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Still determining the upward price trend, today's trading strateWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low. The CPI data “could be an early sign that over time inflation will cool and the Fed will make its first rate cut,” Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said. The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year. Technically, bullish gold futures have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff wrote in a note that bulls' next upside target is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance. probably at 2,400 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Is there still a chance for short sellers to make a profit?Judging from the recent trend of gold, there is no doubt that the buying power is stronger, so overall gold maintains a bullish pattern.However, in the short-term structure, gold also falls sharply during its rise, which brings considerable difficulties to our transactions.I believe that in the past two days in gold trading, many people should have lost money because of hitting SL. The characteristics of the current gold market are very obvious. The bulls will not stop, but the shorts will not die. During the rise, gold will also suddenly fall in the short-term structure, leaving us unprepared. Gold currently reaches its highest level near 2388, which is only one step away from 2400. According to the current structure of gold, it seems that it is certain to hit the 2400 level. So do gold shorts still have a chance? I think gold shorts should still have a chance. Gold is currently trading near the 2388 position, and the rise has slowed down. It faces resistance in the 2390-2395 area in the short term; and gold has been too hasty in the short-term rise, so I have reason to believe that,gold still needs a correction after hitting the resistance in the 2390-2395 area. Only after it is confirmed that it has stepped back on the support can it be more conducive for gold to rise and hit the 2400 target. Moreover, gold has gone through a violent ups and downs and has completely wiped out all short positions. When gold is generally extremely bullish, gold shorts may also counterattack in the short-term structure, and the market will harvest more funds. Therefore, it is not that there are no opportunities for gold shorts, so I will still continue to short gold near the 2389-2390 position, waiting for gold to step back in the short-term structure, and first focus on the 2375-2370 area support below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alongwineer
2
GOLD-Pay attention to the impact of CPI data Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he was less confident than before that inflation will come down. However, it emphasized that it does not believe that the next step may be to raise interest rates, and is more likely to maintain the policy interest rate at the current level. The U.S. economy is performing very well and has a very strong labor market. GDP is expected to continue growing at 2% or higher. The PPI data is actually quite mixed, with uncertainty as to whether inflation will persist. Today we are paying attention to the seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate data in the United States at the end of April. It is expected to have a greater impact on the market. Please pay attention to the risks. Since gold's slow decline to bottom out at 2330 on Monday, it has turned from a weak shock to a strong shock. It can be seen from Tuesday's U.S. market that even if the data is not conducive to gold, it is difficult to suppress the slow rise of gold. The U.S. market has been gradually rising. performance, and fell back to a high of 2360 for the second time. It is determined that today is a strong performance. Therefore, the current view is that it is a strong rise for the time being. From a technical point of view, the daily line closed above the Bollinger Band on Tuesday. Although it has not yet formed a unilateral rise, the current strong state may reach the daily Bollinger Band high of around 2378, including the 4H cycle. , during the continuous rise, the 4H K-line maintained strong continuous green candles, and the rising momentum was very strong. Let’s first look at the Bollinger upper track high near 2372 for Wednesday’s rise. If the European market continues to rise, I think you can sell when it reaches the resistance point of 2375-2378 for the first time, or wait for the support point of 2342-2345 to buy, and set the SL There is CPI data in the US market. It is expected that the market will fluctuate greatly and the risk will be relatively high. If you don’t want to bet on the data, you can wait for the data to be released and follow the trend to trade. The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase. What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
FX:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn71050047
General trading strategy today, which areas should Sell and Buy?Gold prices in Asia increased in the afternoon trading session on May 14, as the market is awaiting important inflation reports expected to be released this week, for more clues about the speed and scale of interest cuts. interest rate of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. Spot gold price increased 0.2% to 2,338.78 USD/ounce, while gold futures price increased 0.1% to 2,344.70 USD/ounce. The US producer price index (PPI) is expected to be announced at 6:30 p.m. Vietnam time, followed by the consumer price index (CPI) on May 15. According to a Reuters poll, CPI figures are forecast to show core inflation rising 0.3% in April from the previous month, down from 0.4% in March, pulling down the inflation rate. annual inflation down to 3.6%. If gold can hold above the level of 2,320-2,330 USD/ounce, it is a positive sign, meaning gold is gaining momentum in the short term. And with the push from weaker CPI figures (if any), he thinks gold is likely to rise to all-time highs in the short term. The weak jobs report and lower-than-expected US non-farm payrolls reported in April released last week have increased expectations about the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates this year. According to a majority of economists polled by Reuters news agency, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, starting in September.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy after PPI news, gold increased sharply againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning. Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset. The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, identify uptrendWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 27.2 USD to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,342.2 USD/ounce, down 32.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. Short-term futures traders rushed to book profits after recent gains put pressure on the yellow metal in early trading of the week. Meanwhile, the market is still waiting for further data to know more about the interest rate direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Currently, traders and investors are waiting for important US inflation data for April with the producer price index to be released on May 14 and the consumer price index on May 15. 5. PPI is forecast to increase 0.3% over the previous month, compared to a 0.2% increase in the March report. CPI is forecast to increase 0.4%, unchanged from the March report. CPI Annual growth in April is forecast to increase by 3.6% compared to a 3.8% increase in the March report. Recently, Fed officials have said that the Fed will loosen monetary policy if there is evidence that inflation declines sustainably. Therefore, this data is very important and is expected to have a great impact on the future direction of gold. In a recent interview with Kitco News, global investment strategist Tim Hayes of Ned Davis Research expects gold prices to eventually surpass last month's record high above $2,448 an ounce, but the breakout could may not happen until the Fed actually cuts interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Shorting gold, PPI data will be an opportunity!After gold's short-term rebound to 2348 today, the rise has stalled again. So does gold still have the potential and willingness to go up? In fact, judging from the current market, I personally prefer to be bearish on gold. And I have also shorted gold above the 2346 position. As far as the recent structure of gold is concerned, although gold has recently hit a maximum of around 2378 during the rebound, it seems to have the potential to hit 2400 again. However, the strength and amplitude of the rebound during this period were too fast, and there is no solid bullish foundation below.It's more like the market is deliberately pulling up, making the market more confusing. In addition, in the short-term structure, although gold touched the 2336 position many times and rebounded, it did not break through yesterday's high. The resistance in the 2350-2355 area showed strong resistance and built a double-top structure in the ultra-short-term structure. The short-term trend is still bearish.So in terms of trading, I'm still biased towards shorting gold. PPI data will be released later, which may be an opportunity to fall below the 2335-2330 area in the short-term structure. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
GOLD-analyze The focus of the market this week will be the US PPI data released on Tuesday, followed by the CPI data on Wednesday. Consumer prices came in higher than expected in the first quarter, suggesting the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates less often this year. Then, job growth in April was weaker than expected, leading investors to rekindle bets on two rate cuts of 25 basis points each this year, but that view depends largely on softening inflation and awaits more news from the market. . In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and European Central Bank Governing Council Member Knott jointly attended a meeting and delivered a speech on Tuesday, which also needs to be focused on. Yesterday, gold started to fall from 2364, reaching the lowest level near 2332. With this trend, unless you sell from the beginning, it will be difficult to follow the trend. If you are not an aggressive trader, it will be difficult to trade yesterday. Therefore, during yesterday's decline, I No suitable opportunity found After yesterday's decline, we can confirm that the high point of this cycle is 2378, which is difficult to break. However, if the Bollinger Band does not break, it may also fluctuate at a high level. Therefore, there is no absolute long-short trend. Today’s key support point is 2330. If it cannot fall below 2330, I think it is likely to continue to rebound. The upper resistance is around 2350 and 2365. Today you can try to buy near 2330-2335, SL: 2326, or wait for the first resistance point 2350 to sell, use small lot, or wait for 2365 to sell, and make reasonable arrangements according to your own funds The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase. What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
FX:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn71050047
Gold Tuesday Trading Analysis #XAUUSD 2024.5.14 Today's opening price of gold is below the pivot and POC so the direction is BEARISH. We have 2 virgin POC at 2366 and 2309/2312 so I guess gold will scan these 2 key levels. If you can wait, wait for scalping at the above 2 keys or wait according to the pivot plan for beautiful reversal signals to reach the sell target at 2309/2312. Entry Sell: 2353 - 2366 - 2368 Target: 2218 - 2212 - 2209 Note: - If there is no signal, do not trade - Stoploss 3 times/day then you should rest
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Analyst_Gold
