Xauusdidea
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAUUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently approaching a descending trendline resistance, which has consistently limited upward movement in the past. This suggests that the trendline may act as a barrier again, potentially leading to a reversal.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected if the price respects the trendline resistance and shows signs of rejection, signaling a possible move to the downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the trendline resistance after confirmation of rejection.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement areas for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish sentiment is likely to dominate as long as the price remains below the trendline resistance, maintaining a downward bias in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade.
XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high.
Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established range
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950.
Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 13.02.24Reason for XAUUSD Buy
Gold can be an important part of a diversified investment portfolio because its price increases in response to events that cause the value of paper investments, such as stocks and bonds, to decline. Although the price of gold can be volatile in the short term, it has maintained its value over the long term.
XAUUS/Gold Post NFP Day/Beginning of New WeekDuring pre-NFP analysis we have suggested few levels where sell & buy risk can be taken for at least 60- 120 pips favorable move.
By recalling that 2680/2681 sell pre-NFP given 160 pips quick profitable move. 2690/2696 post-NFP Sell Given 160+ pips favorable move.
Coming towards todays/current week stance, we are considering 2695/2708/2733 levels as resistance and unlikely to sustained above during current week. While 2665/2639/2612 can act as support.
President Donald Trump 2nd inauguration is scheduled on Monday Jan 20, 2025, and before that we may see gold is trading between 2733 - 2612 in big range of 121 points or 12100 pips range. Personally, I think strength would give sell opportunities.
Tell about your idea by commenting on the post.
NFP market, try to short gold!Dear traders:
Gold is currently hovering around 2680, maintaining a bullish structure. However, based on the current price action characteristics, I am hesitant to continue chasing long positions. Over the past two days, there has been significant volatility, with many false signals emerging, making me cautious about blindly going long on gold.
With the NFP and unemployment rate data set to be released in 30min, I believe that even if gold continues its upward trend, the news-driven market may first flush out many lower-level long positions. As a result, gold could experience a pullback before resuming its trajectory.
So in short-term trading, I will still choose to short gold in the 2680-2690 zone first, with the target pointing to the 2660-2650 region.Bros, are you optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention.
Fundamentals:
The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
Key bullish themes for metals:
• Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold.
• China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals.
• Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold.
• Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset.
Technicals:
• Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement.
• Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687.
• Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy.
• Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility.
Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the NFP news.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2730.00 (or) Before
Bearish Robbers TP 2630.00 (or) Before
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, with the gold price sticking to its intraday gains near a multi-week top. The Fed's hawkish stance and elevated US bond yields are capping gains, but traders are still optimistic about the precious metal's potential.
From a technical perspective, the breakout through the $2,665 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. The gold price seems poised to climb further to the $2,681-2,683 intermediate hurdle and then aim to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark.
However, there are also some bearish signals to watch out for, such as the potential for a stock market crash and the rising yield curve. If the XAU/USD breaks below the $2,655 area, it could be seen as a buying opportunity, with support near the $2,635 region and the weekly low around the $2,615-2,614 zone.
Overall, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with a potential upside target of $2,700. But, as always, it's essential to keep an eye on the market and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Some key factors to watch out for include the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could impact the gold price, as well as the overall sentiment in the market. The gold-to-silver ratio is also an important indicator to keep an eye on, as it can provide insights into the relative strength of gold versus silver .
So, to sum it up, the XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, but it's crucial to stay informed and adapt to any changes in the market.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as PossibleGold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as Possible
I have 4 levels on upside to watch as Sell levels
➡️15m level 2684ish (high risk)
➡️H1 level 2690ish (medium risk)
➡️H4 level 2708ish (low risk)
➡️ Day/week level 2733ish (extremely low risk)
I would prefer start taking sell risk form H1 levels with 70 to 100 pips SL, depending on the entry I got.
For buy Risk I have 2 levels marked on charts
➡️H4/Day levels 2633ish for medium to low-risk entry
➡️Weekly level 2612ish for reentry once 2633ish failed.
This is the game plan for now for full NFP day, any change would try to convey on time.
Ignore all previous VIP inactive signals if any and follow NFP levels and updates for next move.
Today is 1st NFP data of year 2025 that can be seen as wide range move that can make leveraged traders rich in no time if entered in right side of trades with open TP. I personally stick with SL and TP
Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woesGold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on some fresh safe-haven demand due to a budget crisis in the U.K. that may spread. February gold was last up $18.10 at $2,690.50 and March silver was up $0.36 at $31.05. U.K. financial markets tumbled overnight on growing worries over the government’s budget deficit, with the British pound hitting the lowest level in more than a year against the U.S. dollar. The 10-year U.K. gilt yield jumped to 4.92% and the FTSE 250 Index dropped for a third day in a row. This situation is being closely watched by the global marketplace, which is worried about a ..
Be prepared to short gold anytime!Dear traders,gold has recently accelerated its upward momentum, reaching a high of $2674. As I’ve consistently projected, gold was set to rise toward the $2670–$2680 range, and now that prediction has been fulfilled! For those of you who have followed my trading strategies and maintained long positions, I trust you’ve achieved substantial profits in this bullish gold market.
Now that gold has successfully reached the $2670–$2680 zone, the question is: how should we trade gold next? While gold remains in a robust uptrend, the short-term upside appears limited to an additional $10–$20, suggesting a potential move toward the $2685–$2695 range. However, due to potential external factors or market catalysts, gold could face a pullback before reaching this level. As such, chasing gold at these elevated prices poses significant risks.
So, how do we position ourselves for shorting gold? If gold extends its climb into the $2680–$2690 zone, I plan to initiate short positions gradually, leveraging both fundamental market news and technical divergence signals. Gold may encounter resistance in this range and could reverse, initiating a corrective move.
Are you ready to capitalize on the opportunity to short gold? Let’s stay vigilant and prepared for the next big move! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
1/9 Gold Trading StrategiesThe previous decline has been almost fully recovered, and from a rebound perspective, it is nearing its conclusion. A pullback of about 1/3, roughly $30, is expected next, which presents a trading opportunity.
Sell between 2670 and 2685, with a take profit (TP) target at 2638-2628.
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high.
🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫
🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12.
🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see.
Please bost if you find this one insightful.
The upward trend will continue, target: 2670-2680Gold affected by bearish PMI data, initially pulled back to the 2642 level before rebounding sharply to a high of 2656. It has since slightly retreated but remains in a consolidation phase overall.
While gold's short-term bullish momentum has weakened somewhat, it is unlikely to establish a new downtrend in the near term. Recent pullbacks have consistently preserved the bullish structure, and during the rebound attempts yesterday and today, two long lower wicks have formed on the candlestick charts, signaling strong buying support below. Therefore, gold remains poised to break above the recent high of 2665 after this consolidation phase and extend its rally toward the 2670-2680 zone, or potentially even 2690.
Following today’s trading strategy, I entered a long position on gold at 2640 and manually closed it around 2659 to secure profits. Although I missed the opportunity to go long near 2642 after the PMI-driven pullback, I observed the formation of a W-bottom pattern on the 5-minute candlestick chart. This prompted me to re-enter a long position around 2646, and, given gold's current consolidation phase, I promptly closed the position at 2652 to lock in profits.
For upcoming trades, the candlestick chart shows an upward bias, and we will continue to prioritize long positions in short-term trading. However, the key support zone to watch has now shifted higher to the 2645-2635 range.
Bros, have you followed me and made a profit by going long gold? There will still be opportunities to participate in the long gold trade later. If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!