Xauusdidea
Gold suppresses the fall and shorts make big profitsYesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish.
If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today.
If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break.
If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149
Gold is expected to strengthen further before non-farm payrollsIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3150-3160, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3110-3120. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3150-3155, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, and look at the 3125 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3125-3128, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at the 3155 line if it breaks;
Gold continues to hit new highsFundamentally, although the tension between Russia and Ukraine has eased, it has not ended peacefully. There is still a certain degree of uncertainty and temporary stability. In addition, the situation in the Middle East is also intensifying. Trump also threatened to bomb Iran this week, which has increased the risk aversion of the market's geopolitical situation. In terms of US tariffs, Trump's tariff policy is still continuing. The reciprocal tariffs to be announced in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2 will also put global economic trade at risk. Its uncertainty has made the market wait and see, and more inclined to safe-haven gold. Although Fed officials said that there is no stagflation in the economy and the expectation of interest rate cuts has weakened, as long as it does not turn to interest rate hikes, even if inflation strengthens, it will boost the commodity attributes of gold and support the strengthening of gold prices. In addition, major banks around the world have raised their gold price forecasts, and strong capital inflows from gold-backed ETFs, etc., will become the main factors supporting gold prices.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focus on the first-line resistance of 3138-3143, and the lower short-term focus on the first-line support of 3110-3105.
Gold Under Pressure In Head And Shoulders PatternGold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the form of a head and shoulders. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there is news about important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to take gold out of a new direction.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3130, sl: 3140, tp: 3115
The above is purely a personal opinion sharing. Investment involves risks and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD is in buy zone!XAUUSD has just drop to daily support with strong price action formation on the lower timeframe with an inverted head & shoulder showing possible bounce off the daily support level. As long term trend is up, we may see a sudden bounce to neck line where daily resistance is.
A possible buy trade is high probability.
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Good news for bears, gold will fall back to 3095-3085Driven by Trump’s tariff policies and geopolitical risks, gold has sustained a strong upward trajectory. However, after reaching around 3128, its momentum has visibly slowed, with multiple signs of pullbacks emerging within the short-term structure.
From the candlestick chart, it’s evident that gold has faced repeated rejection signals above 3125, characterized by long upper shadows. The 3125 level has now formed a notable resistance zone and appears to be acting as a short-term consolidation high. This price action increases the likelihood of a potential top formation.
Moreover, gold’s recent strength is largely attributed to growing concerns of a global trade war sparked by Trump’s tariff policies, prompting investors to rotate out of risk assets like equities and into safe-haven assets such as gold. However, if Trump softens his stance on the tariffs or adopts a more diplomatic approach to maintain confidence in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite may recover. This would likely drive funds back into equities and other risk assets, leading to an outflow from gold.
For gold trading, I prefer to avoid aggressively chasing long positions at this stage, as downside risks persist. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3125-3135 resistance zone, the bullish momentum may weaken, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. If gold break below the 3100 level during a pullback, it could accelerate further declines, with potential targets in the 3095-3085 range.
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GOLD: What to do if you Hold a Short position?Gold is rebounding. Pay attention to the resistance above 3020. At present, we can see obvious selling pressure on the 2H chart. MACD has formed a divergence. 2H is a larger period. Its form is short, which means that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow, the market will fall sharply.
In addition, the divergence of MACD is sometimes repaired by shock market. This situation is not uncommon, so when trading, we need to focus on the support.
Judging from the current candlestick chart arrangement, there is support near 3100, followed by the 3096-3088 range. If a larger divergence pattern is to be formed, the price may reach the 3036-3048 range. At that time, there is no need to hesitate too much, just sell it.
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
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Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
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Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
Expect gold to retreat to the 3100-3090 zoneOn a crazy Monday, gold fell back to around 3076 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3128. It has now fallen back slightly and is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3120!
Although gold does maintain a strong position at present, what makes me more alert is that once gold retreats $3-5, it will be enough to make more buyers crazy and actively rush into gold long transactions. This is an extremely dangerous signal in my opinion! Because if with the withdrawal of large funds and panic selling, more bulls will be defeated.
So I explicitly refuse to chase long gold above 3120, because as gold rises rapidly, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating, so the liquidity of gold is gradually weakening, so gold may need to retreat more to increase liquidity before continuing to rise! And if the tariff policy introduced on April 2 is carried out in a more moderate way, then market sentiment will be greatly eased, and gold may also collapse.
So I think in short-term trading, we can still short gold in batches in the 3125-3135 zone, and expect gold to at least fall back to the 3100-3090 zone.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold surged to a record high of $3,086 last week as investors dumped Equities and Crypto for safe-haven assets. With rising inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs, fears of a US recession or stagflation are driving the market.
📈 Will Gold continue its rally, or is a pullback coming? In this video, I break down my thought process and how I’m strategically positioning for the next big move.
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #GoldTrading #Forex #Inflation #SafeHaven #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThis seems to be a 5-wave upward trend, and GOLD is currently in the final phase of the upward movement. Given the strength of the bullish momentum, a rise towards the 3100 level is highly probable. Therefore, in tomorrow's trading, it would be reasonable to continue buying with a take-profit target in the 3095-3105 zone. Once the take-profit area is reached, consider switching to a short position.
Gold swing trade with buy and sell levelsThis week we are looking to sell Gold down to previous resistance which aligns with Fibonacci 0.382 level for a sell total pips of 309.
When we reach our take profit we will go back into a buy at 2994 and a take profit target of 3053 for an additional pip count of 588 pips.
Trade idea is based on higher time frame and uses trend lines as well as support and resistance and Fibonacci levels.
With these type of trades expect to go into some drawdown that's why I recommend using small lots and securing profit along the way .
Check out my weekly gold forecast with both buy and sell entries posted below.
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
The short-term short positions in gold are now yielding profits!Currently, the market continues to maintain a range - bound oscillation pattern. In the short term, there are no conditions for a significant unilateral upward or downward movement. In terms of short - term trading, the price is currently trading at $3032. From the perspective of intraday trading strategies, this price level can be regarded as an entry point for short positions. Today, special attention should be paid to the $3020 level, which serves as the daily demarcation line between bulls and bears. If the price drops from a high level as expected, effectively breaks below the $3020 level and closes below this price, the short - side is expected to witness a sharp acceleration in the bottom - seeking trend.
Since the week began, considering global economic trends and gold market volatility, we've steadily shorted gold. All signals, from our in - depth analyses, have proven accurate. I'll keep giving accurate signals, factoring in market changes.
XAUUSD
sell@3030-3035
tp:3025-3015
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