Xauusdforecast
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High
On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested.
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today.
Why Is Gold Rising?
➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans
➝ Expectations of lower interest rates
Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025.
➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100.
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Latest gold trend analysisCan gold break through 3000? Will the market trend turn bearish? How should we view gold today?
At the end of last week, gold fell by 57 US dollars from 3057-3000. Yesterday, it fluctuated downward, and the daily line closed negatively and touched the short-term moving average. From the perspective of long correction, the adjustment has not yet been in place, and there is still a possibility of further decline. The probability of breaking the 3000 mark is very high.
However, the current market has entered a period of volatility, and the long continuity is very poor. Yesterday, it fluctuated upward during the day, and it began to fall after 10 o'clock in the evening. It closed at a low level in the early morning. The overall trend is still a volatile trend. Today, the bottom was bottomed out and rebounded this morning. The price broke through the high of 3014 in the early morning, but it is not recommended to chase blindly. Focus on the trend of the European session. If the European session goes up, it will be regarded as a shock in the evening. If the upper pressure is touched at 3035-3038, you can go short.
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 2955 could trigger a rebound.
At the support area of 2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 2789.95.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe:
The price is in a Corrective wave.
Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area.
3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
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XAU/USD: Today's Trading StrategyAfter a series of consecutive rallies, gold has started to decline. Currently, pay attention to the short-term resistance level around 3035. You can start shorting when the price reaches this area.
xauusd sell@3035-3040
tp1:3006
tp2:2986
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold bears’ initial victory shows signs of changeAnalysis of gold market trends:
Yesterday, after the gold market opened, the bulls and bears were caught in a fierce tug-of-war, and the market trend was stalemate. Until the US trading period, the shock pattern was broken, and the gold price ushered in a downward trend. Finally, the daily line closed with a medium-yin line, and the price closed below 2895. Looking back at last week, the gold trend showed three consecutive cross lines, and it tried to rush to the 2930 area many times during the period, but it never succeeded in breaking through. Yesterday, the gold price effectively broke through the 2890-2895 area, and the short-selling force was demonstrated, ushering in a phased advantage.
In the morning trading today, the gold price refreshed yesterday's low to 2880 and then rebounded rapidly. It is worth noting that the 2880 area is just near the midpoint of the price range of 2832-2930. Although the gold price pierced yesterday's low, it did not continue to fall, which shows that the short-term decline process has been hindered, and the bulls are still stubbornly resisting, and there is even the possibility of returning to the bull trend and testing yesterday and last week's highs. In view of this, today's operation needs to be highly cautious, beware of the sudden force of the bulls, and the situation of the big Yang line reversed yesterday's big Yin line. After all, in the current volatile market, the frequent exchange of Yin and Yang K lines is a common phenomenon. At present, the gold price has re-entered the 2890-2895 area, and the bulls are temporarily in the upper hand. Intraday trading, the 2880-2885 area can be regarded as a key watershed, and the operation strategy is mainly to buy on dips. If this area is effectively broken, the thinking should be changed, and a rebound shorting strategy should be adopted, and the target price can gradually look to the 2865-2850-2835 area.
XAU/USD 10-14 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
As per analysis dated 16 February 2025 price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price and depth of pullback.
Expectation is for price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,956.310.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD and USDJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Is gold back in the bull market?Gold fell and then quickly pulled up. Pay attention to the first support level of 2900, the second support level of 2887, and the long-short watershed of 2860-2870. Currently, gold is close to the first support level. Keep the range operation, high-short and low-long, and participate cautiously in the middle position.
gold on short bearish to reform back on buy.#XAUUSD price have dropped below 2900, which formed new pattern on bearish.
Now we await for another retracment below 2892 which holds strong sell. Target 2870-2865, stop loss 2906.
Below 2865 holds bullish reform because the candle moves shows a reversal to buy. Breakout above 2912 will continue bullish.
Gold is about to see a waterfallToday's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2906-2910 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are based on intraday real-time
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2908-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Will gold fall again after stabilizing and rebounding?In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2916-2920 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2895 line of support. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and set a stop loss strictly.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2916-2920, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2895, break to see 2890 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2890-2893, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2910, break to see 2915 line;