Geopolitical Undercurrents Support Gold as NFP LoomsTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold hovers near $3,370 after failing to hold above $3,374, where previous support has turned into resistance. Price remains trapped between TL2 and TL3, with short-term direction hinging on tonight’s U.S. NFP data (130K jobs expected, 3.7% YoY wage growth). A strong report may trigger a drop toward the $3,342–$3,325 support zone, while weaker data could spark a bullish breakout toward $3,402.
Although Trump and Xi agreed to restart trade talks, deep fractures remain over export controls, Taiwan, and rare earth supply. These unresolved issues suggest geopolitical risk is far from over, offering medium-term support for CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold despite recent risk-on flows.
Resistance : 3,374 , 3,402
Support : 3,342 , 3,325
Xauusdidea
Gold falls below key support, short-term bearish approachAt present, the hourly level has fallen below the key support level of 3330, which is effectively broken as the short-term long-short watershed, which means that the market is weak and volatile in the short term. However, it does not constitute a short trend for the time being. The short-term trend in the future may still fluctuate downward, but there is no basis for a deep decline. Short-term short orders can be participated in, but the general direction remains bullish.
This week is coming to an end. If there are still operation plans, you can wait for a small rebound and then participate in a wave of short-term short operations. The target is controlled at 10-30 points. Enter and exit quickly, and don't be greedy.
Looking ahead to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate around 3,300 and then bottom out and then resume its upward trend. The thinking will continue to be mainly "short-term short and long-term long".
The current gold 1-hour moving average system has begun to turn downward. If a dead cross structure is further formed in the future, the downward space will be opened. After gold fell under pressure from a high level yesterday, it continued to be weak today. Combined with the bearish non-agricultural data, there is a lack of support for risk aversion. There is still room for short-term downward movement, and the overall rebound is still the main focus.
Operation suggestions:
Aggressive investors may consider shorting in the 3333-3335 range;
Conservative investors may wait for a rebound to the 3345-3350 area and enter the short position at an appropriate time.
The target is 10-30 points. It is not recommended to hold more than the target.
Gold Is Likely to Break Below 3300 SoonYesterday, gold rallied up to near 3400 before pulling back, just as we had anticipated. We've repeatedly emphasized that 3400 is a strong resistance level, and those who followed through with short positions likely saw impressive profits.
Today, after a sharp drop, gold has rebounded again and is fluctuating near resistance. Support lies at 3352, and if that breaks, the next downside target is around 3333, followed by a possible move to fill the gap between 3300–3289.
🔍 Trading Logic:
There's still significant selling pressure above 3300, with the gap remaining unfilled.
Once the gap is filled, bulls may regain confidence to push higher — though they still face dense resistance above.
📌 Clear Profit Opportunities:
✅ Short toward the 3289 gap fill
✅ After the gap is filled, consider buying into the bullish rebound
The setup is clear — the key now is timing your entries and managing your positions wisely.
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trade Plan for June 6, 2025
🔍 Current Wave Structure
Yesterday's sharp and impulsive drop suggests a completed 5-wave structure for wave c (red) within a larger flat correction (abc red).
However, this morning's bullish move lacks momentum — candles are overlapping and price has failed to break above the 3383 level. This casts doubt on the current wave being the beginning of a new impulsive trend.
🌀 Scenario 1 – Beginning of a New Impulsive Wave
The current bullish leg may be wave 1, forming as a leading diagonal due to overlapping candles.
Projected target for wave 1: 3380. A pullback from this level could form wave 2, offering a potential long entry around 3347–3344.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Continuation of a Larger Wave 2 Correction
If price drops back toward 3324, this would invalidate the current impulsive wave count as wave 4 would overlap wave 1 (black) → A larger corrective structure is still unfolding.
The current bounce may then be interpreted as wave a of a larger abc corrective move, suggesting a further decline to come.
🎯 Trading Strategy (Confluence of Both Scenarios)
Sell Zone: 3380–3383 → short-term selling opportunity based on potential wave 1 peak or wave b top.
Buy Zone: 3347–3344 → potential entry if wave 2 completes here (Scenario 1) or wave b ends here (Scenario 2).
📈 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is fading but a confirmed bearish close today is needed. If confirmed, at least 4 more bearish daily candles may follow.
H4: Momentum is rising, suggesting more upside or sideways consolidation in the short term.
H1: Momentum is about to turn bearish. Ideally, we wait for it to dip into oversold territory and reverse upward — that would be our signal to go long.
