Gold Weekly Friday Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Thursday, gold maintained a sideways trend, currently trading near $3,370. It hit a low of $3,347 and then rebounded immediately, while yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision had little impact on market volatility. Since Monday, when bearish forces were stronger than bullish ones, the gold market has been seeing equalized bullish and bearish forces, consolidating as it waits for the next stimulus direction.
Once it stabilizes above $3,400 again, there is likely to be an inflection point, and it will gradually rise to test the upper track at $3,460–3,470. At the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure at the middle track of $3,405, with support at $3,345.
Gold may break out of the current range on Friday. Intraday trading can focus on range operations between the support of $3,345 and the resistance of $3,400: when the gold price stabilizes above $3,360, you can lightly go long, with targets sequentially at $3,375 and $3,395; if it is resisted below $3,395, you can try to lightly go short.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3380-3390-3400
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Xauusdlong
GOLD[XAUUSD]: Breakthrough the bearish pressure, What next?Evening Everyone,
Hope you are doing great, price recently breakthrough the current price inducement, showing a strong bullish volume emerging in the market. Long term approach remain bullish ultimately taking the price towards the new high.
Good luck
Team Setupsfx_
Next Week Gold Trend Forecast & Trading TipsDuring this round, the price was sold off sharply from the historical high of 3,500 to 3,120 before rebounding. After consecutive rallies, it faced pressure and fell back to 3,452 due to the fading of market risk aversion. On Friday, it rebounded from a low of 3,340. The daily chart recorded a consolidative bearish candle, with the K-line combination leaning bearish, while the 4H chart showed signs of stopping the decline.
In the short term, it is expected to consolidate below 3,400 next week. For the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision. A breakthrough node will be ushered in after confirming the resistance above 3,400.
On the short-term 4-hour chart, the support below is focused around 3,340-45, and the short-term resistance above is around 3,380-85. The key focus is on the suppression at the 3,400-05 level. The overall strategy of going long on pullbacks within this range remains unchanged. For medium-term positions, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines, avoid chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels.
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold Market Weekly: Analysis & OutlookI. Market Trends and Institutional Game Analysis
This week, the gold price exhibited a typical volatile downward pattern, starting its correction from $3,450 on Monday and hitting an intraday low of $3,340 on Friday before rebounding sharply to around $3,370 ahead of the close. This movement essentially represents a "market washing" maneuver by institutions leveraging the short-term lull in Middle East tensions, with bears repeatedly attempting to push prices down by $10–$20 per round. However, each decline encountered significant resistance, starkly contrasting with the unilateral drop in April. Order flow characteristics indicate that bearish momentum has notably attenuated, with low-level selling appearing as a deliberately constructed "bear trap"—a signal reinforcing the unbroken medium-term upward trend of gold.
II. Macro-fundamental Support for Gold's Resilience
1.Escalating U.S. Fiscal CrisisThe U.S. fiscal deficit has reached $1.4 trillion annually, and even the $80 billion revenue increment from tariff wars remains negligible in this context. More critically, the Trump administration’s proposed "Big Infrastructure Bill" is projected to add $4 trillion to the deficit, fundamentally eroding the credit of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power. Historical data shows that fiscal deficit monetization consistently drives surges in gold’s safe-haven demand, meaning a decisive peak in gold prices remains unlikely until the deficit issue is resolved.
2.Hidden Geopolitical Risks in the Middle EastThe conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase, with Iran adopting a hardline stance in negotiations—demanding not only an immediate ceasefire from Israel but also accountability for war initiators and the retention of nuclear rights. Should the situation escalate abruptly over the weekend, the $110 correction seen this week could be fully reversed on the first trading day of next week.
III. Investment Strategy: Capitalize on the "Correction Entry" Window
The market currently exhibits the trait of "limited downside, unlimited upside": geopolitical risks and U.S. dollar depreciation expectations underpin gold’s floor, while unpriced macro uncertainties leave upward potential open. For investors, this correction presents an optimal opportunity to establish medium-to-long-term long positions. We recommend batch entry between $3,350–$3,380, targeting the $3,500 psychological level, with a stop-loss set below $3,320 to mitigate short-term volatility.
