#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
Xauusdidea
Gold is expected to hit the 2740-2750 zone, buy gold!Dear traders:
Although gold shows the characteristics of non-continuation of rising, it is still in an upward structure as a whole, so gold still has the potential to continue to rise, so I think 2725 is definitely not the highest point.
At present, gold is in an upward trend, and the 2695-2690 zone below forms an unignorable support structure, while the 2680 below becomes the absolute defense of the bulls, and gold may continue to the 2740-2750 zone in the upward trend. Therefore, in short-term trading, we still mainly use the support area as a defense to go long on gold.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD (XAUUSD): pullback from resistanceThe sudden pullback to 2690 turned out to be the condition that the bulls were probably waiting for all along. The price rose to 2696 and is moving towards the resistance at 2702. The bullish bias is prevailing over the bearish signals. Buy zones to watch out for are 2676 and 2660. The target is the old peak zone of 2625 and 2750, which is the target level for all buy signals this week.
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XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2740.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction:
Increasing Demand: Central banks and investors are increasing their gold reserves, driving up demand and prices.
Inflation Concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar's value could boost gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating tensions between major economies and global hotspots could lead to safe-haven buying and drive up gold prices.
Dovish Central Banks: Central banks' dovish monetary policies, such as low interest rates and quantitative easing, could weaken currencies and boost gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Bullish technical indicators, such as the ascending Ichimoku Cloud, suggest a potential upside move in gold prices.
Seasonal Trends: Gold prices tend to rise during the summer months, driven by increased demand from jewelers and investors.
Weakening US Dollar: A decline in the US dollar's value could make gold more attractive to investors and drive up prices.
Increasing Investment Demand: Growing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other investment products could drive up gold prices.
Supply Constraints: Limited gold supply and potential production disruptions could lead to higher prices.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding central banks' monetary policies could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
These bullish factors suggest that gold prices could potentially rise in the near future. However, it's essential to consider both bullish and bearish factors and stay up-to-date with market news and analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2760.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction:
Global economic uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including trade tensions and geopolitical risks, is likely to drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Low interest rates: The low interest rate environment, particularly in the US, is making gold a more attractive investment option, as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
Inflation expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the ongoing economic recovery and monetary policy easing, are likely to support gold prices.
Central bank buying: The continued buying of gold by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, is likely to support gold prices.
Technical factors: The technical analysis suggests that gold is forming a bullish trend
Fundamental Indicators:
Global economic uncertainty: High
Interest rates: Low
Inflation expectations: Rising
Central bank buying: Ongoing
Technical factors: Bullish trend
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 70%
Bearish sentiment: 30%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAUUSD Buy Looking up, the $2,708 level needs to be regained before considering further upside. Further up, the next level to look at is $2,721, a sort of double top in November and December. In case Bullion powers through that level, the all-time high of $2,790 is the key upside barrier.
XAUUSD Buy 2710
Support 2730
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold Idea 📈 Market Bias: Bullish
Analyzing the daily timeframe on Gold, we see clear signs of bullish momentum. The price action suggests a potential move upward, targeting the liquidity above the current levels.
Key insights:
✨ Liquidity Grab: Watch for price to sweep above significant highs, triggering buy-side liquidity.
✨ Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap): A critical imbalance lies above, making it a probable magnet for price action.
The narrative aligns with bullish order flow, indicating a high likelihood of continuation to fill the daily FVG. Stay patient and wait for confirmations if you're planning to enter.
💡 Trading Reminder: Always follow your trading plan and manage risk effectively. The market often surprises, so protect your capital!
What’s your bias on Gold? Bullish or bearish? Drop your thoughts below!
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns
Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest.
Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains.
Indicators and Oscillators
Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry.
Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading.
Conclusion
The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Is gold on a bear-run for 2025? Hey 👋🏾 y'all I am back with my first publication of 2025! I hope everyone enjoyed their holiday season and is ready to absolutely CRUSH this year!!
Let's dive in:
As you can see from my 4H price is in a giant correction. Price attempted to push higher, however continues to fail to do so.
