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Xauusdforecast

Gold, Will USA-Iran-Israel conflict affect it? The USA-Iran-Israel conflict can significantly impact gold prices. Gold is a safe-haven asset, so demand often rises during geopolitical tensions, pushing prices up 3406 gonna be first target for me, if it breaks this lvl with huge volume and FVG on 1h+ then most likely we will see ATH in near future bearish scenario(lest likely) - price breaks down 3340 and close with nice volume and fvg on 1h+ which will open move all the way down to MO
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Almenio
Gold Short Term OutlookGold is currently trading around $3,368, caught between dynamic moving average resistance and an intraday resistance zone. Price must break and hold above the $3,378 resistance to open the path toward $3,395. A confirmed break above the key $3,395 level could signal the start of the next bullish leg. However, repeated failure to break above $3,395 — or even $3,378 — may drag gold lower into key support zones. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,375 • $3,395 • $3,418 • $3,439 Support: $3,361 • $3,346 • $3,330 / $3,306 $3,287 – Critical demand zone 🧠 Fundamental Insight: Gold remains supported amid rising geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, U.S. airstrikes targeted Iranian military assets, escalating concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East. This has reignited safe-haven demand, with gold catching a bid despite recent technical pullbacks. Meanwhile, traders are weighing softer U.S. inflation signals against the Fed’s cautious stance. If tensions persist and economic data weakens, gold could benefit from both risk-off flows and increased speculation around potential rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Medium Term OutlookGold is currently trending within a rising channel after rejecting the $3,439 resistance zone, which marked a new Higher High (HH). Price is respecting the ascending channel support and is now testing the 50MA. The uptrend remains intact, with a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) forming within the channel. A break and hold above $3,378 could open the path for a re-test of $3,439 and potentially $3,501. However, failure to hold the rising channel support may shift momentum bearish, with $3,303 and $3,226 as the next major downside targets. 📌 Key Levels to Watch This Week: Resistance: $3,378 • $3,439 • $3,501 Support: $3,303 • $3,226 • $3,171 🧠 Fundamental Insight: Gold remains supported amid rising geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, U.S. airstrikes targeted Iranian military assets, escalating concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East. This has reignited safe-haven demand, with gold catching a bid despite recent technical pullbacks. Meanwhile, traders are weighing softer U.S. inflation signals against the Fed’s cautious stance. If tensions persist and economic data weakens, gold could benefit from both risk-off flows and increased speculation around potential rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookGold extended lower after breaking $3,361, and has now tapped into the HTF retracement zone. 📉 Technical Outlook: Price remains under pressure, trading below both the 50MA and 200MA, confirming a bearish bias. Intraday resistance sits at $3,366–$3,376, with a stronger bullish shift only above $3,387. If current support breaks, next targets remain $3,306 and $3,287. 📌 Key Levels: Support: $3,342 • $3,327 • $3,306 • $3,287 Resistance: $3,366 • $3,376 • $3,387 ⚠️ It’s Friday -Liquidity tends to thin out into the weekend. Traders should remain disciplined, protect weekly profits, and avoid overtrading unless high-conviction setups emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold. Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections. The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today. And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
2
XAU/USD 16-20 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis🔰 Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis This chart represents a strategic price action-based setup on Gold (CFDs on Gold – US$/Oz) using a 15-minute timeframe. It includes clearly defined entry zone, support/resistance levels, and profit-taking targets (TP1, TP2) for both bullish and bearish scenarios. 🔍 Current Market Context Current Price: ~$3431.77 Structure: The price has been in an upward trend with a consolidation phase forming near the key mid-zone. Highlighted Zone: A decision zone is marked in red (between ~$3422 and ~$3418), acting as the key liquidity zone or breakout area. 📈 Bullish Bias If price breaks and holds above the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3480 ✅ TP2: $3580 These levels act as short- to mid-term bullish targets based on projected extensions of recent upward momentum. 📉 Bearish Bias If price breaks and holds below the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3320 ✅ TP2: $3260 This indicates a possible reversal or correction phase, with targets derived from recent swing lows and support areas. 📌 Trading Notes The blue shaded areas represent target zones for partial or full exits. Red zone is the critical breakout decision point. Ideal for breakout or pullback traders. Can be combined with volume/confirmation indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, or price action candles) for entry timing.
TVC:GOLD
by sonubachhav
Gold: Rebounding and Stabilizing Near 3340Gold Market Outlook: Watching Inflation, Technical Pressure Builds Markets are squarely focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could serve as a pivotal moment for shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations ahead of the September meeting. Current market pricing suggests a roughly 52% probability of a rate cut, but this is highly sensitive to how inflation data unfolds. The consensus anticipates headline CPI growth of 0.2% and core inflation at 0.3%. Any deviation—especially a softer reading—could significantly sway sentiment in favor of monetary easing, thereby reinforcing gold’s appeal as a defensive asset. Beyond the macroeconomic calendar, broader geopolitical undercurrents continue to influence the landscape. Optimism stemming from recent progress in U.S.-China trade discussions has buoyed risk appetite, yet this is tempered by lingering concerns after a court ruling upheld former President Trump’s authority to maintain certain tariffs. This legal development introduces fresh layers of ambiguity, keeping the U.S. dollar on the defensive and lending indirect support to gold prices. From a technical standpoint, gold remains confined within the narrowing bounds of a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic sign of consolidation and potential volatility ahead. The price action reflects a broader indecisiveness prevalent across multiple asset classes, as traders await clearer macro signals before committing to directional moves. Key support lies at 3301, 3330, and 3340, while resistance is seen at 3349, 3361, and 3375. Special attention should be paid to the critical 3330–3340 range, which has acted as a magnet for price in recent sessions. A decisive break and sustained hold above this zone—especially if supported by softer inflation data—could hand the bulls a tactical advantage, opening the door for a push toward higher resistance areas and renewed bullish momentum. In summary, gold is at a technical and fundamental crossroads. Inflation data will likely determine whether the metal can break free from its current consolidation or remain range-bound amid ongoing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
"XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zones | Harmonic Setup in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a possible harmonic structure forming on the 15-minute chart. Key levels around 3344 and 3330 are being watched closely as potential support zones, with bullish and bearish scenarios mapped. Price action around these levels may offer clues for the next directional move. Chart illustrates both bullish breakout and extended correction scenarios. This is a technical outlook only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum. Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout. This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330. Technical Highlights: Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders Neckline Breakout Confirmed Support Levels: 3303, 3330 Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+ Volume Confirmation: Present This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones: 🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area): 📌 3,315 – 3,340 This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest. 🔹 Minor Support Zone: 📌 Around 3,243 Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down. 🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone): 📌 3,120 – 3,140 Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities. 📈 EMA Levels: 🔴 50 EMA: 3,299 🔵 200 EMA: 3,254 Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum. 🔍 Market Structure Overview: The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying. Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term. Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉. 📉 Forecast Path: 🔮 Projected Move: Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243. Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠. Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈. 💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅ ✅ Trade Idea Summary: 🟥 Bias: Short 🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122 📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone 🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
27