🛒 Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3347 – 3344
🎯 SL: 3337
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3380
🎯 TP3: 3404 (if bullish scenario plays out)
SELL ZONE: 3383 – 3386
🎯 SL: 3393
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3347
With bulls and bears in a stalemate, where will gold go?Gold fell under pressure around 3384 in the early trading on Thursday, and then rebounded after falling to 3361. The highest in the European session reached around 3403, and then fell back due to resistance. The US session accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 3339, and then rebounded in the late trading, closing in the negative on the daily line. The daily trend continued to fluctuate in a positive and negative cycle. On Thursday, it rose and fell, closed in the negative and fell below the 5-day moving average.
Today, we will focus on the resistance position of 3405. Whether it can break through will determine the strength of the bulls in the future market. The risk of continuous negative daily lines cannot be ruled out. The support below is the key points of 3330 and 3300. The 4-hour fluctuation range is locked at 3385-3335. The fluctuation space in the Asian and European sessions is limited. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. For stable trading, it is recommended to go long in the 3340-3350 area. The overall bullish trend has not changed, and the impact of non-agricultural data is limited. It is expected that gold will most likely rise and fall. Remember not to chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for opportunities.
Steady trading, precise attack!
GOLD Intraday M30 Chart For 6 June 25As you can see that Market still is in strong range and we are still waiting for clear breakout
NFP main event of the day and remains watchable
If Market break 3335 successfully today then it will move towards 3310
above 3345-50 market remain slightly Bullish
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.
Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.
Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.
🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.
If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.
H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).
📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357
🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
As long as gold falls, you can continue to buyNow we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more after stepping back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the 3354-62 line. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and buy when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss at 3336, target at 3395-3400;
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
Gold:Go short before you go long
Gold is currently volatile upward trend, here can not avoid repeated retracement. Now the performance is relatively strong break 3884 short - term high, then the United States is expected to attack twice, then can participate in the long again. Note: long is the main, short is the auxiliary
You can go short now, and then go long. Below is support around the 3365-70 zone
Trading Strategy:
SELL@3385-90
TP:3370-65
BUY@3365-70
TP:3390-3400
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Short-term bearish correction, within a potential bullish setupHere is a more detailed explanation of the chart analysis for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 30-minute timeframe:
📊 Chart Summary:
Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Current Price: Around 3,359.945 USD
Trend: Short-term bearish correction, within a potential bullish setup
📌 Key Technical Levels:
1. Support Zone 🟩
Level: 3,342.605 USD
This is the zone where buyers are likely to step in. It's a previous demand area where price may reverse or consolidate before moving higher.
2. Resistance Level 🟥
Level: 3,391.323 USD
A key level to watch. If price breaks above this, it signals bullish strength and continuation.
3. Demand Zone 🟦
Level: 3,409.880 – 3,410.342 USD
Target area where strong buying activity previously occurred. Price may gravitate toward this if bullish momentum builds.
🔄 Price Projection Path (Expected Movement):
Price may test the support at 3,342.605, forming a potential reversal base.
A bullish move is expected toward the resistance at 3,391.323.
If broken, price could continue its upward trajectory toward the demand zone around 3,410.342.
🧠 Trading Implication:
Bullish Setup: Look for confirmation near the support zone for a long entry.
Breakout Traders: Watch for breakout above resistance for continuation trades.
Risk Management: Use tight stops below support; consider scaling out near resistance.
Let me know if you'd like a trading strategy or signals based on this analysis.
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold in yesterday bottom pick up, back to hit a low after pumping, and then stabilize and pull up, the daily line is a single negative back to step, corrected gold continues to be bullish, short - term back to step support to see 3355-3360
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3355-60
TP:3375-80
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Russia-Ukraine deadlock, tariff gold will rise 3400 this weekRecently, the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and global trade tensions has pushed the international gold price to rise strongly. Although the second round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine reached a consensus on the exchange of prisoners on Monday, the ceasefire agreement is still deadlocked. Coupled with the US announcement of additional steel tariffs, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties have stimulated risk aversion. The price of gold rose violently from around $3,290 at the beginning of the week, with a single-day increase of more than $100 to $3,392, setting a new stage high.
From a technical point of view, the C wave upward trend of gold from $3,120 is clear. After breaking through $3,340 on Monday, it accelerated to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level of 3,396, but the pressure of the 3,400 integer mark is significant. If it cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may enter the range of $3,396-3,340 for consolidation. Current market sentiment and technical signals suggest that the bullish trend has not changed.
