Gold Move 20 May 2025🔍 Buy Setup Analysis – 3222–3225 Zone
Price is expected to retrace into the 3222–3225 demand zone during the London session. This level if holds and aligns with potential bullish interest.
✅ Entry Signal Criteria
Price enters 3222–3225 zone
Target: 3235/3245
SL: Below 3212
Bullish CHoCH or MSS appears
FVG forms and holds
Strong bullish candle closes above FVG
If these align, consider executing a long position with proper risk management.
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD and USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Rebound firmly short-sellingThe US dollar index continued to fall yesterday, breaking through the 100 integer mark, but the gold price did not break through the key resistance level. In the short term, we need to be alert to the risk of gold price correction. In addition, the three major US stock indexes have continued to rise recently, but the market risk appetite has decreased. We need to be alert to the market panic and liquidity tightening that may be caused by the stagnation of the US stock market's rise, which will put pressure on the gold market. Technically, the gold price was blocked at the important pressure level of 3250 yesterday, and the support below was at the 3200 mark. In the short term, it is still mainly range-bound. At present, the upper resistance is 3226-3233, and the lower support is 3189-3184. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound short and supplemented by callback long.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound short at 3228-3235, and the target is 3210-3193.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3189-3185 and go long, and the target is 3215-3235.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity.
🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation
We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent.
📌 Key Technical Elements
🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone
A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support.
🔷 2. Retesting Zone
After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk.
🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support
There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup.
📍 SL & Risk Management
The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility.
🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%.
🎯 Projected Target: $3,342
If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with:
The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move)
Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones
This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
What’s happening under the surface?
Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows.
Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last.
Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy.
Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected.
💡 How to Trade This Setup
Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance.
Entry Options:
Breakout entry on confirmation candle
Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R)
Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205)
Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+
📣 Final Thoughts:
This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting.
🔖 Tags:
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy.
Gold operation suggestions:
1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220.
2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
Gold fell below 3,200 today?
📌 Driving Events
In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) fell slightly to around $3,230, affected by a slight rebound in the US dollar (USD). However, continued concerns about the health of the US economy - especially after Moody's recent credit rating downgrade - may help limit further downside for precious metals. The rebound in the US dollar has curbed the upward momentum of dollar-denominated assets such as gold. Nevertheless, heightened economic uncertainty is still supporting safe-haven demand. Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating from "Aaa" to "Aa1" on Friday, citing its rising debt levels and interest payments that have exceeded other similarly rated countries. These developments have kept risk sentiment fragile and provided potential support for gold prices.
📊Comment Analysis
Accumulating along the upper and lower trend lines, the gold price will break out and require more liquidity than the downward trend
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3224-3226 SL 3230 Scalping
TP1: $3215
TP2: $3208
TP3: $3200
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3276-3278 SL 3283 Scalping
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3152 - $3150 SL $3145
TP1: $3165
TP2: $3180
TP3: $3195
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend.
Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend.
From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening.
Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold.
Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
Putin's phone call changed the market?
📌 Driving Events
Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure
Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!"
US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine."
This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations."
Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite.
📊Comment analysis
For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine.
💰Strategy Package
Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range.
Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Perfect grasp of key points Insight into market trendsWith the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and the recent weak U.S. economic data, market expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut have increased. The U.S. dollar index has plummeted and is once again facing the 100 mark. Risk aversion sentiment has rebounded again, and gold has once again been sought after. It opened higher in the Asian session. However, we have mentioned the repetitiveness of sentiment many times recently, so we remind you not to chase the rise too much. We remind you to short near 3245, long at 3209, and short again near 3245. Both long and short positions are very accurate, giving perfect entry opportunities and successfully taking profits.
Judging from the current trend, gold is under pressure again in the European session near 3248, and the US session has fallen back. The short-term strength has turned into a wide sweep again. Focus on the gains and losses of 3230. If it falls below or looks at the gap area of 3206-3203, go long if it falls back and does not break. The upper pressure is still focused on the area near 3253-60. Short-term fluctuations are increasing. If there is any adjustment, we will notify you in time.
Operation suggestion: Go long in gold near 3206-03, look at 3230 and 3252!
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors
The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty.
The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications
Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade.
This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets.
The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand.
Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth.
Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven
Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value.
In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution.
The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance.
The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather
The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment.
The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news.
Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences
Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold.
Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices.
The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist
Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold.
Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive.
It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold.
Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold.
Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape
For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies.
Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier.
The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook.
Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance
The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value.
Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour line analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on around 3170-75, strong support is at the 3150 mark, and upper pressure is around 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3170-75 and does not break, hold a light long position; if it falls back to 3150-55, add a long position; stop loss at 3144; target at 3226-3230; continue to hold if it breaks;
2. If gold rebounds to 3240-45 and does not break, hold a light short position; if it rebounds to 3253-60, add a short position; stop loss at 3266; target at 3275-80; continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold sees strong high resistance; shorting on rebounds prevailsToday, gold can be described as fluctuating within a wide range, but overall it tends to be more bearish. Although gold rose at the opening on Monday, it suddenly made a sharp turn at the 3250 level, leaving those who chased long positions confused. We have analyzed that the upper resistance is strong, and the upside space is relatively limited. On the contrary, the downside space is larger, so shorting on rebounds remains the current short-term trend! If you are currently unsatisfied with your gold trading, I hope Barry can help you avoid detours in your investments. Welcome to communicate and exchange ideas!
From the hourly chart analysis, the support levels below should continue to focus on the 3170-3175 area, with strong support at the 3150 level. The resistance above is near 3253-3260. The overall trading approach remains centered on cyclic participation in shorting highs and longing lows within this range, with a core principle of exercising caution at intermediate levels – avoid excessive trading and impulsive order chasing. Be patient and wait for entry at key price points.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3240-3250
tp:3220-3200
buy@3170-3175
tp:3220-3230
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀
Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks?
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From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively
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👇👇👇
3235 line becomes short-term resistance? Golden layout at night!🗞News side:
1. Trump's dialogue with Russia and Ukraine on ceasefire
2. The seriousness of the situation in Israel
📈Technical aspects:
In the short term, the three key factors affecting the gold market are the certainty of tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a tail risk that deserves attention. Its impact on the global order far exceeds other geopolitical conflicts. It is expected that the conflict may see a key turning point in May and June, and the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to be implemented in the third quarter. At that time, the gold and silver markets may face greater negative pressure, and prices may fall back to 3000-2800 or even lower. Technically, the double top pattern at the daily level has been established. Although there is a certain resistance at the 3235 line of gold in the short term, considering the tail risk, the possibility of evolving into a triple top cannot be ruled out, and we need to be vigilant against the inducement of multi-money rises and washes.
🎁BUY 3220-3215
🎁TP 3230-3240
🎁SELL 3250-3255
🎁TP 3235-3225
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Geopolitical risks ease, trade progresses: Gold short-term volatIndia and Pakistan have declared a full ceasefire😮, while news has emerged that Russia and Ukraine will observe a 30-day ceasefire. With the cooling of geopolitical risks, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset has diminished. Additionally, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva, Switzerland, have made substantive progress, with most market participants believing the tariff war is nearing an end—further dampening gold’s safe-haven demand.
The market has seen two consecutive days of massive volatility: a surge of $100 on Thursday, followed by a plunge of $100 on Friday, creating a "double kill" for both bulls and bears, which is clearly a capital-driven washout. Currently, the 3120 level still shows a relatively obvious supporting effect. Due to ongoing international relations issues, gold remains in a long-term bullish trend. Traders can continue to take small long positions near 3120😎.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3120 -3130
🚀 TP 3230 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir
2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own
📈Technical aspects:
Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The recent gold short position has a perfect harvestIt can be said that the market of gold on Wednesday was mainly range-bound. After the US market, gold began to follow a unilateral decline pattern, with the lowest reaching the 3173 line. The current rebound of gold is not strong. On the rebound, we will focus on the 3206-3210 line for suppression at the top and 3154-3154 at the bottom. 3160 is a first-line support. The general trend is still mainly rebounding and shorting. We continue to rebound and take advantage of the trend to intervene in short orders and be a stable trader. I have always been here. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate!
Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3206-3210 first line. The counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the counter-draw main short-term rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3154-3160, with interval operations as the main focus.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds and goes short at 3206-3210 line, stop loss at 3219, target 3160-3165 line, continue to hold if the position is broken;
Gold's V-shaped reversal restarts its upward trend!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has a perfect V-shaped reversal today. It opened at 3177 and fell unilaterally in the Asian session. After touching 3120, it rose slowly. As of the time of writing, it has completely recovered its decline and is currently trading around 3220. I have analyzed the European session. After the gold price broke through the extreme drop of 3200, it needs to be repaired, but it has taken another rebound correction. The analysis also gave attention to 3198 to 3202 to continue to be bearish. With the slow rise and break, the bearish view is invalid. Now make a new analysis.
From a technical point of view, gold is now back above 3200, and the daily line is a big positive. It is undoubtedly absolutely strong. The key point is the gains and losses of 3200. If the retracement does not exceed 3200, then gold is extremely strong. On Friday, we will continue to see the daily line closing positive rise, but if the retracement is below 3200, the daily line cycle may close again, and there will be a continuous rebound to 3235 and 3260. Therefore, the key point today is to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200.
The performance of the 4-hour cycle may now bottom out in the medium term. After the decline and rebound, the 4-hour mid-term Bollinger opening is temporarily strong, but if the US market rebounds continuously and stands firm at 3200, there will be a continuous positive pattern at the bottom, breaking the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, then there is a great possibility that it will go to 3235. Therefore, gold in the late trading should not be inertially bearish because of the decline on Wednesday. Even if it is bearish, it is necessary to observe the gains and losses of 3200. As for trading, first pay attention to 3200 below and try to buy, and see if 3230 breaks and 3250 breaks.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3250-365, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3193-3200. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour line analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on around 3170-75, strong support is at the 3150 mark, and upper pressure is around 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3170-75 and does not break, hold a light long position; if it falls back to 3150-55, add a long position; stop loss at 3144; target at 3226-3230; continue to hold if it breaks;
2. If gold rebounds to 3240-45 and does not break, hold a light short position; if it rebounds to 3253-60, add a short position; stop loss at 3266; target at 3275-80; continue to hold if it breaks;
It’s the right time to shortUS President Trump recently criticized Fed Chairman Powell again, calling him "slow to act" and emphasizing that the Fed should cut interest rates as soon as possible to support the economy. Trump believes that delaying interest rate cuts may lead to the risk of recession in the US economy, but the Fed still takes inflation and employment data as the core of decision-making, and the two sides have obvious differences in policy positions.
At present, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed and the magnitude has been reduced. Coupled with the expectation of rising US bond yields, the gold market sentiment has weakened. The world's largest gold ETF recently reduced its holdings by 8.98 tons to 918.73 tons, reflecting the cooling of institutions' short-term bullish enthusiasm for gold. Technically, gold prices continued to weaken after breaking through key support last week, and the weekly closing was negative, suggesting that shorts were dominant; the daily level was constrained by the 20-day moving average, and the volatile downward trend may continue in the short term. Focus on the 3250-3265 line resistance during the day. If it cannot break through, the $3,200 mark below may face a test.
Gold recommendation: short sell when it rebounds to 3245-3252 range. Target 3230-3220.
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD).
We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now.
🌀 According to the wave count:
Wave (3) topped out near $3,500
Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base
We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg
💹 Wave (5) Projection:
Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750
This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence
📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias:
RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory
Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone
We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
$3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest
$3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation
$3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone
$3,747: Wave 5 target
⚠️ Invalidation Zone:
If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure.
📌 Conclusion:
I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs.
Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
XAUUSD at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $3,237, currently testing a descending trendline and minor resistance. A clear breakout above this level could open the way to retest the $3,289 resistance area, followed by the $3,435 recent high and potentially the all-time high near $3,498.
Failure to break higher may see the price remain range-bound between $3,240 and $3,289. A break below support at $3,123 would be bearish and could trigger a drop toward $3,050.
Fundamental Drivers:
Moody’s US credit downgrade continues to support safe-haven flows
Fed commentary and trade uncertainty cap directional clarity
Higher Treasury yields remain a headwind for Gold
📌 Key Levels:
Minor resistance: $3,240
Major resistance: $3,289 / $3,435
Support zone: $3,123 / $3,050