Gold Trading Strategy 11/21Based on the recent gold market movements, the following analysis and strategy are proposed:
Market Overview:
Previous Decline: Gold prices have declined from around 2670, causing long positions entered near 2700 to be trapped.
Current Situation: As prices rebound to approximately 2650, some traders are closing positions to realize profits, leading to sustained fluctuations at this level.
Remaining Positions: High-level positions remain trapped, requiring prices to rise to around 2670 for breakeven.
Strategic Insights:
Resistance at 2670: Upon reaching 2670, there is an 80% probability of price decline or consolidation, with only a 20% chance of further increase.
Optimal Shorting Zone: The 2663-2673 range presents a favorable opportunity for short positions, offering potential high returns with manageable risk.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Positioning at 2652:
Minimal Short Position: Enter a small short position to test market response.
Minimal Long Position: Alternatively, enter a small long position to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Adjustments Based on Price Movements:
If Price Rises Above 2660:
Close long positions.
Add to short positions.
If Price Falls Below 2640:
Close short positions.
Add to long positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Orders: Implement appropriate stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Position Sizing: Ensure position sizes align with individual risk tolerance and account size.
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD Buy 2630 to 2660 confirm Gold price builds on Monday's gains and rises toward $2,630 as risk-aversion grips markets amid intensifying geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down more than 1% on the day, further supporting XAU/USD.
GOLD Buy NOW 2630
TP 2635
TP 2640
TP 2645
TP 2650
TP. 2660
SL 2610
100% CONFIRM SIGNAL
Use Proper Money
Management. Consistency is
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Gold prices continue to fluctuate around the 2640 level. The initial short position has already reached the target of 2622. Currently, prices are rising again, and it is expected that the previous high of 2641 will be broken.
Trading Strategy:
Long Opportunity:
Close around 2645
Short Opportunity:
Alternatively, wait for the price to rise into the 2646-2655 range, which is anticipated to serve as a resistance zone, before opening short positions (selling).
Expected Target:
For the short position, a potential downside of approximately $19 is anticipated, targeting a drop back to the 2627-2636 range.
XAU/USD 21 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation played out as price successfully targeted the weak internal high at 2,641.940, following a reaction from the M15 demand zone. Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, signaling the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase. Price is trading at the premium of its internal and swing 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction has been observed. Additionally, price is approaching an H4 supply zone, which could prompt further reaction.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 21.11.24Reason for sell
Bearish Cross: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is nearing the 50-day SMA. A daily close below the 50-day SMA would confirm a bearish crossover, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum, it's not strongly above this level, which might limit the upside potential.
Lack of Strong Upside Momentum: Gold prices have been consolidating recently, and there hasn't been a significant breakout to the upside. This lack of strong bullish momentum could contribute to bearish sentiment.
However, it's important to note that the technical picture is not entirely bearish:
RSI Above 50: As mentioned, the RSI being above 50 suggests some bullish momentum.
Potential for Upside: A daily close above the 50-day SMA could reverse the bearish trend and lead to further upside.
Ultimately, the direction of XAU/USD will depend on a combination of technical factors and fundamental news, such as interest rate expectations, economic data, and geopolitical events. It's advisable to monitor these factors closely and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Based on the current market trends, there is a strong likelihood that gold prices will continue to rise beyond the 2650 level. At this point, a shorting opportunity may emerge, as there appears to be a potential downside of approximately $28, targeting a price around 2622.
Key Considerations:
Upward Momentum: Gold’s recent movements indicate strong bullish momentum, likely driven by market sentiment and technical factors.
Resistance at 2650: The 2650 level serves as a significant resistance zone where the upward trend may stall.
Shorting Opportunity: After reaching this resistance, there could be a reversal, offering a window for shorting with a measurable target.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point: Monitor gold prices closely as they approach 2650. Prepare to open short positions once signs of reversal appear, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a decline in momentum indicators.
Target: Set the target at 2622, capturing the $28 potential downward movement.
Risk Management: Use a stop-loss above 2660 to minimize potential losses in case of unexpected bullish breakouts.
