XAU/USD 15 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved.
Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's intraday expectation that due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation with price currently reacting to a well positioned M15 supply zone.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD 14 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved.
Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following last week's bearish iBOS, price did not target weak internal low with price printing bullish iBOS.
This is in line with H4 bullish pullback phase.
We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Should price print bearish CHoCH we would have a confirmed internal range which will be significantly narrower than previous internal ranges.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Systematically price should either react at discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level to target weak internal high, however, due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surpised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
M15 Analysis:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 14/10/2024 price and will continue to increase?
Looking at H1, we see that the price has just completed a 5-wave structure 1 2 3 4 5 as I have labeled on the chart
- Following a 5-wave structure will be a 3-wave correction structure
- Looking at the current price line, I see that the price has likely completed wave A in the ABC structure and is currently completing wave B
- The target for completing wave B is the price zone of 2654 - 2657, which could be a very good SELL target price zone
- If the price breaks through the price zone of 2661, it will confirm that our current wave-down process is not correct, and then we will have an extended wave 3 structure and the peak of wave 3 will coincide with the current wave 5. then we will have the target price zone 2670 - 2673 is the target price zone for the correction
- Regarding the target of the end of the correction wave, I measured 2 target price zones, which are the zone 2632 - 2629 and the price zone 2613 - 2610, this is the target price for the end of the correction wave
- we have an important price zone 2606, if the price breaks below this zone, it confirms that the uptrend has not started yet and the price continues the correction process, then I will have the correction targets
Intraday trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2653
TP3: 2637
BUY ZONE: 2632 - 2629
SL: 2627
TP1: 2653
TP2: 2661
TP3: 2670
BUY ZONE 2613 - 2610
SL: 2603
TP1: 2624
TP2: 2637
TP3: 2661
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices took a hit after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, signalling a resilient labour market and likely gradual Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing with 25-basis-point rate cuts. This data boosted the US 10-year Treasury yield by 12 basis points to 3.971%, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Next week’s key events include the US inflation data, jobless claims, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. Plus, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could offer support to gold prices as conflicts involving Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, and the US unfold.
Can gold challenge the $2,700 mark this week?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,630 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldMarket #FedRateCuts #USData #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #GoldForecast #EconomicOutlook #TradingStrategies #InvestingInGold #MarketUpdates📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 11 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 10/11/2024 Will gold price drop further?
Looking at H1 we see
- The price has re-entered the 2624 zone, which is the bottom zone of wave W, so we have the necessary conditions to say that the correction trend has ended
- The sufficient condition for the trend to end is when the price breaks through the peak zone of wave X, which is the 2674 zone
- In the case when the price continues to go below the 2624 zone, we will have the correction trend has not ended because then the price is likely to continue to decrease to the next target zone, which is the 2591 zone and the 2571 zone
About the intraday trading plan
We rely on the Volumprofie zone to determine potential supply and demand zones
- In this price zone, we have two potential demand zones, the 2624 - 2621 price zone and the 2613 - 2610 price zone, which will be our BUY target
- We also have two major supply zones, the 2648 - 2651 zone and the zone 2670 - 2673 is the zone we use to SELL
Specific trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2648 - 2651
SL: 2643
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2624
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP 1: 2662
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE 2624 - 2621
SL: 2619
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE: 2613 - 2610
SL: 2603
TP1: 2624
TP2: 2637
Gold fluctuates downward and shorts profitThe minutes of the Federal Reserve's September monetary policy meeting revealed deeper divisions at the Fed. Although only one person, Fed Governor Bowman, voted against the decision, the minutes showed that there were more divisions among policymakers than the nearly unanimous decision would indicate. The Fed cut its benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points in the minutes of its September 17-18 meeting, which noted that the pace of future rate cuts would not be determined by an initial large rate cut. Powell encountered some resistance in pushing the Fed to make a decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, as more than one of his colleagues advocated only a 25 basis point cut in interest rates. However, geopolitical tensions remain, helping gold prices to stay above the 2,600 mark. Investors now await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released on Thursday to further understand the interest rate outlook. Now, traders' attention shifts to the US CPI data to be released on Thursday. The market estimates that inflation will continue to decline. However, if inflation is higher than expected, this will open the door for the Fed to pause its easing cycle. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States will also be released on this trading day, and investors also need to pay attention to it; in addition, continue to pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and news related to the geopolitical situation.
Gold technical analysis: Gold fell again yesterday, and the daily line is currently 6 consecutive negatives. It ran below 2620 for most of the trading day yesterday. Overall, it fell below the 20-day moving average, and the 5-day moving average is currently running below the 10-day moving average. The moving average diverges downward, and we continue to maintain a short position. Today, Thursday, the US CPI data was released. While gold remains bearish, it needs to pay attention to the support below. It is expected that the market will have a short-term directional choice. Why do I say that? The daily chart shows that the current short-term trend line is just around the 2600 mark; the market has fallen from 2685, and it has fallen by basically 80 US dollars. Whether it will continue to fall further, or stop falling and rebound and then fall again, it is expected that there will be a result today.
In terms of short-term gold operation ideas today, Jin Shengfu recommends shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2622-2624 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2600-2604 line of support.
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 10/10/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price is in a complex correction pattern WXY
During a complex correction, trying to label the waves accurately is very difficult and not feasible for real trading. Instead, we look for potential targets for the end of the corrective wave
I measure the end target of wave Y at 2 price zones, which are the 2589 - 2586 zone and the 2575 - 2572 price zone, which is also the price zone where we set the BUY target
Looking at the sideway price zone, we see that in this zone, there are 2 large supply zones, which are the 2639 - 2642 zone and the 3670 - 2673 zone, which will also be our SELL target zone
At the moment, my expectation is to catch the bottom of the upcoming uptrend, so we will pay special attention to the BUY zones
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2589 - 2586
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2622
TP3: 2661
BUY ZONE: 2575 - 2572
SL: 2565
TP1: 2585
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2661
SELL ZONE: 2639 - 2642
SL: 2650
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2594
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2641
TP3: 2625
XAUUSD BUY WEEKLY FORECAST Here on Xauusd price has been in uptrend and there is a chance of making pull back before continue it uptrend movement so is expected to go LONG around level of 2621.069 - 2612.742 and now target a profit of 2637.015,2662.358 and 2680.748 with stoploss of 2598.170 . Use money management
XAUUSD WEEKLY FORECAST |BUY @ 2621.069 - 2612.742
SL 2598.170
TP1 2637.015
TP2 2662.358
TP3 2680.748
#XAUUSD 30MIN#XAUUSD 30-Minute Forecast Sell with an Order Block Pattern
On the 30-minute chart for #XAUUSD, we are seeing a shift in momentum towards a downward trend, signaling a potential sell opportunity. Price action has broken key levels, and the market is now favoring bearish sentiment. We are closely watching **two order block areas** for further downside continuation.
#Key Insights:
1. Order Block Pattern:
- The price has moved into an identified bearish order block, an area where large institutions or traders have placed significant sell orders in the past.
- These areas often act as resistance, with the potential to push the price lower once retested.
2. Momentum Shift:
- The recent price action indicates that bullish momentum has weakened, with sellers now gaining control of the market. This shift supports a sell bias.
3. Continuation Areas:
- We are monitoring two critical areas within the order block for further price rejection. If the price fails to break above these zones, it confirms a strong bearish continuation.
4. **Volume Confirmation**: Increased volume near these order block zones would strengthen the sell scenario, as it confirms stronger participation from sellers.
5.Stop-Loss Considerations: For a short trade, placing a stop-loss above the order block area is recommended to protect against potential bullish reversals.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry: Look for sell signals near the identified order block areas with confirmation from bearish price action (e.g., rejection candlesticks or lower highs).
-Take Profit: Target lower support levels as potential areas to take profit.
-Stop Loss: Set stop-loss above the order block areas to manage risk in case of a bullish breakout.
This analysis highlights the potential for bearish continuation in #XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe, with focus on the identified order block areas for monitoring price action and sell entries.
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the current 4-hour analysis, we’ve identified two key zones for potential swing-long positions on #XAUUSD:
1. 2600.00 - 2695.00**
2. 2558.00 - 2560.00
At this stage, it’s best not to place any limit orders. Instead, wait for solid **bullish confirmation** before entering any positions.
Time to swing!
Gold Free Trade +450 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD 09 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD (Gold) has been under selling pressure recently, presenting a possible short-term day trading opportunity. In this video, we’ll analyze the price action, examine the prevailing trend and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup. Risk Disclaimer: Trading Forex involves significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. 📉✅
Gold 2630-2638 Range Is Good For Shorting
After a significant rally, gold has finally retraced to the 2600 level. If you’ve been following my recent analysis, you should have already taken advantage of this move.
Yesterday, my strategy was to short at 2648, closing near 2618, while recommending a long position near 2610 with a target range of 2620-2628. This approach played out perfectly, securing notable profits.
Gold is now hovering around the MA20, where resistance is expected to be minor. The key resistance zone lies between 2632-2638, close to the MA60. While it may not reach this level, the current rebound is not over yet.
If it reaches the MA60 region, it will present an ideal shorting opportunity with at least $10 of downside potential.
Successful trading always relies on strong signals—don’t you agree?
XAUUSD: Sell@2634-2644
The bearish trend is still very obvious. Short-selling is the main method in the near future. If the price falls below 2600 in the short term, there will be a rebound of about $20. Before that, the rebound during the decline will not be too large, so if you have long positions, you must not be too greedy.