Xauusdidea
GOLD-Wednesday Analysis
The Fed will release minutes from its April 30-May 1 meeting on Wednesday, which may reflect more concerns about higher-than-expected inflation in the first quarter, as the meeting was held before the release of last week's consumer price inflation report. The Fed said at the meeting that it still prefers to eventually lower borrowing costs, but acknowledged that disappointing inflation data may delay rate cuts for a while. The minutes may also provide more details on the Fed's plans to slow the reduction of its balance sheet. It is worth mentioning that geopolitical concerns seem to have eased, with Israel reportedly reportedly reaching an agreement with the United States to shelve plans for a large-scale offensive against Rafah. But investors still need to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation.
The highest reached around 2450 on Monday and fluctuated between 2433-2416 on Tuesday. Although it is not certain that 2450 is definitely the short-term top of gold, it is certain that it is difficult to break through. Yesterday, 1D closed with a red candle, which means that it is not an absolute strong rise at present.
If it reaches 2433-2436, you can choose to sell, SL: 2442, if you want to buy, you can wait for 2387-2392
The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase.
What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
XAUUSD: Continue shorting after rebound
After falling below the support, it fell rapidly. It has now reached the support platform and the rebound resistance is near 2400. The probability of a direct rise is unlikely, so we continue to focus on shorting after the rebound. The lower support first focuses on the vicinity of 2378.
2390 is coming, continue shorting after the reboundGold fell back to around 2405 as expected. Our short gold position today near 2418 ended up hitting TP again. It was a very good trading experience. In fact, as long as you follow me, you will easily find that I have recently reminded you to focus on shorting gold.In particular, the previous article reminded: short gold, and aiming at 2395-2390.
Judging from the recent trend of gold, the highs of gold's rebound are gradually lowering, while the lows are also constantly lowering, and it is already trying to fall below the wedge structure, so the short sellers are currently dominant. Although the short-term structure of gold is supported by the 2405-2400 area, since gold is already trying to touch this area, I think it is only a matter of time before gold falls below this area, and then gold is really going to fall towards the 2395-2390 area.
Gold is currently trying to fall below the wedge structure. Once it is confirmed to be effective, the space below gold will be completely opened, and gold is likely to continue its downward trend. Therefore, if the market does not stabilize, do not go long gold easily. We will mainly focus on short gold at high levels. As gold falls, the resistance area moves downwards, and we first focus on the 2415-2420 area resistance. The following focuses on the gains and losses at the 2400 position.
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
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Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed
1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last.
2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts.
3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year.
The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period
Looking at the H1 chart we see
- The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model.
- This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction.
- The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500
Trading plan
If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408
If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
GOLD FORECASTThe current analysis indicates a bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , provided it stays above the pivot line at 2410 as we mentioned before. The prevailing bullish pressure suggests that if trading remains above 2410, the trend will continue a strong upwards.
The price is expected to rise to 2450, and stabilizing above 2450 could lead to a further increase to 2463 and 2475.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 2430, 2450, 2463, 2475
Pivot Line: 2410
Bearish Line: 2397, 2376, 2357
Profited $14K, short gold, and aiming at 2395-2390Today we have made very good profits in both long and short gold transactions. First of all, we went long gold near the 2412 position today. Gold successfully hit TP: 2423 during the short-term rebound;When gold hit resistance near the 2434 position, we then shorted gold near the 2432 position and once again successfully hit TP: 2420. In today's transaction, I made a total profit of more than $14K.We achieved better profits than yesterday and also continued our 16-game winning streak!
Gold has been on a roller coaster ride in recent days, with no continuation of the ups and downs. So it brings a certain degree of difficulty to our transactions. As far as the short term is concerned, I feel that without the stimulation of major good news, it will be difficult for gold to refresh the high of 2450 again, so 2450 is definitely the peak in the short term! In comparison, gold is currently in a relatively weak position. After all, gold has never been able to touch above 2440 during its recent rebound. Today it has not even been able to break through the 2430-2435 area, so the upward momentum has weakened.Relatively speaking, the short sellers are also slightly better.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, the top will first focus on the 2435-2440 resistance area. When gold rebounds to this resistance area and the upward momentum weakens, you can consider shorting gold. If gold falls below 2406, gold will completely open up the space below and fall further.
Trading requires courage and even more decisiveness. Execution is the only criterion for profitability.I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Will gold continue to rise?
First, the gold daily level: From the current pattern, on the one hand, the price broke through the previous historical high of 2432, on the other hand, the 5-day moving average continued to rise, which is a strong unilateral continuation, because it is not a continuous positive, but a two-positive and one-negative pattern; therefore, today may be closed with a small negative cycle, and the next day or two will continue to be a positive unilateral attack, the key support point is still the 5-day moving average, moving up to 2400, today this position continues to be bullish, this week there is hope to hit 2460-2470
Second, the gold hourly level Special: Today's Asian session fell, and the European session was in a range of consolidation; from the figure, we can see that the short-term upper track is suppressed below 2425, and the short-term support is above 2409; before 2425 is broken and stood above, there may be another wave of declines and then stabilized and pulled up. At that time, pay attention to the support of 2409 and the stabilization of the first-line support of 2400; on the contrary, if 2425 breaks through and stands above in advance, it will all be washed back today, engulfing the decline in the Asian session, impacting 2432-2433, and even continuing to break through 2440-2450;
XAUUSD May 21, 2024 Will the price continue to increase?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
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The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation
The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward.
With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved.
Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart
- Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched.
- Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave.
- Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction.
- The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c.
Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Gold has not cooled down yet, enter to buy todayAfter reaching 2,450 USD/ounce in the previous trading session, today's gold price on the international market has cooled down but not significantly.
At 6 a.m. on May 22, the world gold price was trading at 2,422 USD/ounce, down 6 USD compared to the price at the same time the previous day which was 2,428 USD/ounce.
Analysts say international gold prices cool down as investors sell to take profits.
On the other hand, some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED) continue to announce that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Since then, the USD has increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Another development is that US stocks increased quite strongly. This has prompted many people to take interest in the stock. Accordingly, money flowing into precious metals is dominated. Today's world gold price inevitably cools down.
Trading strategy today, still in the bullish channelWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 5.2 USD to 2,420.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,425.2 USD/ounce, down 4.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
On May 21 (US time), gold was under profit-taking pressure after this precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Recently, a number of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly expressed the opinion that they will not rush to start the easing cycle that many people expect. However, gold is receiving the information very positively and does not react much to this view that is considered less moderate.
In opening remarks at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute, Fed Governor Christopher Wall said that the US Central Bank's restrictive monetary policy is cooling the economy and inflation, but still there is still much work to be done. He emphasized that all data must be considered before deciding whether to loosen monetary policy or not. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also made a similar point of view and emphasized the need to wait to make sure inflation returns to the 2% target mark before pivoting policy.
Today's trading trend, wait for a decrease to buyWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 9.2 USD to 2,425.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,430.3 USD/ounce, up 12.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the price of the yellow metal inched up slightly compared to yesterday morning, it has dropped sharply compared to the increase during the day. Previously, gold had conquered a new all-time high when inflation in the US showed signs of slowing down, increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon make its first interest rate cut. Spot gold has soared to 2,449.8 USD/ounce.
According to Capital.com financial market analyst Kyle Rodda, the main driving force for gold's strong surge at the beginning of the week was the weakening of the USD and expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy today. the more increased. Last week's data showed that inflation is showing signs of cooling down and traders now forecast about a 65% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis said that, in addition to "persistent" inflation, the US public debt burden is also a factor driving gold's recovery. Pavilonis expects gold to increase to nearly 2,500 USD/ounce in the short term.
