Get started

Xauusdforecast

Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKGOLD 12H CHART UPDATE: 24th FEB 2025 Hello Everyone, Here’s the latest 12H GOLD chart update, offering a thorough review of recent price movements and key insights for the upcoming sessions. Since October 2023, our careful tracking has maintained 100% target accuracy, as reflected by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s explore the highlights and what lies ahead. * Gold touched ATH last week at 2954.81 * Gold price has been fluctuating between two weighted level above with a gap 2948 and with a gap below 2903 the whole week. The Resistance 2948 and support level 2903 reacted well. What is next for GOLD? * Resistance Levels: 2948, 2993, 3041, 3092 * Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2900, 2856, 2813, 2770, 2710, 2664, 2599 * FVG is providing strong support at 2920 which might push price bullish EMA5 Behavior (Red Line): Current EMA5: 2937.47 Bullish Targets EMA5 cross and lock Above 2948, will open the following bullish target 2993 EMA5 cross and lock Above 2993, will open the following bullish target 3041 EMA5 cross and lock Above 3141, will open the following bullish target 3092 Bearish Targets EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2856 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2856: will open the following bearish target 2813 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2813: will open the following bearish target 2770 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2770: will open the following bearish target 210 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2710: will open the following bearish target 2664 (Retracement Range) Long-Term Outlook: Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities. Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops. Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends. We appreciate your support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested. As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today. Why Is Gold Rising? ➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans ➝ Expectations of lower interest rates Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD ➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025. ➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Latest gold trend analysisCan gold break through 3000? Will the market trend turn bearish? How should we view gold today? At the end of last week, gold fell by 57 US dollars from 3057-3000. Yesterday, it fluctuated downward, and the daily line closed negatively and touched the short-term moving average. From the perspective of long correction, the adjustment has not yet been in place, and there is still a possibility of further decline. The probability of breaking the 3000 mark is very high. However, the current market has entered a period of volatility, and the long continuity is very poor. Yesterday, it fluctuated upward during the day, and it began to fall after 10 o'clock in the evening. It closed at a low level in the early morning. The overall trend is still a volatile trend. Today, the bottom was bottomed out and rebounded this morning. The price broke through the high of 3014 in the early morning, but it is not recommended to chase blindly. Focus on the trend of the European session. If the European session goes up, it will be regarded as a shock in the evening. If the upper pressure is touched at 3035-3038, you can go short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenedictLuc8
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line. This decline will continue, but the support area of ​​2955 could trigger a rebound. At the support area of ​​2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines. If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of ​​2789.95. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE. 💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe: The price is in a Corrective wave. Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955. 💡 H1 Timeframe: A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area. 3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSD
by ForecastCity
17
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction. The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels. For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
30
XAU/USD 10-14 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. As per analysis dated 16 February 2025 price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price and depth of pullback. Expectation is for price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,956.310. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold is about to see a waterfallToday's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2906-2910 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are based on intraday real-time Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2908-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
2