The 15m liquidity zone (15m LQZ) we can see price is having difficulty closing above there and in fact sells off rather aggressively from that level.
This is 1 indication, or confluence, that price will more than likely melt to the downside. Not, before however, giving us a false sense of hope that she will reach previous highs.
By that I mean to say that I believe price will push higher first, stall out (form a smaller 1H or 15m ascending channel within my larger 4H ascending channel) and then melt.
I expect price to push up and stall around where I have placed my top trendline - giving me the all-clear to ride this elevator to the downside.
Like always it is not my job to predict the markets, but to react...time will tell.
I have a setup in mind for the long position as well. However, let's see if this short position plays out this week (Thursday and Friday).
I will update y'all at the end of the week 😁 byyyyeeee! ✌🏾
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
1/14 Gold Trading StrategiesTrading Strategy:
SELL 2677-2684
TP 2664-2652
Resistance is located between 2677 and 2684, while support is between 2656 and 2648.
On the 1-hour chart, this pullback has not broken below the support zone, so the overall trend remains bullish. During this rebound, the key resistance lies in the 2677-2684 range. If the resistance is not broken, a retest of the support becomes inevitable. Based on the current indicators and market structure, the probability of a breakout seems low. Therefore, the trading strategy is to focus on shorting around the resistance zone.
XAU/USD - Weekly Analysis - Jan 13-17, 2025Overall Trend:
The PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD pair has been riding a bullish trend over recent months, with gold prices hitting all-time highs in September 2024 near $2,635 per ounce. Currently, the pair remains above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, reinforcing the continuation of the upward trajectory.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
$2,657 : Now acting as a key level after previously serving as strong resistance during pullbacks.
$2,621 : A previously identified support zone during price corrections.
Resistance:
$2,723 : A significant resistance zone, historically alternating as support and resistance since October 2024.
$2,750 : Found at the lower boundary of the premium zone but would require a break of the descending trendline and the resistance above.
Technical Patterns and Indicators:
Candlestick Patterns:
Recent bullish candlestick formations like "marubozu" and "bullish engulfing" indicate strong buying pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The daily RSI is hovering near the overbought zone (above 59), signaling potential for pullbacks or consolidation.
SMC (Smart Money Concepts) and Wyckoff:
The current structure aligns with an accumulation phase, suggesting a high probability of a subsequent bullish breakout, consistent with Wyckoff principles.
Key Fundamental Drivers:
US Monetary Policy:
The Federal Reserve's recent half-point rate cut has added upward momentum to gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and other regions are boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Economic Data:
Upcoming US economic reports, including Q4 GDP and the PCE Price Index, could sway market sentiment and drive volatility.
Jan 14 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Producer Price Index (PPI): ECONOMICS:USPPIMM
Jan 15 - 1:30 pm GTM 0 - Consumer Price Index (CPI): ECONOMICS:USIRMM ECONOMICS:USIRYY
Jan 16 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Retail Sales ECONOMICS:USRSMM and Unemployment Claims $ ECONOMICS:USIJC
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If XAU/USD breaks above the descending trendline at $2,688, the price could target the $2,723 zone and, with enough momentum, push towards $2,750.
Bearish Scenario:
In the event of corrections, the pair may find support at $2,657, or in the case of a deeper pullback, near the base of the expansion channel at approximately $2,621.
Seasonal Considerations:
Historically, the start of the year tends to be favorable for gold due to increased demand for safe-haven assets and portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors.
Continue to short gold after the reboundI have published today's trading strategy in the channel, although gold’s decline has started to slow and localized rebounds are emerging, I believe the overall trend has not reversed, and the downward movement is likely to continue. Therefore, I do not think this is the right time to go long on gold. Opening long positions now could result in those positions being overwhelmed by the continued bearish momentum.
For short-term gold trading, I will maintain my strategy of shorting gold following any rebounds. The short-term short-selling target area mainly focuses on 2672-2682,and my target remains in the 2660-2650 range. Stay disciplined and patient in executing your trades!
Bros, are you optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!