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XAUUSD June 5, 2024 Yesterday's decline has ended With the PMI being lower than expected at only 48.7 compared to 49.2 in the previous period, if this index is lower than 50, it signals that the expansion of industrial production scale is shrinking. With this index being lower than 50 for two consecutive periods, especially this period being lower than the previous period, it is a sign that the US economy is showing signs of stagnation. The main impact is that interest rates remain high for a long time, making it difficult for people and businesses to access capital. This continues to be a sign for the Fed to decide to cut interest rates in the near future. Looking at H1 we see - After the increase on the 3rd, the price touched the target of wave 5, we expected that wave 5 would have ended and the price would begin to continue a new uptrend. At that time, we also said that to confirm that wave 5 has ended, the minimum condition is that the price must break the 2464 zone. - As of yesterday, the price had dropped back to the target wave 5 area that we measured before. This signals that wave 5 could be a diagonal triangle pattern according to the Elliot principle. - So from H1 in the diagonal triangle model, the price has now reached the end of wave 5 in this diagonal triangle. - We focus on the wave 5 target areas at 2317 and 2311 to buy. - Or safer, we wait for the price to break the upper level of the diagonal triangle and wait for confirmation to proceed with buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Support test is effective, short-term long goldJust now, I reminded in the last article that you should add double position to long gold at 2315. Currently, gold has reached the highest position of 2330 in the short-term rebound. From the perspective of form, gold has not yet escaped from the range of shocks. In the evening, gold once again dropped to 2315 to test the effectiveness of the support level. Obviously, it did not fall below it. The support of 2315 is still very strong. It is expected that it will continue to fluctuate before the NFP on Friday, and the shock is to accumulate energy for the NFP market on Friday. There is no doubt that the current trend is volatile. The bottom support is 2315 and the upper pressure is 2355. In the future, the gold price will fall to around 2315 again. We will still go long first. In the short term, we will first look to 2340, and then 2355. The only thing that can make me change my strategy is that gold successfully falls below 2315 and closes below. Otherwise, if it falls back, I can participate in short-term long gold transactions! I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
Wide fluctuations in the area, sell high and buy low tradingStimulated by the risk aversion news, gold rose again to around 2355. I have already reminded you in my article yesterday. Gold is still not in a bearish trend overall. If gold rebounds to the 2345-2350 area and then falls, gold is still expected to test a new low, but the time period will be extended. Gold fell back to around 2326 in the short term. Judging from the current trend of gold, I expect that before the NFP market, gold will most likely maintain a wide range of fluctuations. It is difficult to break through the upper side, and there is a solid support below. Therefore, before NFP, the performance of both long and short sides will not continue. Then we can use the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low in the transaction. At present, gold has fallen back, and we can participate in the short-term long gold in time. In the short term, we first focus on the support of 2330-2325 area, and the resistance of 2345-2350 area on the upper side. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alongwineer
XAUUSD June 4, 2024 has the uptrend begun? Yesterday after the PMI news was announced, we witnessed a price increase to the 2354 area. - The PMI index is used to measure the degree of expansion of industries. We see that this index is lower than the previous period, which continues to support the fact that the US economy currently continues to show signs of decline. - In recent weeks, economic indicators have signaled that the US economy is showing signs of decline, combined with inflation cooling down, this is a signal for the FED to cut interest rates in the near future. . Looking at H1 last night's increase continues to confirm for us that the wave 5 target has been achieved at the price range of 2317. - So now we may have a new trend forming. We have the 2464 price range used to confirm this trend when the price surpasses this price range. - Currently, we expect a correction to consolidate this newly formed trend when the price does not surpass the 2315 price range. That is, we measure the target of this correction at the 2335 and 2330 zones. Planning to buy more when the price reaches these areas, we wait for a reaction to find a reversal signal to execute the buy order Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Sideway gold, selling strategy todayWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.5 USD to 2,350.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2.3716 USD/ounce, up 25.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month. Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert. Disappointing economic data that raised the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year pushed the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields fell. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks. According to High Ridge Futures Chief Investment and Alternative Trading Officer David Meger, the positive trend in gold comes from strong expectations that interest rates will be cut at some point later this year. Accordingly, the latest economic data makes investors believe that interest rate cuts will soon be implemented. Late last week, data released showed US inflation stabilizing in April. This has increased bets on an interest rate cut in September. Traders are currently pricing in around 56%. The possibility of cutting interest rates in September, increased sharply compared to before the report.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we conduct a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold). Despite experiencing downward pressure over the past three weeks, it is currently approaching a significant support zone. On the three-week timeframe, we observe a bullish trend. Our focus is on identifying a buy entry point within this critical support area, assuming price action aligns with our analysis from the video. As always, the video provides valuable insights into trade entry points, trend analysis, market structure, and price action. Please note that this content serves an educational purpose and should not be construed as financial advice. 📈 🚀📊
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
5
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone? We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
DXY Trading Plan for the week 03.06.2024Good morning traders. 🥳 Hope you all had a great weekend and ready for the week ahead. A quick glance at the charts this morning and the dollar has reset back to the POC levels it entered last week with and on the 12 hr we can see that we are now forming a descending triangle which means that if we break above 105.000 we could see a continuation to the upside targeting key level 106.507 and if we break below 104.408 then we will see a continuation to the downside targeting 102.686. I'm quite keen on seeing the dollar reach key level 104.209 to which I will be looking for Buy's on EUR/USD, Gold and Silver throughout the week. We've been in a range across the other assets as well so this week could definately be a breakout week to the upside for all dollar pairs if that's the case. Hope you have a great day and that your screens are green. Happy Trading. 📊
TVC:DXY
by FXCapitalClub
Today's trading trend, entry buyLast week, world gold prices fell due to continued pressure from strong economic data and "tough" stances from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials. According to experts, this week's gold price will have many fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information such as the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, the number of applications for unemployment benefits and May non-farm payrolls. Besides, the Central Banks' decision on interest rates this week will likely cause the market to recalculate the timing of the FED's interest rate easing. Marc Chandler, CEO at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Canada are likely to cut interest rates. "Gold prices seem ready to go higher and the move above 2,372 USD/ounce is an indicator of precious metal prices conquering the 2,400 USD mark again," said Mr. Marc Chandler. Sean Lusk, co-head of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that short-term interest rates may have peaked, putting pressure on the USD and possibly causing gold prices to rise again. According to Kitco News, this week, the majority of experts and retail investors expressed optimism about the short-term prospects of precious metals, with only a few of them keeping a neutral or bearish stance. Specifically, 6 Wall Street experts (equivalent to 60%) think that gold prices will increase higher this week. 2 analysts (20%,) predict the price will decrease and the remaining 2 investors think the precious metal will move sideways in the short term.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Strategy at the beginning of the week, gold increased slightlyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,329 USD/ounce. World gold prices this week are forecast to have a lot of fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information, including the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, and the number of applications reported. unemployment benefits and non-farm payrolls report for May. In addition, investors will also closely monitor developments and interest rate decisions of the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. Central banks' decisions this week may cause the market to recalculate the timing and scale of interest rate easing by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Recently, in the context of economic instability, persistent inflation combined with geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates, gold prices have had a notable surge. At the end of May, this precious metal broke the record level reached in mid-April exceeding the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce. However, the price of this precious metal has turned down due to strong economic data combined with "hawkish" statements from Fed officials. A recent article on CBSnews gave reasons why investors should buy gold when prices fall. According to the article, June is the right time to buy gold. Accordingly, after conquering the all-time high of 2,439.9 USD/ounce, gold has dropped more than 100 USD. The sharp decline in prices provides favorable opportunities for those who want to buy gold at a relatively lower price. Besides, short-term fluctuations in gold are difficult to predict. Therefore, it is unlikely that current price levels will last as gold prices could recover or even surpass previous record highs within days or weeks. Therefore, the advice is that investors should not miss the opportunity to buy gold at lower prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down? 1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAU/USD Longs back up to 2,340 or higherMy analysis for gold this week is based on the imminent mitigation of the 19-hour demand zone I marked out last week. This key level has caught my interest, and I anticipate a strong reaction from this high-quality demand area. On Monday, I will wait for a sweep of the Asian low in the form of a spring and look for a Wyckoff accumulation to take place. This will be my signal to enter buys, aiming to ride the price back up to the next supply zone, where I expect a bearish move to occur. Confluences for gold buys: - Price is in a 19hr demand zone that has caused a BOS to the upside - Price has already slowed down momentum and could be a good sign for buys back up. - There's a trendline above that needs to be taken as well as untouched asia highs - Price is overall bullish on the higher time frame. Could be a start of a new rally. P.S. If the price breaks the current zone, I will look to take buys from a 4-hour demand zone below, as it is at a more favorable price. However, I will wait for lower time frame confluence before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsAfter the release of encouraging US economic data recently, Gold prices are showing signs of stabilization following consecutive days of losses triggered by the hawkish tone in the Fed Meeting Minute. FOMC Minutes revealed that Fed officials are uncertain about the level of policy restrictiveness and anticipate a prolonged wait before gaining confidence in sustainable inflation moving towards 2%. While the US Durable Goods Orders exceeded expectations, a downward revision in the prior month's figures tempered the report’s impact, emboldening Gold buyers as evidenced by a surge in trading activity before the weekend. Improved US business activity is reducing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Moreover, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment poll displayed a modest uptick, though inflation sentiment remained mixed. The US 10-year Treasury note is yielding at 4.461%, experiencing a slight dip of one-and-a-half basis points on Friday, putting pressure on the US Dollar. Geopolitical tensions escalated as China initiated a second day of military exercises near Taiwan, and the decisions by Ireland, Norway, and Spain to recognize Palestine as an independent state have added volatility to markets, potentially fueling demand for Gold. Given these recent changes, the question looms: will buyers or sellers come out on top in this shifting landscape? XAUUSD Technical Overview: In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our attention is fixed on the critical $2,350 level for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,350 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment. Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets #GoldPrices #FedMeeting #EconomicData #GeopoliticalTensions📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Margin trading in forex, commodities, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments carries high risk and may not suit all investors. This content is for educational purposes only to assist with independent investment decisions and is provided for reference. Evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance carefully. Consult an independent financial advisor before making any investments. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and am not liable for any loss or damage from its use. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
6
XAU/USD 31 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 30 May 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS. After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback. As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation. I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation. As previously mentioned, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below. Price was failing to break above discount of 50% EQ which could indicate the bulls are losing control momentarily or seeking further liquidity. As previously mentioned, I have started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action. I mentioned that the blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme of the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH with price currently being contained within an internal range. Black EQ marked 0.5 is swing range. Blue EQ marked 0.5 is internal range. Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed another bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback is underway. Price is now contained within an internal range. After reacting at discount of 50% EQ price has been unable to target weak internal high. This could indicate that price is seeking further liquidity. Intraday expectation: Price to react at M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. The internal low, which is also denoted with a blue dashed line to the bottom of the chart is expected to hold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold price continues to decrease, strategy to sell todayWorld gold prices remained stable this morning as traders focused on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report, the FED's preferred inflation measure, expected to be released this evening. can provide a more specific view on the timing and extent of interest rate cuts by the FED this year. According to financial and securities market analysis site MarketWatch, inflation will increase by 2.7% over the same period last year. If this forecast is correct, it means that April inflation remained unchanged compared to March, that is, this inflation level is still much higher than the FED's 2% target. A weaker dollar, lower yields and the recent stock market sell-off have provided bullish momentum for gold, said Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff. Regarding the outlook for precious metal prices, experts say that, along with central banks continuously adding gold to their reserves, demand from Chinese investors will continue to increase in the near future. coming will bring solid support for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Today's trading strategy, sell XAUUSDWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,342.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,364.5 USD/ounce, up 27.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices reversed to increase after the latest published data showed that economic growth in the US has slowed down from the beginning of the year until now. According to preliminary data on first quarter GDP released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on May 30 (US time), the US economy achieved growth of 1.3% in the first 3 months of the year, lower than the previous quarter. The previous forecast was 1.6% and down from 3.4% reported in the fourth quarter of 2023. Both the dollar and Treasury yields fell on expectations the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year increased after the report. ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that recently, traders' views have increasingly favored the scenario that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer, increasing the opportunity cost of holdings of the yellow metal and creating strong price resistance. However, this expert said that gold has benefited from strong safe-haven demand due to fears of geopolitical instability and economic instability, as well as large state purchases. He hopes that these factors will likely continue in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD - lost bullish positionThis morning I noticed that there has been a moderate downtrend, barely trying out the 2338>2340 region once more. As I shared yesterday, if Gold breaks via the forty five.forty five Zone and can't be strong, it'll surely lower to retest the Buyer`s Zone and the MA Wave. >Currently, the Trend in H4 and D1 is displaying a lower and in quick spans, I suppose Gold can nevertheless increase. >I Will Watch To Buy GOLD 2332>2336 SL 2300 TP 2346>236x >If Gold declines beyond 2330 or will increase once more with out breaking beyond 2346>2350, I can even sell. Watch to Sell When Gold retests at 46>50 or breaks via 2330 at this rate, I will watch for greater reactions to Sell. Temporarily, I'm looking out to Buy GOLD in keeping with RSI too. Sell at Frame M15 and the Buyer's Resistance Zone, everyone 👌
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheLeader_WOLF
The short sell is far from over, continue to short gold!At present, gold still maintains a weak downward trend and successfully breaks through the previous key support area of ​​2335-2330. It has already fallen below the previous low of 2325. Although it is just a puncture, the upward trend of shocks has been destroyed. The market trend has obviously changed. In addition, gold is running below the moving average today, and there is almost no resistance during the decline. The short-selling force will temporarily dominate the direction of the market. As gold falls, the upper resistance also moves down. At present, the short-term resistance is concentrated in the 2340-2350 area. So we are still boldly shorting gold in this resistance area! I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
2