#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
Xauusdsell
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment
Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions.
The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend.
As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist.
Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices.
If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies.
The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds.
The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral.
For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset.
As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Trump Tariffs: Gold's Wild Ride & What's NextToday, Trump's policy of reciprocal tariffs has been officially implemented. The gold market, which has been overly hyped, has witnessed the fulfillment of a risk event, and the concentrated closing of long positions has triggered a deep correction. Spot gold prices plummeted from the high of $3,167.71 per ounce in the early Asian trading session. It touched a low of $3,054 per ounce, with an intraday amplitude of over $110, completing the technical action of building a top.
The leading institutional investors have precisely taken advantage of the market psychology of "buying on the news and selling on the fact" and completed the long position layout before the tariff policy was implemented. Their operation method is quite typical: first, they attract retail investors to take over the shares through a pulsed upward pull. Subsequently, they adopt a three-stage washing method of "plunge - consolidation - second plunge", completely breaking the recent upward oscillation pattern in the Asian and European trading sessions. This method is identical to the top formations in history on many occasions, and its purpose is precisely to create panic selling and trap the chips that chased the high prices.
Technically, a clear top signal has emerged in the daily chart of gold. Currently, the decline has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the medium - term trend may reverse. However, it should be noted that this round of adjustment has not yet completed the complete five - wave structure. In the future, we need to focus on the guidance of tomorrow's non - farm payrolls data on the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies, as well as whether the weekly closing price can confirm the head pattern. John suggests that it's advisable to mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. One should get involved only after the trend stabilizes. Pay attention to the resistance levels above at 3118 and 3130, and the support levels below at 3100 and 3085.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session.
In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react.
Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend.
XAU/USD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
SL:3085
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day
If you want stable income, you can contact me
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview
The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation.
This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels.
2. Key Technical Elements
A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown
A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup.
The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher.
The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support.
The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown.
👉 Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline.
A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown.
B) Resistance & Support Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135
This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts.
Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure.
Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation.
2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056
This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower.
Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58.
3️⃣ Breakout & Retest
After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend.
3. Trade Setup & Execution
🔵 Entry Point:
Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure.
Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength.
🔴 Stop-Loss:
Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs.
This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals.
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in.
TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support.
TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse.
4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure.
Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range.
⚡ Additional Confirmation:
A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels.
Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues.
5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary
✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish)
✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline
✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,056.58
TP2: $3,022.39
TP3: $2,985.44
📌 Final Thoughts:
This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly.
🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
How will gold perform after the super rollercoaster market?Gold's 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downwards. Although gold bulls have made a strong counterattack, it is also because of the risk-aversion news that stimulated a retaliatory rebound. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100. If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then gold shorts will still have an advantage in this war. Overall, the impact of today’s non-agricultural data is expected to be dim. What is more important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100.
Trading idea: short gold near 3115, stop loss 3125, target 3100
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50.
The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading.
Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions.
At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086.
Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
XAUUSD: Buy or Sell?Today's gold market can be said to have the largest intraday volatility since 2025! After experiencing violent fluctuations, the current trend of gold has once again become anxious.
However, from the perspective of range conversion, it is certain that gold is currently operating in a weak position, and after the brutal and violent fluctuations, the market also needs to recuperate. And there will be NFP tomorrow. It is expected that before NFP, it will be difficult for gold to form a new unilateral market again. So in the process of shock, I think both long and short sides have a certain profit space.
First of all, pay attention to the resistance of 3125-3135 area on the top. If gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still short gold;
And the first focus on the 3095-3085 area on the bottom is that if gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still consider going long on gold.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
We will continue to hold a bearish viewToday, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain unwaveringly bearish. Our comprehensive analysis, which encompasses long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators, further validates this stance. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the ongoing rally is merely a short - lived market anomaly. As the market digests various macroeconomic data, we anticipate increasing downward pressure that will eventually reverse the current uptrend.
We must not let these large - scale capital operators achieve their objectives. By staying true to our bearish view, maintaining strict risk management, and making well - informed trading decisions, we can counteract their market - manipulating tactics.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
4/3 Gold Trading StrategiesTariff concerns and inflation have once again triggered significant volatility in gold. After yesterday’s price surge following news announcements, today’s market opened with continued bullish momentum, reaching around 3170.
