Gold sells off sharply on tariff dayGold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. The price rose from 2614 in a step-by-step manner due to risk aversion, and then consolidated. The tariff policy officially took effect, and the price was blocked at 3168, and fell back after the second confirmation; it is emphasized that the short-term structure is weakening, and the support of the weekly and monthly charts is far away. Combined with the non-agricultural data at the end of the week, we need to be vigilant about the risk of profit-taking and selling; short-term resistance is 3120-3124, and strong resistance is 3135; short-term support is 3104-3100, and strong support is 3095-3085. If it breaks, look back to 3054;
Xauusdlong
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
Gold fell into a high-level consolidation.Although the gold price briefly fell back to 3100 points, the strength was limited. The big positive line quickly broke through, showing that the short-term momentum was insufficient, the long-term was still strong, and the probability of a new high was greatly increased. On the hourly chart, the gold price maintained high fluctuations, and the strength and sustainability of the retracement were not strong. The technical form of the small-level cycle was gradually adjusted in place, and it was expected to continue to rise in the late trading. The upper resistance was concentrated in the 3127-3133 range, and the lower support was in the 3107-3103 range.
Strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, target at 3120-3130, and break at 3140.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Has gold peaked and gone short?So has gold peaked and turned bearish? Yesterday, it rebounded after a sharp drop. Although it fell back, it still closed above 3100, indicating that the market is not weak and has not completely turned bearish. Although the daily line turned negative yesterday, it closed with a long lower shadow and did not fall below the short-term moving average. We can only see long adjustments or corrections. There are generally two types of corrections: time correction and price correction. Time correction is to exchange time for space, and the price does not change much; while price correction is to complete the correction with rapid price fluctuations, mostly in the form of a high-rise fall or a bottom-out rebound. Yesterday's trend was a price correction.
XAUUSD:Wait for Nonfarm Payrolls to boost upward trendOn Thursday, the price of gold plummeted by $110 initially. Subsequently, it rebounded from $3,054 to $3,135, surging by nearly $80. This was a typical market scenario of a double whammy for both bulls and bears in a washout. Whether it was those who chased long positions at high levels or those who chased short positions expecting a pullback, they all suffered losses. The level of $3,054 witnessed a perfect conversion from a top to a bottom.
Today, when it comes to the resistance levels of gold, there are two key positions to focus on. One is the morning's high point at $3,120, and the other is the high point of the pullback at $3,135. As for the support levels below, we should pay attention to $3,080 and $3,065. There will be a market movement influenced by the Nonfarm Payrolls data tonight. It is expected that before the release of the data, the price will fluctuate within a range above and below $3,100, which serves as the demarcation line. When the price surges, look for a pullback towards $3,100; when it dips, look for a rebound towards $3,100. It is recommended to mainly take long positions at low levels. Tonight, we need to pay attention to whether the Nonfarm Payrolls data will help gold prices rise again.
Here, I would like to caution all traders once again to protect their accounts. Wait until the washout of both bullish and bearish forces is over before resuming trading!
Trading Strategy:
buy@3080
TP:3110
Sell@3135
TP:3100
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Gold tariff policy boosts risk aversion!The 4-hour chart fluctuates around 3100-3138 and then rises. At present, the short-term momentum of the single positive line breaking the high is strong, and there is still room for further extension. At the same time, the middle track is lost and recovered, and the middle track is still the key long defense point. The Asian session relies on 3135-3138 as a support conversion point. First, look at a wave of inertia rushing up. In terms of operation, short-term longs near 3138-3140 are used for retracement, defense 3130, target 3165-3175, long at high positions strictly with a good defense position, and timely pocket money after the rush.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the 3138-3140 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3175-3178, stop loss 6 points, target around 3155-3145, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3160-3170, and look at the 3180 line if it breaks;
XAUUSD Today's analysis 3100On Thursday (April 3rd), Asian markets opened to Trump’s surprise tariff announcement. Surging risk - aversion pushed spot gold to a record $3,167.60 per ounce. But profit - taking by jittery investors soon reversed the rally, sending prices down to $3,054.19. Later, as economic uncertainty grew, bargain - hunters drove the price back up to $3,125.
Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors will keep swaying the gold market. Upcoming US labor data may influence Fed policy, in turn affecting gold. Global trade tensions remain high, and more capital may flow into gold as a safe - haven.
Technically, $3,100 per ounce is a key support and resistance level. A sustained price above it could draw more bulls, while a break below may unleash bears. Gold mining stocks, tied to company operations and geopolitics, also merit attention as they mirror gold’s short - term swings.
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NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50.
The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading.
Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions.
At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086.
Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
Gold has been moving big recently, don’t hold it blindly!What is coming has come, more than 100 US dollars a day, the decline is always faster than the rise, and more fierce, after breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward, the current minimum is 3054, the key position below is 3000/3040, pay attention to the plunge and the card position can also participate in the long, but must be patient to wait for the position.
After the big drop, the stage high point appears, and the follow-up is that both long and short can participate. The first plunge only establishes the high point position, and it is not so fast to turn short. It will fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The evening news detonates the market, and the main force often uses the news to pull up shipments. If the rebound touches 3110-3120, short it.
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation.
📊 Analysis:
✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength.
✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure.
✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with .
✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead.
🔮 Potential Scenario:
The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level.
📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves.
📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels.
📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages.
📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research.
🔗 Tags:
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
How does tariff gold work?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Gold Analysis StrategyTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged and then fell in the early trading, with the highest price rising to 3167. However, the price subsequently fell and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116 at the lowest. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term trend will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we will see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data tomorrow, Friday. However, one point worth noting is that the 4-hour MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. In addition, the high and fall of gold today, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. So far, there has been a sharp decline, and the impact of the news is more of a roller coaster up and down wide fluctuation. The daily and monthly lines are currently under pressure on the upper track, and bulls should be careful.
The 4H cycle failed to open upward. As a rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support below is still the long-short watershed of 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and gradually look up near 3116. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3148-3150, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, break to 3115
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3115-3118, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, break the position and look at 3150
Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
Online real-time guidance on gold trendsGold went up in the early trading, but the price fell again after rising to 3135. The fluctuation range of European trading narrowed. ADP employment data exceeded expectations. The market failed to break out of the trend. The current market is in the range of 3135-3109. The market is waiting for the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs to be announced at 3 am. The tariff policy announced by Trump is expected to have an adverse impact on the global economy, especially the United States. The current structure of gold is still bullish. After the correction, continue to go long at the key support level.
At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Is gold going to be eclipsed?
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Timeframe: 240 Min
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The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics.
Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.
Gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and seesaws!The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. The 1-hour moving average of gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be important event news. Therefore, gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out in a new round of direction. Gold did not break through the intraday high, so our US market will continue to be high and empty.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
Analysis of gold market outlookTechnical analysis of gold: Gold fluctuated on Wednesday, and the price went back and forth repeatedly. After the US market retreated on Tuesday, it did not fall below the 3100 mark. Only after breaking this position can it open up further downward space. The upper side is the 3140 mark. It should be noted that even if it breaks higher, it is necessary to prevent long risks, and it is only suitable for short-term. Gold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend. The current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line is formed. Attention should be paid to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair is completed.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. Gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the shape of a head and shoulders top. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be news of important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold move in a new direction. Gold has not broken through the intraday high, so we will continue to focus on high-altitude trading in the US market. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break the position and look at 3100
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3100-3103, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break the position and look at 3130
Gold tariff policy implemented and increased as expectedAffected by fundamentals, gold has once again risen sharply. The daily line finally closed with a medium-sized positive, maintaining a strong run at a high level. Pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, there will be continued high momentum. In the hourly cycle, it has strongly broken through the upper Bollinger track and moved higher around the moving average support. There is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle track has been lost and recovered. The middle track is still a key watershed. The lower support is at 3148 and around 3138. Go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look up to 3170 and 3200! Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170! If it is extremely strong, it relies on 3148 to directly short the position and be long!
Gold 100% ProfitGold failed to hit 3200 and turned to fall. In the early morning, it bottomed out and rebounded under the influence of the news of the implementation of the tariff policy. It continued to rise in the morning and reached the highest level of 3167, with an increase of 62 US dollars from 3105-3167.
However, the market rebounded from the high and fell in the Asian session, and fell sharply in the afternoon, reaching the lowest level of 3116. This continuous decline basically bid farewell to the possibility of continuing to rise today. The watershed was broken in the morning, and there was no hope of breaking the high.
Today's continuous sharp decline is mainly due to the implementation of the tariff policy, buying expectations and selling facts, and the actual implementation of the news. Longs took profits.
The European session may rebound from the low sideways. In the evening, we will focus on the pressure of 3140-3150. If the intraday low of 3116 breaks, it may fall to 3100 again.
The more tests are made, the greater the probability of breaking. There have been three downward tests before. The breaking market will initially turn to short, opening up the space below. Focus on the big non-agricultural data tomorrow Friday.
The current gold price has risen again and again, and it has deviated from the technical structure, and the risk has increased accordingly. The market has repeatedly forced to rise. No one knows where the top is, and there is no previous high for reference. The risk area can be preliminarily judged by the increase. In short, don't be too arrogant, and stability is more important than anything else.
In terms of trading, the overall market of gold yesterday was in line with the expected judgment. The bullish market turned to shock and adjustment, with a range of 3138-3100. In terms of operation, I went short at 3131 in the morning, reduced my position at 3118, took profit at 3110, and earned 21 US dollars; I waited and saw whether it would break above 3138 or below 3100 in the European session; I went short at 3119 in the evening, and went up to 3130 with a light position and added shorts, and finally took profit at 3116-3117, earning a profit of 13 US dollars.
Can gold still go long?The market has ushered in key variables. There is uncertainty about the increase in tariffs in the tariff policy. Whether it is a reciprocal tariff or a 25% increase on the basis of the reciprocal tariff has attracted much attention. However, even if the news is not as good as market expectations, the price of gold will only fall back at most, because the implementation of the tariff policy will slow down the development of the global economy, especially the impact on the manufacturing industry, which is not conducive to the recovery of the global economy. Under the global economic contraction, the price of gold will inevitably be supported. In addition, the ADP data is also crucial, which is related to the trend of non-agricultural data. At present, the probability of interest rate cuts has increased to 50%, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has supported gold. The overall environment is good for gold. Although the news will cause price fluctuations in the short term, it is difficult to change the overall rhythm. The bull trend cannot continue indefinitely; second: the reversal of the trend is bound to be accompanied by changes in the fundamental environment; we are now in the third stage of the bull market, and it is a historical bull market trend, which cannot be treated in a conventional way of thinking; the subsequent trend changes will definitely give us enough time and space to make arrangements! The hourly line of gold dropped to 3110 again. Obviously, the bulls have withstood the test. The big positive line took off directly. The bullish trend has not changed. The big positive line broke through the suppression of the moving average again. At present, it is rising on the moving average and continues to look at the 3150 line. Investment strategy: Gold 3110 long, stop loss 3100, target 3180
Gold may have big moves!The trend of gold's rising trend after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing the lower level, it may return to the integer mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near the low point. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of $3,148-50, which is a new high. Gold has been singing all the way to the 3085 line, and there is still room and demand for further rise. It opened directly to the 3097 line. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3150 line above gold. The callback is mainly long, and short orders must be cautious. Gold operation ideas; 1; The upper short order can be tried at the 3125 line, with a small stop loss, and the target is 15 points above 3075. If the loss is swept and the position is not covered, no more entry will be made. The previous high is near this point, and the short order will try a single order at this point. 2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3100 line, looking at 10-15 points, and the long order must be stopped.