XAUUSD May 21, 2024 Will the price continue to increase?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
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The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation
The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward.
With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved.
Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart
- Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched.
- Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave.
- Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction.
- The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c.
Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Xauusdforecast
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 21Gold increased yesterday, but weakness appeared when yesterday's D1 bar created a bearish pinbar structure with an upper shadow and closed half of the amplitude, at the same time it swept above the previous price peak and then pulled back down. to close below the old peak, potentially creating a false break pattern forming a bullish price trap. This is a sign of a slowdown in price increases. Gold D1 therefore has not yet escaped the cumulative sideways structure. Main trend D1 Gold tends to increase in price.
H1 gold is in the downward adjustment phase of the previous price push up. There may be a complex pullback - consisting of 2 or more small pullbacks. The expectation is that H1 Gold can retest the 2400 round number area below to buy. If the price adjusts further, you can still buy from the support area below.
💡H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
Today trading idea: Buy Gold.
Focus on observing 2427 resistance
The price is close to the support and is currently rebounding after a decline. The focus today is to observe whether the support is effective and whether the small-level resistance can be broken.
Before that, trade around the 2400-2427 range. If the resistance cannot be broken through and falls below the support, then the short-term rise will be over, and the next prices to be considered will be 2378, 2352, and 2283.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 20The short-term uptrend of Gold H1 has continued with the most recent strong price push up. The price behavior following the upper border to go up and establish a new high price peak reflects good price momentum. But currently H1 Gold has created a price bar completely outside the upper border, reflecting an overbought state that easily leads to a price pullback rather than continuing the upward price trend. The main trend of Gold H1 today is to wait to buy, but wait for the pullbacks to go down and then buy, not to chase above.
💡 H1 trend: Gold increases.
Today trading idea: Buy Gold.
XAUUSD: Bulls to continue strong momentum! Next target is $2450OANDA:XAUUSD
Price reached to 2395 which remained a key area for price to make some corrections. We expect price to drop a little bit more and then bounce strongly afterwards. Price previously have left strong wick rejections at our area of entry.
Good Luck and trade safe.
Gold smashes higher, $2440 hit for record high.....If you are looking for a catalyst the helicopter crash is as good as any I'd suggest- which sound plausible but oil is asleep. And gold has been a tear for quite a while. The latest on the chopper crash is a Turkish drone has sighted the wreckage. rescue teams are about 30 minutes away. A helicopter carrying Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has suffered a "hard landing", Iranian state media reported. The risk is that scapegoats are sought and the US / Israel etc get blamed. Earlier: A helicopter carrying Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi and other leaders has gone missing. The risk is that scapegoats are sought and ...
Gold will continue to break through all-time highs
Hello everyone. We can see that 2335 was a suppression point for gold in the early stage. After breaking through 2335 last week, it changed from suppression to support.
This week I tested the support here at 2335 many times, but failed to fall.
From the wave shape analysis, we can also see that gold is currently out of the fifth wave of gains.
The top of the previous wave was at 2335, and the callback trend of the fourth wave was from 2378 to 2335.
If the fourth wave does not break the top of one wave, then it proves that there will be a fifth wave of rise later.
I have also drawn it in the picture. Once it is said that it will stand firm at 2360-65, then it will directly test the 618 position and the previous high of 2400.
Once it effectively stands firm at 2380, the market outlook will go directly to the 100% position near 2400.
At the same time, I have been buying gold today when gold fell back and broke through resistance 2355-2360.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 17Gold decreased yesterday, creating a bearish pinbar on D1. This price action shows resistance around the old peak confluence + round number 2,400. Gold D1 chart structure shows that the price is moving sideways in an upward trend.
Gold is pulling back down, falling to retest the confluence zone + the downward sloping trend line. Because the upward price trend is still the dominant trend in this time frame and also in D1, H1 gold today can wait for the upward push to complete the 1-2-3 pattern to create a bottom before retesting to buy. In case the price is pulled back down deeper, you can wait to buy H1 Gold from the trend line confluence below.
💡H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
Today trading idea: Buy gold.
XAU/USD Longs from 2380 or 2340 back up to ATH.My bias this week is to look for buying opportunities to reach the all-time high liquidity. The price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside, which aligns with the overall trend. I will focus on near-term demand zones to continue this trend, expecting the price to retrace and mitigate one of these zones.
I will monitor either the 15-hour or 17-hour demand zones for signs of price slowing down and forming a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. If the price continues to rise and creates a new all-time high, I will then look for potential sell opportunities as the price comes back down.
Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure the upside on the higher time frame leaving new zones.
- These higher highs and higher lows indicate the rise of a new uptrend.
- New demand zones are left on the 15hr and the 17hr where I can look for potential buys.
- Still lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken i.e. ATH's
P.S. Once the price enters these zones, I will focus on buying opportunities, as I prefer to trade with the trend. I will only consider short positions if the price significantly breaks down.
