XAUUSD / TEST TO SUPPLY ZONE BEFORE DECLINE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is aiming to reach a supply zone between $2,747 and $2,732, This zone represents an area where selling pressure is expected, potentially capping upward movement.
Prices are under downward pressure, especially after the news about Trump’s election, which has impacted the market sentiment.
As long as the price stays below or within this supply zone, the expectation is for further declines , If prices stabilize below the current supply zone, they are expected to move down towards a demand zone between $2,657 and $2,638.
For a confirmed downtrend, the asset would need to stay below this demand zone, potentially pushing prices lower toward the next zone between $2,618 and $2,605 , If prices break through the upper boundary of the supply zone ($2,747), there may be an upward move toward a higher supply zone between $2,773 and $2,790, suggesting a possible trend reversal or upward correction.
Xauusdideas
XAUUSD / AFTER VOTE OF THE PRESIDENT OF THE AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Reaction to Election Outcome, It suggests that gold prices dropped by 3.46% following Trump’s win, indicating an immediate market response likely due to investor sentiment or economic expectations associated with his presidency.
Current Trading Position, The current price is below an “ascending channel” (typically a technical pattern indicating a trend), which could signal a weakening upward trend. However, it remains within a “demand zone,” where buying interest could support prices.
Demand Zone and Support, As long as gold stabilizes above the $2,657 - $2,638 demand zone, there is a potential for prices to rise back up. This zone acts as a support level, where enough demand could prevent further declines.
Upside Target (Supply Zone), If prices hold above the demand zone, there is an expectation of an increase toward the $2,732 - $2,747 supply zone. This is seen as a resistance level where selling pressure may limit further upward movement.
Downside Risk , If a 4-hour candle closes below the demand zone, a further decline is anticipated, potentially pushing prices down to the next demand zone between $2,618 - $2,605.
Overall Trading Range , The analysis concludes with a broader price range for gold between $2,790 (upper limit) and $2,605 (lower limit). This range outlines the expected volatility in gold prices.
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Movement:
• Prices initially dropped to a buy zone at around $2,728, where a buying opportunity was identified.
• After reaching this zone, the price increased, securing a profit of 145 pips.
Price Retesting and Stabilizing:
• The price is currently retesting the $2,728 level.
• If the price stabilizes above this level, it indicates potential upward momentum.
Upward Targets:
• If prices hold above $2,728, the next target range is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. This gap suggests potential for further gains if it’s reached and surpassed.
Demand zone and Downward Risks:
• If prices break below $2,728, they may fall to $2,710.
• Should prices decline below $2,710, further drops are expected, with a potential support or “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672.
Overall Market Sentiment:
• Despite potential downward corrections, the market remains under bullish pressure, indicating that the primary trend remains upward for now.
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD touched the support level of 2,734.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couble of hour . The pair moved up to the support level of 2,734.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy order at 2,735.
Set your stop loss at 2,727. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,755. ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Gold is trading under bullish pressure despite a recent pullback of 2.09%. This suggests that while there’s short-term weakness, the overall trend is still upward.
The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728, with a possibility for a dip to $2,710, which could serve as another support level. Should prices stabilize here, a bullish continuation is likely.
If gold fails to hold above $2,728 on a 4-hour closing basis, a further decline toward the next demand zone between $2,688 and $2,672 may be anticipated.
An initial upward target lies in the fair value gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $3,772. Above this, the analysis notes supply zones between $2,782 and $2,790, with an all-time high (ATH) of $2,810 as the next major resistance.
The strategy is a combination of support-resistance testing and close monitoring of 4-hour candles. Stabilizing above the lower zones suggests a bullish rebound, while a failure could lead to extended declines.
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE TO PUSH A NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Gold prices are approaching an all-time high (ATH) near $2,790. The price is now testing a demand zone between $2,756 and $2,746.
If prices hold above or within this demand zone, there is potential for an upward move to the ATH of $2,790, with a possible extension to a new ATH of $2,810 if bullish momentum continues.
If the price breaks below this demand zone, it could drop to the lower demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728. A decisive break below this level might confirm a downtrend.
Overall Market Sentiment , Currently, the market exhibits upward pressure, with a generally bullish outlook as long as prices stabilize above or within the key demand zone.
XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised.
Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible.
As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend and Demand Zone , After a price drop into a demand zone (between $2,733 and $2,727), the asset rebounded, yielding a 160-pip profit. The ongoing bullish pressure suggests further upward momentum.
Targets and Supply Zones , The price aims to reach $2,750 following a retest of the demand zone. Afterward, it may push into a supply zone ($2,754 to $2,758), with potential to hit a new ATH at $2,775 if the momentum continues.
Downside Risks , A breakdown below the current demand zone could indicate a decline towards a secondary demand zone ($2,722 to $2,717). A breach of this lower zone would confirm a shift to a downtrend.
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION OF THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Movements ,The text notes that after an Israeli attack on Iran, gold prices surged, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of around $2,758. This is a typical reaction as investors often view gold as a safe-haven asset during political unrest, causing demand—and prices—to rise.
Demand Zone , Between $2,739 and $2,734, this zone is where buyers may step in if prices drop, creating a potential “floor” for further increases.
Supply Zone ,Between $2,754 and $2,758, this zone acts as resistance, meaning sellers may dominate here, capping short-term gains. Breaking above this level could push prices to a new ATH of $2,775.
If the price breaks the supply zone ($2,754–$2,758), it may rise further, suggesting momentum toward $2,775 or beyond.
If the price falls below the demand zone ($2,739–$2,734), it may decline toward the next support level between $2,722 and $2,717.
Overall Trend: The text suggests that gold prices are under upward pressure, largely due to geopolitical instability, and are likely to continue rising unless key support levels are breached.
XAUUSD /PRICES TRYING TO REACH NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has already achieved a profit of +340 pips, signaling a strong upward trend. The fact that this movement continued after a news release suggests that market sentiment is likely driven by external factors, such as macroeconomic events or announcements.
The demand zone between $2,720 and $2,711 is critical because it reflects a price area where buyers are likely to step in. Historically, demand zones are areas of strong buying interest, which halts a downtrend. The expectation is that, if the price stays above this zone, it may bounce back towards the ATH of $2,757. This would mark a retest of the resistance level, a crucial price ceiling.
A move beyond $2,757, extending to $2,771, would imply a breakout. In technical analysis, a breakout from an all-time high (ATH) can lead to a new price discovery phase, where prices rise with minimal historical resistance. Traders might look to capitalize on this momentum.
The break below the demand zone would indicate that buying pressure is insufficient to stop the fall, leading to a continuation of the downtrend. A potential price drop to $2,685 would signal a notable reversal in sentiment.
XAU/USD 25 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling but not confirming the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: While there are no clear signs of a pullback yet, price is expected to react at either the 50% equilibrium (EQ) or H4 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. I'll remain on standby for further developments.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase.
As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance.
Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Behavior , Prices are trading inside a demand zone—a price range where buying interest is expected to be strong, leading to potential price increases.
Today, prices have declined by 1.80%, signaling short-term weakness.
A potential decline is expected to continue toward the demand line at $2,685. This level serves as support, where buyers may step in to stop further declines.
If prices stabilize inside the demand zone or if a 4-hour candle opens above/inside the zone, this suggests a potential increase.
In this case, the target price levels are $2,750 and $2,757, implying a bullish rebound.
If prices break below the demand zone, this indicates further weakness.
In this case, prices are expected to decline further toward $2,685 and possibly $2,663, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices.
Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions.
Personal opinion:
XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736
SL: 2731
Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747
SL: 2742
Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769
SL: 2774
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend , The price of gold continues to rise and is approaching $2,750. Despite reaching the initial target, prices are still under upward pressure.
the price is attempting to break through the $2,750 level, which represents the next significant resistance. If prices remain below $2,750, a decline is expected.
If the price declines, it is likely to reach $2,730, with a further potential drop to the demand zone between $2,724 and $2,701.
Breakout Potential , A break above $2,750 could signal further increases in price.
Historical Context , The recent breakout above the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685 on September 26, 2024, has driven the current upward momentum, with the market now aiming for a new ATH at $2,750.
Overall Conclusion , Gold prices are in an upward trend, with critical resistance at $2,750. A failure to break this level could lead to a pullback, but breaking through may trigger further gains.
Demand Zone : $2,724 and $2,701.
Demand Line : $2,730.
