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Consolidating Below Trendline Resistance, Bearish Bias IntactTechnical Structure: OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade below the descending trendline TL1, having failed multiple times to breach the $3,338–$3,345 resistance zone. After retesting Support Zone 1 ($3,303–$3,310), the price is showing signs of a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure remains bearish unless the price can break above TL1. Key Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: $3,338 – $3,345 Support Zone 1: $3,303 – $3,310 Support Zone 2: $3,260 – $3,253 Trendline: TL1 continues to act as dynamic resistance Strategy Insight: If TVC:GOLD gold remains below the descending TL1, bearish pressure is likely to resume. A short opportunity may arise if the price retests the resistance area and stalls. A confirmed break below Support Zone 1 would expose targets at $3,260 and $3,253. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook ⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad* --- ### 🔍 Market Structure: The market currently shows a **bearish structure**. After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**. --- ### 🔸 Key Observations: - Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS. - The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries. - OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow. --- ### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias > If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form. 🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295** 🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)** --- ### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal > If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS. This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**. --- ### ⚙️ Technical Summary: - **Structure:** Bearish 🔻 - **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅ - **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations - **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected --- > 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."* --- #### 🔖 Hashtags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
The Ancient Metric: Reflecting on Gold’s Financial Role🟡The Ancient Metric: Reflecting on Gold’s Financial Role Hard Money Lens: All asset ratios are expressed vs gold (XAUUSD) to: • Strip out fiat currency distortion • Reveal true purchasing power • Treat gold as a timeless unit of account ________________________________________ 📈 1. S&P 500 / Gold (SPX/XAUUSD) Ratio: • Now: 1.88 • Jan 2025: 2.16 • Jul 2024: 2.26 • Jul 2018: 2.30 🔍 Interpretation: • Down 18% from Jan 2025 • Down 18% over 7 years • Not a crash nominally — but a stealth bear market in gold terms ✅ Conclusion: Equities are quietly being devalued: • Inflation is eroding fiat-based returns • Excess valuations are being corrected • Gold is quietly reclaiming its monetary role ________________________________________ 🏠 2. Housing / Gold (CSUSHPINSA/XAUUSD) Ratio: • Now: 0.10 • Jan 2025: 0.12 • Jul 2024: 0.13 • Jul 2018: 0.17 🔍 Interpretation: • Down 41% in gold terms over 7 years • Down 23% just since July 2024 • Indicates either: • Gold rising faster than home prices • Real estate weakening in true (inflation-adjusted) value ✅ Conclusion: Housing is even more devalued than equities — potential deep value opportunity in hard-money terms. ________________________________________ ₿ 3. Bitcoin / Gold (BTC/XAUUSD) Ratio: • Now: 32 • Jan 2025: 37 • Jul 2024: 26 • Jul 2018: 6 🔍 Interpretation: • Bitcoin is up >5× vs gold since 2018 • Peaked in Jan 2025, now -13% • Still trading near historical highs ✅ Conclusion: Bitcoin is the top performer, but: • Showing signs of possible topping behavior • Could be transitioning into a distribution phase 🧭 The Alpha View 🟤 1. We’re in a Secular Hard Money Shift • Fiat-based assets are losing ground vs gold • Gold is reasserting its role as a monetary base layer ________________________________________ 🟠 2. Bitcoin Has Front-Run the Cycle • Outperformance = speculative phase • But stalling and could signal short term distribution ________________________________________ 🟢 3. Real Estate: A Hard-Asset Value Play • Crushed in gold terms = most undervalued major asset • If inflation slows or rates fall, housing may outperform next ________________________________________ 🔁 4. Macro Rotation is Forming • From high-risk growth (tech) → to hard-income/value (real estate, dividend stocks) • Gold remains the anchor and arbiter of value ________________________________________ 🔮 Big Picture We are witnessing a late-cycle monetary rotation: • Fiat-based valuations are being repriced • Gold is reasserting its dominance • Housing market might be undervalued • Bitcoin is still king, but risk/reward now elevated The Defining Question: Is This the Cycle Where Bitcoin is Unchained? Note: Market theorists frequently point to a 7-year cycle (7YC) as a natural rhythm in financial markets. 2018 Market Recap • Rising geopolitical tensions o U.S.-China trade war 1.0 • Tightening monetary policy o Fed Rate hiked 4X’s & initiates QT • Market volatility and equity corrections o Major Crude Price Swings • Emerging Markets Crisis o Argentina & Turkey currency collapses • The Crypto Winter o BTC drops from nearly $20k to $4k Follow on X @TheAlphaView
FRED:CSUSHPINSA
by TheAlphaView
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation. After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions. XAUUSD buy@3325-3330 tp:3340-3360-3380 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair. Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09 ✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63 🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
1
Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Marked near $3,360 at the top (gray zone). Represents an area where buy stops may be resting above recent highs. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Marked around $3,260 at the bottom (red zone). Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Highlighted in yellow near $3,270–$3,280. Unfilled imbalance that may attract price. ChoCH (Change of Character): Two ChoCH labels are marked: One minor bullish ChoCH around the $3,328 area indicating a short-term shift in structure. One bearish ChoCH below $3,310, suggesting a possible return to bearish bias if broken. Blue Supply Zone: An area of previous supply or resistance where price may reverse. 📉 Projected Price Path: Initial move up into the blue supply zone, possibly to induce buyers or sweep short-term highs. Followed by a strong bearish rejection, breaking below the lower ChoCH level (~$3,310). A drop is anticipated all the way to the SSL zone (~$3,260), possibly filling the FVG on the way. 🧠 Summary: This chart implies a smart money bearish setup: Short-term liquidity sweep to the upside. Break of structure (ChoCH) to confirm reversal. Bearish continuation targeting: Fair Value Gap (FVG) → ~$3,270s Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) → ~$3,260
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior. Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3. Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum. 🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that: 🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. 🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal. Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity. 🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun. 🔍 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend. H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again. 📌 Trading Plan Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal. SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395 Stop Loss: 3403 Take Profits: • TP1: 3368 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3324
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main. Trading Strategy: BUY@3347-51 TP:3365-70 This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement. Good luck and trade safely! Team Setupsfx!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
22
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025 --- ## 🔍 Technical Overview: | Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context | |-----------|-----------|------------|---------| | 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone | | 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation | | 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead | --- ## 🧠 Key Insights: - **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break - Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU - Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted - **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens - **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent - Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds --- ## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch: | Zone | Action | |--------------|----------------| | 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) | | 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit | | 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab | | 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit | --- ## 📌 Trade Scenarios: ### 🟢 Long Setup - **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation) - **SL:** below 3,328 - **TP1:** 3,375 - **TP2:** 3,400 - **TP3:** 3,420+ ### 🔴 Caution for Short Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440. Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant. --- ## 🧭 Summary: > Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs. > Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly. > Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity. > Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup. --- 🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad** *Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe) Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure. Specifically: - Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed. - Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black). - Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green). 🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4 Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas: + Target 1: 3324 + Target 2: 3311 When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning. 📈 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion. H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone. 💼 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322 STOP LOSS: 3215 TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345 TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368 TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395 📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD:Go long Gold continued to strengthen in the Asian session, mainly due to adverse signals from tariff talks, which spurred a sharp rebound in gold prices. At present in the 3340 near the shock, this position is a short - term small pressure, from the technical trend, is still a strong long arrangement, so I think continue to break up is inevitable. Above you can look at 3350 first, then 3368/3390. My idea is to wait for a pullback after entering the long, at present, there is not much room for a pullback, and under the strong market, there are fewer opportunities, so you can consider the first 3336-40 direct layout of long orders. If there is a certain range of retracement to consider adding positions. Trading Strategy: BUY@3336-40 TP:3349-54 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now. As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383. However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
7/2 Trapped Orders from Yesterday Turned ProfitableGood morning, everyone! Yesterday’s early-entry gold short position encountered some temporary drawdown, but thanks to flexible adjustments, the trade has now moved into profit overall. Currently, the price is hovering near a key support area. Based on the 1H and 2H charts, there is still room for further downside. At this point, there are two strategic options: Close the position to lock in current profits; Hold the position and wait for further decline, keeping in mind that if support holds, the price may rebound back toward the 3350 level, introducing some risk. You can decide whether to stay in the trade or exit, depending on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang