Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsLast week, Gold attempted to extend its decline as the USD gained strength following the release of the United States annual core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for March. This data exceeded expectations, with the annual underlying inflation rate accelerating to 2.7% from the projected 2.6%, albeit slower than the 2.8% recorded in February.
The robust inflation figures dampened Gold's attractiveness as they dampened expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts in the upcoming September monetary policy meeting. Traders responded by scaling back their bets on Fed rate cuts, influenced by the persistently high GDP Price Index, which surged to 3.1% from the previous 1.7%.
According to the CME Fedwatch tool, the probability of a rate cut in September now stands at 59%, down from 69% just a week ago.
Given these developments, the outlook for Gold in the coming week remains uncertain, especially with several high-impact events on the horizon. How will Gold prices fare amidst these significant economic indicators?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD chart, integrating both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our analysis delved into key levels, historical price movements, market dynamics, and the interaction between buyers and sellers, intending to identify potential trading opportunities.
Our focus for the upcoming week centres around the $2,350 zone, which holds significant historical importance and is poised to influence next week's trading activity significantly. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could fuel continued buying interest, potentially driving prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,350 level, accompanied by ongoing selling pressure, may indicate a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
gold prices dropped sharply, the 226x area is becoming clearerWorld gold costs are generally calculated in USD; Therefore, whilst the USD charge is going up, the gold charge generally is going down. However, recently, this not exists as a rule. Many instances whilst the USD charge is going up, the DXY index is going up however the gold charge nonetheless is going up.
This approach that, similarly to the effect among the USD and hobby costs on gold costs, there are nonetheless different factors, specially investors` expectancies.
Gold costs reversed path after rebounding above key assist nowadays, despite the fact that the yellow metallic's momentum become hampered with the aid of using continual expectancies of better hobby costs for the longer term. America.
The yellow metallic again to the $2,300/ounce mark in in a single day buying and selling after americaA Federal Reserve (FED) quashed expectancies of any in addition hobby fee hikes - which pulled the greenback decrease costs and produce a few comfort to commodity costs.
But the Fed nonetheless signaled that it's miles in no hurry to begin slicing hobby costs - a fashion this is anticipated to restriction any primary profits in gold costs. The Fed saved hobby costs regular on Wednesday, as broadly anticipated.
But FED Chairman Jerome Powell, in his speech after the meeting, gave particularly combined indicators approximately the improvement of hobby costs. While Powell stated that delaying deflation - specially as inflation strategies the Fed's 2% target - offers the financial institution little self assurance in beginning to reduce hobby costs soon. But Powell additionally stated that the financial institution has no plans to elevate hobby costs in addition.
The latter's remarks weakened the greenback, dragging it close to a six-month excessive. This pass allows particularly lessen metallic costs, which might be struggling a pointy decline earlier than the FED meeting.
However, the chance of US hobby costs final excessive for a long term has affected the outlook for gold costs, specially whilst the secure haven for the yellow metallic has additionally fallen in latest sessions.
Other valuable metals rose nowadays after falling sharply in advance this week. Platinum futures rose 0.6% to $968.30 an ounce, at the same time as silver futures rose 0.3% to $26,825 an ounce.
Gold short-term trading strategy
Gold is approaching our awaited price target of $2,260.60, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of gold’s rise from $1,984.16 to $2,431.44. This means that if the price of gold falls below $2260.60, the price of gold will continue its bearish trend and aim for the next target of $2207.80
On the other hand, we noticed that the trend of gold prices showed a downward trend, which supported the expectation that gold prices would continue to decline and hit more bearish targets. In particular, the 50-period EMA formed continued bearish pressure. Therefore, unless gold rebounds above $2,325.90 and remains above this level, we will continue to predict that gold prices will be in a bearish trend for some time to come.
Gold prices are expected to trade today at the support level of $2,260.00 and the resistance level of $2,305.00.
The expected trend for gold prices today is bearish.
It is recommended to short gold near $2,300
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Gold trading strategy analysis
Recently, there have been a lot of bearish calls in the market. The louder the calls, the stronger the rally. The two important functions that affect the price trend of gold are risk aversion and resistance to inflation.
First, the relationship between supply and demand. Global gold mining and supply have stabilized, with market supply exceeding demand and prices falling.
