XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Xauusdidea
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context
Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance.
NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today.
The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution.
📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H)
Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway.
Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160.
Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050.
📍 Setup 1 SELL
Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone
Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone).
Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M.
Stop Loss: Above $3,153
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,110
TP3: $3,090
📍 Setup 2 SELL
Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest).
Entry: 3091-3095
Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5.
Stop Loss: Above 3,096
TP1: 3066
TP2: 3054
TP3: 3040
📍 Setup 2 BUY
Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry.
Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075.
Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M).
Stop Loss: Below $3,070.
TP1: $3,100
TP2: $3,120
TP3: $3,135
📍 Setup 3 BUY
Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge).
Entry: Buy at 3048-3055
Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume.
Stop Loss: Below 3048
TP1: 3085
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3128
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedThe current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support below is still the 3100 line. The strong bullish thinking remains unchanged above 3100. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and gradually move up near 3116. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds but does not break the high, then short the US session at highs. Pay attention to the resistance of 3140-45 above.
Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
XAUUSD Analysis: Why I’m Not Buying Gold at the Highs!Gold’s Rally: A Strategic Plan for the Next Buy Setup!
✨ Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced a strong rally recently, fueled by the stock market sell-off. However, I’m waiting for a better entry point rather than buying at the current highs, as price is trading at a premium. 📉 My focus is on a potential retracement on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, targeting a pullback into the swing low-to-high range. Specifically, I’m watching for price to return to the equilibrium zone around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 If price pulls back and we see a bullish break of market structure in this area, it could present a solid buying opportunity. Until then, patience is key! 🛠️
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own analysis.
Gold suppresses the fall and shorts make big profitsYesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish.
If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today.
If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break.
If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149
Gold is expected to strengthen further before non-farm payrollsIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3150-3160, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3110-3120. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3150-3155, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, and look at the 3125 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3125-3128, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at the 3155 line if it breaks;
Gold continues to hit new highsFundamentally, although the tension between Russia and Ukraine has eased, it has not ended peacefully. There is still a certain degree of uncertainty and temporary stability. In addition, the situation in the Middle East is also intensifying. Trump also threatened to bomb Iran this week, which has increased the risk aversion of the market's geopolitical situation. In terms of US tariffs, Trump's tariff policy is still continuing. The reciprocal tariffs to be announced in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2 will also put global economic trade at risk. Its uncertainty has made the market wait and see, and more inclined to safe-haven gold. Although Fed officials said that there is no stagflation in the economy and the expectation of interest rate cuts has weakened, as long as it does not turn to interest rate hikes, even if inflation strengthens, it will boost the commodity attributes of gold and support the strengthening of gold prices. In addition, major banks around the world have raised their gold price forecasts, and strong capital inflows from gold-backed ETFs, etc., will become the main factors supporting gold prices.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focus on the first-line resistance of 3138-3143, and the lower short-term focus on the first-line support of 3110-3105.
Gold Under Pressure In Head And Shoulders PatternGold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the form of a head and shoulders. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there is news about important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to take gold out of a new direction.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3130, sl: 3140, tp: 3115
The above is purely a personal opinion sharing. Investment involves risks and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD is in buy zone!XAUUSD has just drop to daily support with strong price action formation on the lower timeframe with an inverted head & shoulder showing possible bounce off the daily support level. As long term trend is up, we may see a sudden bounce to neck line where daily resistance is.
A possible buy trade is high probability.
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
As always, we express our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Good news for bears, gold will fall back to 3095-3085Driven by Trump’s tariff policies and geopolitical risks, gold has sustained a strong upward trajectory. However, after reaching around 3128, its momentum has visibly slowed, with multiple signs of pullbacks emerging within the short-term structure.
From the candlestick chart, it’s evident that gold has faced repeated rejection signals above 3125, characterized by long upper shadows. The 3125 level has now formed a notable resistance zone and appears to be acting as a short-term consolidation high. This price action increases the likelihood of a potential top formation.
Moreover, gold’s recent strength is largely attributed to growing concerns of a global trade war sparked by Trump’s tariff policies, prompting investors to rotate out of risk assets like equities and into safe-haven assets such as gold. However, if Trump softens his stance on the tariffs or adopts a more diplomatic approach to maintain confidence in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite may recover. This would likely drive funds back into equities and other risk assets, leading to an outflow from gold.
For gold trading, I prefer to avoid aggressively chasing long positions at this stage, as downside risks persist. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3125-3135 resistance zone, the bullish momentum may weaken, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. If gold break below the 3100 level during a pullback, it could accelerate further declines, with potential targets in the 3095-3085 range.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
GOLD: What to do if you Hold a Short position?Gold is rebounding. Pay attention to the resistance above 3020. At present, we can see obvious selling pressure on the 2H chart. MACD has formed a divergence. 2H is a larger period. Its form is short, which means that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow, the market will fall sharply.
In addition, the divergence of MACD is sometimes repaired by shock market. This situation is not uncommon, so when trading, we need to focus on the support.
Judging from the current candlestick chart arrangement, there is support near 3100, followed by the 3096-3088 range. If a larger divergence pattern is to be formed, the price may reach the 3036-3048 range. At that time, there is no need to hesitate too much, just sell it.