Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis🔰 Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis
This chart represents a strategic price action-based setup on Gold (CFDs on Gold – US$/Oz) using a 15-minute timeframe. It includes clearly defined entry zone, support/resistance levels, and profit-taking targets (TP1, TP2) for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
🔍 Current Market Context
Current Price: ~$3431.77
Structure: The price has been in an upward trend with a consolidation phase forming near the key mid-zone.
Highlighted Zone: A decision zone is marked in red (between ~$3422 and ~$3418), acting as the key liquidity zone or breakout area.
📈 Bullish Bias
If price breaks and holds above the red zone:
✅ TP1: $3480
✅ TP2: $3580
These levels act as short- to mid-term bullish targets based on projected extensions of recent upward momentum.
📉 Bearish Bias
If price breaks and holds below the red zone:
✅ TP1: $3320
✅ TP2: $3260
This indicates a possible reversal or correction phase, with targets derived from recent swing lows and support areas.
📌 Trading Notes
The blue shaded areas represent target zones for partial or full exits.
Red zone is the critical breakout decision point.
Ideal for breakout or pullback traders.
Can be combined with volume/confirmation indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, or price action candles) for entry timing.
Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Great analysing from smart analysis This Wyckoff Accumulation scenario on Gold was like a blueprint—every stage played out almost exactly as anticipated. From the Selling Climax (SC) to the Spring and Test, it was as if the market followed the textbook. Watching this unfold live last night was both thrilling and affirming. Truly, it was a masterclass in market behavior.
Analysis : mohsen mozafari nejad 😎
Gold: Rebounding and Stabilizing Near 3340Gold Market Outlook: Watching Inflation, Technical Pressure Builds
Markets are squarely focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could serve as a pivotal moment for shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations ahead of the September meeting. Current market pricing suggests a roughly 52% probability of a rate cut, but this is highly sensitive to how inflation data unfolds. The consensus anticipates headline CPI growth of 0.2% and core inflation at 0.3%. Any deviation—especially a softer reading—could significantly sway sentiment in favor of monetary easing, thereby reinforcing gold’s appeal as a defensive asset.
Beyond the macroeconomic calendar, broader geopolitical undercurrents continue to influence the landscape. Optimism stemming from recent progress in U.S.-China trade discussions has buoyed risk appetite, yet this is tempered by lingering concerns after a court ruling upheld former President Trump’s authority to maintain certain tariffs. This legal development introduces fresh layers of ambiguity, keeping the U.S. dollar on the defensive and lending indirect support to gold prices.
From a technical standpoint, gold remains confined within the narrowing bounds of a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic sign of consolidation and potential volatility ahead. The price action reflects a broader indecisiveness prevalent across multiple asset classes, as traders await clearer macro signals before committing to directional moves.
Key support lies at 3301, 3330, and 3340, while resistance is seen at 3349, 3361, and 3375. Special attention should be paid to the critical 3330–3340 range, which has acted as a magnet for price in recent sessions. A decisive break and sustained hold above this zone—especially if supported by softer inflation data—could hand the bulls a tactical advantage, opening the door for a push toward higher resistance areas and renewed bullish momentum.
In summary, gold is at a technical and fundamental crossroads. Inflation data will likely determine whether the metal can break free from its current consolidation or remain range-bound amid ongoing uncertainty.
gold on short buy#XAUUSD price have been multiple retesting and continuation on bullish, now we expect price to hit 3362-3364 for bearish.
Buy limit at 3342.5, SL 3335, TP 3362-3364.
Above 3349 holds bullish range also.
Above the rectangle 3362-3364 holds bearish reversal.
If H1 closes below 3332 then bearish is active also
"XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zones | Harmonic Setup in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a possible harmonic structure forming on the 15-minute chart. Key levels around 3344 and 3330 are being watched closely as potential support zones, with bullish and bearish scenarios mapped. Price action around these levels may offer clues for the next directional move. Chart illustrates both bullish breakout and extended correction scenarios. This is a technical outlook only, not financial advice.
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum.
Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout.
This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330.
Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Neckline Breakout Confirmed
Support Levels: 3303, 3330
Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+
Volume Confirmation: Present
This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
XAU/USD Breakout Opportunity Above Descending TrendlineGold (XAU/USD) is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart. Price action has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. A strong bullish candle has closed above the trendline and horizontal resistance near the $3,302–$3,303 area, which may now act as a support.
The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with a long position targeting around $3,354, and a stop-loss placed just below the recent breakout zone at $3,288. This indicates a bullish bias as long as price holds above the broken trendline and horizontal support.
Volume appears to be increasing, supporting the strength of the breakout.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone | Technical Setup on 15m ChartGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. The price has recently tested the upper trendline resistance but faced rejection, suggesting caution.
Key observations:
Structure: Descending triangle with multiple rejections at resistance.
Support Zone: 3,285 – 3,290 area holds historical significance.
Volume: Noticeable spike during the recent upward leg, hinting at strong participation.
Bias: Watching for a clean breakout and close above the trendline for bullish confirmation. A rejection and breakdown below the 3,285 support area may shift short-term bias.
This setup is ideal for traders monitoring breakout or reversal opportunities with defined risk management. Always confirm with your trading rules and strategy.
XAUUSD Short Setup | Clean Rejection + 600+ Pip OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bearish momentum after a clear supply zone rejection. Price failed to hold above 3,310 and broke down sharply. A short position was executed near the 3,300 region with a target toward the 3,254–3,253 demand zone.
Key confluences:
Breakdown from a rising wedge pattern
Strong bearish volume candle confirmation
Clean retest and rejection of minor resistance at 3,300
Risk-reward ratio aligned with smart trade management
This move has already delivered over 600+ pips, showcasing the power of technical precision and discipline. Zones and price action remain valid unless a clear reversal structure forms above 3,310.
📉 Let the chart speak — analysis based on structure, not hype.
XAU/USD 26 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Market OutlookMy current bias on XAUUSD remains bullish, as we are targeting the lower high (LH) around the 3,438 level. However, the market is currently in a pullback phase within the LH & LL. Price has entered an OTA level within a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), ranging between 3,370 and 3,333. This presents a potential opportunity for short setups as we move towards the 3,251 level.
On the 4-hour timeframe, there's a valid FVG Breaker near our Fibonacci-based OTA level, aligning closely with the 3,251 support zone. This is a key area to watch for bullish confirmations. Any long positions should ideally be considered from this zone.
Important Note:
When trading gold, patience and discipline are essential. Only act on clear, confirmed setups that align with your strategy. Quality over quantity always wins in the long run.
[20250522] - Gold Overview1️⃣ Market Overview:
📌 Recent Closed: 3315
📌 Bullish sentiment confirmed above (3265)
📌 Key reversal threshold: (3296)
2️⃣ Key Observations:
✅ Price above (3253) suggests continued bullish bias.
✅ Recent High 3320—watch for a strong breakout or exhaustion.
✅ Next liquidity Range: 3337 (upside), 3264 (downside).
3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Continuation: Closing above 3320 confirms momentum toward 3337.
🔹 Bearish Exhaustion: Failure to hold 3296 could trigger a reversal toward 3253.
🔹 Invalidation: 💡 A break below 3296, failing Bull POC (3265), would shift sentiment bearish.
4️⃣ Entry & Target Levels:
🔹 Bullish Entry:
✔️ Price holding above 3296 strengthens bullish sentiment.
✔️ A confirmed break above 3320 opens room for a run toward 3337 liquidity zone.
🔹 Bearish Entry:
✔️ If price fails to sustain above 3296, watch for confirmation near 3253 VAH.
✔️ A strong rejection leads price toward next liquidity at 3264.
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 3320 breakout leads toward 3337 liquidity zone.
Downside: Failure at 3296 opens movement toward 3264 liquidity support.
📢 Your Thoughts? Drop a comment and let me know what you think! 🚀
XAU USD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE WITH SO MUCH UP AND DOWNIn hourly time frame it takes rejection and after opening session we can see two scenarios...
After opening new session if it comes down then tgt: 3385, from here have 90% chances to reverse for tgt: 3340, if it will not reverse and continue down side then we can go for the tgt:3275 to 3209
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
Here is the 1-hour chart:
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later.
The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise.
So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
Rangbound with rising patternXAUUSD H1& H4 Timeframe .
Although gold is intact with the rising channel at trend line meets with 3205-3250
- I will sell on top from 3270-3280 structural resistance area if i got confirmation of rejection and to long target at 3130.
-if we get candle above 3235 then we'll see upside surprise towards 3252 first then 3270.
BEARISH SCANARIO:
-if 3210-3205 breaks then we should leave the upside back behind and sell towards 3180 in first stage then we will have to wait for the 3180 structural support Invalidation towards bottom side .once 3180 breaks in h4 then move your weapons towards 3130 target.
#XAUUSD
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend.
Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend.
From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening.
Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold.
Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.