XAUUSD 9/24/2024 price increase continues?
Looking at H1 we see wave 5 is completing
- The target position of the end of wave 5 we have 2 target zones, the first zone is 2645 - 2648 and the second target zone is 2597 - 2700. For now we will choose the first target zone which is 2645 - 2648 as the target zone to SELL down
- Below after the end of wave 5 we will have a correction according to 3 ABC waves.
- We have the target zone of this correction at the price zone 2594 - 2591 and the second target zone at the price zone 2565 - 2562 we will choose these 2 target zones to BUY
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2645 - 2648
SL: 2655
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2593
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2616
TP3: 2645
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2589
TP3: 2603
Xauusdidea
Gold Rally Slows, Pullback Imminent
Since yesterday, gold has been fluctuating within the 2615-2635 range, with the bullish momentum clearly slowing down. In my view, it is likely to decline to 2606 by Friday at the latest.
Why 2606? This level serves as a key support in the ongoing upward trend. A healthy trend relies on robust technical support levels, which is the foundation of my prediction.
Continue to sell, and patiently wait for the price to drop, allowing the profits to materialize.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550
Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades.
If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.
Gold Surges Above 2600—Prepare for a Potential Reversal
After enjoying a pleasant weekend, we’re back to the action-packed market. Gold unexpectedly broke through 2600, reaching a high of 2631 today. Unfortunately, our short positions from Friday were caught in a trap.
However, there's no need to worry—trust me, a significant drop is inevitable, and it might be more dramatic than we anticipate.
Currently, the 15-minute chart indicates a potential for a small rebound, while the 2-hour chart signals bearish momentum. Based on this setup, it's likely that a head and shoulders pattern could form. Our strategy should be to increase our short positions above 2620 and patiently wait for the decline to unfold.
XAUUSD: End of the bullish move? OANDA:XAUUSD
Price on today rose to 2589 which is the record all time high on gold, and rejected from that point. Since that price has been consolidating in range. After looking at how price have behaved now we are certain that price is likely to drop. We need to monitor the price in asian session and see if we can see a huge drop in price.
XAUUSD:Bearish intraday
Last Friday, gold made a strong breakout above resistance, stabilizing above 2600. Today’s opening continues to show slight consolidation at high levels. From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook is bearish, indicating that at least one retest of the 2600 support is needed to determine if there is further upward momentum.
In my personal view, a deeper pullback is more likely. By early October, there’s a high probability of a return to the 2550 level. Thus, my mid-term strategy will focus on short positions. For intraday trading, the key focus will be on the 2600 support area—if it holds, a long position around that level could be considered.
XAU/USD 23 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action.
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis.
Internal range is now established since price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearing pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ of M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 23-27 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned, for over one month, that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price had printed a bullish iBOS and continued it's surge in price.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of bearish pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price which allows for more realistic expectation of pullback indication.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Analysis:
XAUUSD Volume coming in the last few hoursXAUUSD has formed inverted head & should and started to move back to upside. As of weekend we may see increased volume in the market. In the next few hours can expect gold to have bounce. The best entry can be after a liquidity grab from a break of structure.
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 20 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday with price printing a bullish BOS following reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ.
Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps along with geopolitical tensions is supporting Gold prices.
Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Price is currently contained within a swing low and fractal high.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback phase intimation. First indication would be for price to print bearish CHoCH.
M15 Chart:
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
XAUUSD: It may fall below 2500
The price is hovering around the resistance level once again, and the difficulty in breaking through remains high. Therefore, today's trading strategy should prioritize short positions.
If there is no significant change over an extended period, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this drop will eventually break below 2500. This is a judgment that requires time to confirm, so let's wait and see with patience.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 19 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 18 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action.
After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024.
Internal range has now been established.
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price also met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low.
This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required.
Yesterday's Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps saw a bullish spike in volume with price printing a bullish iBOS, followed by a bearish iBOS, which was in-line with yesterday's intraday expectation.
Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ and could potentially target M15 supply zone. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
XAUUSD: Navigating Key LQZ 4 HIGH-PROBABILITY shortMulti-Timeframe Analysis of XAUUSD
1. 4-Hour Chart
Key Structure:
All-Time High (ATH) at $2,600.318: This level acts as a strong resistance. Price has rejected this zone, showing an initial failure to break higher.
Corrective Channel: The price has formed a small ascending corrective channel after the ATH rejection, which often indicates a potential continuation move downwards.
Key Liquidity Zones (LQZs):
4H LQZ at $2,522.172: This zone could act as the next support if the downtrend continues.
Daily LQZ at $2,511.042: Deeper support that aligns with the broader timeframe.
Implication: Based on the corrective channel and the rejection of ATH, a continuation down towards the 4H and Daily LQZ is likely unless a strong bullish push occurs.
2. 15-Minute Chart
Bearish Momentum: The price formed a sharp drop after the ATH rejection, leading to a corrective structure forming.
Ascending Channel: A bearish ascending channel (corrective) is visible, which may suggest further downside. A clean break below the lower boundary of this channel would confirm bearish continuation.
1H LQZ at $2,542.056: This zone is likely to be the first target if the breakout occurs.
Implication: If the price breaks below the corrective channel, a potential short entry targeting the 1H LQZ is a strong play. A further drop to the 4H LQZ could follow if momentum continues.
3. 5-Minute Chart
Current Reaction:
The price is bouncing from the lower part of the small corrective structure. There is a minor bounce from the 5M LQZ at $2,562.855.
Next Step:
Monitor for price rejection or failure at the 5M LQZ. If it fails to sustain this level, a short opportunity arises.
Implication: A break below the 5-minute structure could lead to a fast move down toward the 1H LQZ. Watch for strong rejections at this level.
---
Trade Setup Suggestion:
1. Entry:
Aggressive: If the price breaks the corrective channel on the 15-minute chart, you can enter short near $2,562-$2,564.
Conservative: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the lower channel boundary.
2. Stop Loss:
Set above the corrective channel high, around $2,580, to protect against sudden bullish reversals.
3. Targets:
First target: 1H LQZ at $2,542.056.
Second target: 4H LQZ at $2,522.172.
Third target: Daily LQZ at $2,511.042 if further downside persists.
Conclusion:
The price structure and liquidity zones indicate a bearish continuation is possible, especially if the corrective channel breaks down. Keep an eye on how price interacts with the liquidity zones to refine entries and exits.
The 2550 target has been achieved, how to trade next?
Currently, gold has fallen below 2550, and our short-term goal has been achieved. Due to the rapid and sharp decline, there is a need for a rebound and repair on the technical side. It is expected that there will be an increase in the intraday tomorrow. The transaction can be mainly based on low-level longs, and short again after rebounding to the resistance.
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590
Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well.
Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support.
Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.