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Xauusdsetup

Gold Forms Triangle Consolidation, Double Top Reversal in Sight? Yesterday, gold made its first pullback to test support and has now formed a triangle consolidation pattern. I anticipate that today will begin with an upward movement, followed by another test of resistance. However, I believe the resistance will hold, leading to another decline. Eventually, gold is likely to break below the trendline, forming a double top at the highs and triggering a significant bearish reversal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MichaeliaDefoe
XAUUSD: The decline is about to begin, have you sold?After gold rose to the high point of 2580-2590, it basically maintained a shock consolidation this week. So far, no new historical highs have been triggered this week. For now, most investors in the market believe that the Fed's interest rate decision will be a node, but in fact, it is not. I think today's data will be a window for a change. Because the closer the interest rate decision is, the more people will be eager to close the profitable long orders, which will quickly weaken the long force and give the short force an opportunity to take advantage of the situation. So I think there is a high probability that there will be a callback before the interest rate decision. Trading strategy: Sell in the 2580-2590 area, the target is first to look at the 2550 area, and the second is the previous high 2530 area. I personally still hold on to the short orders I held last week. After adding positions at high levels several times, the average price is now at 2567. As long as the gold price falls, our trapped orders can be closed at a profit.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
2
Gold Nearing Peak: Time to Short Ahead of Expected Pullback Gold has reached a high level, and technical indicators are starting to show signs of weakening. I anticipate that we are about to see the final short-term push upward, followed by a return to a downward consolidation trend. Prices are expected to drop below 2550. The current trading strategy is to initiate short positions, gradually adding more as the price fluctuates, and holding until the downward trend begins.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold: Will start selling above 2590 Currently, the gold price is at 2584. I believe it should rise to the 2590-2596 range before starting to decline, with a significant drop likely to occur, potentially reaching the 2563 area. Therefore, I plan to initiate a sell position near 2590, with take-profit targets set in the 2573-2561 range. Gold's price movement could be influenced by market supply and demand, geopolitical risks, and economic data, so I will closely monitor market developments to adjust my strategy as needed.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MichaeliaDefoe
1
GOLD: The 2570-2580 area is likely to be a stage high pointGold finally ended the suppression of nearly a month yesterday, breaking through 2530 in one fell swoop, and the latest high reached 2572. I mentioned in yesterday's article that if gold does not set a new high in the short term, it may go down, but I didn't expect the impact to be so strong, much more violent than I expected. Yesterday, my Sell position was still held, with a small position at 2543 and an increase at 2550. Now the price has stabilized around 2570. I am going to add a little more, pull the average price appropriately, and continue to hold a bearish view. In my opinion, it is impossible to keep setting new highs. From the previous high of 2530 to the current 2570, it has risen by more than 40 US dollars after setting a new high. According to the previous rising pattern, each time the increase is 50$, so we can conclude that the high point of this rise is likely to be in the 2570-2580 area. Therefore, we don’t have to worry too much about the short orders we hold. The price of gold is likely to start falling from the 2570-2580 area. Next, I will continue to update my ideas in my channel for your reference. If you have any ideas, you can ask me directly.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
1
#XAUUSD: 900+ big move in making| Do not miss out| Setupsfx_OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has been accumulating since past few weeks and it has now reached an exhaustion point where we expect a breakthrough taking out buy side liquidity and creating a record higher high. Since last three days we have been waiting for an outbreak since it did not happen last week even with help nfp. Now looking at how price is behaving we are confident enough that price is going to breakthrough the accumulation phase. As always this is not a guarantee and should only be used for secondary bias, do your own analysis before taking any trade on any instruments. Good luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
12
XAUUSD: Trading in support or resistance areasAfter the CPI inflation data released yesterday, the market predicts that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting next week has dropped from 44% a week ago to 13%, so the probability of a 25% basis point rate cut in September has basically become a foregone conclusion. Smaller and more conservative rate cuts are not good news for gold, but it is still a certainty that the rate cut will be beneficial to gold. However, after the impact of the rate cuts in the past 1-2 months, most of the gold price has been digested in the process of rising. So I think that if the gold price cannot set a new record high in the next 1-2 weeks, then there will be a downward trend in gold. From the perspective of the gold market, the gold price is now at 2516, which is the middle position between the lower support of 2500 and the upper resistance of 2530. It is not good to be bullish or bearish here, so we need to wait for the market to approach the support or resistance before formulating a trading plan today. The trading plan is as follows: If the gold price reaches around 2530, you can sell here without breaking a new high If the gold price reaches the 2500-2510 area, you can buy without breaking support Based on the fundamentals of smaller interest rate cuts, I prefer to be bearish at high levels rather than bullish at lower levels. Risk data to watch out for today: European Central Bank Deposit Facility Rate U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Data U.S. August PPI Data
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
6
CPI blockbuster data hits, will it break through or fall again?At present, the controversy over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in September is still uncertain. Since March this year, the US CPI data has continued to decline, and this CPI is the last heavy data before the Fed's September meeting, and it is also the last chance to shake the expectation of interest rate cuts. As of now, the market expects a 69% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September and a 31% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, the results of today's CPI data release are likely to affect the sharp fluctuations in gold. Regardless of the results of today's data release, we must be cautious in trading, because the results of large fluctuations are difficult to judge. At the same time, in addition to the direct impact on the economy, it will also affect the expectations of interest rate cuts. At that time, the large fluctuations in gold prices up and down also need to be prevented. As can be seen from the 4H chart, there is a strong resistance near the 2530 line. So far, it has failed to break through 7 times. Whether it will fall again or set a new high depends on the results of the CPI release. Here I give the following trading strategies for your reference: The first option is to sell at a high level, with a target of around 2505. The second option is to wait for the price to fall back to around 2505 and buy.
TVC:GOLD
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD CORE CPI NEWS FORCAST 11.09.24REASON FOR FALL Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services, but it does not include those from the food and energy sectors. This measure of inflation excludes these items because their prices are much more volatile. It is most often calculated using the consumer price index (CPI), which is a measure of prices for goods and services. Key Takeaways Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services but does not include those from the food and energy sectors. Food and energy prices are exempt from this calculation because their prices can be too volatile or fluctuate wildly. Core inflation is important because it's used to determine the impact of rising prices on consumer income.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD: Before CPI is announced, buy if 2500 does not breakFrom the hourly chart, we can see that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is 2507, and the swing level of 2500-2505 has now formed a breakout pattern, so this range has now turned into support. Now as long as it can break through 2507, the gold price is likely to form a high again and try to touch the 2530 line. So far this week, the volatility is not large. The market seems to be waiting for tomorrow's CPI data. Before the release of CPI, there is almost no data that can affect the trend of gold. Therefore, I think before CPI, the support below is solid. The key is to look at the 2500 integer mark. As long as it is not broken, I will be bullish before CPI.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD: 2505-2500 resistance is not broken, boldly sellThe August NFP data released by the United States last Friday was 142,000, lower than the expected 160,000 and higher than the previous value of 89,000. At the same time, although the unemployment rate was in line with market expectations, it was actually the first decline in 5 months, which caused the gold price to rebound to 2529 and then fall to 2485. From the daily chart, the K-line decline this time is very similar to the previous decline. If we calculate the next three trading days according to the previous rules, it will fluctuate in the range of 2470-2505. We can sell high and buy low during this period. And after 3 trading days, it happens to be the node when CPI is announced. Therefore, from the perspective of trend and time, the probability of copying the previous market is also very high. Now the gold price is close to the resistance of 2500-2505. I have mentioned the support and resistance of this range countless times before. Everyone knows its importance. Therefore, if nothing unexpected happens today, I will sell near this range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
Key Levels and Targets for Gold Trading Following Friday's significant decline, gold's technical indicators are showing signs of recovery, suggesting a short-term buying opportunity at lower levels. The upper resistance zone is between 2508 and 2514, which appears strong based on current market conditions. The probability of a direct breakout above this zone is low. Therefore, if the price reaches this resistance area, consider short-selling opportunities. For this week, the initial short-term target for the downside is in the 2478-2472 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal