Short gold above 2650Brothers, although gold has not seen a decent decline under the influence of geopolitical conflicts, the sustainability of gold's rise has gradually deteriorated, and the rebound high has gradually moved down. Gold has shown an obvious peaking signal. At present, gold is facing resistance in the 2655-2660 area in the short term; and it has repeatedly tested and broken through the support near 2640, and once fell below the 2630 position. I think gold still has room to continue to fall, at least it will retest the 2615-2610 area, or even the area near 2600.
So I am still optimistic about the decline of gold, and in terms of short-term trading, I advocate shorting gold in batches above 2650.
Xauusdsell
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
GOLD First Entry +500 Pips , Second +300 Pips ,Third Entry ReadyThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
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Gold First Entry +300 Pips 0 Drawdown , Free Full Trade Valid !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
End of the Bull Run: Time to Short as Gold Enters
The bullish momentum in gold has come to an end, and we are now entering a correction phase. Based on the current Moving Average (MA) alignment, the price is likely to decline towards the 2620-2580 range. This presents an excellent opportunity for short positions.
I suggest taking advantage of this setup by consistently selling within the 2643-2675 range. Follow this strategy and capitalize on the forthcoming downtrend.
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XAUUSD sell setup from the resistanceXauusd despite good NFP and unemployment rate gold recovered on Friday lows, Expecting the bullish momentum till 2672-78 from which we can expect sell till 2641.5
As on weekly chart we see bull don't have much moment left as of now which indicates a clear retracement .
My target is 2641.5
The Calm Before the Storm: A Waterfall-like Decline is Coming...
Today is Thursday, and with key data releases scheduled for New York trading hours and tomorrow’s much-anticipated NFP and unemployment figures, the market is far from quiet. My advice for today is to focus on selling, despite the possibility of some upward movement. However, from a daily chart perspective, the likelihood of a downturn is much stronger.
The 5-day moving average (MA5) has already turned downward, and it’s just a matter of time before the bearish trend takes hold. When it does, this won’t be just a simple correction like we saw last time. I’m predicting a waterfall-like decline.
Here’s my anticipated price action: a drop to around 2600, followed by a short rebound to approximately 2630, and finally, a deeper plunge to the 2570 region.
XAUUSD 15M BUY PROJECTION 04.10.24Reason for Gold Bullish
It is known to be a “safe-haven” asset, it is expected to increase its value in times of volatility and economic uncertainty. The XAU/USD pair tells the trader how many US Dollar (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Gold Ounce (the base currency).
XAUUSD: NFP data and trading strategies for the next two weeks
Yesterday's gold movement largely aligned with expectations, with relatively limited fluctuations. However, today is unlikely to be as calm, as the market now faces two sharply contrasting scenarios:
If the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data are bullish for gold, and the price remains within its current range, we could see a rebound, testing or even breaking the previous high before retreating to current levels.
Alternatively, before or shortly after the data release, gold may retest the resistance near its previous high (or consolidate below the 2668 level) and then begin a significant decline, potentially forming a double-top pattern (with a break below 2620).
Disregarding the data, from a technical standpoint, the daily chart (D1) shows that gold is at a critical juncture. Recent price movements have hovered near key support levels, with some indicators clearly signaling weakness. A decisive move is imminent.
Scenario 1: Gold consolidates near support, gathering momentum and bolstering bullish sentiment, leading to a second upward push—similar to the rally initiated around the 2500 level. If the market demonstrates strength, prices could challenge the 2700-2710 zone, followed by a weekly close showing weakness. A significant pullback of no less than $100 could then ensue.
Scenario 2: Bullish momentum fades, and the bears start to take control. A double-top formation would likely emerge, targeting the 2625-2611 support zone. If bulls fail to hold these levels, the next bearish targets would be in the 2590-2570 region.
I hope this analysis provides valuable insight for your upcoming trades. Wishing you all the best of luck!
XAUUSD must be shorted today and tomorrow!News: As I said in the past two days, although the United States today 'the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States to the beginning of the week on September 28th‘ has a lot of gold, the gold market does not rise but falls. This shows that the strength of the bulls in the gold market is insufficient, and many investors are not optimistic about the rise of gold when the U.S. economy has recovered.
Therefore, tomorrow the release of the US‘September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls’ data will explode the entire gold market, and gold will choose its direction again.
Judging from the current various news, the U.S. economy is recovering, and tomorrow's ’U.S. September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls' data will be bearish for gold, so the trend of gold today and tomorrow will be dominated by empty heads!
Therefore, the strategy of gold in the past two days is still mainly shorting: continue to short the gold market near 2655!
Need more trading signals and strategies, welcome to the comment area!
XAUUSD: The bears are about to strike back
In the past few days, I lost my grandmother, and it has been a deeply sad time. After attending her funeral today, I found myself reflecting on many things. Life is short, and whether we pursue fame or wealth, nothing is as important as the health and happiness of our loved ones. I sincerely hope that everyone here can live a healthy and joyful life, with all your wishes coming true.
Turning back to the gold market, after a significant rally, we’ve seen a pullback to test support before another rebound to resistance, followed by another decline. We’re now at a critical turning point. From the 30-minute chart, we can observe a pattern resembling a double top. If it breaks the trendline, a decline to the $2600 level seems inevitable—there’s no need to doubt it.
My mid-term target remains $2568-$2490, and I believe we may see this play out sooner than expected.
