Xauusdidea
XAUUSD June 5, 2024 Yesterday's decline has ended
With the PMI being lower than expected at only 48.7 compared to 49.2 in the previous period, if this index is lower than 50, it signals that the expansion of industrial production scale is shrinking. With this index being lower than 50 for two consecutive periods, especially this period being lower than the previous period, it is a sign that the US economy is showing signs of stagnation. The main impact is that interest rates remain high for a long time, making it difficult for people and businesses to access capital. This continues to be a sign for the Fed to decide to cut interest rates in the near future.
Looking at H1 we see
- After the increase on the 3rd, the price touched the target of wave 5, we expected that wave 5 would have ended and the price would begin to continue a new uptrend. At that time, we also said that to confirm that wave 5 has ended, the minimum condition is that the price must break the 2464 zone.
- As of yesterday, the price had dropped back to the target wave 5 area that we measured before. This signals that wave 5 could be a diagonal triangle pattern according to the Elliot principle.
- So from H1 in the diagonal triangle model, the price has now reached the end of wave 5 in this diagonal triangle.
- We focus on the wave 5 target areas at 2317 and 2311 to buy.
- Or safer, we wait for the price to break the upper level of the diagonal triangle and wait for confirmation to proceed with buying.
Support test is effective, short-term long goldJust now, I reminded in the last article that you should add double position to long gold at 2315. Currently, gold has reached the highest position of 2330 in the short-term rebound. From the perspective of form, gold has not yet escaped from the range of shocks. In the evening, gold once again dropped to 2315 to test the effectiveness of the support level. Obviously, it did not fall below it. The support of 2315 is still very strong. It is expected that it will continue to fluctuate before the NFP on Friday, and the shock is to accumulate energy for the NFP market on Friday.
There is no doubt that the current trend is volatile. The bottom support is 2315 and the upper pressure is 2355. In the future, the gold price will fall to around 2315 again. We will still go long first. In the short term, we will first look to 2340, and then 2355. The only thing that can make me change my strategy is that gold successfully falls below 2315 and closes below. Otherwise, if it falls back, I can participate in short-term long gold transactions!
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XAUUSD BUY ANALYSIS - ICT ConceptHere Gold has been forming support and resistance going back to liquidity grap and now rising up againg so is likely to move up after a serious of bounce back now going for LONG is needed and Stoploss should be around 2314.000 and targering profit should be 2347.000 . So it expected to use money management
Wide fluctuations in the area, sell high and buy low tradingStimulated by the risk aversion news, gold rose again to around 2355. I have already reminded you in my article yesterday. Gold is still not in a bearish trend overall. If gold rebounds to the 2345-2350 area and then falls, gold is still expected to test a new low, but the time period will be extended.
Gold fell back to around 2326 in the short term. Judging from the current trend of gold, I expect that before the NFP market, gold will most likely maintain a wide range of fluctuations. It is difficult to break through the upper side, and there is a solid support below. Therefore, before NFP, the performance of both long and short sides will not continue. Then we can use the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low in the transaction.
At present, gold has fallen back, and we can participate in the short-term long gold in time. In the short term, we first focus on the support of 2330-2325 area, and the resistance of 2345-2350 area on the upper side.
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XAUUSD June 4, 2024 has the uptrend begun?
Yesterday after the PMI news was announced, we witnessed a price increase to the 2354 area.
- The PMI index is used to measure the degree of expansion of industries. We see that this index is lower than the previous period, which continues to support the fact that the US economy currently continues to show signs of decline.
- In recent weeks, economic indicators have signaled that the US economy is showing signs of decline, combined with inflation cooling down, this is a signal for the FED to cut interest rates in the near future. .
Looking at H1 last night's increase continues to confirm for us that the wave 5 target has been achieved at the price range of 2317.
- So now we may have a new trend forming. We have the 2464 price range used to confirm this trend when the price surpasses this price range.
- Currently, we expect a correction to consolidate this newly formed trend when the price does not surpass the 2315 price range. That is, we measure the target of this correction at the 2335 and 2330 zones.
Planning to buy more when the price reaches these areas, we wait for a reaction to find a reversal signal to execute the buy order
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
Sideway gold, selling strategy todayWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.5 USD to 2,350.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2.3716 USD/ounce, up 25.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month. Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert. Disappointing economic data that raised the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year pushed the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields fell. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
According to High Ridge Futures Chief Investment and Alternative Trading Officer David Meger, the positive trend in gold comes from strong expectations that interest rates will be cut at some point later this year.
Accordingly, the latest economic data makes investors believe that interest rate cuts will soon be implemented. Late last week, data released showed US inflation stabilizing in April. This has increased bets on an interest rate cut in September. Traders are currently pricing in around 56%. The possibility of cutting interest rates in September, increased sharply compared to before the report.
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we conduct a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold). Despite experiencing downward pressure over the past three weeks, it is currently approaching a significant support zone. On the three-week timeframe, we observe a bullish trend. Our focus is on identifying a buy entry point within this critical support area, assuming price action aligns with our analysis from the video.
As always, the video provides valuable insights into trade entry points, trend analysis, market structure, and price action. Please note that this content serves an educational purpose and should not be construed as financial advice. 📈 🚀📊
GOLD - Falling WedgeGold's current Falling Wedge Reversal pattern presents an excellent opportunity for traders to capitalize on a potential upward movement. By waiting for a confirmed breakout above 2334 , or alternatively entering at the support level of 2320 , traders can strategically position themselves for potential gains. Ensuring a stop loss at 2316 will help manage risk and protect capital.
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?
We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area
- Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong
- Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5
- We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5
- Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time.
- We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
DXY Trading Plan for the week 03.06.2024Good morning traders. 🥳
Hope you all had a great weekend and ready for the week ahead.
A quick glance at the charts this morning and the dollar has reset back to the POC levels it entered last week with and on the 12 hr we can see that we are now forming a descending triangle which means that if we break above 105.000 we could see a continuation to the upside targeting key level 106.507 and if we break below 104.408 then we will see a continuation to the downside targeting 102.686.
I'm quite keen on seeing the dollar reach key level 104.209 to which I will be looking for Buy's on EUR/USD, Gold and Silver throughout the week.
We've been in a range across the other assets as well so this week could definately be a breakout week to the upside for all dollar pairs if that's the case.
Hope you have a great day and that your screens are green.
Happy Trading. 📊
Today's trading trend, entry buyLast week, world gold prices fell due to continued pressure from strong economic data and "tough" stances from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials.
According to experts, this week's gold price will have many fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information such as the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, the number of applications for unemployment benefits and May non-farm payrolls. Besides, the Central Banks' decision on interest rates this week will likely cause the market to recalculate the timing of the FED's interest rate easing.
Marc Chandler, CEO at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Canada are likely to cut interest rates. "Gold prices seem ready to go higher and the move above 2,372 USD/ounce is an indicator of precious metal prices conquering the 2,400 USD mark again," said Mr. Marc Chandler.
Sean Lusk, co-head of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that short-term interest rates may have peaked, putting pressure on the USD and possibly causing gold prices to rise again.
According to Kitco News, this week, the majority of experts and retail investors expressed optimism about the short-term prospects of precious metals, with only a few of them keeping a neutral or bearish stance.
Specifically, 6 Wall Street experts (equivalent to 60%) think that gold prices will increase higher this week. 2 analysts (20%,) predict the price will decrease and the remaining 2 investors think the precious metal will move sideways in the short term.