For traders who managed to keep up with the market rhythm, this was a golden opportunity—but for those caught on the wrong side, it was a disaster. The persistent price rally has put short sellers under significant pressure. While I hope most of you are in long positions, I also understand that’s not always the case. For those stuck in short trades, the key now is to minimize losses or even turn the situation into a profit.
Based on the current price structure, I expect a high-level pullback. If your short position isn't causing serious damage to your account, holding on could be a viable strategy.
The expected trading range includes a high point at 3166-3178 and a low point at 3138-3123. Additionally, several key technical levels need to be monitored for potential reversals.
Trading Recommendations:
📌 Main Trades:
Sell in the 3166-3182 range
Buy in the 3136-3121 range
📌 Short-Term Scalping:
Be flexible in the 3147-3158 range
Manage your risk carefully and adjust your trades based on market movements! 🚀
XAUUSD Today's strategyAt present, Trump has announced that the United States will impose a comprehensive 10% tariff on all goods. This tariff policy will lead to an escalation of global trade tensions and an increase in economic uncertainties. Investors' concerns about risky assets have intensified, and they will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold, thus driving up the price of gold.
The increase in tariffs will cause the prices of imported goods to rise, which in turn will trigger inflation expectations. Under the inflation expectations, as a store-of-value asset, the value of gold will be enhanced, and its price will rise correspondingly.
These impacts are merely based on an analysis of general situations. In reality, the market conditions will also be influenced by a combination of various factors, such as the countermeasures taken by different countries, other macroeconomic factors, market expectations, and so on. Therefore, the price trends are likely to be more complex and changeable.
XAUUSD Today's strategy
buy@3115-3125
tp:3140-3150-3160
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day
If you want stable income, you can contact me
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
4/4 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday’s sharp drop, gold quickly rebounded, and by the end of the session, prices had returned close to the opening level. I’m not sure if anyone is currently stuck in unfavorable positions. Under normal circumstances, if your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance, such volatility shouldn’t cause major damage. However, for those with weak positions or who bought at the top or sold at the bottom, losses may have occurred—especially common among newer traders who are often influenced by emotions.
If you are currently holding short positions and hoping to wait for a price pullback, you'll need both time and sufficient margin. Based on current candlestick patterns, gold may attempt to test the 3128–3136 resistance zone again. Whether it moves higher will depend on the strength of the bulls.
Importantly, there are several key U.S. economic data releases during the New York session today. Based on preliminary expectations, the data appears to favor the bears, which could put additional pressure on gold prices.
📉 Today’s Trading Strategy:
Sell within the 3133–3152 zone
Buy within the 3065–3032 zone
📊 Scalping/Short-Term Trades:
Be flexible in the 3128–3088 range
Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Ascending Channel – Bearish Move Ahead?📉 Market Structure:
Gold was moving in an ascending channel, but price has now broken below the support trendline.
This suggests a possible trend reversal or correction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance : $3,125 - $3,170
Support: $3,054 - $3,035
Target: $3,000 - $2,995
📊 Trade Idea:
A pullback to support-turned-resistance could give a short entry.
Bearish target: $3,000 if rejection holds.
Invalidation: If price reclaims $3,125.
🔍 Watch for:
Price reaction at the former channel support.
Possible retest before further drop.
Let me know if you need any modifications! 🚀
XAUUSD Today's analysisOn Thursday (April 3rd), as Asian markets opened for trading, Trump’s bombshell announcement of a slew of tariff measures sent shockwaves through the market. In an instant, a wave of risk - aversion swept across, propelling the spot gold price to a staggering $3,167.60 per ounce. This not only marked a new all - time high but also set a new benchmark in the gold market’s history.
However, the market’s exuberance was short - lived. Fearing potential uncertainties in the aftermath of these policy changes, a significant number of profit - oriented investors decided to cash in on their gains. Their aggressive selling pressure caused the gold price to reverse course sharply. Before long, the price turned negative for the day, slumping to a low of $3,054.19 per ounce.
As the trading day wore on, investors adopted a wait - and - see approach. The growing consensus was that US tariff policies would likely throw the global economy into disarray. In such a climate of uncertainty, gold’s traditional role as a safe - haven asset reasserted itself. Buoyed by this renewed interest, bargain - hunting buyers flocked back into the market, driving the price back up to $3,125 per ounce.
Macroeconomic data and geopolitical dynamics will continue to influence the direction of the gold market. Key data such as the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll employment figures that the US Department of Labor is about to release are highly likely to affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, which in turn will impact the gold market. If the data indicates a weakening of the US job market, the Federal Reserve may consider easing its monetary policy. This will undermine the US dollar and enhance the attractiveness of gold to investors.
At the same time, there are still uncertainties in the global trade situation. Countermeasures taken by other countries against the US tariff policies may further intensify trade frictions and increase the uncertainty of the global economy. In such an environment, as a safe-haven asset, gold is expected to attract more capital inflows.
From the perspective of technical analysis and the price trend of gold, the price level of $3,100 per ounce has become an important support and resistance level. If the gold price can firmly stay above this level, it may attract more bulls to enter the market, driving the price towards higher targets. Conversely, if the price breaks below this level, the bears may take the initiative, triggering a new round of selling. In addition, the performance of gold mining stocks is also worthy of attention. They not only reflect the short-term fluctuations in the gold market but are also affected by the operational conditions of mining companies themselves and the impact of geopolitics on mining production, forming a linkage effect with the gold price.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Data will be Bearish for GOLDAffected by tariffs and inflation news, gold fluctuated sharply before the market closed. The market was in a situation of double kills for both long and short positions, and the sentiment was still fermenting. At present, the bulls also took this opportunity to successfully break through the resistance, and the price returned to above 3140 again. From the perspective of the pattern, there is still room for growth in the short term.
Before the US market, you can look for trading opportunities in the 3158-3123 range. The unemployment benefit data will be released during the US market, and the data is expected to be bearish for gold. Therefore, within 30 minutes before the data is released, if you hold a long order, please be cautious. At that time, I will also send you the latest trading plan based on the market situation.
If you are currently in trouble and need help, you can leave me a message.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish SetupOverview
Gold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening, and a potential sell-off could follow.
The recent breakdown of the wedge structure confirms the bearish bias, and sellers are now in control. Based on price action analysis, we can anticipate further downside movement toward key support levels.
📊 Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown
1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that occurs when the price consolidates within an upward-sloping channel but shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s how it developed:
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The price consistently formed higher peaks and troughs, indicating an uptrend.
Declining Bullish Momentum: As the wedge progressed, price action became increasingly squeezed, showing reduced bullish strength.
Breakout Confirmation: Once the lower trendline of the wedge was breached, it confirmed that buyers were losing control and that sellers had stepped in.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Structure
🔵 Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge around $3,150 - $3,163 acted as a supply zone, where sellers pushed prices lower.
🟠 Support Level: The lower boundary of the wedge, around $3,100 - $3,120, initially provided demand but eventually failed to hold.
🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: The price broke below the wedge, which is a strong bearish signal.
🎯 Trade Setup & Strategy
3️⃣ Bearish Trading Plan
Given the breakdown of the wedge pattern, the setup favors a short (sell) trade. Here’s how to approach it:
📉 Sell Entry:
The ideal short position is initiated after a confirmed break of the wedge’s support level.
📍 Stop Loss (SL):
A tight stop-loss is placed above the previous resistance at $3,163.67, ensuring risk is controlled if the trade goes against the bias.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $3,080.66 – First major support level, where buyers might step in temporarily.
TP 2: $3,057.33 – Extended downside target, offering a greater risk-to-reward ratio.
4️⃣ Additional Price Expectations
Retest of the Wedge Breakdown: The price may pull back to the broken wedge support before continuing downward.
Stronger Bearish Momentum: If selling pressure remains strong, price could fall even lower, breaking TP 2.
Invalidation Level: If price climbs above $3,163, the wedge breakdown would be invalidated, signaling that bulls have regained control.
📌 Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Downside – The market structure suggests that sellers are gaining control.
🔹 Sell Setup with Risk-Managed Approach – With a defined stop-loss and two profit targets, this trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
🔹 Gold’s Short-Term Bearish Outlook – The chart confirms a potential correction, and price may drop towards $3,080 and $3,057 if the bearish momentum continues.