Don’t be afraid, the pullback is an opportunity to go long gold Gold fell back to around 2365 today, then fluctuated and fell, and currently fell to its lowest level near 2339 and rebounded again. Gold did not fall below the 2335 position during the adjustment process, so gold as a whole still maintains a bullish pattern, and the upward trend has not changed. Therefore, gold will rise again after a short-term pullback. Judging from the current structure of gold, although gold rose to around 2378 on Friday with the help of news stimulation, it still faces multiple resistances above, so it will take some time for gold to try to hit the 2400 position again. Therefore, there is a demand for gold to pull back to confirm support in the short term. During the correction, gold did not fall below the important short-term support area of 2335, and the bullish pattern of gold was not destroyed, so gold still has room to rise. Therefore, overall, the room for gold's correction is limited, and it is expected that after gold falls slightly, it will still be dominated by a rebound and upward tone. Then we first focus on the support of the 2338-2236 area below; as long as gold does not fall below this area, a gold correction is an opportunity to go long gold. The top will first focus on the resistance in the 2355-2360 area, which is also the first target area for long gold, and then focus on the 2370-2375 area. Therefore, in the next trading rhythm, we will mainly focus on long gold after the pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alongwineer
Will XAUUSD come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices last week mainly maintained a recovery trend. At the beginning of the trading week, precious metal prices were listed above 2,300 USD/ounce and spent most of the trading week in the range of 2,310-2,330 USD/ounce. During the trading session on May 10, the world gold price at one point recovered to 2,375 USD/ounce. However, the upward momentum did not last long, causing the gold price to fall by 15 USD and end the weekend session at 2,360 USD/ounce. Over the past week, precious metals increased by 2.5% thanks to US employment data supporting dovish views on monetary policy. In addition, military tensions are increasing in both the Middle East and Ukraine; At the same time, data also shows that gold demand from central banks and other needs are all on the rise. Experts assess that gold is still receiving positive support in the coming time as more and more central banks appear willing to lower interest rates, thanks to the above factors. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey finds industry experts are bullish on the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Will gold come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 3,362.9 USD/ounce. Last week, the yellow metal posted modest gains as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would loosen policy this year increased following weak economic data. Experts say that next week is an important time to decide whether gold will reach a new record or not when the market receives the April consumer price index and producer price index reports. Recently, The Fed emphasized that America's inflation war is not effective when inflation is still much higher than the target level of 2%. In addition to the consumer price index and producer price index, this week the market will wait for the US retail sales report, the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications, and the statement of Fed Chairman Powell in Amsterdam. According to Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report, the US is in a persistent inflation war, where all asset classes will see "significant" revaluations and as Therefore, capital flows in the market will gradually shift to hard assets. “This is the time when the Fed takes action, which creates a bullish scenario for hard assets,” he said. McDonald believes that some metals have significant price increases and predicts gold prices will reach $3,000-3,500/ounce in the next 12-18 months.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD-analyze The geopolitical situation is still the biggest topic in the capital market this cycle. Conflicts in various regions in the Middle East are gradually increasing. Israel has launched a full-scale attack on the Gaza Strip. Neighboring countries have also begun to launch countermeasures against Israel. Large-scale conflicts are about to break out. Gold may increase in risk aversion in the future. Emotionally, everyone should be cautious about the temporary weak state. In the U.S. market, no important economic data was released today, and investors continued to pay attention to the speeches of other Federal Reserve officials. In the short term, gold still fluctuates within a range, with no continuity in its rise and fall. For temporary fluctuations, effective trading is mainly short-term, but always pay attention to breakthroughs with unilateral strength. For trading now, you need to set the SL larger. The important support today is around 2298-2303. Buying is still the main focus today. The market changes rapidly. You need to adjust your strategy in time to follow the market trend so that you can ensure a certain profit. What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
FX:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn71050047
Pay attention to gold’s pullback first, then track gold’s riseBecause the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States increased more than expected that week, it strengthened the market's bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year; in addition, the failure of ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East increased the market's concerns about the situation in the Middle East, and risk aversion once again supported the rise of gold. . Gold broke through multiple important resistance areas during its rise and once again formed a unilateral rise in the short-term pattern. The news dominates the rising market and does not give any chance for technical adjustments. Gold currently reaches a maximum of around 2378. Because the market's bullish sentiment has been ignited, it may be difficult for gold to have a relatively large correction space in the short term, so gold will continue to be bullish in the short term. However, during the rapid rise of gold, there was not much retracement action, and the underlying foundation is not strong. Gold is also likely to retrace its steps to confirm support when encountering resistance, and then rise after a short-term correction to confirm support. So in the next transaction, we must first focus on the 2380-2385 area resistance, followed by the 2390-2395 area resistance. If gold touches this area, we can first try to short gold, and then go long gold after the gold's fall is confirmed. Below, we first focus on the 2350-2345 area support. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alongwineer