XAUUSD Possible Move 21-04-2025XAU/USD Technical Analysis — April 21, 2025
The Gold shows a bullish trend continuation pattern, with price currently testing a key resistance area. Three key levels have been identified for potential buy entries depending on how price reacts:
🔴 1st Buying Level: $3,396 - Breakout and Retest Zone
Entry Strategy: Buy only if price breaks above this level and successfully retests it.
Condition for Buying: A clear breakout followed by a minor retest confirming support.
Condition for Selling: If price gets rejected at this level and shows weakness on a minor retest, a short position could be considered.
⚫ 2nd Buying Level: Around $3,370
Entry Strategy: Buy if price pulls back to this level and it holds as support.
Note: This is a more conservative buy zone, ideal if the breakout fails and price retraces.
Confirmation Needed: Look for bullish price action like a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle at this level.
⚫ 3rd Buying Level: Around $3,355 (Ideal Entry)
Entry Strategy: This is considered the “perfect” buying level.
Reason: It aligns with previous structure and demand zone.
Best For: Traders looking for a deep pullback with optimal risk-reward potential.
🎯 Bullish Target: $3,425
If price breaks and sustains above the $3,396 level, the next potential upside target is $3,425.
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Xauusdlong
Gold’s Epic Surge: Why I’m Hyped for a Massive Breakout Here’s what I’m seeing with gold at $3,426, and why I’m glued to these levels just for you:
I’m betting if we smash past $3,426, gold’s sprinting to $3,454.
But if we hit a wall at $3,461, I’m bracing for a dip to $3,359. I’ve seen sellers pile in at highs before, and if they do, it’s just a quick nap before gold wakes up.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
Is there a chance that gold will fall?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold. Currently, the support of gold is around 3380. If the correction of gold is weak, it may continue to rise after testing 3380.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then gold has a probability to continue to test the low support position near 3370.
Finally, there is the 4-hour support position of 3360-3350.
Therefore, try to pay attention to the support situation here at 3380 first. If there is a chance to reach this point and stabilize, gold will have the opportunity to continue to look at 3420 and 3435.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then you need to continue to wait for the low point of 3370, or even the high point of Friday at 3360-3350 to buy.
Gold is in a strong bullish trend. Don't be afraid of correctionThe continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the breakdown of the truce agreement have further enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold.
On Monday, the price of gold surged to around $3,427.
Under such a market rhythm, there is no room for hesitation; it is advisable to follow the trend.
Never entertain the idea of reversing your position.
After the sharp rise and breaking of the previous high in the early morning, it was necessary to go long on gold once again during the afternoon or the European trading session. We planned to enter a long position around $3,384 - $3,383 in the intraday trading, and currently, the price has reached the target level as expected.
In the subsequent period, the key focus can be on the secondary inflection point of the day, which is around $3,370 - $3,368. This is the last inflection point of the upward movement, and the double bottom of the uptrend is a position where going long is a must.
After a strong upward movement, it is not excluded that the price of gold may face technical pullback pressure, especially considering that the current indicators are all in an overbought state. Therefore, while following the trend, we also need to be vigilant against risks. Avoid chasing the price at high levels and refrain from placing reckless orders.
If you are currently not satisfied with your gold trading performance and hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Gold prices hit resistance as they push higherGold prices continued to fluctuate this week. Last Thursday, gold prices stabilized and rebounded near $3,284, and remained strong after breaking through $3,300. During today's Asian session, gold prices repeatedly hit the 3,385 pressure level but failed. After retreating to around 3,369 and gaining support, they rebounded again to around 3,396. The current price faces technical repair needs, but the overall upward trend has not changed, and the probability of breaking through the $3,400 mark is still high. The support level of the retracement is focused on the Asian session low of 3369 US dollars and the 4-hour MA5 moving average of 3360 US dollars. You can arrange long orders on dips; the upper pressure focuses on the 3396-3400 line. After breaking through, you need to be alert to the pressure of the daily error band indicator of 3425-3430 US dollars. At present, you can go short at the rebound of 3395 in the short term. The general trend is still dominated by low and long.
Gold recommendation: Go short near the rebound of 3395-3400, stop loss 3405, target 3370, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold operation: Go long near the retracement of 3370-3375, stop loss 3362, target 3400, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉
Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week.
In this video, we:
🗺️ Break down the key chart levels
🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups
🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move
Disclaimer:
This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
The market bullish trend continues, operation strategy.Driven by multiple favorable factors, the international gold price has continued to hit record highs this year, reaching $3,357/ounce by the close of last Friday. Although a technical correction signal appeared after hitting a record high last Thursday, it eventually closed above $3,320/ounce, with a real positive line on the weekly line and short upper and lower shadows, indicating that there is still inertial upward momentum this week. It is worth noting that while the market is expected to correct overbought at the end of the week, there are still funds that choose to buy on dips, resulting in a bottoming-out and rebound trend in gold prices last Friday, and finally closed at $3,327/ounce, further strengthening the bullish trend.
From the perspective of technical analysis, the correction on Thursday last week was supported at $3,284/ounce, which is more resilient than the previously expected $3,245/ounce previous high conversion support, so it can be adjusted to a short-term long-short watershed. The focus on the suppression effect of the historical high of $3,357/ounce is needed above. If there are major changes in the news over the weekend, especially in trade frictions and Fed policy expectations (such as Trump's remarks continue to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates), the probability of gold going up will be significantly increased.
Based on the current technical form and fundamental factors, this week's gold trading strategy recommends that the callback is mainly long, supplemented by short-term rebound short selling. In terms of specific operations, the first long order entry point can refer to $3310/ounce, which is both the ladder support level of the previous high callback and the technical retracement confirmation point. The stop loss can be set at $3290/ounce, and the target is $3389/ounce. If this resistance level is effectively broken, the upper space can be further expanded to the $3410/ounce area. Comprehensively judged, today's short-term operation of gold recommends callback long as the dominant idea, rebound short selling as an auxiliary strategy, focus on the pressure of the $3400-3420/ounce range above, and focus on the $3370-3360/ounce support level below.
When will gold's continued surge peak? Market analysis referenceTechnical analysis of gold: The recent gold bulls are very strong. No matter the daily or weekly charts, there is no peak signal. We previously estimated that 3400 is coming. Does anyone still question our prediction? However, the ups and downs of gold have made short-term operations more difficult. Last Thursday, the daily chart showed a deep V-shaped market. It was broken by 3300 and thought that the big shorts had begun. In fact, it was just a normal technical sell-off in the market before the holiday. Finally, it rebounded again in the middle of the night. Today's Asian session was even crazier, directly rising to around 3395. The big rise is not a top. Don't guess or intercept it. Moreover, this wave of market fluctuations is also the most in history. It has refreshed multiple records. For novices, surviving in such a market is the best.
In the 4-hour level, the price has made a small V-shaped reversal and continued to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. The 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and upward bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly in the Asian session, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Then the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3357 in the Asian session. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range may increase. Recently, gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of safe-haven. In this emotional market, you can only follow the trend, because gold keeps hitting new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don't chase more easily at high levels. After the volatility increases, the amplitude of each callback is not small. Opportunities are waiting. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to buy on callbacks and sell short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3405-3410 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3357-3360 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm
The bull market is not over yet, gold is heading towards 3400Sentiment Misjudgment:
A significant number of market participants misread the price action, anticipating a technical pullback based on historical precedent. However, gold defied expectations, breaking to fresh all-time highs, indicating a departure from traditional market behavior.
Recent Price Performance:
Gold has rallied from $2970 to $3380, registering a $400+ gain, now approaching the critical psychological barrier at $3400, supported by strong momentum.
Macro Drivers:
The global economy is entering a stagflationary phase, with persistently low real interest rates increasing gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Geopolitical tensions are escalating, heightening demand for safe-haven assets.
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence is under pressure amid political interference, reinforcing expectations for a policy pivot.
A shift away from the "cash is king" doctrine is emerging, with gold reasserting its role as a store of value in a global rebalancing of capital.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a structurally bullish setup, with key intraday supports at $3365 and $3355. Sustained trading above this zone increases the probability of a breakout toward $3390–$3395, with further upside potential in the U.S. session.
Strategic Recommendations:
Avoid holding long-term short positions against the prevailing trend.
Treat any corrective pullbacks as opportunities for accumulation within a broader bullish cycle.
Use $3360 as the key pivot level, maintaining a buy-on-dip strategy as long as it holds.
Stay disciplined with risk management and be a "friend of the trend"—let time compound the value of correct positioning.
Multi-dimensional Analysis of Gold's Strength and Volatility RisLong-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market.
Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls.
Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact.
Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term.
Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead:
- Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend;
- Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months).
Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against.
XAUUSD
buy@3300-3310-3320
tp:3340-3355-3370
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Gold fulfills weekly review expectations, Go long on the declineGold opened higher and continued to set new highs with strength, which is in line with our weekly review ideas and expectations. The weekly line closed with a full big positive, and there are still high points to be seen this week. After breaking the high on the daily line, it also continued to rise, and the shape remained strong. Before there is a high test and fall back, the short-term will continue to force a short rise, constantly setting new highs, and will not give the bears any breathing room. Therefore, the long idea remains unchanged this week. In the 4H cycle, it rebounded and strengthened relying on the middle track. The middle track support is at 3286, but the strong trend makes it difficult to have a large retracement space. The intraday short-term support remains at 3346, and if it is extremely strong, pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3358. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline, and gradually look up to 3380 and 3400. Short-term volatility increases. The specific layout is combined with the shape, and the notice before the market opens shall prevail!
Operation suggestion: Go long near gold 3346-3340, look at 3380, 3400! If it is very strong, buy gold at 3360-55!
The opening surge hit another record high! How Gold is TradedAnalysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: the opening price rose directly during the day, the bulls were strong, and a new historical high was set. The short-term upward trend remains, and there is still room for growth. In the short term, attention should be paid to the suppression of 3380-90. If it breaks, it depends on the 3400 mark. In fact, I have been reminding everyone that gold is still very strong. Looking back at last week, although gold occasionally fell, it still maintained an upward trend, and the trend is still running according to the rhythm of the bulls. So now it has broken the previous high point again, so many investors are confused again. Can it still rise? Can short orders still be made? My point of view is bullish. There is actually no strong pressure above, judging from the current K-line structure! Even if it retreats, it will only be the acceleration point of the next wave of rise. The probability of 3340 returning here is very high, but it is not so easy to break through in one breath. There will definitely be repeated at that time. At that time, we will get on the train again and do more, and a new high.
The 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of Bollinger Bands as a support point, and the area near the retracement point ends as far as possible. The middle track is the critical point of the short-term. Last week, it stabilized at 3286 on the middle track. This week, the middle track moved up to 3300. At the beginning of the week, the short-term may rise slowly around the middle track to a new high. The slow release of space is also accompanied by a step-by-step and back-to-back shock. The volatility base is large in operation, and it is flexible to deal with it in combination with the pattern. Going long on the retracement is still the main idea at present. The support point is 3340-3335. On the whole, it is recommended to go long on the pullback and short on the rebound for today's short-term operation of gold. The short-term focus on the resistance of 3380-3390 on the upper side and the support of 3335-3340 on the lower side. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy: short gold near 3380-3390 at the opening, target near 3370-3360, and look at 3340 if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3340-3345, target around 3365-3375, and look at 3400 if it breaks.
4/21 Gold Trading StrategyGood morning, everyone! A brand new week begins—wishing us smooth trades and great success ahead.
Looking back to last Thursday, our gold short strategy hit the mark perfectly. Prices dropped nearly $60 as expected, and we captured around $45 in profit from that move. Overall, we secured over $200 in profit space last week—an excellent performance.
Today, gold opened higher and continues to climb. Technically, bulls still have room to push higher, with 3360 as a key resistance level. However, judging by the current momentum, we may even see a test of 3400. That said, trading is about precision, not perfection. If prices approach 3380 and the upward momentum stalls, it may be time to watch for a pullback. On the other hand, if strength continues, holding some light long positions remains a relatively low-risk strategy.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3380–3410 range
📈 Buy in the 3307–3280 range
🔁 Flexible trades between 3360–3330 / 3272–3315
Gold breaks out strongly and rises, is it an opportunity?The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross and is in a bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly at the opening, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Therefore, the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. If gold falls back to 3357, continue to buy on dips. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range of gold may increase.
Gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of recent risk aversion. In this kind of emotional market, we can only follow the trend, because gold continues to hit new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don’t easily chase the highs. After the fluctuations increase, the magnitude of each correction will not be small.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3357, stop loss 3347, target 3380
Gold: Profit on Open, Focus on Key Zones Congrats to everyone who followed my long positions before last Thursday’s market close!
Gold opened higher today, bringing us the first profit of the new week — a great start with accurate direction!
Currently, gold is facing selling pressure near the historical high around 3360. On the 1H chart, technical indicators look solid. Once the pressure is absorbed, there’s a good chance the price may reach new highs today.
However, be cautious: If the upward trend weakens or stalls, there’s a risk of a double top formation — a bearish sign for the bulls.
📌 Key zones to watch today (as marked in the chart):
Support: Around 3308
Resistance: Around 3369
With price at elevated levels, a breakout above resistance often leads to a pullback to retest previous support, so adjust strategies flexibly.
Trading Advice:
Focus on support/resistance flips
Prioritize sell high, buy low within the zone
Manage risk and avoid chasing price blindly