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Optimistic about Gold, increased then decreased againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 15 USD to 2,350.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,352.5 USD/ounce, up 18 USD compared to yesterday morning. World yellow metal prices increased slightly at the beginning of the week as investors expected an important inflation report released this weekend that would change the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) view on cutting cuts. interest rates. Recently, the Fed's positive interest rate stance has caused great pressure on the precious metals market. According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, gold has suffered from more hawkish comments from Fed officials and better-than-expected US economic data. Bullion has lost $100 since the precious metal hit a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce last week. According to the latest Fed meeting minutes, US Central Bank officials indicated that it may take longer than expected to bring inflation down to 2%. According to FXTM market analyst Lukman Otunuga, in the current environment, the gold market will be sensitive to inflation data. Accordingly, if the report shows downward price pressure, it may arouse hopes of cutting interest rates by the Fed and boost gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE is higher than market forecasts, it will deal another blow to expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and cause gold prices to fall even deeper. This expert said that the downward momentum could bring the price to the support level of 2,300 USD/ounce or lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD May 27, 2024 gold's reaction after a sharp declineWith investors' expectations of interest rate cuts in the market increasingly decreasing, especially when statements from Fed members last week all hinted that there will be no plans to cut interest rates in the near future. This interest rate causes the expectation to buy gold to decrease, leading to a weak demand for accessing the market. Looking at H1 last weekend, we witnessed a strong decline according to the Elliot wave principle. This strong decline may be a characteristic of wave 3 of wave c in the abc correction wave as shown on the chart. - Currently the price is in a recovery phase and this could be wave 4. We measure the target of wave 4 ending at the price range 2351-2355 - Then the price continues to decrease to complete wave 5 as well as wave c, then we have the target price area of this wave 5 at 2322.7 or 2311.5 Trading plan - We can sell at area 2351-2355 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area. - We can buy in 2 areas 2322.7 and 2311.5 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD:Bulls still have another chance to attack Gold began to rebound after falling to near the starting point of this rise. Now it is approaching the resistance level, the indicators have begun to weaken, and it is facing another direction choice. If it breaks through, there will be a large rise, followed by a downward trend. If it cannot break through and falls back first, it means there is another chance for an upward move, so the trading strategy is to go long at a low level. In the large-level time cycle, shorts are still the main force, with strong rebound resistance at 2368-2383-2391. The short trend of the large-scale cycle still maintains around 2280 or even around 2230-2200.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Ex
XAU/USD 27 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 May 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS. After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback. As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation. I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation. Price is now in discount of 50% EQ and close to a H4 demand zone where price we expect to see a reaction. However, price has pulled back deeper mitigating the whole H4 demand zone and beyond. This could indicate that price was seeking liquidity to the extreme of the H4 demand zone. Conversely, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below. Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a series of bearish iBOS' (Internal breaks of structure). After every iBOS price is expected to pull back. Price is now contained within an internal range. Intraday expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of EQ and reacting at an M15 POI. Price had previously reacted at the M15 POI but the move to target internal low was not sustained. Expectation is for strong internal high to hold, price to react at M15 POI before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold prices maintain range adjustmentGold last week was generally recovering from Monday's sharp decline. During the week, it once retreated downwards and broke through the 2300 integer mark to reach around 2291 and rebounded. Gold prices were supported above 2320 throughout the day on Friday, maintaining bullish shocks, rebounding and repairing, and accelerated higher before the US market in the evening, breaking through the 2352 mark to close. The daily K-line closed higher, fell back and fluctuated with a cross K, and the overall price was still operating within a wide range of long and short shocks. ​ Looking at the gold daily chart, in the daily K, the stochastic indicator is mainly in the dead cross, and no golden cross is currently formed; therefore, it cannot be said that the trend has reversed the downward trend for the time being; the central axis track supports the position around 2290. From the 4-hour chart, BOLL continues to trend flat, but the pressure on the form is BOLL's upper track pressure, the stochastic indicator crosses, and the weekend news is not strongly positive, launching an impact. In addition, the previous trend was a correction after a sharp decline; in 4 hours, it is recommended to follow the BOLL track and choose to go short on rallies; ​ On the whole: it is recommended to choose the idea of ​​shorting on rallies; the short-term reference positions during the day are around 2340; and the position near 2350, two pressure positions, shorting, and the game continues downward; ​ Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long on the retracement of 2315-2320, with the target of 2335-2340. ​ It is recommended to go short on a rebound of 2350-2348, with a target of 2340-2335.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Kevin-analyst9
Gold fluctuates repeatedly in downward trendTraders see a 64% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Lower interest rates will make holding non-yielding gold more attractive. Data on Friday showed that U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in April, while year-on-year wage growth fell below 4.0% for the first time in nearly three years. New York Fed President Williams said on Monday that the Fed will lower its interest rate target at an undetermined point. Investors are paying close attention to the latest developments in the conflict in the Middle East. Palestinian militant group Hamas agreed on Monday to a Gaza ceasefire proposal put forward by mediators, but Israel said the conditions did not meet its demands and continued its strikes in Rafah while planning to continue negotiations to reach an agreement. The gold market continues to face significant upward pressure as it is used to protect wealth from devaluation as well as global geopolitical issues. Gold technical analysis: Gold prices maintained an upward trend on Monday. In early trading, the price fell back to the 2291 line and rebounded. Asian, European and American markets continued to fluctuate and rise, reaching a maximum of 2332 and closing at 2324. The price fluctuates in the range of 2335-2277. Today, continue to focus on the upper resistance 2332-2338 and the lower support 2281-2277. The short defensive position is currently at the 2352 line. Only by breaking through and stabilizing the 2352 line can the end of this downward trend be confirmed. In terms of gold's short-term operation today, it is recommended to go short on rebounds and long on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 2330-2332, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2281-2277 first-line support.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Kevin-analyst9
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VELOCITY:GOLD
by Thief_Trader
Trading strategy today, downtrendKitco News' latest gold survey shows more than three-quarters of industry experts believe gold prices have stabilized or will fall next week. Meanwhile, half of retail traders polled still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days. ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that information in the Fed's meeting minutes has caused traders to push back the expected interest rate cut from September to November. This change has helped push Treasury yields and the USD higher and put pressure on precious metals. Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events. Reports released this week include: Consumer confidence report, preliminary report on GDP in the first quarter of the US, weekly unemployment benefit applications, pending home sales, Personal consumption expenditure reports along with personal income reports in the US
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold is expected to be quiet this week, entry sell todayWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Last week, world gold prices continuously "plunged" after breaking all the records conquered in April. Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey results showed that more than three-quarters of experts believe gold prices are stable or will fall in the near term, while half of retail traders still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days. Looking at gold's fluctuations last week, senior market analyst Darin Newsom of Barchart.com said that gold is likely to decline this week. Sharing the same view, Bannockburn Global Forex CEO Marc Chandler also sees further downside risks for gold in the near future. According to Chandler, the reason gold set a record high early last week at 2,450 USD/ounce was because the market reacted to information related to the accident that claimed the life of the President of Iran. However, the strength of the USD caused gold to be sold off and plummet to nearly 2,300 USD/ounce. Besides, the decrease in demand for gold from Chinese investors is also a disadvantage for this precious metal. Chandler forecasts that gold's initial resistance this week is at $2,375/ounce. Support is in the range of $2,275 to $2,300 per ounce. Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
After the news, PMI continued to decrease and increase slightlyWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 48.6 USD to 2,329.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,330.1 USD/ounce, down 52 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world gold market continues to be under pressure to take profits and gold prices fall to the lowest level in a week, extending the decline for the third consecutive session, as investors become increasingly concerned about the timing of interest rate cuts. of America and the strength of American business. According to the latest report, US business activity in May accelerated to the highest level in more than 2 years, showing that economic growth recovered in the second quarter. After the report, the USD recovered strongly, offsetting intraday losses. This has reduced the attractiveness of precious metals to buyers holding other currencies. TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali said that although the greenback's recovery and the weakening interest rate outlook have triggered a sell-off in the gold market, the correction will be relatively shallow. According to him, gold is adjusting to the view that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, while at this meeting, the Fed mentioned the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation occurs. "persistent" development.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The decline is just the beginning, continue to short gold!Gold today maintained a volatile trend overall, and began to rebound with 2325 as support. It is currently trading near 2340. So after the sharp decline, has gold stabilized and rebounded? Actually, I don’t think so. I said yesterday that since gold has not rebounded in retaliation after falling by $100, gold will only absorb the plunge in a volatile manner. Gold is currently performing very weakly during the rebound and cannot even break through the 2345 position. In addition, 2350 is the position where the decline accelerated after falling below the level yesterday. If gold cannot recover for a long time, there is still room for gold to continue to fall. The current rebound of gold is not particularly strong. Gold may build a relay platform near the 2340 position, so I think the gold downward trend is far from over. After the end of the shock, gold will continue to fall, targeting 2300 or even the 2280 position area. Gold is currently facing short-term resistance in the 2345-2350 area. In the next transactions, I will still focus on shorting gold, and then watch a new round of downward trend break out. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
Gold remains bearishThe strong performance of the U.S. ADP employment data in April provided new challenges for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. In this context, the reaction of the gold market is particularly worthy of attention. After the data was released, gold fell back 4 US dollars in the short term and then rebounded. The number of ADP jobs in the United States increased by 192,000 in April, far exceeding the expected 175,000, showing the strength of the labor market. Salary growth slowed: Salary growth for those who changed jobs fell from 10.1% to 9.3% year-on-year. Although it is still higher than the level at the beginning of the year, it shows a certain slowing trend. ​ Against the backdrop of strong ADP employment data, the Fed's monetary policy decisions have become more complicated. The gold market will pay close attention to the Fed's next moves, as these decisions will directly affect gold's safe-haven demand and investment value. Investors should remain vigilant during this critical period and carefully evaluate market dynamics. The market is in a weak position, with pressure at 2306 and 2315. Therefore, if you want to short during the day, you must first pay attention to whether 2300 breaks. If 2300 does not break, gold will go short under such extremely weak conditions. Look at the trend point below at 2250. If 2300 breaks and the strength changes, this wave can still rise to 2315 and 2330 highs.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Kevin-analyst9
