XAUUSD next possible move“Risk management is more important than being right.” – Ray Dalio
In trading and investing, always wanting to be right can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
It’s not your ego, but your ability to protect your capital that determines your long-term success.
Risk management is like a shield: it allows you to stay in the game, even when the market goes against your predictions. Being a good trader doesn’t mean always predicting the market correctly, but knowing how to limit the damage when you're wrong.
By adopting a disciplined approach to risk, you create an environment where mistakes are not failures, but learning opportunities.
Remember, the goal is not always to win, but to stay in position to win tomorrow.
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD 16 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU / USD "GOLD vs USD" Metal Market Heist Plan on BullishHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist XAU / USD "GOLD vs USD" Metal Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
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XAU / USD "GOLD vs USD" Metal Market Heist Plan on BullishHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist XAU / USD "GOLD vs USD" Metal Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 2800.00
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
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Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet
After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet
After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
Turning to long goldBros, today gold continued to retreat, and the current lowest has reached around 2665, and the short trend of gold is obvious.
So where will gold fall? Should we continue to short gold? In fact, from the perspective of the gold structure, the 2665-2655 area is the bottom position of the rising relay in the rising structure, so this area plays an important supporting role. If gold cannot fall below this area, then gold's current downward trend is merely a correction to the rising trend. Therefore, gold may still rebound with the help of the 2665-2655 area, or it may hit the 2680-2690 area again.
So in terms of short-term trading, when most people are still shorting gold, I quietly started to go long on gold! Brors, let's wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 13 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday analysis played out with price targeting weak internal low at priced 2,700.810.
Price has just printed a further bearish iBOS.
Following bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low. You will note internal range has been significantly narrowed, however, price could print lower which would extend the depth of the internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to indicate pullback initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Buy gold, TP: 2690-2695Bros, today gold fell sharply and fell below 2695 due to the negative impact of PPI data on the gold market. I reminded in the previous opinion that the 2700-2695 area is the last line of defense for bulls. Once gold falls below this area, it is easy to be sold and continue to fall.
So today I went long on gold near 2702 as planned. After gold fell below 2695, I strictly followed the trading plan and chose manual stop loss near 2693, ending the gold long position with a loss of $4.7K; then I followed up with a gold short position near 2693, and manually closed the position near 2683, ending the transaction with a profit of $4.9K.
It means everything I did in trading today was for nothing,fortunately, I strictly followed my trading plan and strategy to execute the transaction, so even if I lost money in the long transaction, I recovered the loss in the short transaction, and there was no loss overall. Relatively speaking, no loss is the greatest success.
At present, after gold is relatively stable, I have bought gold again near 2683, and the short-term important support below is 2675. I expect gold to rebound to at least 2690-2695. As for the result of the transaction, let us wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Technical and Fundamental Analysis Post-Breakout of 2721Analysis Expansion:
In the current market environment, gold continues to demonstrate strong upward momentum. Technically, the price has found support in the 2705-2710 range, with the RSI indicator consistently remaining in the bullish zone, suggesting that the market sentiment remains tilted toward the bulls. A breakout above the 2721 level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend, with the next key resistance likely to be around the 2740-2750 region.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent CPI data significantly increased market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, particularly in light of weak inflation figures. Market focus is now shifting to the upcoming PPI and initial jobless claims data, which may further fuel expectations for a dovish Fed policy. If the PPI data shows weakness or if initial jobless claims rise substantially, gold could see additional bullish momentum.
Therefore, the strategy remains focused on long positions, with an eye on buying opportunities in the 2705-2710 range. If gold breaks above 2721, it will open the door for further upside potential. Risk management is crucial in trading, and investors should remain flexible with their positions to avoid overexposure.
XAU/USD 12 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
As highlighted in yesterday's analysis dated 11 December 2024, price was expected to print a bullish iBOS to narrow the internal range, and this is precisely how price printed.
Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading within an established internal range. While price has not yet printed a bearish CHoCH, it has traded up to the premium of the 50% internal EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading within the premium of internal 50% EQ. Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal low at 2,700.810.
Alternative Scenario:
Price may potentially seek further liquidity to complete a bullish iBOS on the H4, therefore, bearish momentum may face limitations.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold May Rise to 2800In the future gold trend, focus on the points marked on the chart. 2704-2688-2675-2667-2652 are important supports, and the rising resistance is 2725-2750-2769-2788-2803
2666-2652 is an important support for the rising trend. In the next fluctuation, as long as this area is held and not broken, the rising trend will continue until around 2800. After that, 2750-2725 will become the support of the new trend.
Gold Rally Continues as CPI Data Set to Drive the Next MoveCurrently, the gold market is supported by escalating geopolitical tensions and the strong market expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. Gold prices have now approached the $2700 level. From a technical perspective, gold has broken above the 50-day moving average, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a bullish signal, indicating strong upward momentum. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November will be released in two hours, and this report could significantly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions at their meeting on December 17-18.
If the U.S. CPI data comes in weaker than expected, it may strengthen the market's expectation of Fed rate cuts in the coming months, which would push gold prices higher towards the November 25 high of $2721. Therefore, gold's short-term direction will largely depend on today's CPI data, and I believe the data will be supportive for gold prices.
Today's Strategy:
Long Position on Pullback: Consider going long if gold retraces to the 2690-2695 region, leveraging the current technical setup and market sentiment.
Wait for CPI Data: It is advisable to await the release of CPI data and adjust positions based on market reaction.
Disclaimer: The above analysis is for informational purposes only. All trading decisions should be made with strict risk management and without over-leveraging.
Sorry, I'm already short goldBros, the expected CPI disappointed me. And the original plan to buy gold at 2580 was stranded because gold did not fall back effectively, so I had to give up the original plan to buy gold.
Gold moved very strongly today, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around 2700. But for now, after gold continued its rebound to the 2700-2705 area, it did not usher in explosive emotional buying, and the price of gold did not rise sharply. Instead, it has been fluctuating in the 2700-2705 area. In the fierce game between long and short sides, the short force is not completely without opportunities, so since there is no opportunity to participate in the long gold, we might as well prepare in advance to see the decline and retracement of gold.
In addition, from the perspective of candlestick charts, even if gold continues to rise, it needs to build a W-shaped structure in the structure to support the continued rise of gold. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to fall back!
Bros, I have already shorted gold in the 2700-2705 area. Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD: Last Idea Gave Us 940+ Pips, What about Next?Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing well, our last entry moved well and better than what we had expected, due to that reason mainly and how price have moved and its behaviour gave us indication of bullish continuous dominance that will take price upwards of 2790$ region one more time before it reverse. Remember our bias will change depending on how price moves so if you see a different bias do not be shocked or confused. Please refer to the time when the chart was published.
Good luck.
#XAUUSD: Possible clear move happening next weekGold has been trading sideways with no clear view of the market, making it difficult to trade swing or even intraday, we wanted to share our view early, however, since the price is not clear yet. We waited until today, now we can see price either can move up without taking out sell side liquidity or might take out the sell side liquidity and then moves upwards. Good luck.
XAUUSD Gold Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has rallied, evidenced by this break in market structure on the four-hour timeframe. I’m monitoring for a potential buying opportunity on a retracement, as outlined on the chart. Please remember, my analyses are purely educational and should not be considered financial advice. 📉✅