why 5% is a risk for the US over the next 10 yearsHistory indicates that once the Fed honestly cuts hobby charges for the primary time, marketplace hobby charges generally tend to transport barely higher (chart above). In fact, it is usually a sale due to the fact the preceding rumor has been believed. But sooner or later because the Fed endured to cut, the 10-12 months yield endured to fall and discovered a brand new bottom.
In the present day cycle, we've got now no longer visible the splendid reduce in hobby prices 10 years after the peak (as a consequence puzzling Mars). This in part displays the relative scarcity of longer-adulthood Treasuries, a legacy of the Federal Reserve-led treasury buildup as a result of the pandemic (aleven though now decreasing). . This helped appear withinside the extraordinarily inverted 2/10-12 months curve on the time of the Fed peak. The 10-12 months yield remained underneath 4% because the finances charge hit 5.3%.
Xauusdforexsignal
XAUUSD : Will gold today create a new peak or retreat?XAU/USD fell slightly below the 2,300 USD/oz mark ahead of US NFP jobs data
Gold prices retreated slightly to around $2,270 at the beginning of the Asian session after just setting a new record high yesterday, surpassing $2,300.
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and expectations of loosening monetary policy from the Fed are still big driving forces for this precious metal's rise. Today, the market is waiting for US March NFP data to look for more motivation, with an additional 200,000 new jobs expected in March. Meanwhile, the DXY index, a measure of the value of the USD against a basket of currencies weighted by America's trading partners, which recovered to 104.30 from a two-week low of 103.90. The 10-year US government bond yield decreased slightly to 4.30%.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that interest rates are likely to peak in the current cycle, and said FOMC policymakers believe it is appropriate to begin cutting interest rates if the economy progress according to the scenario expected by the Fed. These dovish views are giving a boost to precious metals including gold.
In general, the main trend is still an uptrend as the EMA lines are still pointing up and have a certain openness. The current correction is inevitable when all indicators are in an "overbought" state. If a downward correction occurs, the $2,200 - $2,220 zone will be a potential support zone. Next is around the $2,150 mark, this will be an important milestone because if it breaks through this mark, it will likely trigger a strong selling wave pushing the price near the base of the last two weeks' rising wave at around $2,050. In the immediate future, the price has not yet had any clear reactions after hitting the $2,300 mark, so it cannot be said that this is a hard resistance level and today's NFP data will be the deciding factor whether gold will continue to increase or not.
XAUUSD : Gold continuously creates new peaksGold rebounded higher after the disappointing services PMI report.
Gold broke out and increased around the $2,300 area after the US services PMI report was lower than expected.
In the April 3 session, gold was supported when the ISM services PMI report dropped to 51.4 compared to the initially estimated level of 52.8. The precious metal fell to $2,267 early in the European session but then rebounded sharply and ended the day at $2,293 after the PMI data was released.
Today, the market will receive unemployment benefit applications along with further speeches from Fed officials. Currently, gold is rising to $2,300.
Fed economic data flow chartThe private intake expenditures (PCE) fee index, which the Fed makes use of to set its 2% inflation target, rose at a 2.5% annual price in February, up from 2.4% visible in January. Core inflation, which strips out risky meals and electricity prices, rose 2.8%, down barely from a revised 2.9% boom in January. Neither parent is possibly to reinforce growth. boosted Fed policymakers` self belief that inflation will steadily go back to their target.
The customer fee index (CPI) rose 3.2% yr-on-yr in February, up from 3.1% the preceding month and better than analysts expected. Meanwhile, the benchmark hobby price with the exception of meals and electricity fees best fell to 3.8% from 3.9%, some other reminder that the Fed's inflation strugglefare ought to closing longer than expected. guess. Rising fuel and housing fees contributed in large part to the boom in CPI. Whether the Fed's hopes of constantly lowering housing fees is forthcoming stays uncertain.
XAUUSD : Gold is continuing to create new peaks every dayGold extends its upward momentum after the JOLTS jobs report
Gold bounced above $2,270 after the JOLTS report, the focus turned to US services PMI data.
During the April 2 session, gold mainly traded in the range of $2,248 - $2,263, then bounced above $2,270 when the JOLTS jobs report was as expected before correcting downward and ending the day at $2,261.
