XAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant patternXAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant pattern
In essence, the buck is actively appreciating against the gold the third day in a row. A short-term bullish movement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00 was the only exception and was attributed to beginning of drills on the Korean peninsula. But, in general, the pair is driven by optimism over the progress of tax bill.
Accordingly, today the rate is expected to continue heading downwards until it makes a rebound from the bottom boundary of a currently active two-month long descending channel near 1,255.00. However, the above market sentiment has a good chance to push the rate even more down. If this breakout happens and the pair gains a foothold below the weekly S2, this might be a sign of existence of another unconfirmed four-month long descending channel.
Xauusdforex
XAU/USD trades below moving averages XAU/USD trades below moving averages
Using support provided by the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs together with the monthly PP, the exchange rate managed to climb to the weekly R1 located at 1,287.92. In other words the pair has practically managed to form the third reaction high of a four-week long ascending channel. However, a release of widely expected American data created a momentum that enabled bears to return the rate back to the weekly PP at 1,277.10. Hence, all four abovementioned support levels turned into resistance. As they are all concentrated around the 1,279.00 mark, it is unlikely that bulls will manage to push the pair through them without new strong upside momentum. There is a need to notice that the similar situation has already happened in beginning of the week when the gold failed to climb upstairs after a solid strengthening of the buck.
XAU/USD moves along 100-hour SMAMorning outlook - XAU/USD moves along 100-hour SMA
Instead of trying to reach the monthly R1 at 1,348.36, using the 55-hour SMA as a springboard, the exchange rate stuck at the weekly R1 at 1,339.42 and stayed there until a release of data on the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. The American figures appeared to be positive and dragged the pair down by 0.5%.
Fortunately for the gold, the 100-hour SMA managed to neutralize the further fall. For this reason, the yellow metal has a good basis to try to get back at least to the above weekly R1.
On the other hand, there is a need to take into account that below the 100-hour SMA there is an empty zone up until the junior ascending channel’s bottom trend-line and the 200-hour SMA.
XAUUSD : SELL SETUP (FEB 16)Two potential Short Entry. It depends on PA at key level.
My favourite always in the top sell zone.
If this pair unable to breakout the top zone, it will be good bearish move.
Cut your open position if price re-act against this setup. But I believe this setup normally 80% success rate. We will see..
T.A.Y.O.R
@scandicfx
XAUUSD LONG TERM INVESTMENT IDEAON THE DAILY CHART PRICE IS MAKING ITS FINAL PUSH BEFORE A BREAKOUT FROM THE BEAR FLAG PATTERN.
PRICE WILL MAKE ONE MORE FINAL DESCENT TO THE MAJOR SUPPORT TREND LINE.
WAIT FOR THE BREAKOUT OF THE FIB AT THE 1355.02 LEVEL.
STOP LOSS IS 1338 LEVEL.
THERE IS NOT PROFIT TARGET ON THIS ONE. JUST FOLLOW THE TREND.