📊 Final Thought:
This is a high-probability short trade based on classic technical analysis. Traders should monitor for confirmation retests and manage risk accordingly. ✅
Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🚀
XAUUSD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Bearish Target Ahead?This chart represents a detailed technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with a structured trade setup based on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Below is an in-depth explanation of the chart components, price action, and trade strategy.
1️⃣ Key Chart Patterns and Analysis
A. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish Reversal)
This is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a temporary pullback.
Head: The highest peak in the pattern, showing strong buying pressure before reversal.
Right Shoulder: A smaller rise compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
B. Neckline (Support Level) and Breakdown Confirmation
The neckline (horizontal support level) is drawn across the lowest points between the shoulders.
A break below the neckline confirms the reversal, triggering a bearish move.
The chart suggests price is at the neckline zone, preparing for a breakdown.
2️⃣ Trendline and Support/Resistance Analysis
A. Uptrend Trendline Break
The price was following a strong ascending trendline (dotted black line).
A trendline breakout has occurred, indicating potential trend reversal.
This supports the bearish bias further.
B. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance Level: Marked at the top of the Head region, which aligns with previous price rejection zones.
Support Levels:
First support (TP1 - 3,053.269): This is the first potential take profit level.
Second support (TP2 - 3,030.556): The next target if price continues downward.
3️⃣ Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Entry Point (Short Position)
Sell (Short) after the neckline breakout, ensuring bearish momentum is confirmed.
B. Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: 3,053.269 (Initial support target).
TP2: 3,030.556 (Stronger support zone, deeper profit target).
C. Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss: 3,150.726 (Above the resistance zone).
This is a logical stop-loss placement, allowing price fluctuations without prematurely stopping the trade.
4️⃣ Overall Market Sentiment & Trade Bias
Bearish Bias: Due to the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, trendline breakout, and weakening bullish momentum.
Confirmation Needed: A strong bearish close below the neckline increases probability of downward continuation.
5️⃣ Final Thought – A High-Probability Trade Setup
If neckline breaks, the trade is valid with potential for a 3%+ downside move.
If price holds above the neckline, the pattern may fail, leading to reconsidering trade execution.
This structured risk-managed approach ensures a strategic entry, controlled risk, and maximized profit potential. 📉🔥 Let me know if you need further refinements! 🚀
GOLD: May fall below 3100So far, gold has continued to fluctuate in the 3110-3136 range. Although the candle chart has many long lower shadows, the high point is moving down. If this trend is not broken, the probability of falling below 3100 today is very high, so when trading, everyone must be cautious. Personally, I suggest selling as the main method.
A rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold rebounds from 3100, but is the bullish momentum truly revived?
I don’t see it that way. Yesterday’s retracement to 3100 has already weakened the strong bullish structure to some extent, with 3150 likely acting as a key resistance level. I believe the current rebound is merely a technical retest of the 3150 zone, reinforcing it as a potential cycle high and paving the way for a double-top formation, which could provide a bearish technical setup for further downside.
Following the initial 3100 test, a second retest of this support level is likely. If gold fails to hold 3100 on the second attempt, a break lower towards 3095-3085 would become increasingly probable.
I will continue to scale into short positions within the 3132-3142 zone, with an initial target of 3120-3110. If gold approaches 3100, I will closely monitor the price action to assess the likelihood of a further breakdown.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
4/2 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday's upward movement, gold experienced a deeper pullback, testing the 3100 area before rebounding to around 3120. However, based on technical indicators, the bullish outlook remains uncertain.
The key resistance to watch is around 3125—if the price fails to break through, we shouldn't expect higher levels today. In that case, the main trading direction will be short positions, with a possible drop to 3086 before tomorrow’s data release.
However, if 3125 resistance is broken and sustained, bulls may attempt another rally towards 3138-3150. On the bearish side, support in the 3103-3096 region is crucial.
Trading Recommendations:
📌 Main Trades:
Buy in the 3098-3086 range
Sell in the 3138-3148 range
📌 Short-Term Scalping:
Sell in the 3124-3131 range
Buy in the 3109-3103 range