Today, the market will receive a series of important economic data, including the services PMI index, ADP report, and Chairman Powell's speech. Currently, gold is rising to $2,288.
Profited 17K from short gold, and continue to short goldToday’s gold trading situation is as follows:
1.Xauusd: @2256-2258 Sell, SL:2266, profit and loss: -4000
2.Xauusd: @2263-2265 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +5532
3.Xauusd: @2273-2275 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +7184
4.Xauusd: @2276-2278 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +8520
In gold trading today, although one of them touched SL: 2266 resulting in a loss of 4K, overall, I achieved a good result of 17K profit in today's gold trading. If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you will also make very good profits.
At present, gold has reached its highest level near 2277 as expected, but then fell back to around 2251, giving up all the gains. According to the current gold structure, this position is expected to become a phased peak. Therefore, in our next trading rhythm, it is best not to aggressively pursue long gold above 2260. Secondly, in the 2270-2280 area, we can choose to short gold on highs in batches. I predict that gold will fall to the 2250-2245 area in the short term, maybe even tomorrow.
I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day, hoping to help all my followers continue to make profits in the market! If you are worried about missing trading opportunities, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading strategies, trading lots, and TP and SL in the first time.
Gold refreshes record high, where is the upper end?Dear friends, due to the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East due to the Israeli air strike on the Iranian consulate, gold once rose and set a new historical high again, with the current highest reaching 2266.8.
Judging from the current trend of gold, the position of 2267 is very extreme, because from a technical perspective, this position should be a stage high point, but stimulated by endless news, there is still a probability of refreshing this position. However, one thing that is certain is that I will definitely not chase long gold above 2260, even if gold really continues to rise. Because 2267 is actually a dangerous zone for me.
From the perspective of gold structure, gold may reach the top in the 2265-2268 area many times to form a top structure, and then gold is likely to start falling from there. From a structural perspective, I predict that the highest gold top position can reach around 2278, almost close to 2280.
So in terms of trading, first of all, I do not recommend chasing long gold above 2260; secondly, you can try to short gold in small batches in the 2263-2265 area. If it remains relatively stable, you can also wait for gold to rise to the 2275-2280 area before shorting gold.
I will share detailed trading ideas and trading signals every day to help everyone grasp the rhythm of market trading. If you are currently losing money, I am confident that I can help you turn losses into profits in a short period of time; if you are currently making profits, I am more capable of helping you increase profits. If you want to seize more trading opportunities and profits, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and trading strategies in the first time.
Continue to short gold below the 2258 positionDear friends, gold hit a high of 2265 overnight and then fell back. Then gold stopped falling near 2229 and rebounded slightly again. As of now, gold is trading near 2251.According to the current gold trend, there is no doubt that gold still maintains a trend upward trend, so overall gold still maintains a intact upward pattern. But in the short term, today's 2256-2258 area will be a very critical position. If gold cannot break through this area during the local rebound, then gold will still need to continue its correction.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will try to short gold in small batches in the 2253-2258 area. If gold can build a local double-top structure, the demand for a gold correction will be clearer; on the other hand, when gold is near and above 2260 , I personally will avoid chasing long gold, and I will still look for suitable opportunities to short gold to avoid funds being trapped at high levels.
So relatively speaking, when others were extremely crazy about chasing gold, I changed the trend and began to insist on shorting gold at high levels; I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day, hoping to help all followers to be successful in the market. Keep making profits! If you are worried about missing trading opportunities, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading strategies, trading lots, and TP and SL in the first time.
Short gold first, then plan to go long goldDear friends, gold has repeatedly broken new highs and hit the 2265 line. At present, gold still maintains a strong unilateral upward trend. However, as far as current trading is concerned, I do not advocate continuing to cash long gold. Because gold continues to be very overbought and deviates too far from technical indicators, there is currently a short-term need for a callback to repair indicators.
So I have clearly informed everyone that we can try to short gold in the 2163-2165 area in small batches (the specific content of the trading signals is in the channel at the bottom of the article). First try to seize the profits of the short-term correction of gold. After the correction of gold is in place,we will still follow the gold trend and be long gold. In this way, we can grasp the profits of both long and short sides,
I will share detailed trading ideas and trading signals every day to help everyone grasp the rhythm of market trading. If you are currently losing money, I am confident that I can help you turn losses into profits in a short period of time; if you are currently making profits, I am more capable of helping you increase profits. If you want to seize more trading opportunities and profits, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and trading strategies in the first time.
27/3. Will gold prices drop significantly? No, it will continue
26/3. The trend of gold is very science fiction. Like a roller coaster. When it went up, it killed the short sellers. When it fell, it killed the bulls. Dual phase harvester. But I made some profits in both directions yesterday. Friends who are paying attention know it. Yesterday, the gold market once again shot up to 2200 points and then fell back quickly. The reason is a boost in risk aversion. USD pullback. and ECB talk. It gave gold a big boost. However, gold did not stabilize when it rose to 2200, but fell back quickly. It closed near 2177.
There is no particularly big trend at the beginning of today's Asian game. Maintained within a narrow range around 2177. Observed at the daily level, the market is still consolidating at a high level. Observing the hourly line, gold bulls are eager to try. Want to continue to rise. I am more optimistic about the continued rise of gold. News: The Gaza ceasefire agreement is like a bomb, which may explode at any time and increase risk aversion. This keeps the lower support at 2165-2171. Personally, I prefer to buy during day trading.
XUAUSD:2172-2174 BUY
TP:2186
SL:2163
Remember to close the order in time to make profits when operating.
XAUUSD : Gold's boom continues after today's dataGold is under pressure as the USD bounces up, waiting for the US core PCE report
Gold sweeps two-way as the market awaits the core PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, tomorrow.
During the March 27 session, gold climbed above $2,193 before falling to $2,183 when the USD rebounded and then recovered and ended the day at $2,192 when US government bond yields simultaneously decreased. The market is currently awaiting the core PCE report - the Fed's favorite inflation measure - expected to be released later in the week.
Today, the market will receive a series of important economic data, including the GDP report, US home sales and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. Currently, gold is trading around the $2,190 area.
Gold will also test the 2180 area, don’t rush to chase long goldDear friends, there must be only one question for everyone now, and that is, will gold continue to fall?
I think gold will continue to fall, because gold fell back immediately after touching 2198, and the candlestick body still closed below 2195, once again showing a long upper shadow line, so the pressure above is still relatively obvious. In addition, gold only touched around the 2184 position during the decline. I think the gold's step back is not in place, so gold still needs to continue to step back. I think it will at least test around the 2180 position again.
So I think gold still needs to continue to adjust. Of course, we still hold a short position in gold and are still making good profits overall. If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you will also have good profits like me. We can continue to hold it and wait for gold's deep correction, so that our profits will be better!
I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day, hoping to help all my followers continue to make profits in the market! If you are worried about missing trading opportunities, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading strategies, trading lots, and TP and SL in the first time.
XAUUSD : Why is Gold fluctuating strongly?The recovery in gold prices weakened as the US dollar rebounded.
During the March 26 session, gold prices rose back to $2,195, but as soon as data on the number of US durable goods orders was announced, gold adjusted back down. Price support is currently located around the old peak at $2,144.5
There won't be much major news coming out in the near term, so all eyes will be on the US PCE data, released on Friday as traders look for data to predict. When will the Fed lower interest rates?
🥇Gold🥇 Waiting for Correction✅As I expected, the Gold (sniper) touched the 🎯 Target 🎯 of the previous posts .
🌊According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 5 and now we have to wait for correction waves .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect Gold to continue its downward trend to the Support line and the Fibonacci levels (38.2% and 50%) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
gold buy chartFollowing a quiet Asian session, Gold turned north and advanced to $2,180 in the American session. Although the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in positive territory above 4.2%, the selling pressure surrounding the USD supports XAU/USD.
The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair shows that bulls retain control. The bright metal develops above all its moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) heading firmly north below the current level while above also bullish 100 and 200 SMAs. At the same time, technical indicators have turned flat within positive levels after correcting extreme overbought conditions, reflecting absent selling interest.
Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast.
gold buy now 2174
TP1 2180
TP2 2190
TP3 2200
SL 2150
XAUUSD : Will gold continue to rise again after today's data?Gold turned down as the market waited for the CB consumer confidence report.
Gold rose to $2,181 late yesterday as the USD weakened, focus turned to today's CB consumer confidence report.
In the March 25 session, gold swept both ways but ended at a higher price when the USD fell. The precious metal rose to $2,178 then fell to $2,163, then reversed all losses and bounced to $2,181 before correcting to end the day at $2,175.
Today, the market will receive CB's consumer confidence report and durable goods orders. Currently, gold is falling to $2,171.
XAUUSD : Gold is rising again at the first session of the week.Gold rebounded at the beginning of the new week, waiting for the upcoming PCE report!
Last week, gold rose sharply after the FOMC meeting but reversed most of the gain after a series of US economic data at the weekend.
Last week, gold prices swept in two directions after economic data, especially after the Fed's interest rate policy meeting. The precious metal rose from $2,154 to $2,222 after the "dovish" message from Chairman Powell before turning down sharply and ending the week at $2,164 when the manufacturing PMI index increased stronger than expected.
This week, the market will receive a series of important economic data, including the CB consumer confidence index, GDP report, and PCE index - the Fed's favorite inflation measure. Currently, gold is rebounding to $2,175.
The range of 2163-2165 is still a buying opportunityAfter the European market started, gold began to fluctuate and fall. It reached a low of 2163 during the day. However, careful friends found that the US dollar continued to fluctuate around 104.3, without major fluctuations. In other words, short selling is just a behavior of the European market. TVC:DXY
Modern Jack believes that the gold shock in the European market is just an attempt by short sellers, not a real short seller. We can continue to wait for developments in the US market. Asian markets generally start with news. On the contrary, the US market is more of the beginning of actual action.
At present, the price of gold still remains near 2168, which is 4 US dollars higher than the opening price. At present, bulls still have a certain advantage.
Jack believes it is still a time to buy. The price of gold is supported by risk aversion in the market. The factor for the decline may be due to the reduction of ETF holdings. When demand increases. I think there is still a need for gold prices to continue to rise. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Gold prices maintain range trading, a narrow range of 2172-2180Modern Jack believes that the U.S. dollar is performing well in the Asian market. The expectation is that there will be some small support near 104.3. Then the probability of gold prices remaining in the range of 2172-2180 is relatively high. Operationally, range trading is maintained. This was despite a sharp reduction in holdings in the largest gold ETF over the weekend. But the impact of rising risk aversion is huge. And the interval support of 2172-2170 also exists. Considering the current situation.
It is ideal to maintain the principle of buying low, selling high
XAUUSD : Gold fell sharply as the US economy remained resilient.Gold weakened after lower-than-expected unemployment claims and manufacturing PMI rose, the focus turned to Chairman Powell's speech today.
During the March 21 session, gold prices were under pressure when the number of applications for US unemployment benefits was lower than expected and the manufacturing PMI index increased. The precious metal dropped sharply from $2,207 to $2,166 after the news, then increased slightly and ended the day at $2,182.
Today, the market will receive Chairman Powell's speech on the recent interest rate decision as well as the future prospects. Currently, gold is falling to $2,176.
GOLD BUY CONFIRM SIGNAL 100% Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast
Gold price edges lower on Friday amid some follow-through US Dollar buying interest. The Fed’s projected three rate cuts in 2024 will likely cap the USD and limit losses for the metal. Traders look forward to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for short-term opportunities
Gold price (XAU/USD) retreats after hitting a fresh record high earlier this Thursday and trades just above the $2,200 round-figure mark during the first half of the European session, still up for the second straight day. The prevalent risk-on environment – as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets – prompts some profit-taking around the safe-haven precious metal. Apart from this, a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields turns out to be another factor undermining the commodity amid slightly overbought conditions on short-term charts.
gold buy 2174
tp1 2178
tp2 2182
tp3 2200
tp4 2210
tp5 2220
sl 2150
XAUUSD : Gold will continue to set records for itselfGold increased sharply after the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged.
Gold attracted strong buying pressure when the Fed kept interest rates unchanged and Chairman Powell expressed a "dovish" stance.
In the March 20 session, after increasing by more than $10 to above $2,164, gold turned down again and ended the day at $2,157. Earlier today, the Fed continued to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.5% and in the press conference, Chairman Powell emphasized that interest rates should not be delayed for too long. After the meeting, the precious metal jumped to $2,174 and continued its momentum to $2,222 before correcting back down.
There will be no important economic data from the US today and tomorrow until Thursday when the Fed's interest rate meeting begins. Currently, gold is down slightly to $2,202.