XAUUSD / UNDER MIDDLE EAST TENSION / 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After breaking the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685, gold prices have continued to rise. My next targets are set at $2,750 and $2,788. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East are a significant factor contributing to the upward momentum, making it likely that gold will reach these levels.
As long as gold remains stable above the demand zone between $2,714 and $2,701, bullish pressure is expected to persist, potentially driving prices to my target levels. However, if the demand zone is breached, it could signal a decline, with prices possibly revisiting the previous ATH of $2,685.
In conclusion, as long as tensions in the Middle East continue, the overall outlook for gold suggests sustained upward pressure.
Demand Zone : $2,714 and $2,701.
New Historical Zone : $2,750 and $2,788.
XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024.
Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’.
The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line.
Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising.
The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action.
The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL AND ATH AT 2,685$ / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is experiencing upward momentum after breaking out of a channel, suggesting a bullish.
The price has broken its previous ATH at $2,685 and is currently attempting to reach a new ATH at $2,700. ATH levels are significant as they represent new highs in price, and breaking them often signals bullish strength.
The price is hovering around a fair value gap between $2,685 and $2,682. As long as it stabilizes above this range, it suggests further potential for upward movement towards $2,700 and even $2,720.
If the price breaks below this FVG, it may decline toward a demand zone between $2,676 and $2,670. Breaking this demand zone would indicate a further decline.
Demand Zone : 2,676$ and 2,670$.
FVG : 2,685$ and 2,682$.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE TREND / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Movement on Friday , The price rose by 0.93%, trying to reach $2,668 before declining to
$2,645 and $2,636.
Key Level at $2,668 , If the price breaks and stabilizes above $2,668, further upward movement is expected. The target for this rise is the all-time high (ATH) at $2,685.
Stabilizing Below $2,668 , If the price stabilizes below $2,668, it suggests a continued decline toward $2,645 and $2,636.
Breaking the ATH of $2,685 , If the ATH is broken, prices are predicted to move into a new historical zone between $2,700 and $2,710.
Breaking the Demand Zone at $2,636 , If prices break below and stabilize under $2,636, it
indicates further declines.
Trading Range , The price is expected to fluctuate between $2,685 and $2,604 overall.
Key Points:
Price Target Levels: $2,668, $2,685 (ATH), $2,700-$2,710 (new zone), and $2,636 (demand zone).
XAUUSD / TRADING INSIDE SUPPLY ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Supply Zone ,The price is trading between $2,652 and $2,639, which is identified as a sell zone. This range suggests a likelihood of downward price movement as long as the price stays within this zone.
If the price remains in this range, it is expected to decline to the demand zone, which is between $2,610 and $2,604.
This would indicate potential buying opportunities, as the demand zone typically reflects areas where buying interest might emerge and support the price.
If the price breaks and stabilizes above the $2,652-$2,639 zone, it suggests an increase in price.
In that case, the price is likely to target the next supply zone between $2,668 and $2,685, signaling further upward momentum.
The overall tone of the analysis indicates that the market is under bullish pressure, meaning that the expectation is for price increases unless the bearish scenario plays out.
Supply Zone : 2,652$ and 2,639$ , 2,668$ and 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,610$ and 2,604$.
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
XAUUSD / TRADING ACCUMULATION ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Zone A (2,659$ - 2,653$) , The price is currently attempting to stabilize within this range.
If stabilization occurs, it suggests a potential breakout to reach the demand zone (2,631$ - 2,623$).
Demand Zone (2,631$ - 2,623$) , If the price breaks below Zone A, this demand zone is the next target , A breakout from this zone could lead to a rise towards Zone B.
Zone B (2,664$ - 2,672$) , If the price breaks into Zone B, remaining stable suggests a potential decline back to Zone A and possibly lower to the demand zone , However, if the price breaks above Zone B, it may aim for Zone C.
Zone C (2,681$ - 2,685$) , A breakout above Zone C could lead to further increases, but stabilization here may result in a decline back to Zone B or lower to Zone A.
Historical Zone (2,700$ - 2,710$) , Breaking the key resistance levels could indicate a move towards this new historical range, suggesting bullish sentiment.
Supply Zone : 2,659$ - 2,653$ , 2,664$ - 2,672$ , 2,681$ - 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,631$ - 2,623$.