At noon, the gold price was around 3,353. The lower support of 3,353-3,350 can be deployed for long orders with a stop loss of 7 points. The general trend is bullish
If the direction is unclear, don’t panic, respond flexibly!Gold has been showing a daily yin-yang alternating pattern since last Wednesday, but the overall rising rhythm has not been broken. The MA5-day moving average and the MA10-day moving average formed a golden cross and continued to extend upward. The arrangement of this moving average system provides a certain support momentum for the gold price. During the day, we need to focus on the support effect of the moving average. The current 5-day moving average is near 3340, and the 10-day moving average is near 3325. These two positions constitute an important support area for the short-term gold price correction. In terms of upper resistance, first pay attention to yesterday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it means that the upward momentum is strong, and it is expected to continue to be strong to 3400-3420, further opening up the upward space.
From the 4-hour chart, as long as the short-term gold market is above 3330, then gold is still in a strong bullish trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line near 3330, then it is a broken trend line, and the subsequent market is likely to form a weak shock pattern again, so the current operation is actually very simple. As long as the 3330 position is not broken, you can rely on 3330 to enter the market and do more. Focus on the support near yesterday's low of 3333 below, and focus on the resistance near 3375-3380 above.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to short gold near 3365-3375, with a target of 3350. Go long gold when it falls back to 3335-3345, with a target of 3360-3370.
Types of Engulfing Candles!In trading, an Engulfing candle (or Engulfing pattern) is a two-candle reversal pattern that can indicate a potential change in market direction. It is commonly used in technical analysis in both bullish and bearish contexts.
Types of Engulfing Candles
1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
Occurs during a downtrend.
The first candle is bearish (red or black), showing continued selling pressure.
The second candle is bullish (green or white) and completely engulfs the body of the first candle (its open is lower and close is higher).
This pattern signals a potential reversal to the upside.
2. Bearish Engulfing Pattern:
Occurs during an uptrend.
The first candle is bullish.
The second candle is bearish and completely engulfs the first candle's body (its open is higher and close is lower).
This pattern signals a potential reversal to the downside.
Key Characteristics
The second candle’s body must fully engulf the first candle’s body (wicks/tails are not necessary to engulf).
The stronger the engulfing candle (in terms of size and volume), the more significant the signal may be.
Often more reliable when confirmed with volume or used in conjunction with other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, support/resistance levels).
Example:
Bullish Engulfing Example:
Day 1: Bearish candle opens at $100 and closes at $95.
Day 2: Bullish candle opens at $94 and closes at $101 — it completely engulfs Day 1's body.
This would suggest a potential shift from sellers to buyers.
GOLD H1 Chart Update For 4 June 25Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that market is in swing range since starting the week but right now main strong 3400 resistance remains intact, Once market clearly breaks 3400 then it will move towards 3420 or even 3440
Intraday swing trading range is 3440-3480
If market break 3325 level successfully then it will move towards 3310 or even 3290
Scalping range 3345-55 for buy side
Good Luck
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
6/4 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a strong intraday reversal yesterday, pulling back sharply after an initial rally. The price rebounded after entering our 3338–3321 buy zone, and is now approaching the 3362 resistance level. Technically, the short-term structure remains within an ascending rebound channel.
Key resistance levels to watch today:
First resistance near 3378
Psychological level at 3400
Extended resistance zone at 3416–3438
If price stalls near 3362 and pulls back, support is expected around 3345–3336, which could form a secondary bottom. If the rejection happens closer to 3380, then 3358–3352 is the support zone to watch. Should gold rally into the 3400–3416 area, keep a close eye on 3385, 3372, and 3365 as potential pullback supports.
📉 Technical Outlook:
4H chart: Price remains in a mild uptrend channel, with key structural support at 3323–3307. However, volume is not confirming the rally, and a potential double top formation cannot be ruled out.
1H chart: Strong support lies at 3343. The MACD is at a decision point, with bulls slightly favored. If volume increases, gold may retest the 3390 high or even push higher.
🗞 Fundamental Factors:
Today, focus on the ADP Employment Report and key Fed-related news during the U.S. session, which may create sharp intraday volatility or alter the trend trajectory. Be especially alert during the New York session.
