4‑Hour Analysis – Supply & Demand Overview 25 June 20251. Market Structure
XAU/USD currently trades at 3333 and shows clear higher highs and higher lows on the 4‑hour timeframe—reflecting a bullish structure backed by recent swing lows above 3300 and highs nearing 3365
2. Key Demand Zones
DZ1: 3320–3330 – Consolidation region with multiple wicks and price rejections; confirmed buying volume (aligned with ML and 50‑EMA confluence)
DZ2: 3300–3310 – A deeper base with strong reversal history; aligns with psychological round number and 0.382 Fib of recent up-swing
3. Key Supply Zones
SZ1: 3350–3360 – Upper resistance cluster formed by repeated spikes and quick rejections; overlapping 0.5–0.618 Fib from the last retracement
SZ2: 3380–3400 – Broader distribution area with past failed breakouts; significant liquidity shelf noted
4. Why These Zones Matter
Demand zones act as value entry areas where institutional and retail buyers absorb selling pressure, usually followed by swift reversals.
Supply zones represent distribution pockets where buy orders face strong pushback, often leading to corrective moves.
5. Bias
✅ Overall Bias – Bullish (4‑hour) thanks to structural trend (HH/HL), price above key previews like 50‑EMA & 20‑EMA, and consistent demand responses. Only a break below 3320 invalidates bullish tilt.
⚡ 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with Bullish 4H Bias)
Buy the Dip (Main Entry)
Zone: 3320–3325
Context: Retest of DZ1, tagging the 4H structure and 1H ascending trendline.
Confirmation: Bullish pin bar or long tail candle + volume surge.
Channel Retest Quick‑Entry
Zone: 3330–3335
Context: Price remediates after a clean breakout above the 1‑hour descending channel.
Confirmation: Trendline bounce or bullish engulfing on the first test.
Supply‑Fade (Aggressive)
Zone: 3350–3355
Context: Approach to SZ1—plays the bearish reaction in a bull market context.
Confirmation: Bearish pin bar, upper wick exhaustion, and slim 1H RSI divergence.
📈 Chart Snapshot & Confluences
DZ1 (3320–3330) aligns with the 0.382 Fib and ascending 1‑hour trendline.
Quick-entry zone (3330–3335) sits close to the 1‑hour 50‑EMA, offering dynamic multi‑timeframe confluence.
SZ1 aligns with higher-term fib and previous supply peaks.
📝 Ready Summary
XAU/USD – 4H Structure: Bullish – higher highs & higher lows.
Major Demand Zones: 3320–3330 (primary), 3300–3310 (secondary).
Major Supply Zones: 3350–3360 (hot zone), 3380–3400 (upper resistance).
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3320.
Intraday Trade Zones:
Buy the Dip: 3320–3325 – look for pin‑bar/volume bounce.
Quick Re‑Entry: 3330–3335 – trendline or 50‑EMA test confirmation.
Supply Fade (Aggressive): 3350–3355 – bearish rejection setup.
Pro Tip: Focus on clean price action signals (wicks, engulfings, volume) within entry zones and confirm with multi‑timeframe confluences (Fib, EMA, trendlines).
