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XAUUSD : Gold finds old peak at 2365$The dollar remains strengthened, especially against currencies where central banks have a more dovish stance than the Fed – most notably the yen and renminbi. However, gold investors still ignored fluctuations in the foreign exchange market, so gold recovered from the weak level at the beginning of last week and ended the week in the green. The fact that gold continues to "ignore" the strength of the USD shows that investors do not consider gold as a foreign exchange product, they still focus on the appeal of this metal after years of inflation exceeding forecasts. weakening the purchasing power of fiat currencies. US NFP and CPI data are notable for the USD and gold The latest US inflation data on Friday (core PCE index) was fully in line with market expectations. Other key U.S. economic data sets are due out in the coming weeks, including the June nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, followed by CPI data on July 11. Some other important economic data this week are also worth watching, such as ISM manufacturing and services PMI, ADP employment data, JOLTS jobs openings and FOMC meeting minutes. It can be seen that gold is still "standing firm" even though the USD is strengthening, so the possibility of gold soaring to a new record peak if the USD weakens at this time is not too far-fetched. Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the upcoming data series. Any sign of further weakness in the U.S. economy will strengthen expectations for more than one Fed rate cut in 2024. Gold still shows a long-term upward trend. Although gold has recently appeared to be moving sideways and its upward momentum has slowed, this could be a positive sign. Because this accumulation period helps the RSI reduce the "overbought" situation on the weekly and monthly charts. This is mainly achieved through time rather than price action, which is usually a bullish sign.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will break out in the near futureWorld gold prices fluctuated around 2,325 USD/ounce in the first trading hours of the Asian session. Last week, the gold market continued to move slowly and steadily, as the yellow metal once again traded within a narrow range between 2,300 and 2,340 USD/ounce. Gold prices are expected to be volatile this week as the market receives a series of important data, including employment data and June meeting minutes. MarketGauge's chief strategist - Michele Schneider said that world gold prices are stable amid many risks. However, inflation and the US Government's budget deficit are increasing, which firmly supports gold prices. According to this expert, gold prices tend to increase in the long term if the support level of 2,300 USD/ounce is maintained.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Gold recovered strongly this weekGold prices are becoming unpredictable in the coming days, with many mixed views from analysts and investors, according to Kitco's gold price trend survey results next week. Specifically, in a survey on Wall Street, 12 analysts responded, of which 33% thought gold prices would continue to increase, 17% thought gold prices would decrease and up to 50% predicted gold prices. across. In the online survey on Main Street, 178 investors responded, with 48% predicting gold prices to increase, 28% predicting gold prices to decrease and up to 24% predicting gold prices to decrease. horizontal. Next week, investors will continue to wait for information related to the US macroeconomy to be released, after last weekend's information showed that inflation in the US cooled down, reinforcing expectations about the Federal Reserve's announcement. The US Federal Reserve (FED) may cut operating interest rates in the second half of this year. This will positively impact the increase in gold prices.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Gold is looking forward to today's dataMarket analysts forecast positive numbers for the May report. Expect the cost of goods and services to increase at an annual rate of 2.6%, down slightly from April's 2.7%. More importantly, core PCE is expected to fall to 2.6% (on an annual basis) in May, from 2.8% in April. If these forecasts come true, it would signal a further reduction in inflationary pressures. , bringing the economy closer to the Fed's 2% inflation target. Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have repeatedly emphasized the need for a sustained positive economic data trend before considering a change in monetary policy. In the recent press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Mr. Powell reaffirmed this view: "We have stated that reducing the federal funds rate target range will not be appropriate until when we have greater confidence that inflation is moving towards 2% sustainably." The market's growing confidence in the Fed's ability to change policy is reflected in the probability of cutting interest rates. CME's FedWatch tool currently shows that there is only a 35.9% chance that the Fed will keep current interest rates unchanged (from 5.25% to 5.50%) through September. This is a significant change in market sentiment, down from 37.7% just one day ago and 50.2% a month ago. This trend shows growing optimism about when the Fed will move toward normalizing interest rates. On Thursday afternoon, 6:00 pm ET, the August gold futures contract was trading actively, soaring 28.90 USD (equivalent to 1.25%) to 2,338.70 USD/oz. Although a weaker USD provided some support, the main driver of the rally was bullish market sentiment centered on expectations for Friday's PCE report.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold increased slightly after two days of declineUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month. World gold prices are slightly decreasing, fluctuating around 2,320 USD/ounce. XAU/USD had a positive trading session, rising more than $30 to $2,329 an ounce on Thursday. World gold prices have recovered from their lowest level in 2 weeks thanks to the weakening of the USD, after a series of data showed that the US economy is slowing down, reinforcing expectations of lowering interest rates by the Fed. The market is currently paying attention to important US inflation data today for more clues about the Fed's interest rate path.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Is gold preparing to test a breakout?The downward pressure on gold prices increased further due to rising US government bond yields. This yield has increased from 5-7 bps across all bond terms. A recent five-year US Treasury bond auction showed positive results, with bids from non-dealer investors exceeding the average. Recent statements by Fed officials have also further influenced market sentiment. Fed Governor Lisa Cook acknowledged progress in curbing inflation and the labor market is gradually cooling, but she did not give a specific time to reduce interest rates. Meanwhile, Fed Board of Governors Member Michelle Bowman stated that now is not the time to start cutting interest rates, even suggesting the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation persists. These developments come just ahead of the important PCE index report, scheduled for release on Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal predicted consumer prices would fall last month. The core PCE index, which excludes food and energy costs, is expected to hit its lowest level since March 2021. If the PCE report matches forecasts, this could suggest inflation is on track toward the Fed's goals. This could encourage the Fed to consider reducing its benchmark interest rate as early as September, despite recent hawkish statements from some Fed officials. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell previously emphasized the need for greater confidence in economic data before making policy adjustments. The positive PCE report could mark the start of the "string of positive economic data" the Fed is looking for, potentially paving the way for an earlier rate cut than Cook and Bowman suggested. recently released. The combination of a strong USD, rising yields and mixed signals from Fed officials continue to create a difficult environment for gold prices in the short term. However, the upcoming PCE report could significantly influence the Fed's future policy decisions, and therefore market sentiment towards gold.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Is gold looking towards the target of $2,150?World gold prices moved sideways after falling more than 30 USD/ounce yesterday, fluctuating around 2,298 USD/ounce. Gold prices fell for a second straight session and hit their lowest in more than a week on Wednesday. Recent "hawkish" comments from a series of Fed officials show that the US central bank is unlikely to lower interest rates soon in the context of a recovering economy. This has supported the USD and weakened it. Yellow. Experts say that gold will fluctuate within a narrow range because investors are cautious ahead of the release of US inflation data later this week. If gold loses the $2,300 mark, it is likely that the $2,100-$2,150 range will be retested. However, this is nothing to worry about. If the US economy continues to slow down, the possibility of interest rate cuts will increase, and gold will recover. After gold retested its breakout in 1978, the precious metal rose 122% in 13 months. A similar scenario occurred in 2009 with an increase of 63% after 13 months. If the current correction continues, it will be a gift as one will get a second and perhaps last chance to catch the gold bottom.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will recover after falling in priceXAU/USD is fluctuating around 2,325 USD/ounce. World gold prices moved sideways as investors waited for US inflation data, expected to be released later this week with the focus on the US core PCE index. This makes investors increase their expectations that the Fed will soon reduce interest rates in the next few months, supporting gold - a non-yielding asset. SPDR Gold Shares fund sold a net 2.88 tons of gold on June 24, reducing its holdings to 829.05 tons.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Does gold have the ability to recover strongly?XAU/USD is increasing slightly and hovering around 2,337 USD/ounce. According to American Bank Wells Fargo, this precious metal may continue to consolidate throughout the summer as the market accepts the Fed's tightening policy. In an interview with Kitco News, John LaForge, Director of Real Asset Strategy at the bank, said: "Central banks will continue to buy wine, while also seeing solid upside potential in gold." quarterly through 2025. According to Wells Fargo's mid-year updated price forecast, gold prices are expected to trade between 2,300-2,400 USD/ounce."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold