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Xauusdforecast

XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025 a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
Can the gold bullish force continue? Interpretation of European From the current observation, the 2922-2925 range constitutes the current main resistance zone. Once the gold price successfully stands above 2925, the breakthrough of the previous high of 2930-2942 will be just around the corner, and the market is bullish. The 2911-2909 area below has built a solid support line. As long as the support is not effectively broken, the gold price is expected to continue the bullish trend during the European session. Therefore, for European trading, we recommend that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high shorts, and a steady layout is made, waiting for good news. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to pull back to 2912-2907 long, stop loss 2900, and the target is 2925-2930. Break to see 2945. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to try to go short near the rebound 2937, stop loss 2945, and the target is 2915-2905.
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments. Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement. Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates. Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory. Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938 Support levels: 2905 and 2893 The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward. A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over. Conclusion Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold to $3,000? Key Levels to Watch-XAU/USD AnalysisGold has been on a tear lately, pushing up towards $2,942, and the big question now is: Do we see a pullback, or is $3,000+ on the horizon? Here’s what I’m watching: 🔹 $2,942 – Key resistance level. If we break above, momentum could take us straight to $3,000. 🔹 $2,875 – A potential pullback zone where buyers might step in before another leg up. Markets are moving fast, and this could get interesting. Are you bullish or bearish on gold right now? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Gold reaches the long position as expected◆Short order◆ Aggressive 30 short, with 7 points loss, short at 40-46-52 after loss, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 57. Target: 2898-82 break and continue to reduce holdings; ◆Long order◆ Long orders have been entered in the late European session, and positions have been reduced and covered. There is a probability that it will fall again in the future, and we are ready for other strategies; Aggressive 78 long, 72-66 long, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 60. Target: 90-98; Pattern analysis: long orders have been entered, and positions are now reduced with insurance. The US market is likely to fall further, so continue to buy; Intraday strategy ideas: Both short orders made a lot of money, and the lowest price of long orders after several attempts was 81. There is a probability that it will fall again when entering the US market. Be cautious with long orders, and there will definitely be a 100-meter dive in the near future;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Gold market analysisTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 2912 yesterday, and retreated to around 2896 at night before starting to rise. It retested around 2905 again in the morning and continued to rise, but then it fell sharply and quickly in the morning and touched the 2905 line. 2095 is the starting point of the morning and the dividing line between long and short today, but it does not mean that it has peaked after falling below 2905. Falling below 2905 only means that it will not break a new high today. It is likely to maintain volatility today and continue to rise. At present, gold is still dominated by bulls. Although it has risen sharply during the week, we are still inclined to close the week with a negative line or a long upper shadow line after 7 consecutive positive weekly lines. Today's intraday high of 2942 ushered in a rapid dive, indicating that the bears are counterattacking or the bulls have a need for profit-taking; with the rise in prices and the impact of news, the volatility is increasing, and the fluctuation of 10-20 US dollars is completed in an instant. As for the next step, whether gold will go to 3,000 US dollars or fall back, everything is possible; today's strong support below focuses on the 2896 US dollar line. In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks and supplementary short selling on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2896-2900 first-line support.
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
here what is the possible scenario for Xauusd"XAUUSD (Gold) is presenting a strong bullish setup driven by multiple factors. Here’s why it’s a prime time to consider buying: Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are driving investors toward gold as a reliable store of value. Weakening USD: The US Dollar is showing signs of weakness, which typically boosts gold prices as it becomes cheaper for foreign buyers. Inflation Hedge: With rising inflation concerns, gold is attracting attention as a hedge against currency devaluation. Technical Breakout: XAUUSD has broken key resistance levels, confirming a strong upward trend with potential for further gains. Central Bank Buying: Increased gold purchases by central banks worldwide are supporting long-term price appreciation. Don’t miss this opportunity to capitalize on gold’s upward momentum. Always manage risk and set appropriate stop-loss levels. 🚀📈" Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by H_R09
Gold Market Update: Bullish Momentum ResumesYesterday, gold experienced a pullback, dropping to an intraday low of around 2835. However, the price quickly rebounded, and overnight, bulls regained control, pushing it back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level. This move suggests that the correction may be over. Looking ahead, the upcoming NFP data could drive further momentum, potentially leading to a new all-time high by the end of the week. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook remains intact as long as yesterday’s low holds. A more significant correction would only come into play if we see a weekly close below this level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSISHello Traders, Here’s our 12H chart analysis and target updates: 📌 Previous Chart Review Key Resistance: Identified 2,790 as a critical resistance level, anticipating a potential reversal. Buy Signal: Recommended waiting for EMA5 to cross and hold above TP1 (2,745) as confirmation for a bullish move toward TP2 (2,786) & TP3 (2,826). Dynamic Support: Highlighted the FVG zone (2,745) as a key support area. 📊 Outcome ✅ All targets and entry levels (marked with Golden Circles) were achieved as predicted. ✅ EMA5 crossed above TP1 (2,744), leading to TP2 (2,786) being achieved. ✅ Resistance at 2,790 was broken. ❌ TP3 was nearly reached but reversed after EMA5 failed to cross and hold above TP2 (2,786). 🔍 What’s Next for GOLD? The daily candle closed above TP2 (2,786), but EMA5 failed to sustain above it. This suggests a potential short-term reversal. 📉 Key Levels 📌 Support: Strong support expected from the FVG zone and Gold Turn Levels (2,770, 2,745 & 2705). ⚠️ Downside Risks If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,770, the next target shifts to 2,745. If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,745, the downside extends toward 2,705 (Retracement Range). 📈 Bullish Path A bounce from support could retest TP2 (2,786) and potentially extend toward TP3 (2,826). 📌 Trading Recommendations 🔹 Short-Term Trades: Utilize 1H and 4H timeframes to capitalize on dips at Gold Turn Levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade. Focus on shorter positions in this range-bound market to navigate volatility. 🔹 Long-Term Bias: We remain bullish and view pullbacks as buying opportunities. Buying dips from our marked levels provides better risk management rather than chasing tops. 📢 Final Note Trade with confidence and discipline—our precise analysis ensures you’re well-equipped to navigate the market. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders