XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold.
Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices
If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
Xauusdlong
After breaking KEY DAY yesterday, it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Gold is expected to hit 3410-3420 againBecause of the news that Iran hopes to ease the hostile relationship with Israel, gold fell sharply in the short term, then rebounded after touching 3383, and quickly recovered above 3390. From this point of view, the buying support below is strong, and the market sentiment is still high, which limits the downside of gold, and the support of 3390-3380 area is still valid.
Although the bullish momentum of gold has weakened relatively due to the retracement in the short term, as long as gold remains above 3380, it still maintains a strong upward structure; and the retracement only exacerbates the short-term shock trend. Gold is still likely to maintain a shock upward structure and try to touch the 3410-3420 area again. Once gold breaks through 3420 strongly, it is expected to hit the area near 3450 again.
So for short-term trading, I still hold a long position in gold, and there is still a certain profit now. I have to say that if gold can reach the 3410-3420 area as expected, our profits will increase significantly!
XAUUSD Bouncing back to 3450?3380.27, 3383.94 and 3386.08 three daily consecutively candlestick patter with continuted series of higher low formed the daily support. Previous daily candle just closed at support with an ATR of 1.1ATR, which is quite large in the opposite direction of the major trend while the price is trading above 10ema in the daily.
In 4h there is also 3 ATR ( overall) bearish move is spotted giving a high probability for this market to bounce back to the daily resistance to the major direction of the trend.
We have a buy position at this level and will keep you posted for more updates!
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area.
This decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand.
Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal.
That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions.
For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420.
Trading Suggestion:
Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area.
This decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand.
Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal.
That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions.
For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420.
Trading Suggestion:
Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3380
TP 3400-3410-3420
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3360-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Outlook: Bulls Defend Support Amid Rising Geopolitical RiskGold (XAU/USD) remains within a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, trading inside an ascending channel. Recently, price attempted to break above the key resistance near $3,450 but failed, leading to a minor pullback toward the mid-channel area around $3,428–$3,430, where buyers are currently defending support. The key support remains at $3,394–$3,400, which also coincides with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
As long as price holds above this level, the bullish trend remains intact, and there is potential for a breakout above the $3,450 resistance zone. If a breakout occurs and price closes above $3,450 on the 4-hour chart, the next bullish targets would be around $3,475 and then $3,500–$3,510. On the downside, if price fails to hold $3,394, it may trigger a short-term bearish correction toward the next support zone around $3,380–$3,370.
Overall, gold is currently in a consolidation phase inside the $3,394–$3,450 range, with a bullish bias above $3,394. A breakout above $3,450 may trigger strong upward momentum, while a break below $3,394 could open the door for a deeper correction.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ~$3,394–$3,400 (channel floor) and intermediate support at $3,430–$3,440 .
Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is $3,445–$3,450, with broader upside potential toward $3,500+ if that break occurs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️
🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390
🚀 TP 3410 - 3420
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend FollowingXAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend Following
Gold prices have been moving sideways, forming a consolidation range, and recently broke out to the upside last week.
Currently, the price is pulling back to retest the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). If it can bounce from the 3400 support level, the next target would be the Range Volatile Week High around 3500.
However, if the FVG fails to hold, the price may drop to the next support levels at 3350 and 3300.
These are critical supports that should not be broken, as they also align with the ascending trendline (Up Trend Line).
That said, this move is seen as a pullback for a potential continuation to the upside.
Strategy: Buy the dip
Wait for a reversal candlestick at the key support zones.
The bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 3250.
GOLD TRADE IDEA BULLISH MOMENTPrice is approaching a high-interest demand zone, marked by previous accumulation and clean inefficiency. My plan?
I’m not rushing in — I’m waiting for a 15-minute structure shift. Once that happens, I’ll look for a minor FVG to enter with precision.
📌 Key Criteria:
Price must react in the zone
Clear shift in structure (bullish intent)
Minor FVG forms = potential sniper entry
Targeting a high RR setup (6.5+)
Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold Higher – 3500 Within ReachWishing everyone a peaceful weekend—despite turbulent times.
This weekend has been anything but calm. The escalating conflict in the Middle East continues to widen, with rising casualties. As always, war is often a pursuit of power by those at the top, while the real cost is borne by innocent civilians. Though we are mere observers from afar, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the situation.
From a geopolitical perspective, this conflict coincides with U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations. Could this be a calculated move by certain powers to shift the balance in their favor? While it remains speculative, what’s certain is that the intensifying conflict is already shaking global financial markets.
In such a climate, safe-haven assets are clearly benefiting. Gold’s upward momentum appears firmly established, and oil’s direction hinges on the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed, a surge in USOIL prices toward $100 would no longer seem unlikely.
