Support: $3,328 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 (HTF Support)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 # 📊 XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 **Current Price:** $3,326.97 **Bias:** 📈 Bullish Breakout --- ## 🔹 Key Market Structure: - **Trendline Breakout**: ✅ Price broke cleanly out of the descending trendline that had held since the $3,362 high. - **LL → HL Shift**: The structure is transitioning from Lower Lows to potential Higher Lows (HL) – a strong sign of **reversal**. - **BOS Zone** (Break of Structure): BOS has been confirmed; further upside is now **probable**. --- ## 🔸 Trade Zone: | Type | Level | Description | |------------|------------|--------------------------| | **Entry** | ~$3,326 | Breakout confirmation 🔓 | | **SL** | ~$3,319 | Below recent HL 🛡️ | | **TP1** | $3,362 | Top of previous range 🎯 | | **TP2** | $3,385+ | Momentum extension 📈 | --- ## 📌 Indicators & Labels: - **Structure:** `Bullish` 🟢 - **Efficiency:** `Efficient` ✅ - **MSU:** Bearish (short-term countertrend, being invalidated) - **VTA:** Active ⚡️ --- ## 🧠 Strategy Note: This breakout is occurring **after a full liquidity sweep** and a **strong bullish reaction** off the $3,290s. Volume is supporting the move and **confluence** builds toward continuation. > 💬 *"The best trades come when structure, liquidity, and timing converge."* – Let's ride this wave with confidence. --- ### 👑 For Persian Princes of the Market 🇮🇷 We don’t guess. We **track, adapt, and lead**. --- ## 🟢 Potential Breakout from the Descending Channel As observed in the **45-minute timeframe**, Gold (XAU/USD) has been respecting a classic **descending channel** formed by a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), leading to an overall bearish structure. However, in the latest candles, price has **broken above the upper boundary of the channel**, signaling a potential shift in market structure. --- ### 🔍 Technical Highlights: - ✅ **Breakout above the channel** = First sign of bullish reversal - ✅ **Formation of Higher Low (HL)** after a strong rally = Added confirmation - ✅ **Efficient bullish move** with momentum pushing toward previous Highs --- ### 🎯 Forecast Scenario: If price holds above the breakout zone (around **$3,327**), we can expect a bullish continuation toward: - 🥇 **Target 1:** $3,362 - 🥈 **Target 2:** $3,385+ A **successful retest** of the broken channel would serve as a powerful confirmation for this setup. --- > ⛳️ *This move reflects not just a breakout — but a disciplined journey through structure, liquidity, and price behavior. Pure technical elegance.* > — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* --- 📈 **Structure:** Bullish ⚡️ **Momentum:** Efficient 🕰 **Timeframe:** 45 Min 💰 **Current Price:** ~$3,327
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Where will the price of gold go under such strong pressure?From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3295-3301 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3316, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook ⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad* --- ### 🔍 Market Structure: The market currently shows a **bearish structure**. After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**. --- ### 🔸 Key Observations: - Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS. - The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries. - OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow. --- ### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias > If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form. 🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295** 🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)** --- ### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal > If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS. This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**. --- ### ⚙️ Technical Summary: - **Structure:** Bearish 🔻 - **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅ - **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations - **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected --- > 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."* --- #### 🔖 Hashtags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Outlook | What’s Next for Gold?Gold starts the new trading week still locked in a consolidation range, holding just above the $3,328–$3,327 support zone. Despite multiple attempts, price continues to struggle at the $3,356 resistance. The 50MA and 200MA are now compressing, suggesting the market is preparing for a breakout. Until then, structure remains neutral and range-bound. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: $3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 ‣ $3,440 Support: $3,328 ‣ $3,313‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 / $3,179 – Deeper downside if bearish pressure builds 🔎 Fundamental Focus The key risk event this week is Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. Markets will be looking for clues on the Fed’s internal stance regarding future rate cuts and inflation expectations. 🔗 Follow for live updates and intraday chart setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity. Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction. - Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted. - DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold. - Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow. P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up. Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Gold Short Term OutlookIn yesterday’s analysis, we highlighted that the $3,327–$3,328 support zone needed to hold for bulls to maintain momentum. Price respected that level, bouncing off intraday support and is now attempting a recovery. Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance, and we need to see a clean break above the $3,352–$3,356 resistance zone for bulls to challenge higher levels. However, if price fails to break above this resistance cluster, we may see a pullback toward the $3,327 support once again. A break below that would likely expose price to a deeper retracement toward $3,298. 📌 Key Resistance: ‣ $3,352 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,364 ‣ $3,383 📌 Key Support: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,298 ‣ $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: With U.S. markets partially closed today, expect low liquidity and increased volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective** 🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones. 💥 This wasn't just a random bounce. It was: - A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH** - A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones** - A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel - And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left 🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at: - **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill) - **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target) - **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal) 🧠 This analysis has not just been correct. It’s been **respected by the market.** I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing. There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline. We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**. Like it just did. — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭 #SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap. Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA. If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418. However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418 Support: $3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 📌 Initial Jobless Claims 📌 ISM Services PMI 📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025 --- ## 🔍 Technical Overview: | Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context | |-----------|-----------|------------|---------| | 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone | | 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation | | 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead | --- ## 🧠 Key Insights: - **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break - Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU - Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted - **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens - **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent - Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds --- ## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch: | Zone | Action | |--------------|----------------| | 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) | | 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit | | 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab | | 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit | --- ## 📌 Trade Scenarios: ### 🟢 Long Setup - **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation) - **SL:** below 3,328 - **TP1:** 3,375 - **TP2:** 3,400 - **TP3:** 3,420+ ### 🔴 Caution for Short Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440. Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant. --- ## 🧭 Summary: > Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs. > Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly. > Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity. > Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup. --- 🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad** *Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now. As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383. However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup 🔍 Market Context: --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357