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XAU/USD 23 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action. Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis. Internal range is now established since price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearing pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ of M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 23-27 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. I have previously mentioned, for over one month, that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price had printed a bullish iBOS and continued it's surge in price. After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price which allows for more realistic expectation of pullback indication. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 20 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price did not meet yesterday's intraday with price printing a bullish BOS following reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps along with geopolitical tensions is supporting Gold prices. Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Price is currently contained within a swing low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback phase intimation. First indication would be for price to print bearish CHoCH. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits. It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement. An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher. So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
1
XAU/USD 19 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 18 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024. Internal range has now been established. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price also met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low. This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required. Yesterday's Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps saw a bullish spike in volume with price printing a bullish iBOS, followed by a bearish iBOS, which was in-line with yesterday's intraday expectation. Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ and could potentially target M15 supply zone. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over? Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area - So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction - Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure - The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target - After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target - We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone Trading plan SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583 SL: 2590 TP1: 2570 TP2: 2562 TP3: 2551 SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600 SL: 2607 TP1: 2590 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2562 BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448 SL: 2561 TP1: 2562 TP2: 2570 TP3: 2579 BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525 TP1: 2541 TP2: 2551 TP3: 2562
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video. Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
FX:XAUUSD
by tradingwithanthony
XAUUSD: Navigating Key LQZ 4 HIGH-PROBABILITY shortMulti-Timeframe Analysis of XAUUSD 1. 4-Hour Chart Key Structure: All-Time High (ATH) at $2,600.318: This level acts as a strong resistance. Price has rejected this zone, showing an initial failure to break higher. Corrective Channel: The price has formed a small ascending corrective channel after the ATH rejection, which often indicates a potential continuation move downwards. Key Liquidity Zones (LQZs): 4H LQZ at $2,522.172: This zone could act as the next support if the downtrend continues. Daily LQZ at $2,511.042: Deeper support that aligns with the broader timeframe. Implication: Based on the corrective channel and the rejection of ATH, a continuation down towards the 4H and Daily LQZ is likely unless a strong bullish push occurs. 2. 15-Minute Chart Bearish Momentum: The price formed a sharp drop after the ATH rejection, leading to a corrective structure forming. Ascending Channel: A bearish ascending channel (corrective) is visible, which may suggest further downside. A clean break below the lower boundary of this channel would confirm bearish continuation. 1H LQZ at $2,542.056: This zone is likely to be the first target if the breakout occurs. Implication: If the price breaks below the corrective channel, a potential short entry targeting the 1H LQZ is a strong play. A further drop to the 4H LQZ could follow if momentum continues. 3. 5-Minute Chart Current Reaction: The price is bouncing from the lower part of the small corrective structure. There is a minor bounce from the 5M LQZ at $2,562.855. Next Step: Monitor for price rejection or failure at the 5M LQZ. If it fails to sustain this level, a short opportunity arises. Implication: A break below the 5-minute structure could lead to a fast move down toward the 1H LQZ. Watch for strong rejections at this level. --- Trade Setup Suggestion: 1. Entry: Aggressive: If the price breaks the corrective channel on the 15-minute chart, you can enter short near $2,562-$2,564. Conservative: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the lower channel boundary. 2. Stop Loss: Set above the corrective channel high, around $2,580, to protect against sudden bullish reversals. 3. Targets: First target: 1H LQZ at $2,542.056. Second target: 4H LQZ at $2,522.172. Third target: Daily LQZ at $2,511.042 if further downside persists. Conclusion: The price structure and liquidity zones indicate a bearish continuation is possible, especially if the corrective channel breaks down. Keep an eye on how price interacts with the liquidity zones to refine entries and exits.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MommaPreneur
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590 Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well. Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support. Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold Set to Decline After European Session Today, the primary focus is on short positions after the European session. During the Asian session, there may be another test of the upper resistance, but the probability of a breakout is low. Therefore, after the European session, bearish momentum is expected to take control. Our trading strategy should align with this trend by initiating sell positions. In the near term, the market is likely to decline towards the 2550 level, with a medium-term target around the 2487 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold on the Edge: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Support Bounce?4-Hour Chart: Consolidation Below All-Time High: After reaching the all-time high, the price is consolidating in a rising wedge pattern. This formation reflects indecision in the market, but the overall structure suggests potential for a downward move. Key Levels: 4H LQZ TP1 (2,550.342): A strong support level and a possible target for short positions if the price drops. 4H LQZ TP2 (2,522.172): The second support level, likely to attract buyers if tested. Strategy: If the price breaks down from the rising wedge and fails to hold support at 2,550.342, a move toward 2,522.172 could be expected. A reversal could occur at either of these liquidity zones. 1-Hour Chart: Descending Channel (near support): The price is trending lower after failing to break above the all-time high. The descending channel is not steep, suggesting mild bearish pressure. Support Levels: 1H LQZ (2,542.481): Immediate support for the current descending structure. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): Deeper support, aligned with the broader market structure, giving more room for a potential pullback. Strategy: A break below the 1H LQZ could accelerate the sell-off, targeting the 4H LQZ. Watch for consolidation or buying pressure at these levels, as they are potential reversal points. 15-Minute Chart: Rising Wedge: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal, suggesting potential weakness in the uptrend. The price has made lower highs while testing a crucial support zone. Key Levels: All-Time High (2,589.652): The price tested this region but has failed to sustain momentum above it. This could indicate a major resistance level. 1H LQZ (2,542.481): The first level of significant support, serving as a take-profit target (TP1) for short positions. If the price breaks below, it could accelerate toward this level. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): The next key support zone (TP2), which could act as a strong buying area if the price corrects further. Strategy: Watch for a potential breakdown from the rising wedge. A confirmed break below the wedge and support levels could indicate a stronger move downward toward 1H LQZ or 4H LQZ. Overall Summary: Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, the rising wedge formation points to potential bearish pressure, especially with failure to break above the all-time high. Key Levels: The all-time high (2,589.652) remains the major resistance. Watch for reactions around 1H LQZ (2,542.481) and 4H LQZ (2,522.172) for potential support and buying opportunities. Breakout or Breakdown: If the price breaks below the wedge patterns on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, further downside toward the liquidity zones is likely. However, a rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum. This setup is perfect for monitoring entry points based on key support/resistance levels and the wedge formations' breakdown potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur