Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.
Xauusdlongterm
Short term is still dominated by short positions!Although the easing of trade tensions in the short term has led to a correction in gold prices, the three core factors supporting the strength of gold still exist: expectations of loose global monetary policy, rising geopolitical risks, and the long-term weakening trend of the US dollar. In particular, the market expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain loose monetary policy will continue to provide momentum for gold to rise.
From the daily chart, the price of gold has shown a clear upward trend since this year. Although there have been several corrections in the middle, the bulls still control the medium and long-term market. After the previous rise in the H4 cycle, it is not so strong now. Instead, it is a volatile trend. The Bollinger band is closed, and the trend strength still needs market stimulation to rise again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn, so the rising strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The high point of the 1-hour rebound of gold has been getting lower and lower, and the low point has also begun to fall. The 1-hour gold has begun to fluctuate downward. The downward trend of the gold rebound is suppressed near 3340. Gold rebounds near 3340 and can still be shorted.
XAUUSD:Go long at 3320-3325
Gold rebounded after stepping back near 3200 last week, picking up and rising under the influence of the news. Since 3200 stepping back formed support, coupled with the influence of long news, the day is mainly long.
The 4-hour chart shows the lower rail support at 3320-3325 and the upper rail pressure at 3360-65. You can trade around this range.
So the trading strategy: Buy@3320-3325 TP@3360-3365
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GOLD outlook for the weekIn today’s analysis, I’m expecting price to continue its bullish momentum, partially influenced by recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump. This aligns well with the broader higher time frame trend, where we’ve been favouring long setups.
To capitalise, the most immediate and valid point of interest I’ve marked out is the 9H demand zone — the origin of the most recent break of structure. If price retraces, this is where I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation.
However, if price continues to climb without retracing first, we could see a temporary bearish reaction from the nearby 4H supply zone around the 3,400 level. If this happens, I may look for a short-term countertrend sell setup, but only with strong confirmation. Risk will be kept low and I won’t be overly ambitious with targets.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
Strong bullish momentum following a clear CHoCH on the higher time frame
Recent break of structure left behind a clean 9H demand zone for potential retracement
Trend remains bullish on both the lower and higher time frames
Liquidity resting above still yet to be swept
DXY is currently bearish, supporting a bullish case for gold
P.S. While we could see a minor sell opportunity down to the demand zone, patience is key.
Waiting for a solid pre-trend setup is part of the process — no need to rush entries.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp!
Flexible strategies lead to the best response.📍News:
The continued escalation of the war in the Middle East has increased risk aversion in the gold market.
At the same time, the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations broke down, and Russia launched the largest attack since 2022. Under the double attack, the market's risk aversion is full.
📊Gold technical analysis:
Today's gold price showed a violent fluctuation pattern. During the Asian session, the gold price quickly broke through the 3345 regional resistance and then fell back quickly, indicating that the short-term top pressure was significant. Subsequently, the market fluctuated repeatedly in the 3345-3320 high range and the 3320-3280 low range. After testing the 3350 high point in the Asian session, it retreated sharply, releasing a staged peak signal, indicating that the previous increase has entered the correction and callback stage, but the overall trend is still dominated by wide fluctuations.
Market sentiment reversed, and the price slowly fell and then was pulled up by the positive line. The game between long and short positions was fierce. Although the short position once dominated, the long position counterattacked strongly, and it is expected that it may hit the resistance near 3320 again. The current market has not formed a unilateral trend. The operation is still to deal with the idea of shocks, and maintain the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple. The strong resistance above is at 3350, and the key support below is 3280-3275. The probability of breaking down in the short term is low.
🎯Operational suggestions: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3280-3275, look at 3300 and 3320, and go short if the rebound pressure of 3320 is not broken.
Gold rebounds weakly, US market ideas for reference!
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling!
📊Commentary Analysis
After gold fell below 3200 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened, and it is difficult to get up again in the early morning. Weak shorts can't even get past 3198, and the short-term support below is around 3160.
The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3200 is the long defensive position. If it fails to close, there will be a fall. The technical side has already experienced a major break. Pay attention to the change of thinking. If the adjustment range is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises fast and falls fast, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to lay out more positions, but the position needs to follow the market observation, which is difficult to predict at present.
💰Strategy Package
In the short term, we will rely on 3198 for defensive short selling. After breaking 3200, please note that even if it rebounds, we should follow the trend and short. If it rebounds upward, we should short at the golden section resistance of 3265.
Good luck to everyone!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold crash alarm is sounding!
Technical aspects:The pressure area of gold is concentrated in the range of 3250-3260. If the market remains weak and under pressure, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area. The key support around 3210-3200 should be focused on for gold to go down. If the gold price falls below the support of 3200, it may trigger a waterfall-like decline, and the expected support bottom is in the area of 3100-3050.
In terms of operation, you can wait for the opportunity to rebound and come under pressure after the position is broken, and take advantage of the trend to place short orders. It is important to remember that 3200 is like a key line of defense. Once it falls, it will trigger a chain selling.
5/14 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold only entered the 3218–3252 flexible range , and did not touch the broader buy/sell zones, resulting in limited profits .
Currently, gold remains under resistance , and candlestick formations suggest an irregular double top . With ongoing sideways box-range movement , the market lacks a clear direction, so caution is advised .
📉 If bears take control, gold could drop toward 3169 .
📈 If bulls prevail , a rebound to 3300 is likely.
🔍 Key Technical Zones:
Bullish Resistance : 3246 – 3268
Support Area : 3218 – 3209
🗞 News Focus:
Speeches from Fed members Waller and Jefferson today may trigger directional momentum in the market.
📌 Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell Zone : 3301 – 3327
Buy Zone : 3170 – 3152
Flexible Trading Ranges :
▫️ 3210 – 3243
▫️ 3272 – 3259
▫️ 3247 – 3296
✅ Trade with discipline, manage position sizes carefully, and stay alert during key speeches.
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue.
From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again
So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
The golden earthquake storm is coming!In terms of news: Major events over the weekend include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the sudden change in the situation between India and Pakistan, and the progress of Sino-US negotiations: Although India and Pakistan announced a truce, India's surprise attack turned the agreement into a joke. The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the United States are still continuing in Geneva, and it is difficult to have clear results in the short term. The war between Russia and Ukraine is still in a stalemate. The superposition of multiple events has injected uncertainty into the market.
Technical aspects:
Pay attention to the pressure in the 3360-3380 area. If it stands firm at 3346, it can fall back to arrange long orders. If it directly breaks below 3300 at the opening, pay attention to the support near 3280 - this position is likely to be lost, and effective support depends on the downward pattern formed after the 3260 break, and the ultimate target is 3200.
Gold opening rise and fall prediction?The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290
After gold falls sharply, how should you trade in the short termAfter gold fell below 3400 today, it ushered in a big decline, falling directly below the key position of 3350. Since gold breaks down, let’s take advantage of the trend and go short
Since the bullish volume of gold market has been released, the bullish trend of gold needs to be repaired in the short term before it can rise further.
Trading idea: short gold near 3347, stop loss 3360, target 3327
Gold is under pressure at 3400, with a short-term decline expectGold is under pressure around 3400. Today we will have the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. If gold is under pressure at 3400, it is expected to fall. Before the data, we need to be cautious.
In terms of trading ideas, we can short short-term, pay attention to the short near 3393-96, stop loss 3403, take profit 3360/3350
Has the road to gold adjustment begun?Gold has reached a high of around 3404, so this position can be used as an important pressure point. In this continuous upward trend, once there is a sharp decline, it is likely to be a signal that the short-term bulls have peaked. Then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure point is also the high point of the last wave of pullback near 3393, and the lower support is at 3360.
Trading idea: short near 3387, sl: 3400 tp: 3370
Continue to short gold when it rebounds to a high level
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorts. Gold came under pressure at the 3270 line last week and fell back. Currently, the 1-hour gold is still fluctuating within a range. It is still mainly short above the rebound of gold.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3270, stop loss 3280, target 3240
Gold is still in a weak phaseIn terms of news: international tensions have eased recently, the United States may reduce tariffs on Chinese goods, Russia-Ukraine peace talks have made progress, market demand for hedging has weakened, and funds have shifted from gold to risk assets. At the same time, the mining agreement between the United States and Ukraine boosted the U.S. dollar in a short period of time. The U.S. dollar index strengthened and broke through the 100 mark. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar caused the relative depreciation of gold and suppressed the price.
Technical aspects: From the current market, gold is in a downward trend in the short term. In the short term, we should first pay attention to the suppression of 3260 US dollars on the top. Pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200 yesterday on the bottom. If it falls below 3200, it may further go to 3167.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3260, stop loss 3270, target 3240
The gold correction continues!On the news:
Gold prices fell for a third day in a row as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing dampened demand for safe-haven assets. News that the Trump administration is about to announce the first batch of agreements, which will reduce planned tariffs on some countries, also eased concerns about the outlook for global trade.
Technical aspects:
After the current gold market broke down, it started to fall from around 3270, which is also the key position for us to continue to bet on the market falling. At present, the short position of gold is more advantageous. Then in the short term, gold will focus on the support near 3233. If it falls below, then gold will reach the 3200 mark.
Gold continues to fluctuate widely, mainly long at low levelsAs gold broke below the 3300 mark in the European session, the market once again tested the 3270 first-line support, which is the edge of the lower track of the channel.
rading idea: Go long gold near 3270, with a strict stop loss of 3267 and a target of 3300
Key intervals and trend judgmentKey range and trend judgment:
The current gold price is in a narrow range of 3300-3305 support zone and 3325-3330 pressure zone. Technical analysis:
1. Support logic:
- 3300 is an integer psychological barrier, which coincides with the MA60 moving average (dynamic support) of the 1-hour chart;
- After hitting the bottom of 3300 several times recently, it rebounded and formed a short-term bottom structure.
2. Pressure logic:
- 3330 is the upper rail resistance of the Bollinger band on the 4-hour chart, and it is the previous high-intensive trading area;
- The top divergence signal appears at the MACD daily level, suppressing the upward space.
3. Volume characteristics: Shrinking volume oscillation, need to wait for breakthrough and large volume to confirm the direction.
Trading strategy and operation plan
1. Buy low and sell high within the range (short-term)
Long position strategy:
Entry point: 3300-3305 range (price retracement does not break, and 1-hour chart RSI <30), try long with a light position. Take profit target: 3315 (first target), 3325 (second target) Stop loss 3292 (break through the previous low support).
Short position strategy:
Entry point: 3325-3330 range (price touches pressure and falls back, 15-minute chart MACD dead cross), try short with a light position, take profit target: 3310 (first target), 3300 (second target); Stop loss: 3338 (break through the previous high pressure).
2. Follow the trend after the breakthrough (trend following) Upward breakthrough (stabilizing 3330): Pursue long signal: the price breaks through 3330 with large volume and then falls back without breaking, the target is 3350-3360 (previous high of the daily line);
Stop loss: 3320 (below the breakthrough point).
Downward break (falling below 3300): Pursue short signal: the price falls below 3300 and the pullback confirmation is invalid, the target is 3280-3260 (weekly MA20 support); Stop loss: 3310 (above the break point).
Pattern interpretation:
- The 4-hour chart converges in a symmetrical triangle, and the theoretical target after the breakthrough is the height of the triangle ; If it breaks upward, the target is 3350; if it breaks downward, the target is 3270.
Volume coordination: When breaking through, the trading volume needs to be enlarged by more than 20%, otherwise be alert to false breakthroughs.
Gold is in the stage of oscillating and choosing direction in the short term, and the strategy is mainly to sell high and buy low within the range + follow the breakthrough.
Gold still has a chance to reboundCurrently, gold's bulls and bears are still oscillating within a large range. The key pressure above and the upper edge of the range are maintained near 3365-70, while the lower edge of the large range and the support are maintained near 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices within this range again.
Gold retreats to around 3302-00 during the day, go long, target around 3330-50, stop loss 3295.
GOLD / XAUUSD: Analysis Daily!🔷 BUY XAUUSD: 3298/3300 (swing)
- Stoploss: 3293
- Target: 3310 / 3320 / 3330 / 3350
*Signals are for reference only, not recommended to be followed!*
Analysis: XAU/USD has a neutral-to-bullish near-term outlook. On the 4-hour chart, it's struggling with a flat 20 SMA, while the 100 and 200 SMAs are risin. Indicators are improving but still weak and in negative territory.
Support levels: 3314 - 3301
Resistance levels: 3344 - 3358