Gold rebounds strongly, should we chase long gold?Today we went long gold near the 2412 position and successfully hit TP: 2423. It was still a good trading profit. At present, gold has rebounded strongly to above 2430. The bulls have regained control of the situation. How much more can gold rise? Do we still want to continue chasing gold?
There may be many people who have this question, and many people have even chased long gold. In fact, relatively speaking, I think gold bulls have reached a certain stage now, and the probability of another violent rise should be low; and gold has formed long upper shadow lines many times during the rebound, so there is still a certain degree of resistance above.and the energy of the bulls has stagnated near 2430, so the short-term resistance faced by gold in the 2430-2435 area is still valid, and even if gold breaks through this area, I believe that with the current strength of the bulls, it will be difficult to break through the 2440 position.
So in terms of trading, I do not recommend chasing gold above 2430. On the contrary, we can consider shorting gold. Once gold falls below the 2405-2400 area, the space below will open further. Therefore, in the next transaction, we will mainly focus on shorting gold at high levels, focusing on the 2430-2435 area at the top; focusing on the gains and losses at the 2400 position below.
Trading requires courage and even more decisiveness. Execution is the only criterion for profitability.I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
GOLD-Tuesday Analysis
There was no US economic data released on Monday and Tuesday, but the tension in the geopolitical situation had a great impact on the financial market. Iran confirmed that its president had been killed, which undoubtedly added many uncertainties to the unstable Middle East. Although the helicopter crash has not yet been resolved, if it is confirmed, the Middle East will continue to be on the brink of war. Geopolitics is also the biggest support for this round of gold price rise.
According to the trend of gold falling from highs, 2450 points may be the top, but it still needs to be confirmed. If it fluctuates at a high level on Tuesday and the daily closing is a red candle, then 2450 may be the top of this week. On Wednesday and Thursday, there is room for a big drop. Therefore, for the time being, Tuesday's market is regarded as a range fluctuation, and you can sell high and buy low within the support and resistance points. From a technical point of view, the unilateral moving average support of the daily cycle is 2405 and 2375, and the Bollinger middle rail support of the H4 cycle is 2405. In other words, as long as it falls below 2400 points in the near future, it can be basically determined that gold has peaked at 2450 this week, and the probability of a decline in the later period will increase.
The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase.
What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
GOLD FORCASTThe current analysis indicates a bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , provided it stays above the pivot line at 2410. the price seems poised to consolidate between 2430 and 2410 before any breakout occurs. The prevailing bullish pressure suggests that if trading remains above 2410, the trend will continue upwards.
If the price dips below 2410, it'll try to get 2397 and stabilizing bellow 2397 will try to reach 2376 as well.
The price is expected to rise to 2450, and stabilizing above 2450 could lead to a further increase to 2463 and 2475.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 2430, 2450, 2463, 2475
Pivot Line: 2410
Bearish Line: 2397, 2376, 2357
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 21Gold increased yesterday, but weakness appeared when yesterday's D1 bar created a bearish pinbar structure with an upper shadow and closed half of the amplitude, at the same time it swept above the previous price peak and then pulled back down. to close below the old peak, potentially creating a false break pattern forming a bullish price trap. This is a sign of a slowdown in price increases. Gold D1 therefore has not yet escaped the cumulative sideways structure. Main trend D1 Gold tends to increase in price.
H1 gold is in the downward adjustment phase of the previous price push up. There may be a complex pullback - consisting of 2 or more small pullbacks. The expectation is that H1 Gold can retest the 2400 round number area below to buy. If the price adjusts further, you can still buy from the support area below.
💡H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
Today trading idea: Buy Gold.
Focus on observing 2427 resistance
The price is close to the support and is currently rebounding after a decline. The focus today is to observe whether the support is effective and whether the small-level resistance can be broken.
Before that, trade around the 2400-2427 range. If the resistance cannot be broken through and falls below the support, then the short-term rise will be over, and the next prices to be considered will be 2378, 2352, and 2283.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.