GOLD Take The Previous High , Long Setup To Get 500 Pips !We have a very good daily breakout and the price now trying to go back to retest the broken res , and it will be the best chance to can buy this pair and targeting 500 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: BUYToday, gold rebounded after a pullback to around 2554. As mentioned during yesterday's session, I alerted everyone to watch the 2556-2547 range for the pullback, and unless there were any surprises, this would present a new buying opportunity. I believe those who have been paying close attention to the updates should have seized this opportunity. Currently, the market is facing resistance and is in a consolidation phase. There is a possibility of further testing of support in the short term, but in the medium term, the bulls have a stronger potential. Therefore, my trading strategy remains focused on the long side, with the primary target above 2580.
Support 2554-2547, 2537-2526
GOLD Ready To Go Up Ate Least 500 Pips , Don`t Miss It !We Have a very good bullish price action on 4H Time frame and we have a great breakout , the price back above my support and now i`m waiting for retest to the supp to can enter a buy trade if i have a good bullish price action and i`m targeting 500 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD/GOLD BUY & SELL PROJECTION 17.11.24Reason for Gold buy & Sell
The hedge against inflation is the traditional motive behind the investment in gold. The yellow metal serves as an inflation hedge in the long run. When inflation rises, the value of the currency goes down. Over the long-term, almost all major currencies have depreciated in value relative to gold.
Is a XAUUSD (GOLD) Monster Trade on the Horizon?👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has recently reached a critical support zone on both the weekly and daily timeframes, showing signs of being heavily oversold. In this video, we explore a potential bullish scenario: if XAUUSD reverses and breaks market structure, it could set up a substantial trading opportunity as price targets previous highs. Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always assess your risk tolerance before entering a trade.*📊
XAUUSD: Another 1500+ Pips Drop is Coming Up! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped to $2537 and then started showing some correction, However at 2577 we some strong resistance, we think price is likely to drop further in coming weeks. This analysis is based on last three analysis so please go through previous analysis. Thank you.
XAUUSD: Buy at low level, target 2578-2590The first rebound after the significant drop is basically over, and it has already reached the resistance area. During the upcoming retest, pay attention to the support near the previous low.
Just like the strategy I gave when the market rebounded to around 2620 last time, this time we should also watch for a potential W-shaped trend. If it appears, a rebound to the 2578-2590 range should not be a big issue. So, for tomorrow's trading, the focus should be on buying at lower levels.
For those who enjoy scalping, don't be too greedy during the trade—keep an eye on the rhythm, and don't neglect risk management.
If you have any questions, feel free to leave me a message.
XAUUSD: Big Dump On The Way, worth 1000+ pips! OANDA:XAUUSD
Price failed to reach 2640$ region where we had expected price to drop from, since the bearish pressure is too high at the moment. In our view gold will continue to drop until we can see some bullish pressure and bearish exhaustion until then the trend is extremely bullish. No major correction may occurs based on the current price momentum. Good luck.
GOLD Finally Giving Bullish P.A ,Are You Ready To Get 500 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
Gold Set to Form “W” Bottom Based on the current price action, there is potential for a “W” bottom to form. If this pattern plays out, today’s high should surpass yesterday’s 2626. However, if the price falls below 2690, the key support levels to watch will be between 2578-2573. I personally believe the probability of this scenario is low.
Therefore, the strategy is to buy, but it’s essential to control position size and allow for some flexibility in case of unexpected adverse movements. Remain agile, seize the rebound opportunity, and manage risk effectively.
XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: Eyeing a Short Position Above 2650With market volatility now reduced after today’s decline, a short-term rebound is likely tomorrow. If gold prices reach above 2650, it could offer an optimal shorting opportunity with a target range between 2580 -2560. While it may take some time to hit this target, there’s also the possibility of a quick move down to these levels. I view this as a solid setup for a long-term trading plan, with opportunities to add smaller swing trades in between. For those interested in participating, feel free to contact me for detailed trading insights and information.
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XAUUSD: 1700+ Pips Sell, Gold is going to melt hard! OANDA:XAUUSD dropped after touching daily order block at $2710, price dropped to $2617 almost achieving 930+ pips. Expecting a minor correction of 300-400 pips taking price to 2650 area where we can enter another sell enter. A possible target of 1700+ pips target. Remember this is swing sell entry. Good luck.