BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure:
The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout.
The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend.
🔍 Key Levels Identified:
Support Zone:
142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box)
This zone acted as a strong demand/support area.
Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone.
Immediate Resistance Levels:
145.799 – Near-term resistance.
147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line).
148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection):
Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher.
Target zone: 147.000–148.725.
The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
Xauusdidea
Setupsfx_ | XAUUSD(Gold):07/07/2025 Update | Gold dropped nicely when the market opened last night, dropping around 600 pips. However, it couldn’t hold on to the gains and came right back to the selling zone. There are two entry points and two potential targets.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: Early Mitigation Or Sellers Trap! Let's See Gold dropped after touching 3365 taking price to 3318.Currently ranging market showing confusion over how gold would react to NFP data which is coming out tomorrow. At this moment we are quite certain that price would drop tomorrow either from entry one or entry two. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
Good luck and trade!
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold prices fell back in Asian trading on Monday, as they digested Friday's negative data. The short term may be partial shock, but the medium and long term news surface uncertainty or to provide support for gold prices, so trading ideas, retracement to do long can.
Trading Strategy:
Both 3300 and 3308 can be used to enter the long position, short-term traders can look at 3325-30, followed by 50 around.
For intermediate traders, the target sees 3365-70 unchanged, and the retracting of 3300/3310/3330 is an opportunity to go long.
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Where will the price of gold go under such strong pressure?From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3295-3301 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3316, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation theme remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main theme of following the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long at 3295-3301 line of gold, stop loss at 3287, target at 3315-20 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Go short at 3324-30 line of gold rebound, stop loss at 3337, target at 3301-08 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD – High-Precision Sell Setup with 1:2.70 R/RGreetings, traders.
After a brief tactical pause, we’ve identified a **high-conviction short setup** on **XAUUSD**.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, structural momentum suggests there’s still room for meaningful movement in gold during today’s session. The risk-to-reward profile on this setup is exceptional — clocking in at **1:8.70**, it meets our highest-tier execution standards.
If momentum stalls or price consolidates excessively, the trade will be manually closed by **23:00 (UTC+4)**, regardless of outcome.
🧠 Trade Parameters:
• **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1)
• **Direction:** Sell
• **Entry:** 3337.09
• **Take Profit:** 3312.16
• **Stop Loss:** 3345.63
• **Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1:2,70
• **Trade Management Note:** Will be closed manually by 23:00 (UTC+4) if momentum conditions are not met.
🔗 Signal Source
All trade setups are published directly by Velatrix Capital — a high-discipline trading desk focused on FX, crypto, and global indices.
No opinions. No hype. Just statistically-grounded execution.
All signals are posted via our TradingView desk:
👉 (www.tradingview.com)
📈 **We don’t chase hype. We build edge.**
🔔 **Subscribe for future setups and institutional-grade trade intelligence.**
**Velatrix Capital**
Trade Breakdown: XAUUSD 15-Min | Liquidity Grab + Reversal PlayOANDA:XAUUSD
Psychological Setup
This trade is rooted in the psychology of smart money and retail behavior. After a sharp drop in price, most retail traders expect continuation (trend-following). However, institutions often manipulate liquidity zones — hunting for stop-losses before a true reversal. This trade capitalizes on that behavior.
🔍 Technical Explanation:
🔻 1. Market Structure:
Price was previously in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
A falling wedge pattern (red lines) formed after a strong bearish move, signaling potential bullish reversal.
Price broke the wedge to the upside — a classic reversal signal.
🔁 2. Liquidity Concept:
Below the wedge: The market grabbed liquidity by taking out stop losses of buyers who entered too early.
Above the wedge (TP Areas):
TP 1 Area (red box): This is the first logical resistance where previous supply sits — many sellers will enter here, providing buy-side liquidity.
Next Target Liquidity (grey box above): This is a major imbalance zone and likely where stop-losses of early short sellers are stacked.
Price is expected to grab liquidity from that area (marked by the red arrow).
✅ Entry & Trade Logic:
Entry Zone: After liquidity was swept at the bottom of the wedge, a bullish engulfing candle formed near demand — signaling institutional interest.
Risk-Reward Setup:
Targeting 0.80% move (approx. 26.48 points).
Trade is based on reversal from demand zone + wedge breakout + liquidity grab confirmation.
🎯 Target Projections:
TP1 Area: Conservative target, just above recent structure.
Final Target: High-probability liquidity zone where market is drawn to clean up resting orders (grey zone).
🧠 Why This Trade Matters (Trading Psychology Insight):
Most retail traders get trapped in emotional entries — entering shorts after a drop or longs too early in a wedge.
Smart money waits for liquidity sweeps before moving price in the desired direction.
This setup shows the importance of patience, structure, and understanding market psychology rather than reacting emotionally to price action.
📌 Key Takeaways:
📉 Trap: Falling wedge builds false bearish confidence.
🧠 Psychology: Stop hunts create fuel for reversal.
📈 Reaction: Smart money absorbs liquidity, moves price toward next inefficiency.
Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #TradingPsychology #GoldTrade #PriceAction #WedgeBreakout #FXOpen #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyDemand
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)
After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday.
I’m currently watching two possible downside targets:
🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce.
🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG.
This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction.
From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above.
Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 7 July 2025Welcome to the new week traders
as we have FOMC meeting minutes report due this week so firs market is fell down from 3350 Psychological level now is testing 3300 psychological level
all eyes on breakout of 3300 level for now if market breaks 3300 level then it will move towards 3280 then 3350
only clear breakout of 3335 will clear path for towards 3368 level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 8, 2025🔎 Momentum Analysis
On the daily (D1) timeframe, momentum is currently declining. At the same time, the 4H momentum is showing signs of reversing downward. This suggests a likely short-term corrective decline, which provides a basis for projecting potential Elliott Wave patterns.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the 4H chart, I currently see two main possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Contracting Triangle Correction (abcde – purple)
This scenario assumes a contracting triangle correction labeled abcde in purple.
The market appears to be in wave d (purple), which is unfolding as a wxy corrective structure. Currently, it is likely in wave y.
The projected target for the end of wave y is between 3393 – 3402.
However, due to the declining momentum, I expect a short-term pullback to the 3318 – 3321 region before price resumes upward to complete wave d.
Scenario 2: Larger WXY Correction
In this case:
Wave W has completed as a standard 3-wave abc.
Wave X has also completed as a double zigzag.
Wave Y appears to be forming a small contracting triangle abcde in red.
Currently, the price is being compressed between the upper and lower boundaries of the red triangle, suggesting that it is in the final wave e.
In this scenario, the projected retracement also aligns with the 3318 – 3321 zone. After completing wave e, price is expected to break out strongly above the upper boundary of the red triangle.
✅ Strategic Conclusion
Both scenarios point to a confluence zone at 3318 – 3321, making this a key potential buying area. Two trading approaches can be considered:
Aggressive Entry: Buy within the 3318 – 3321 range.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red triangle before entering a long position.
📈 Suggested Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3318 – 3321
Stop Loss: 3308
Take Profit 1: 3342
Take Profit 2: 3362
Take Profit 3: 3393
XAUUSD Short Term Possibility AnalysisGold has an are between 3324 to 3328. It hold for a while there and target back to one hour OB which is residing on 3355 to 3365. Previous day gold move shows intense buying which is sign of potential buying in gold. As weekly candles show strong uptrend the possible move for gold will be in uptrend therefore two scenarios are shared here. If gold breaks 3324 to 3328 support it will possibly target the daily low which is residing on 3295.
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears
OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor.
📉 Technical Structure
XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone.
📌 Key Technical Zones
Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340
Resistance Zone 2: $3,364
Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305
Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside
📘 Strategy Summary
XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
The gold shock pattern is broken, the latest gold trend analysisGold prices rose rapidly at the opening, reaching a high of 3342 before falling back. This kind of rapid rise needs special attention, because from the perspective of short-term trading, this is the trend pattern that needs the most vigilance. Looking back at the trend last Thursday, there was also a situation where the early highs could not be continued. Historical data shows that this kind of rise often lacks sustained momentum and the subsequent rise space is limited.
The trend of rising and falling appeared again in this trading day, and fell below the key support level of 3322. This important change means:
1. The original 3322-3345 oscillation range has been broken.
2. After the range moved down, 3322 changed from a support level to a resistance level.
3. The short-term trend weakened, and it is recommended to adopt a strategy of shorting at highs.
It is recommended to short at highs near 3322 during the day, and focus on the support area of 3295-3293 below.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4
Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe.
From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart.
At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red).
Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete.
📉 Momentum
Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.)
H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region.
🎯 Price Targets
Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels:
3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals.
3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3350
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3300
🔺 Buy Zone:
Entry: 3295 – 3293
SL: 3285
TP1: 3312
TP2: 3342
TP3: 3390
📌 Personal Note:
At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsPrice has been reacting very well to our marked FVG and OB levels on the 1H chart, respecting these key zones and providing clear directional bias.
📍 Current situation:
We are currently within the blue zone at 3300 – 3310 (1H FVG), which is a strong liquidity area. If price holds here with confirmation, we will look for buy setups on lower timeframes (3m or 5m).
✅ If this zone holds, our short-term target will be the green zone at 3275 – 3280 (1H Buy OB).
❌ If this zone fails and price closes below it, we will shift our focus to lower support zones:
🔹 Next blue zone: 3260 – 3270 (1H FVG)
🔹 Lower blue zone: 3250 – 3260 (4H OB)
Key Resistances (Sell Areas):
🔴 3345 – 3358 (1H Sell OB)
🔴 3358 – 3365 (1H Sell OB)
If price can break above the 3345 – 3365 zone strongly without a fakeout, we may see a continuation towards higher resistances and further bullish expansion.
🎯 Key Reminder:
Always let price reach your marked zones, and only then look for confirmations on lower timeframes for precise entries. This keeps your trades clean, structured, and in line with market flow.
—
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
Consolidating Below Trendline Resistance, Bearish Bias IntactTechnical Structure:
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade below the descending trendline TL1, having failed multiple times to breach the $3,338–$3,345 resistance zone. After retesting Support Zone 1 ($3,303–$3,310), the price is showing signs of a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure remains bearish unless the price can break above TL1.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: $3,338 – $3,345
Support Zone 1: $3,303 – $3,310
Support Zone 2: $3,260 – $3,253
Trendline: TL1 continues to act as dynamic resistance
Strategy Insight:
If TVC:GOLD gold remains below the descending TL1, bearish pressure is likely to resume. A short opportunity may arise if the price retests the resistance area and stalls. A confirmed break below Support Zone 1 would expose targets at $3,260 and $3,253.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook
⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad*
---
### 🔍 Market Structure:
The market currently shows a **bearish structure**.
After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**.
---
### 🔸 Key Observations:
- Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS.
- The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries.
- OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow.
---
### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias
> If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form.
🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295**
🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)**
---
### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal
> If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS.
This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**.
---
### ⚙️ Technical Summary:
- **Structure:** Bearish 🔻
- **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅
- **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations
- **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected
---
> 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."*
---
#### 🔖 Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
The Ancient Metric: Reflecting on Gold’s Financial Role🟡The Ancient Metric: Reflecting on Gold’s Financial Role
Hard Money Lens: All asset ratios are expressed vs gold (XAUUSD) to:
• Strip out fiat currency distortion
• Reveal true purchasing power
• Treat gold as a timeless unit of account
________________________________________
📈 1. S&P 500 / Gold (SPX/XAUUSD)
Ratio:
• Now: 1.88
• Jan 2025: 2.16
• Jul 2024: 2.26
• Jul 2018: 2.30
🔍 Interpretation:
• Down 18% from Jan 2025
• Down 18% over 7 years
• Not a crash nominally — but a stealth bear market in gold terms
✅ Conclusion:
Equities are quietly being devalued:
• Inflation is eroding fiat-based returns
• Excess valuations are being corrected
• Gold is quietly reclaiming its monetary role
________________________________________
🏠 2. Housing / Gold (CSUSHPINSA/XAUUSD)
Ratio:
• Now: 0.10
• Jan 2025: 0.12
• Jul 2024: 0.13
• Jul 2018: 0.17
🔍 Interpretation:
• Down 41% in gold terms over 7 years
• Down 23% just since July 2024
• Indicates either:
• Gold rising faster than home prices
• Real estate weakening in true (inflation-adjusted) value
✅ Conclusion:
Housing is even more devalued than equities — potential deep value opportunity in hard-money terms.
________________________________________
₿ 3. Bitcoin / Gold (BTC/XAUUSD)
Ratio:
• Now: 32
• Jan 2025: 37
• Jul 2024: 26
• Jul 2018: 6
🔍 Interpretation:
• Bitcoin is up >5× vs gold since 2018
• Peaked in Jan 2025, now -13%
• Still trading near historical highs
✅ Conclusion:
Bitcoin is the top performer, but:
• Showing signs of possible topping behavior
• Could be transitioning into a distribution phase
🧭 The Alpha View
🟤 1. We’re in a Secular Hard Money Shift
• Fiat-based assets are losing ground vs gold
• Gold is reasserting its role as a monetary base layer
________________________________________
🟠 2. Bitcoin Has Front-Run the Cycle
• Outperformance = speculative phase
• But stalling and could signal short term distribution
________________________________________
🟢 3. Real Estate: A Hard-Asset Value Play
• Crushed in gold terms = most undervalued major asset
• If inflation slows or rates fall, housing may outperform next
________________________________________
🔁 4. Macro Rotation is Forming
• From high-risk growth (tech) → to hard-income/value (real estate, dividend stocks)
• Gold remains the anchor and arbiter of value
________________________________________
🔮 Big Picture
We are witnessing a late-cycle monetary rotation:
• Fiat-based valuations are being repriced
• Gold is reasserting its dominance
• Housing market might be undervalued
• Bitcoin is still king, but risk/reward now elevated
The Defining Question: Is This the Cycle Where Bitcoin is Unchained?
Note: Market theorists frequently point to a 7-year cycle (7YC) as a natural rhythm in financial markets.
2018 Market Recap
• Rising geopolitical tensions
o U.S.-China trade war 1.0
• Tightening monetary policy
o Fed Rate hiked 4X’s & initiates QT
• Market volatility and equity corrections
o Major Crude Price Swings
• Emerging Markets Crisis
o Argentina & Turkey currency collapses
• The Crypto Winter
o BTC drops from nearly $20k to $4k
Follow on X @TheAlphaView
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation.
After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions.
XAUUSD
buy@3325-3330
tp:3340-3360-3380
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Important data such as non-agricultural are all negativeGold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is around 3355-60.
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16
✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.