Second, economic factors: global economic growth is slowing down and demand for bulk commodities is weakening. U.S. data continued to rebound, consumption was weak, and global risk assets suffered a sell-off. This is especially true as Cyprus plans to sell off its gold reserves, sparking concerns that other countries may follow suit. Well-known international investment banks such as Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch began to collectively lower their expectations for gold prices, causing investors to sell in panic.
For today's gold on Tuesday, the price fell below the ascending channel line and finally rebounded to determine the resistance area 2330-2332. This is a defensive suppression range and continued suppression is effective. If the price falls below the 2315-2312 area, if it falls below, then look for Go to the next 2303-2300 area, and then look for the 2388 and 2366 ranges
The next thing to do is to use the top of the starting and falling points as a defense, and then continue to hold gold high, watch the price accelerate to test the 2315-2312 area, and switch the range downwards if the position is broken.
My suggestion is to go short around $2320-2310, with a stop loss of $2335 and a target of $2302-2300.
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Gold XAUUSD Day trading Uptrend {30/04/2024}Educational Analysis says Gold XAUUSD may move in this range for some time according to my technical.
Broker -
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why this range?
Because the 15-minute time frame has made Change of Character show signs of weakness of the bear run, maybe long for the premium level in the 4-hour time frame, plus 1 min time frame has turned bullish also has Change of Character look on
So I will be trading this pair for a 1:20.93 risk-reward ratio for long-buying.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us.
Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Gold bull market will continue
Gold has experienced a unilateral rise in the recent bull market, and finally reached a new all-time high and was blocked near 2430. Then it ushered in a collapse and fell back, with the lowest falling to around 2290 to be supported. However, the decline has not been well extended and has not continued to fall, indicating that there is still a large amount of buying support below. At the end of last week, the price fluctuated and slowly rose to around 2354. The callback low began to slowly move upward, and it held the 2330 mark at the end. There is a possibility for bulls to make a comeback.
Gold fluctuated and slowly rose to around 2354 last Friday, the correction low began to slowly move upward, and ended up holding the 2330 mark. 2430 is a clear peak, and the 2400 mark has not been successfully surpassed by multiple shocks. Now it is poised to collapse from high levels and fall back, and the decline is expected to continue. However, since the bulls are still in a bull market, there is still a large amount of buying support, and further declines will require the bulls to digest the momentum. Next, we will see whether this rebound can stabilize the 2355 watershed. Once it stabilizes, there will be no advantage in shorting. Today we will focus on the support near 2325. If it stabilizes the 2330 mark, then we will see a rebound.
Gold Strategy: Go long near $2,325
Stop loss $2310
Target $2335-2345
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Can gold continue to be long?Gold once dipped deeply on Friday, but overall it still held the 2310 line. The bulls held the 2310 line. The overall thinking was bullish.
The gold four-hour line is still bullish overall, showing an arc bottom shape. At least the K-line is still above the moving average. Even if the K-line is tested downward, it maintains a strong upward rhythm, and the K-line itself is also a support point near 2330.
Trading strategy: Gold 2326 long, stop loss 2316, target 2340
The above is purely personal investment sharing and does not constitute an actual entry point. You are responsible for your profits and losses.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Analysis of gold trend outlook
The fundamental outlook for gold is less positive, as is its near-term technical price action. If gold prices close this month below $2,300 an ounce,
Next week will be an important test for gold. This level has become an important pivot point.
Gold appears to be overbought on the monthly chart, and a midweek close below $2,300 would cast a considerable shadow on the upside and potentially spell trouble for some bulls.
Gold price action so far has been described as a healthy correction. The next major support level is expected to be around $2,255 an ounce. Staying above this level would send a signal to the market that the pullback is nothing more than a weak correction in a strong uptrend. While the Fed and Friday's non-farm payrolls report will be next week's two major economic events, there's still a lot of data coming out that will add to volatility next week.
Still, the central theme remains the tug-of-war between economic growth and inflation.
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GOLD this morning had a fairly strong decline.@All Hello new week anyone. Wishing anyone a brand new week complete of energy. Good fitness and worthwhile trading ❤️❤️
@All GOLD this morning There turned into a pretty sturdy decline. This weekend there may be Nonfarm news. Currently, the Gold fee I see is extra at the Sell side. If every person watched the Zoom consultation the opposite day, I shared extraordinarily powerful scalping strategies primarily based totally at the M1 frame. You can switch on MA and backtest again.
>With Gold today, in my opinion, anyone must pick out to observe the Selling Trend to be safe.
This Temporary Rhythm Everyone Watches Sell Following the fashion round 2330>2334
SL 2336
City 2324>2316.
I will watch to promote again to Gold`s assist resistance region underneath 231x after which upload extra. If you want assist with PP or Bot Installation, please touch me❤️❤️
GOOD LUCK MN 😊😊
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Last week, global yellow metallic charges misplaced 2% in comparison to the remaining degree of the week finishing March 19. Kitco News` modern-day weekly gold survey consequences display that retail buyers are more and more more dropping self assurance withinside the treasured metallic, even as analysts continue to be constructive. Accordingly, as much as 70% of analysts forecast that gold will growth this week. This discern for the institution of retail buyers is 40%.
Bannockburn Global the Forex market CEO Marc Chandler is one in all individuals who believes that this week's gold rate will circulate in a high-quality route. Chandler believes that gold charges may also take a look at the extent of 2,370 USD/ounce withinside the coming days. The statistics that influences the route of gold this week may be the employment statistics file. He stated that a disappointing jobs file may want to purpose the greenback and yields to fall, even as lifting gold charges.
Sharing the identical opinion, Chairman Adrian Day of Adrian Day Asset Management additionally forecast an constructive photograph for the yellow metallic this week. Mr. Day stated that despite the fact that global gold call for has slowed down, it's miles nonetheless growing and that could be a high-quality signal for this treasured metallic.
Accordingly, in China, buyers and those are nonetheless pouring into gold to discover a secure haven withinside the context of a vulnerable financial system and the danger of devaluation of the yuan. Besides, buying sports in North America also are converting in a high-quality route. Gold exchange-traded finances are beginning to see a few inflows, after constant and sustained promoting for maximum of ultimate 12 months and early this 12 months.
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Gold bottoms out and rebounds, long trade wins
Gold closed up $16.49, or 0.71%, on Thursday to close at $2,332.30.
On April 26, spot gold accelerated its short-term rise, with the price just breaking through $2,345.
Gold short-term technical outlook analysis
U.S. first-quarter GDP data was lower than expected, causing concern. Gold maintained modest gains.
Generally speaking, gold tends to benefit in a risk-averse environment, which tilts the risk to the upside. In the short term, gold prices offer a neutral to bullish stance based on the 4-hour chart.
Gold prices currently face resistance at the April 25 high of $2,344. If this level is exceeded, gold prices will target the $2,352 level, followed by the $2,400 mark.
The latest important support and resistance levels for gold prices:
Support level: $2310; $2292;
Resistance: $2352; $2368;
Gold prices are expected to fluctuate and rise today.
Trading strategy: Go short after gold rebounds and go long after it falls.
It is recommended to go short near $2345-2350
Or going long near $2320-2310 is also a good choice.
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Gold April 26 2024Today is Thursday April 25 6:30pm EST. Here is the daily prediction for tomorrow's price action in the gold market.
Caution: Yesterdays prediction could not have been better. Members have made quite a lot and its easy to become over confident. Tomorrow is Friday and we've been trading in somewhat of a tight range. I expect a big fake move to the upside to catch traders who did not participate in the multiple long opportunities so far this week. Then take them out of the market by dropping the price lower.
This is some psychology behind the move.
Continue to be bullish on gold and go long after it pulls backGold has broken through the shock zone, and it is also in the form of a triple top. It is currently rising strongly, the bottom is more obvious, the moving average is obviously upward, and the steepness is also intensified. The macd energy column is obviously located above the zero axis, and it is also a sign of gradually moving away from the zero axis. Continue to look above 2345
Gold technical analysis and trading strategies
Now that gold has exceeded $2,330, the release of data on the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending April 20 will have an impact on gold. After the data was released, the price of gold fluctuated rapidly.
On Thursday, the United States will release preliminary data on first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP), which is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 2.5% in the three months to March. Gold prices are trading between the 20-period moving average and below the 100-period moving average, with the former accelerating below the latter, often seen as a signal of increasing selling pressure. Meanwhile, technical indicators remain negative, the momentum indicator is rising, and the relative strength index (RSI) is consolidating around 43.
If gold prices break above $2,343.00, this will halt the bearish correction and push gold prices back to the main bullish trajectory.
The latest important support and resistance levels for gold prices:
Support levels: $2310.00; $2295.20; $2282.90
Resistance: $2343.30; $2361.55; $2372.90
Expectations for gold prices today are mostly mixed.
Trading idea: Go short after gold rebounds and go long after it falls.
I share trading strategies and trading ideas every day. ⬇⬇⬇Get detailed trading signals so that everyone will no longer be confused when trading. I hope that with my help, everyone can achieve good results!
Gold price has reached the accumulation thresholdGOLD presently has symptoms and symptoms of the moon returning to be pretty strong. With today`s buying and selling rhythm, I will purchase in keeping with the fashion from M5>H1. And Canh Sell Theo resists and Rsi, everyone
>Gold Currently Everyone Watches Gold Following Resistance on the Should and Rsi Over Buy. This Gold Selling Rhythm Everyone can watch the Selling from 3>five costs for me.
>Current Trend Gold will maximum in all likelihood growth through 235x once more today.
Canh Buy 2326>2330
SL 2324
City 2338>2348.
>Attention. Sell accompanied Rsi and resisted. Mainstream Buy in keeping with Main Trends 👌👌
----NEWS------
In latest sessions, gold charges struggled strongly withinside the context of the marketplace looking ahead to crucial financial information to recognise extra approximately the coverage course of americaA Federal Reserve (FED).
US gross home product (GDP) information and private intake expenditure (PCE) reviews may be launched on Thursday and Friday (US time), respectively. Traders are anticipating the Fed`s first hobby charge reduce to take region in September.
Matt Simpson - senior analyst at City Index - stated that gold charges should fall sharply if reviews display that americaA economic system stays resilient. Any symptoms and symptoms of sudden will increase will boom the Fed's cappotential to hold advantageous financial coverage for an extended duration of time. That will push the USD and US bond yields up and gold charges down.
OANDA senior marketplace analyst Kelvin Wong commented that even though gold charges have slipped in some sessions, the technical attitude suggests the opposite:
“Gold's fee motion has formed an average reversion decline after checking out intermediate resistance at $2,420/ounce. Gold charges fell 2.7% on Monday April 22 - the worst day by day overall performance in view that June 13, 2022 (almost 2 years) and persisted to increase losses withinside the Asian buying and selling consultation on April 23.
Accordingly, the consultation low of 2,291 USD/ounce represents a cumulative lack of 5.8% in comparison to the latest all-time excessive of spot gold fee (2,431 USD/ounce, April 12).
"Now, the trouble for gold charges lies in whether or not the upward fashion has ended or not" - the professional asked.
To get the answer, Mr. Wong emphasised a few technical indicators. He believes that those are symptoms and symptoms that gold charges will boom withinside the medium time period.
The 50-day shifting average (MA) has a tendency to preserve to assist spot gold charges.
“Based on a technical evaluation standpoint, gold charges are nonetheless buying and selling above the 50-day shifting average, consistent with the important thing mid-time period assist sector of $2,260 - $2,210 formerly identified. Besides, the retracement degree withinside the Fibonacci indicator lasts from the bottom degree (October 6, 2023) to the very best degree (April 12, 2024).
Additionally, the day by day RSI stays above key assist after exiting the overbought sector. This suggests that the medium-time period upward fashion of gold charges from the low degree recorded on February 14, 2024 continues to be intact" - the analyst.
Gold trade analysis
The international gold price continued the downward trend of the previous two days and is currently testing the 2310 support level. Yesterday, the gold price once fell below the 2300 mark, but it rebounded under the stimulation of weaker than expected PMI data. After closing in the red for two consecutive trading days, spot gold came under further pressure during the day and is currently trading around $2,310. Yesterday it hit its lowest point since April 5 at $2,291.
The price of gold has tentatively positioned the market in the range of 2300-2342 during the day. There is a battle for two key points. The bottom is likely to rebound around the 2300 mark, while the key resistance above is the fight for 2332. If it can break through and stand firm, it will still be It will continue to test 2342 and 2350. It is recommended to focus on rebound operations during day trading.