With little news this week, happy trading, and I hope you all have a great week!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD week 3, May 2024 How far will the increase continue?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Last week, we saw that the US economy also sent remarkable messages. For the first time, the number of applications for unemployment benefits decreased despite the softening of the labor market, this shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current controlled economy, plus the CPI released last week has increased beyond expectations, this will create motivation for the Fed to continue maintaining high interest rates in the near future
Besides, we see some notable points: the assassination of the Slovak prime minister, we know that Slovakia is a pro-Russian country, or the Russian president's official visit to China, which raises concerns about risks. global geopolitical risk. In addition to geopolitical concerns, this visit of Russian President Putin may promote the development of the BRISC bloc, which will accelerate the purchase of gold by the central banks of this bloc to prepare gold reserves. designed to strengthen the bloc's common currency
Although the US economic situation will still keep high interest rates to restrain inflation, this will create strength for the USD, but the current geopolitical fluctuations in the world will still create conditions for gold prices to increase and volatility to occur. The gold became a safe place for him to hide
Looking at the 1D chart, we rely on the Elliot wave principle to analyze price movements
- Last week we saw a strong price increase and currently the price is clinging to the peak of 2433.
- At this point, it is still early to conclude whether correction wave 4 has completed or not.
- We have the price level that confirms the completion of wave 4 and the start of wave 5 at 2433.
- If next week the price breaks out through 2433 then we have confirmation that wave 4 has completed and the price is in rising wave 5 then we will measure 2 expected price targets for the end of wave 5 which is the 2500 area. and area 2550
- If the price cannot break the 2433 zone and turns down, then the price is still in correction wave 4 and at a smaller wave level, the price will complete wave b and will continue to complete wave c as shown on the chart.
- Then wave b is confirmed when the price breaks out through the 2280 area, then we will have the target to end wave c measured at the price range 2455 and 2211
Above is Deekop's plan for next week and the daily plan will be updated by Deekop every day
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Gold: Struggles at Resistance Barrier.. XAUUSD SHORTGold has pulled back from the crucial $2,400 level during trading on Thursday, which is an area that has been important multiple times. With that being said, I think we are just simply entering some type of consolidation area more than anything else. The $2,400 level above continues to be an area that I'll be paying close attention to, and therefore, if we can break above there on a daily close, then I'm interested in getting long. If we pull back from here, then the market could drop all the way down to the $2,300 level, which of course is a major support level based on the previous action. And now that the 50 day . OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this week's XAUUD analysis video, we delve into the recent surge in Gold prices amidst economic uncertainties in the United States. The previous week witnessed a notable uptick in Gold prices amidst the struggle of the US treasury to gain traction. Additionally, the University of Michigan survey revealed a pessimistic sentiment among Americans, with Consumer Sentiment plunging to its lowest level in six months.
As we dissect the market dynamics, Friday's sentiment data and weaker labor market figures underscored a gloomy outlook for the US economy. While fears of a significant economic slowdown lingered, market participants sought refuge in safe-haven assets, propelling the price of Gold higher.
Federal Reserve officials remained in the spotlight, with divergent views on monetary policy. Atlanta's Fed President Raphael Bostic maintained a hawkish stance, projecting just one rate cut in 2024. Conversely, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman advocated for policy stability, indicating no immediate need for rate cuts this year. Similarly, Dallas Fed's Lorie Logan dismissed the notion of interest rate cuts.
Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari adopted a cautious "wait and see" approach towards future monetary policy decisions. Looking ahead, next week's US docket is set to unveil crucial inflation figures, retail sales data, building permits, and a slew of Fed speeches. These releases are anticipated to offer fresh insights into the direction of Fed reserve monetary policy.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD chart, integrating both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our focus for the upcoming week centres around the $2,360 zone, which holds significant historical importance and is poised to influence next week's trading activity significantly. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could fuel continued buying interest, potentially driving prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,360 level, accompanied by ongoing selling pressure, may indicate a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we unpack the implications of these factors and explore possible trading opportunities in the Gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
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Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
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Gold falls as Fed officials downplay interest rate cutsThe yellow steel fell on Thursday after a sequence of Fed officers warned towards making a bet on a direct hobby fee reduce.
Some individuals of the primary financial institution`s hobby-fee-placing committee stated the primary financial institution will want a lot greater convincing that inflation is easing past a moderate blip in April.
This shows buyers are beginning to provide a few desire for a fee reduce in September. The greenback and Treasury yields additionally recovered from in advance declines this week.
However, a few lower-than-predicted customer rate index figures positioned gold on a trajectory for a 0.7% weekly gain.
Gold falls as Fed officials downplay interest rate cutsThe yellow steel fell on Thursday after a sequence of Fed officers warned in opposition to putting a top class on an instantaneous hobby price reduce.
Some contributors of principal banks` hobby-price-putting panels stated principal banks could want to illustrate a lot extra that detectability become falling past the tepid emissions visible in April.
This shows buyers are beginning to present a few desire for a price reduce in September. The greenback and Treasury yields additionally recovered from in advance decelerations this week.
However, a few lower-than-anticipated client charge index facts become factored right into a 0.7% weekly gain.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 16Gold increased with bar D1 having a wider range than some recent price bars yesterday, showing good buying pressure during the day. The price was pushed out of the previous Inside bar model, creating upward price momentum. But now the price is approaching the resistance confluence + round number 2,400 so it may level off. D1 Gold chart structure is cumulative sideways in an overall uptrend.
The upward trend in price continued in H1 when the price created a new peak after yesterday's upward push. However, because D1 has approached the resistance confluence, it may stall at this time. The main trend for H1 Gold today is to wait to buy from the supports below, to catch price pullbacks, not to chase above.
💡H1 trend: Gold increases.
Today trading idea: Buy Gold.