Under the influence of such impactful news, traditional technical analysis plays a lesser role. The market direction is largely determined by sentiment, and chart patterns now serve more as entry point references rather than decisive indicators.
My trading outlook for Monday:
If gold opens with a bullish gap and rallies toward the 3480–3500 zone, this area could present a short-term selling opportunity—ideally executed with a quick in-and-out strategy;
If a pullback follows, look to build intraday long positions: aggressive traders may consider entries near 3430, while conservative ones can wait for a potential retest of the 3418 level.
One crucial reminder: News-driven markets are highly uncertain. Eventually, every war comes to an end, and when the demand for safe havens fades, so too will prices. Stay rational in your decisions, and always manage your risk appropriately.
Middle East tensions rise, gold eyes 3500 this week
🌍 Over the weekend, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply, with geopolitical conflicts further intensifying. Multiple forces were drawn into the fray, the scope of conflict expanded continuously, and related military actions triggered widespread international concern, significantly increasing regional uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has had a profound impact on global financial markets, causing a notable decline in investors' risk appetite. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has once again become the top choice for investors. The market expects that as the Middle East situation continues to ferment in the coming week, risk-averse sentiment will remain high, and gold is expected to continue benefiting from this trend, with a high likelihood of breaking through the key $3,500 mark 📈.
Additionally, this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech will also be key factors influencing the trend of gold prices. Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, and fluctuations in inflation figures as well as subtle changes in the job market have left the market full of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction. If the Fed signals a dovish stance in its interest rate decision, hinting at the possibility of future rate cuts, gold prices will undoubtedly gain further upward momentum. A lower interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold while weakening the appeal of the U.S. dollar, thus prompting more funds to flow into the gold market. Conversely, if the Fed adopts a hawkish stance, emphasizing the maintenance of current interest rates or even hinting at possible future rate hikes, this will exert certain pressure on gold prices ⚖️.
Equally noteworthy is that U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15th to 17th to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. Trump's words and deeds in international affairs often carry significant influence and uncertainty. At this summit, his speeches and interactions with other world leaders may trigger a reassessment of the global economic and trade situation by the market, thereby causing fluctuations in gold prices 📊. For example, if Trump makes tough statements on trade policies, geopolitics, etc., it may exacerbate market concerns and push gold prices higher; if he conveys more positive signals of cooperation, market risk appetite may recover, and gold prices may face certain correction pressure. Therefore, investors need to closely monitor every move of Trump at the summit to timely grasp investment opportunities and risks in the gold market 👀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD Long Position Gold is currently in a retracement with the potential for a further to the upside from the $3400 break-and-retest level. Last week we saw a massive rally to the upside for Gold after 2 days of indecision, during this rally, Gold broke above the $3400 resistance zone and now has the potential to use this level and platform to bounce further to the upside. On the 4 hour timeframe, Gold is comfortable trading above the 50 SMA and the $3400 potentially lays in the 45-55 zone of the RSI which is the sweet spot region indicating the need of a retracement and continuation of the the primary trend which is bullish. Will be looking to trade from $3400 with Stop loss below structure towards the $3445 resistance level.
Middle East Tensions Soar, Bulls Remain DominantBrief Update on Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict:
On June 14, Israeli forces airstruck Iran's Defense Ministry, nuclear facilities, and oil installations—causing a Tehran residential building to collapse and killing 60 civilians. 💥
Iran fired 50 ballistic missiles into Israel, damaging structures in Tel Aviv. A senior advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader died from injuries; Israel released a hit list of 9 Iranian nuclear scientists. ⚠️
Iran Nuclear Talks Developments:
Iran announced new nuclear safeguards without IAEA notice, warning NPT withdrawal if sanctioned. 🛑
June 15th U.S.-Iran talks canceled. ⏳
The Middle East situation is currently heating up 🌍💥. With the intensifying of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to continue to benefit from the boost of risk-averse sentiment next week and may break through the $3,500 mark 📈. The price of gold will also be affected by the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech during the week 🏛️. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit from June 15th to 17th, and his speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of gold prices, which is worthy of attention 🇺🇸🇨🇦
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold goes long when it falls back to 3408-10, and goes long when it falls back to 3388-95. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long
For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long.
Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3407-12
TP:3427-30
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Gold is on a roller coaster rideTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. This week, we need to focus on monitoring two major support levels: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415 when it falls back. Click the homepage for more information
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers.
After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength.
Trade Setup Breakdown
• Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support)
• Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits
• Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position.
• Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500.
Why the Bias Is Bullish
1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip
The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal.
2. Volume Confirmation
Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement.
3. Support Retest Potential
The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action.
4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant)
Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility.
Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term.
Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections.
The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today.
And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.