📌 Today’s Trade Plan:
Sell between 3418–3438
Buy between 3318–3306
Key levels for tactical trades:
3413 / 3392 / 3381 /3365 / 3358 / 3343 / 3328
Strategy Outlook:
Maintain a “sell high, buy low” intraday approach, focus on volume-driven breakouts, and avoid chasing extreme moves blindly.
The pullback did not change the bullish trendGold maintained a weak structure of shock in the Asian and European sessions, and the price slowly adjusted back, forming a secondary bottoming pattern during the day. The current trend is mainly structural consolidation. From a technical perspective, 3328 and 3335 below constitute key short-term support. If it does not break expectations, it will effectively stop the decline and stabilize, and provide a basis for a rebound.
At present, the profit space for chasing shorts is limited. The only stable idea is to wait for the gold price to fall back and stabilize before participating in the long position layout. In terms of operation, it is recommended to arrange long positions near the support level, focusing on the strength of gold's retracement in the 3325-3330 range, and confirming the stabilization of the decline.
Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the short-term long target can be seen at 3350 and 3378, and the extended target focuses on the previous high of 3392. If it breaks through strongly and stands firm at this position, it will further open up to 3400-3410 space.
Operation suggestion: If gold falls back to the 3325-3330 range, go long with a light position. If it falls to 3335 and stabilizes, you can enter long orders in advance, with targets at 3350 and 3378.
6/3 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold climbed to the 3370 area yesterday without showing any significant pullback, indicating that bullish momentum remains intact. After this morning’s opening, the price continued to rise, and from a technical perspective, there’s still room for further upside. The 3400 level is likely to be tested today, and if accompanied by increased volume, gold may extend gains towards the 3416–3438 resistance zone.
From a tactical standpoint, a technical retracement after today’s rally is the base case scenario, and intraday trades can be structured within the broader 3440–3320 range. On the downside, the 3368 level is the first key support to watch, followed by 3352, which could serve as a pivot area if a pullback occurs.
On the macro front, two economic data releases are scheduled during the US session, along with a Q&A session involving Fed’s Goolsbee, which could inject short-term volatility into the market.
📌 Trade Plan for Today:
Sell within the 3416–3438 zone, with controlled position sizing; short-term strategy preferred.
Buy near the 3338–3321 support area, with a defensive setup and tight risk control.
Flexible trading levels to monitor: 3421 / 3413 / 3397 / 3386 / 3367 / 3358 / 3343
Strategy outlook: Adopt a “sell high, buy dips” short-term strategy today. Avoid chasing breakouts blindly; focus on rhythm and structure.
Gold is taking a break, the next wave will be even stronger.Gold opened at 3382 today and rebounded to 3392 for a technical decline adjustment. So far, gold has hit a low of 3351. Currently, gold continues to fluctuate around 3360. We will pay attention to the support situation at 3345-50 below. If it does not break through, we will look for opportunities to go long.
Judging from the current trend of gold prices, the overall bullish trend remains, and there is still the possibility of further upward movement in the short term. The support below focuses on the 3345-3350 area, which is an important defensive position for short-term bulls. If it falls back to this area and stabilizes during the day, you can continue to rely on this position to arrange long orders, and the bullish thinking remains unchanged. Pay attention to the 3395-3400 first-line pressure above. If this range is effectively broken, the gold price is expected to hit the previous high and further open up the upward space. From the daily level, the market is still in the "low-long" rhythm of the trend, and it is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend in the short term. The recent market fluctuations are large. In terms of operation, it is necessary to strictly control the position and pay attention to risk prevention.
Gold operation strategy recommendation: Go long when gold falls back to 3345-3355, target: 3380-3390.
"XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zones | Harmonic Setup in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a possible harmonic structure forming on the 15-minute chart. Key levels around 3344 and 3330 are being watched closely as potential support zones, with bullish and bearish scenarios mapped. Price action around these levels may offer clues for the next directional move. Chart illustrates both bullish breakout and extended correction scenarios. This is a technical outlook only, not financial advice.
Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊
At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide.
📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒.
However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻.
🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
XAUUSD/Gold on 3rd May 2025As yesterday I posted that golds is in major uptrend and it is still active. On daily timeframe gold made breakout upward direction of channel and 3382. As I said gold made gap wile opening on Monday so it was strongly bullish, now we want it to fill the gap. And did it is first rejection and coming down. No gold is trading at 3360-65 range, and it is support, soon if it get's break toward downward then price can surge to 3323-3330. Waiting for confirmation and then execute trade.
Key point.
Support - 3364, 3330, 3313
Resistance - 3386, 3400, 3414
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Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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