This Week’s Profit Doubling PlanNews: Today's U.S. market will have a sharp bearish gold on the ‘U.S. ADP employment numbers for September’, but gold did not fall in time. This is not difficult to understand. After all, many investors in the market do not buy short-selling accounts after the interest rate hike.
But I think there will definitely be a wave of bearish trends in the future. At the same time, some international institutions will use this wave to increase shipments. After all, the U.S. economy is still recovering, so to a certain extent, it will suppress the rise of gold.
Judging from the bearish gold in the US ADP data tonight, the US economy has also been developing for the better recently.Therefore, there is a high probability that the speech of the Fed governor later will be bearish on gold.Then this Friday's ’U.S. September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls' data will also bearish gold.
So the overall gold trend this week is empty!Insist on short-selling!
Today's strategy: Short the gold market near 2660, and add a position near 2665!
Daily strategy, daily updates, remember to pay more attention,A lot of benefits!
XAUUSD: Will the decline continue after the conflict?Yesterday, the US dollar index rose for the second consecutive trading day, hitting a two-week high, supported by data showing the resilience of the US labor market and the dual support of safe-haven currency properties.
It stands to reason that the rise of the US dollar index will suppress gold and cause it to fall. However, due to the sudden escalation of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel, the demand for safe havens has been greatly boosted, resulting in a rare rise in gold and the US dollar together.
The escalation of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has indeed greatly affected the direction of gold, but as of now, I don’t think gold supports the momentum to continue to rise sharply.
Judging from the news, the rise in gold is due to the situation in the Middle East. If the situation in the Middle East eases next, or the situation is not as tense as the first day, then gold will still fall as it rose.
Unless the situation in the Middle East will intensify in the future, and it will be more violent than yesterday’s conflict
From the figure, we can see that the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 from yesterday’s high of 2673 and today’s low of 2645 is 2655. As long as the rebound does not exceed 0.618, it is bound to fall to a new low.
The short position I held yesterday suffered a slight loss due to the sudden outbreak of the Middle East conflict, but I added positions at 2655 and 2666 respectively, which increased the average price and is now profitable.
In summary, I still have a bearish view, so I will continue to hold short positions.
Huge border jam XAU 2625 - 2671! wait for ADP-NF⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during early European trading on Wednesday, giving back part of the previous day's 1% surge, which was driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Concerns of a wider conflict rose after Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel, increasing demand for the safe-haven asset. However, reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) limited further gains for gold.
At the same time, the US Dollar held onto its recent recovery, supported by a resilient labor market, which also weighed on gold. Despite this, XAU/USD remains close to last week's record high, with the overall outlook still favoring bulls. Traders now await the US ADP employment report for direction, ahead of Friday's key Nonfarm Payrolls data.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices rose sharply after yesterday's war news - but fell sharply afterwards - moving within a large range awaiting this week's ADP-NF and NF data
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2630
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2620 - $2622 SL $2615
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2645
TP3: $2660
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2681 - $2683 SL $2688
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD +220 Pips 0 Drawdown , Second Entry Valid After 4H Closure This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
This week's gold trading strategyThis week's gold trading strategy, be able to understand and follow, there will be a 50% profit this week!
News: Everyone knows that the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates some time ago, which added a fire to the entire gold market. In addition, the global geopolitical conflict has ignited the entire gold market, causing the price of gold to reach 2700!For all of us traders, what we want to know most is which direction the market should go next.
First of all, the news is that the United States has cut interest rates, and the impact of geopolitical risks has been almost digested by the market, so it is a bit difficult for gold to hit the high point!
In addition, after the U.S. interest rate cut, it will definitely focus on economic development, so the U.S. economy will improve next, so the dollar index will rise, and the price of gold will also fluctuate and fall!
So I judge that in the next week or so, the gold market will fluctuate and fall!
Technical aspects: You can see that the candlestick chart of gold is currently in a downtrend channel. Although it has broken through the top of the uptrend channel, it is not a real technical breakthrough. It is caused by today's US data ‘ISM Manufacturing PMI for September'. Gold will return to the trend next, so it is best to go short at a high level, but go long at a low level in the trend!
News forecast: U.S. ADP employment in September (10,000 people)-bearish gold
U.S. non-farm payrolls after September quarter-adjusted (10,000 people)-bearish gold
This week's point strategy: 2670 short, 2675 increase position
2620 go long, 2615 increase position
If you want to see specific trading signal strategies, please consult in the comments area!
XAU | USD! sideway downtrend 10/1/24XAU / USD trend forecast October 1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds modest gains in early European trading on Tuesday but remains below last week's record high. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on Monday led investors to reduce expectations of aggressive rate cuts. This supported the US Dollar, which continues to recover from its lowest level since July 2023, creating a headwind for gold.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// BUY XAU : zone 2624-2626
SL: 2618
TP: 50 - 100 - 150 pips (2639)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: Lows not yet seen, continue to sell at high levelsYesterday, the US dollar index began to rise after Powell's speech, reaching 100.9, and US bond yields also rebounded collectively. Affected by the rise of the US dollar and US bond yields, as well as the influx of a large amount of profit-taking funds into the Chinese stock market, gold has continued to fall recently, and yesterday's lowest point reached 2624 US dollars.
So is this the low point?
I think gold is currently in a downward trend and has not yet formed a bottom pattern. It will only rebound but not reverse.
From the trend in the hourly chart, we can see that the gold price is running along the downward trend channel. Now it is again above the trend channel of 2645, so I think the possibility of a breakthrough is not great, so I am going to short around 2645.