1
XAUUSD:2280 is just around the corner The current shape of gold is similar to the head and shoulders. Analyzing the shape combined with indicators, there is a high probability that it will rise first and try resistance. Therefore, the trading strategy continues to be long first and then short, focusing on the 2358-2369 range. If a head and shoulders are formed, a decline to 2280 is inevitable. At that time, the large-cycle graph will have a double top. If the shorts are strong, it is very likely that this time it will fall to the 2230-2200 line, and then a large-cycle upward trend will be formed. Therefore, the market is currently brewing a new opportunity, and I hope everyone can seize it!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Ex
XAUUSD on May 23 2024 fluctuated strongly after the Fed meeting?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday the Fed meeting with its published content showed - The data shows that commodity prices have increased significantly recently, which indicates that inflation is increasing. - Fed says inflation may take longer to fall - The current federal funds rate is enough to slow US economic activity and reduce inflation With such announcements, it appears that the prospect of interest rate cuts expected by the Fed this year may be changed. When this information was announced yesterday, it immediately pushed gold prices down sharply yesterday session to 2370. Look at H1 - Wave c is the last corrective wave of the abc corrective wave, the structure of wave c includes 5 small waves - The strong and sharp price decrease last night can be said to be wave 3 in wave c being formed. - We expect that the expected target of wave 3 is level 2365 and level 2345 - Then there could be a small correction to complete wave 4 before continuing to complete wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction. - We observe the formation of wave 4 ending to determine the target of wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction Trading plan We continue to observe the completion of wave 3 and wait for the end of wave 4 to determine the target of wave 5 to buy. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP
Today's trading trends, buy gold strategyAt the beginning of the trading session on May 23 (US time), world gold prices were under strong selling pressure due to tough sentiment in the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting just announced. The minutes show that US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are increasingly concerned about inflation. The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear. Experts from the World Gold Council predict that despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time. Wall Street analysts said that it will take the market longer than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has really decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold will fall after the rebound, so go short gold!The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is hawkish, and some officials even stated that they can continue to raise interest rates if inflation rises, causing a large-scale withdrawal of market interest rate cut expectations. Gold has plummeted all the way, and the current lowest has reached around 2355.Although gold has rebounded in the short term, the overall rebound is still weak. It is not easy to accurately determine what rhythm gold will maintain after experiencing a sharp decline.But the decline has definitely slowed down, and since gold appears weak during the rebound, gold may not see a retaliatory rebound in the future, and may digest the sharp decline with shocks. It is expected that the rebound of gold will be limited, so we still have to maintain the trading idea of short selling at high levels in our transactions. At present, gold faces short-term resistance in the 2370-2375 area, which is also the short-term top-to-bottom conversion area. So if gold rebounds and hits this resistance area, I would definitely try to short gold first. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
XAUUSD SWING BUYLIMIT PROJECTIONKEY POINTS: Analyst says gold to drift back to $2,355 if dollar keeps upward momentum Fed minutes reflected discussion of possiblefurtherhikes Price rise likely to temper discretionary gold buying - ANZ Gold prices fell for a third straight session on Thursday after minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve meeting indicated that some officials were inclined to raise interest rates. Spot gold GOLD fell 0.6% at $2,365.49 per ounce, as of 0638 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $2,449.89 on Monday. U.S. gold futures GOLD were down 1.1% at $2,367.60.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Today's trading strategy, Gold trendGold prices fluctuated sharply when some US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers recommended that the organization wait a few more months to ensure inflation really cools down, before starting to cut. interest rate. Reacting to this information, the USD increased in price compared to the Euro and many other currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position. Under pressure from the USD, speculators may worry that holding gold will reduce profitability. So in last night's trading session, when gold was trading in the region of 2,400 USD/ounce, they massively sold out.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold breaks current price channel, strategy to buy GoldWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 42.7 USD to 2,378 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,382.1 USD/ounce, down 43.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world precious metals market continues to be pressured by the policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting minutes ended earlier this month. According to the minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, persistent inflation could create some selling pressure as it could force the Fed to raise interest rates again. . This view goes completely against the recent statements of members of the US Monetary Policy Committee when they said that although they are not ready to cut interest rates because inflation is still high, they will not raise interest rates. capacity. According to experts, the minutes reflect growing disappointment that consumer prices have not returned to the 2% target as firmly as expected. Recently, gold has been greatly affected by the Fed's "hawkish" policy stance. Despite fluctuations, gold is still considered an effective investment asset thanks to its role in preventing inflation and diversifying investment portfolios. Experts believe that the roles driving the recent increase are still being maintained and are unlikely to change in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster