XAUUSD July 1, 2024 Has the uptrend begun?
Last week we saw that from H1, the price completed a 5-wave pattern. According to the Elliot principle, this could be wave A or impulse wave 1
- Whether it is a wave A pattern or a complete wave 1 pattern, the 5-wave pattern is always followed by a correction wave
- We expect the abc corrective wave pattern to find a trading setup when wave c completes
- As shown on h1, we see that the correction pattern is in wave b phase and after wave b completes, we will determine the target of wave c to decide to enter the order.
- Looking at h1, we see that the demand zone created by the bottom of wave 4 has been approached many times so this zone has been weakened and there is a high possibility of being breached, this reinforces for us that the bearish wave C will form.
From the current data, we can temporarily measure the target of wave C at two price zones: 2311 and 2304.
From the target area of wave C we can find buy orders
- In case the price breaks through the 2294 zone, our wave counting process is no longer correct, then I will update the new wave counting settings.
- Area 2294 is also a good Stoploss area for our buy order
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD June 28, 2024 Where will the price increase go?
Yesterday we had a price increase in the 2295 area.
As I said, if in this zone the price increases beyond 2316.8, we have to count the waves again
- We are still in a downtrend and this increase is just a recovery
- The new wave counting process is denoted as on the graph. The price decline ended at 2295, wave 5 has completed and next we have the ABC correction process.
- Wave A is a 5-wave pattern and currently we see the price is in the wave 4 target area.
- Next we have the price will continue to complete wave 5 to complete wave A
- So with the Buy settings we can set the appropriate TP, you can gradually increase the SL to avoid losing profits.
- We have 2 price zones to complete the wave A target: 2332.9 and 2341.4, these are two potential price zones for the current price increase.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 27th JuneLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD on June 27, 2024, the final decline?
The price has approached the 2295 zone and is currently recovering very weakly in this zone.
- There is a high possibility that the price will continue to break this zone and drop to the 2287 zone.
+ At area 2287, if the price breaks out below this area, the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at price area 2256 or 2210.
+ If the price continues to rebound and surpass the 2315 price range, then we can say that the correction has not ended and the current price is still in a complex correction, then we have to count the waves again ( I will update if this situation happens)
- At this price range, we should only observe or play Scalping because we have two price resistance zones that are quite close to each other, the 2295 zone and the 2287 zone.
Don’t chase the rise in gold, continue to short gold!To be honest, the rise in gold today far exceeded my expectations. Gold hit a high of around 2331, and strongly broke through the short-term resistance of 2315 and 2325. In particular, the release of the initial jobless claims data was bearish for gold, but it was unexpected that gold rose instead of falling.
Although gold rebounded strongly in the short term, I don't think the trend has reversed. First of all, after gold fell below the 2300 mark yesterday, it rebounded directly to around 2331 today. The time was too hasty and the time window was unreasonable! In addition, the continuous rise in gold in the short term is actually at a high level, because the current gold price is still suppressed by the 2335 platform above, and the sharp rise must have a retracement trend to confirm support!
In addition, in my opinion, today's gold bulls' raid is just the last struggle of the bulls. It is also sweeping the short orders. When the short orders are swept clean, it will fall again! ! ! So in terms of trading, what we have to do now is not to chase the rise of gold, but to insist on shorting gold!
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XAU/USD 27 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As previously mentioned, price reacted at 50% EQ of the internal range to target weak internal low, however, price was unable to close below internal low due to H4 demand zone.
Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish until strong internal high is taken out.
Intraday expectation: Price could potentially be seeking further liquidity to once again target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As per previous intraday expectation price did target weak internal low and printed a double bearish iBOS.
Price has reacted at a H4 demand level to potentially initiate bullish internal pullback.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback initiation following bearish iBOS, therefore, price is contained within an internal high and fractal low.
Internal high and CHoCH positioning are currently at the same level.
Intraday expectation: Price to either react at premium of 50% EQ or M15 POI before targeting weak internal low.
Price could potentially continue bearish to engineer a CHoCH closer to current price.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD June 26, 2024 important price zones?
Yesterday's price broke the 2334 zone, confirming the abc wave correction process, which also means that wave 1 and orange wave 2 have completed.
After that, the price continues to decrease to continue completing wave 3. We have the characteristics of wave 3 as moving quickly and sharply,
- So we wait for the candle to close below 2316.8 to confirm the correction to complete.
- The second important price zone to confirm that we are in wave 3 is the price zone 2309 that needs to be broken down and the sufficient condition is that the price breaks below 2287.
- After the price has broken below the 2287 area, the target price area we have measured will be considered the 2256 price area and then the 2210 price area.
- I have listed important price zones so you can have the best trading management plan.
- Trading plan with sold transactions from the 2334 - 2337 range, you can watch these price zones to lock in partial profits or you can DCA when the price breaks out through these price zones.
- When the price breaks out through these price zones, you can find an entry point for a Sell order
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉🔍 In this analysis of XAUUSD (GOLD), we examine higher time frame charts that suggest a bearish trend with a potential retracement into resistance. The price action indicates a strong bearish move into support. I am anticipating a possible short-term bullish reversal into resistance for a buy, followed by a sell opportunity from the Fibonacci retracement. It’s crucial to understand that this is speculative and not a guaranteed forecast. Watching for specific price movements to confirm a buy or sell is essential, as explained in the video. This video offers a detailed look at the trend, market structure, and price action. Keep in mind, this content is for educational purposes only and trading carries significant risk. Always use robust risk management strategies in your trading practices. 📈🔔
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 26th JuneLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD June 25, 2024 Is the rally over?
Yesterday the price touched the wave 4 target zone that we predict is the 2329 zone.
- Currently, the price is reacting at the 2334 area. Looking at the current H1 candlestick model, we see withdrawal candles appearing in this area, proving that there is very strong selling force blocking the price increase in this area.
- The ending target of this correction is around the 2334 zone. It is important that we wait for a reversal confirmation signal in this zone to be able to set up a Sell trade.
- Note that currently on the H1 frame, I am seeing a momentum signal entering the oversold area. This indicates a high possibility that a small price increase will occur. This is a very good opportunity to confirm a reversal. We need to pay attention. close
+ If this increase does not break through 2334.2, then we will have a reversal signal at the 2334.2 price range. So the entry point is when the price breaks to the previous bottom.
+ If the price breaks through 2334.2, then we will continue to observe that the price may approach the 2340 to 2342 range. Then we wait for a reversal confirmation to find a point to enter a sell order.
The market is always fluctuating and nothing is certain, so Deekop wants his analysis to help you strengthen your trading strategy. I will update more when there are fluctuations in the market. Thank you everyone for following
XAUUSD:If you are long or short, what should you do next?
As of today, gold has not fluctuated much, and the resistance is mainly concentrated near 2336. From the chart, there are signs of head and shoulders. If formed, the next low point should be around 2312-2307.
In terms of trading ideas, maintain low longs for the time being. What needs to be paid attention to at present is the support of the range of 2321-2317, which can be used as the area to start longs with moderate risk.
Because if the market falls to around 2307, the probability of rebounding is relatively large, and the resistance of the rebound will also appear near 2318. Then the long orders added in the range of 2312-2307 will give some profits, and the longs near 2320 will suffer a small loss, but overall the transaction will end with profit.
Another strategy is to start short trading directly. If the support is effective, you can add orders in the range of 2336-2346, because from a medium-term perspective, I still tend to be short-selling, and the target is maintained in the area near 2268.
Therefore, no matter whether you are currently holding long or short positions, you don’t need to worry too much. As long as the account funds are sufficient, you can end up with a profit.
If you have any other questions, you can leave me a message.
GOLD Long Setup Ready To Enter Now To Get 500 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD June 24, 2024 Will the downward wave continue?Prices are recovering after a sharp drop on Friday.
- According to the Elliot wave principle, a sharp wave moving quickly is wave 3 in a series of 5 waves.
- So it is possible that the current increase is a correction in wave 4, so we will continue to have wave 5 continuing to decrease after wave 4 correction is completed.
- The nearest resistance zone is the 2330 zone. We will monitor this zone and it may be the target of wave 4.
- The target zone for wave 5 from the current forecasts is estimated at 2309. After reaching this zone, we will have the completion of the orange wave 1 in the larger wave.
- Then the price recovered to complete the 2 orange correction wave. We predict wave 2 target at 2343.59
Trading plan
- The main trend is downtrend, so for long-term transactions we prioritize sell orders. The best price zone to enter an order is the price zone that completes the orange wave 2, which is the 2343.59 zone. When the price reaches this zone, look for a confirmation reversal signal to enter the order.
- With SCalping trades, we wait for the price to react at the support and resistance zones to enter orders. Note that Scalping trading is a short wave trade, so the TP is usually from 30 pips to 100 pips, so you should focus on managing the trade. Translation to limit risks