Risk Warning : Closely monitor developments in the Middle East over the weekend and the pace of U.S. fiscal bill implementation, as sudden events may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD: Is Bullish Trend Ended? Or It is just beginning big moveAs we previously stated that price can reverse between 3340 to 3350 region, which was a pivotal point for bulls. Price smoothly moved currently trading at 3376 and possibly bullish move continuing towards 3400,3450 and ultimately reaching 3600.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CD we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Trading Signals: Buy Dips at 3335-3345 Amid Bear Trap💡 Trading Framework In-Depth Analysis:
The Fed's policy statement failed to stir volatility (markets had fully priced in dovish expectations 💨);
Weekly market pattern: Asian sessions consistently saw rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in subsequent sessions 📉;
Tactical entry logic: Use intraday highs in Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
📊 Technical Validation & Risk Anchors
⚠️ Key Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals ignored → classic "bear trap" characteristics (bear trap 🚫);
⏳ Timing Strategy: Asian session highs form ideal resistance levels—recommend entering on pullbacks to the 38.2% Fibonacci support level 🎯.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD Precision Trading Signals ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Long Entry Range: 3335-3345 (stop loss can be set below 3325)
🚀 Take-Profit Target Range: 3360-3370 (partial profit-taking at first target 3360 recommended)
📢 Service Value-Added Notes
✅ Core trading signals updated daily in the morning (validated across 4-hour/daily double-timeframes);
✅ Refer to signal logic at any time during trading for sudden situations 🧭 (with historical win-rate statistics attached);
🌟 Wishing you smooth trading Next week — seize pullback opportunities to position 👇
Geopolitical Hedging vs Monetary Policy: Gold Trading TipsGold prices continued this week's correction trend during Friday's Asian trading session, once falling near the one-week low. Although there was a slight rebound afterward, the overall trend remained in a weak adjustment pattern. This correction was mainly affected by the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve. At this week's policy meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and the dot plot showed that only two rate cuts are expected by the end of 2025, while the rate cut expectations for 2026 and 2027 have been postponed. Even so, the US Dollar Index fell after hitting a weekly high, which provided some support for gold prices. In addition, growing trade concerns and escalating tensions in the Middle East have enhanced safe-haven demand, limiting the decline in gold prices.
From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current bullish momentum is dominant, and the resistance near 3375-3380 is clear. The pullback of gold prices has not broken through the upward channel for the time being, and the medium-to-long-term upward structure remains intact. If the Middle East conflict escalates or trade risks intensify, it may trigger a rebound and repair rally in gold prices. The daily chart closed in a doji star pattern, with prices retesting the middle 轨 of the Bollinger Bands, maintaining a volatile downward rhythm. The hourly chart shows significant downward characteristics, and a bearish strategy can be maintained before the resistance is broken. The resistance range is 3375-3380, and the support range is 3340-3345.
XAUUSD
sell@3070-3075
tp:3360-3350
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold Pullback: Bear Trap or Buy Dip?📊 Chart Analysis: A clear pullback within the established uptrend is visible, testing key support at —a healthy correction that reinforces the bullish structure.
🔍 News Contradiction🌍: Despite escalating Middle East tensions (typically a gold-positive catalyst), prices are trending lower—a classic bear trap scenario 🚫📉. This divergence underscores the importance of buying dips amid emotional sell-offs.
💡 Trading Framework:
Fed policy statement yesterday failed to spark volatility, as markets had already priced in dovish expectations 💨;
Weekly pattern: Asian sessions have consistently seen rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in later sessions 📉;
Tactical entry: Use intraday highs from Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
Technical Confirmations:
Risk Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals being ignored suggests deliberate bearish manipulation (bear trap 🚫);
Timing Strategy: Asian session highs serve as ideal resistance markers—look to enter on retracements to 38.2% Fib levels 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3335 - 3345
🚀 TP 3360 - 3370
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD – Technical AnalysisThe chart reflects a sustained bearish phase within a well-defined descending channel, yet current price action suggests a potential trend shift may be underway.
🧠 Key Observations:
Price Compression Near Channel Support:
The market is testing the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating possible exhaustion of selling momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price remains below the cloud, confirming bearish structure for now. However, cloud thinning ahead signals a weakening trend, which often precedes a reversal.
Projected Recovery Path:
A forecasted move is highlighted, suggesting a break above $3,360–$3,380, targeting the upper cloud resistance near $3,400. This level aligns with prior structure and volume interest.
Volume Profile (left):
Strong volume nodes align with support zones, reinforcing the potential for a bounce if momentum shifts.
📌 Strategy Insight:
While bearish momentum remains in control, signs of stabilization and potential reversal are emerging. Traders should wait for:
A confirmed break above the cloud, or
A bullish engulfing with volume support to validate long entries.
✅ Summary:
Trend remains bearish, but the setup shows early signs of accumulation and reversal. A breakout from the cloud and descending channel could trigger a shift toward $3,400+ in the near term. Monitoring phase active.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move🚨 Trade Setup Alert
📍 H1 Orderblock Zone at 3330–3320
🔑 High-probability BUY setup after liquidity sweep 🟢
🎯 Target: 3362 and possibly 3396+
🛑 SL below 3315
📍 Mitigated Supply Zone at 3396–3400
🔻 Possible SELL setup if price rejects that level 🔴
🎯 Target: 3365 / 3340
🛑 SL above 3412
⚠️ Key Level: 3362–3365 must break to reach upper supply zone.
✅ A level viz. 3340 shared yesterday, I bought from 3340 and bagged +180 pips 💸
👀 Watch price action closely near these zones for confirmation.
📊 Trade with proper risk management! 💼
Trading Guide for Long-Short Game under Oscillating PressureI. Yesterday's Market Performance and Trend
Yesterday, the price of gold exhibited a "V-shaped" oscillation pattern. In the morning session, it faced selling pressure around $3,380 and declined to a low of $3,347. Subsequently, it rebounded and returned to the trading range of $3,360 - $3,375. On the daily chart, it closed with a doji star, and trading volume contracted, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears and the entry into a narrow trading range.
II. Outlook for Today's Weekly Close
As today marks the end of the weekly trading cycle, there are no clear factors driving a unidirectional trend. Key macroeconomic data has not been released yet, and the market remains divided on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Technically, the daily moving averages have flattened out, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting that the consolidation pattern is likely to persist.
III. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price of gold has been trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover below the zero line, with the green bars expanding. It has also broken below the upward trend line. The support level at $3,340 is now under threat. With a weak RSI, the market is expected to move lower in a volatile manner.
IV. Trading Strategies
Focus on Short Positions: Initiate small - scale short positions when bearish K - line patterns appear around $3,360, with a stop - loss set at $3,375 and a target price of $3,340. Consider adding to short positions if the price drops below $3,365, with a stop - loss at $3,380 and targets at $3,350 - $3,340. Supplement with Long Positions: Open small long positions if the price stabilizes at $3,340, with a stop - loss at $3,330 and a target price of $3,355. Add to long positions if bullish patterns emerge at the strong support level of $3,315, with a stop - loss at $3,300 and targets at $3,330 - $3,340.
Pay close attention to the release of the US initial jobless claims data in the evening. Limit each position to no more than 10% of the total capital and strictly adhere to stop - loss and take - profit levels.
XAUUSD
sell@3360-3370
tp:3350-3340
buy@3335-3345
tp:3355-3365
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally.
Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent.
Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points.
buy@3345-3355
TP:3380-3390
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
XAUUSD:Go long before you go short
Yesterday's market is relatively fast, we pay attention to the stop profit point, today's Asian plate fell, technical point of view, this week after the big Yin, there is little strength of the rebound, often after the reverse draw will be recovered, the same down after the rapid counterattack, short-term overall performance for the shock downward trend, the center of gravity moving down.
The trading space is also gradually shrinking, within the day can be around 3340-3370 range to operate.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3344-49
TP:3365-70
Consider going short at 3370-75
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Gold Accurate AnalysisFrom the 4-hour analysis of gold, there are repeated resistances from the bulls before the downward break; once the downward break, the market will go further down, and the focus below is 3340. The short-term 3400 above is still the key. Only by breaking the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, sell high and buy low, and pay attention to the breakthrough!
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold at present, and the market will not rise easily. At present, the international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. .
The upper short orders can be entered at the 3370-75 line, with a stop loss, and the target is more than 20 points. .
Trading is risky, please control it reasonably. Charlie will share more trading experience. Stay tuned. FX:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
The bears have the "match point", can the $3,340 line be held?Spot gold continued its correction this week, trading at $3,350.18/oz during the European session, down 0.61% on the day and 2.75% on the week, the worst performance in six weeks. The price has fallen below the lower track of the rising wedge since mid-May, the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening has widened, and the RSI is under pressure at 38.68, indicating that short-term short-term momentum has increased.
Fundamentals: Cooling of risk aversion demand and policy expectations
Geopolitical risk premium fades
Gold prices hit a high of $3,450 this week and then fell rapidly, the direct cause of which was the easing of the situation in the Middle East. U.S. President Trump said on Thursday that "it will take two weeks to evaluate the actions against Iran", temporarily easing market concerns about the escalation of military conflicts. In addition, the news of the resumption of negotiations between Europe and Iran further weakened safe-haven buying, and crude oil prices fell simultaneously (Brent crude oil fell more than 2% to $77/barrel), reflecting the market's pricing correction for energy supply disruptions.
The Fed’s policy path is suppressed
Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at its June meeting, its latest economic forecast released key signals:
Inflation tolerance has been reduced: the inflation forecast for the end of 2025 will be raised to 3%, and it is clearly stated that "inflation stickiness needs to be guarded against";
The pace of interest rate cuts has been postponed: the dot plot shows that the number of interest rate cuts this year has decreased, and the first interest rate cut may be postponed to September, and the terminal interest rate level is higher than previously expected;
The economic outlook has been downgraded: the GDP growth forecast has been lowered from 2.1% to 1.4%, and the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 4.5%.
Chairman Powell particularly emphasized that "tariff rhetoric may push up costs in the coming months", suggesting that if Trump imposes new tariffs after the tariff suspension deadline on July 9, the Fed may further adjust its policy. This stance has weakened the short-term appeal of gold as an inflation hedge, and the US dollar index rose 0.6% this week, suppressing gold prices.
Technical aspect: key support level faces test
Short-term structure weakens
4-hour chart: the price has fallen below the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3373.42, and the lower track at 3344.81 has become the key support for the day. The MACD histogram turns negative and the DIFF crosses below the DEA, and the RSI leaves the neutral area, indicating that the bears are dominant. If the $3340 support is lost, the next target will be the low of $3300 on June 9-10.
Daily level: The 50-day moving average (3317.54) and the 100-day moving average (3139.52) form a medium- and long-term support band, but the 200-day moving average (2901.15) is far below the current price, suggesting that if the correction deepens, it may open up more room for decline.
Divergent views among institutions
Some analysts pointed out that after the gold price broke through the rising wedge, the reverse trend line (now at $3390) and the June 18 high of $3400 will constitute a rebound resistance. Strategists from well-known institution Saxo believe: "The decline in crude oil prices has eased concerns about stagflation, but if tariff rhetoric heats up again, gold may regain the favor of safe-haven funds."
Outlook for the future: focus on two major catalysts
Geopolitically sensitive window
In the next two weeks, we need to keep a close eye on Trump's final decision on Iran policy. If the military option returns to the agenda, gold may quickly regain the $3,400 mark. On the contrary, if the negotiations make progress, gold prices may fall to the 3,300-3,317 area (50-day moving average + previous low resonance support).
Policy and data linkage
July 9 tariff node: If the United States imposes tariffs on economies such as the European Union, it may affect gold prices in both directions through inflation expectations and risk sentiment;
June non-agricultural data: If the job market deteriorates significantly (such as an unexpected increase in unemployment), it may strengthen the Fed's expectations of early rate cuts and ease gold selling pressure.
The current gold price is in a dual adjustment stage of technical and fundamental aspects. The defensive strength of the $3,340-3,300 support band will determine the medium-term direction. Traders need to be wary of event-driven volatility amplification, especially during policy vacuum periods, when liquidity changes may lead to price overshoots. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
6/20 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood evening, everyone!
After gold rallied to around 3388 yesterday, it began to retrace gradually, providing solid returns for our sell-side strategy.
As of now, gold has dipped to a session low near 3339. On the 30-minute chart, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and price has broken above the Bollinger mid-band, indicating short-term bullish momentum. The candle structure supports a potential rebound, but strong overhead resistance remains.
Key resistance comes from the 1H MA60 around 3371, and gold still trades within a broader bearish trend on the daily timeframe. While bulls may attempt a recovery, a complete trend reversal remains unlikely unless significant bullish catalysts emerge.
Hence, our strategy continues to favor selling near resistance levels, while cautiously considering long entries near well-defined supports.
📌 Trading Plan (VIP Focus):
✅ Sell Zone: 3370–3383
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3321
✅ Flexible Trade Range: 3366-3349
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
.
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
The bear market is over? Short at high and long at low📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
Due to the early closing yesterday, the volatility of the US market was limited and the market seemed relatively flat. From a technical perspective and the current trend, 3340 is a key defensive support level. If it retreats to this level, you can consider going long. If the gold price continues to rise and reaches 3375, from the perspective of trading strategy, you can choose to place a short order here. Focus on the resistance line of 3370-3375 during the day, and pay attention to the support of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3375
TP 3360-3355-3345
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3360-3370
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold rebounded. Continue to short during the dayThe next day, the gold daily cross K-line closed flat, and after being under pressure around 3388, it fell to 3347. Because it failed to effectively turn positive, it means that the decline is still continuing. Many people say that the bulls will reverse the trend after regaining 3370, and they also told me that 3347 should be taken in the middle line. I also seriously tell you that 3380 is the real pressure level of yesterday's hourly long upper shadow line. At least the price must break through here and stand firm before we can see the dawn of reversal. There is also the most critical barrier 3405 above. In the recent rhythm, the price will be corrected after each new low. Yesterday, chasing the short at 3370 was a typical position of aggressive washing, so you can't chase it aggressively in terms of position. Position determines confidence!
The daily middle track support has been punctured. Although this is the mid-term lifeline support of the bulls, it does not mean that it will not be broken. It can only be said that some friends are too obsessed with the bulls! At present, the short-term price is oversold. If it rebounds, you can continue to short. There is no need to chase the short below. From the 4H analysis, the pressure is still to focus on the 3380-75 area for shorting, and the key pressure is to focus on the 3400 mark. No matter where the decline stops and rebounds, you can short once below 3380 during the day. In summary, the main short and auxiliary long continue to be the main tone. For more specific operation suggestions, please follow Charlie (the best position for the market effect) FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
Gold hits bottom again and is waiting to reboundAs of today, Friday, gold is still fluctuating and adjusting in the lower range, but from the 4-hour market trend, the gold trend is still dominated by bulls. In the short term, gold fluctuates at a low level. Today, Friday, we will first focus on the support level of 3347-53 below, which is also the starting point of the rebound yesterday. If this position is not broken today, Friday, we will mainly focus on the rebound and bullish closing. From the 4-hour analysis, the support below focuses on 3347-53, and the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3380-83 level. Focus on the suppression of 3408-3415. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold when it falls back to 3347-53, stop loss 3338, target 3380-3383, and look at 3408-15 if it breaks;