Aussie Gold Holds Up UP, Okay. Not For Long Baby! Please, below.
As the saying goes in Australia, 'the bigger they are - the harder they fall'.
Aussie Gold-hat-wearers & officials, might like to think their 'dinki-di-oze-gold' is an exception to panic heavy short-selling. Did I just say panic?
Well, the plan is to take Aussie Gold & it's hanging M_TOP on the weekly chart right down to the neckline for some serious scratching & hold onto your hat once it breaches the itchy neckline.
I don't think the VIX index, the Gold-god's or the market-makers' are going to let us bid up the Gold-price much at all in the lead-up to Thursday the 19th, less than 2 weeks away now. That is why I wouldn't be surprised to see the Gold-price explode upwards 20% or 30% on the big day for Jerome H. Powell FED Chair Boss, that is if they keep a lid on the Gold-price from rising in the meantime.
So, in the meantime, I am gonna Short the Cripes out of XAUAUD because I'm a loyal & patriotic Aussie who's only trying to make a buck or 2 from the markets.
Seriously, but I was serious, I see the USDX coming out of hibernation next week. I will post a couple of charts below & you will see where I am coming from. Please, in the interests of the trading sport, see also my methodology below.
Cop ya later,
Chris
* First below is the Weekly-Chart: XAUUSD
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.
Trading Area for Gold based on S/RMy idea is based on the Support & Resistance levels observed on 1H TF
I'm anticipating price bounce from the identified support areas (Support-1 & Support-2) My plan is to enter long position when the price reach these support levels and close the trade at the resistance level
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Long from the Support-1 & Support-2
Take Profit: at Resistance area
Stop Loss: Below Support-2
Good Luck
XAUUSD: NFP data is coming, how to make a trading plan?Yesterday's ADP data showed an increase of 99,000 jobs, the lowest since January 2021, significantly lower than the expected 145,000 and the previous value of 122,000. This provided a significant positive for gold. Fortunately, the subsequent initial jobless claims and two PMI data were negative, which suppressed the rise of gold and prevented the expectation of a consistent recession in all economic data.
It is precisely because of this that the price of gold fell to our buying range of 2500-2505 and then rose again, giving us the opportunity to buy at 2505 and take profits at 2516.
There are less than two weeks before the Fed's September rate cut, whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut. Today's NFP data will play a decisive role. Everyone must pay attention to it. The fluctuation may be very large at that time.
Everyone knows the importance of the monthly NFP data, and I don't need to explain too much. Therefore, today's technical reference is not as significant as the data. Everything has to wait for the results of the data release, so it is difficult to judge.
Given the uncertainty in today's market, I can't give you a specific trading strategy in advance, because it needs to be adjusted according to the actual market conditions. But I prefer to wait for a pullback and buy bullish, or make a trading plan based on the data performance after the data is released.
I hope the above strategy is useful to everyone. In fact, you can be more cautious and give up today's trading, or make a trading plan based on the specific market trend after the data is released.
GOLD At Perfect Res ,Can We Sell It To Get 500 Pips This Week ? This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: The most likely time to set a new high is comingIn yesterday's article, we pointed out the importance of the support area of 2470-2480, and the trend of this decline is almost the same as that in August, so we bought bullish in this range, and the result was very good.
Judging from the strength of the last rebound, the highest gold price tried to break through 2532. Similarly, I am optimistic that gold will test new highs again this time. In addition, there are many important economic data released today, and there will be a monthly NFP tomorrow. Once the data is good for gold, this time is most likely to refresh the historical high.
From the 1H chart, we can see that yesterday's strong rebound has broken the downward trend, and today's Asian and European sessions have broken through the key resistance of 2500-2505 again. Now this range has turned from resistance to support.
Trading strategy:
Although we are very optimistic about gold today, we still cannot take the risk of chasing the rise, because once the gold price falls back to the support, there is a room for a decline of 10-15$.
Therefore, today we'd better wait for the gold price to pull back to the 2500-2505 support area before buying. The target can be seen at 2520-2530, and after a new high, it can be seen at 2550.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 5th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD: The recent low has been confirmed, buy boldlyYesterday, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded after falling to 2473. Now the price of gold has come here again. I think the low point of this decline is likely to be here.
From the 4H chart, we can see that the range of 2470-2480 is the key resistance level that has not been broken in the previous many attacks. After breaking, it has turned into support.
At the same time, during the correction last month, it also played a key supporting role, and its support strength has been verified yesterday and just now.
In addition, the important data ADP and NFP data this week will not be released until the next two days, so it is unlikely to fall below this key support level before the data.
Trading strategy:
Since we have determined the short-term low, the choice for us is very clear. Buy in the range of 2470-2480. The first target is 2500-2505, and the second is 2520-2530.
I have bought at 2480 and added positions at 2475. Now I can wait for the rise with peace of mind.
GOLD +680 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid To Who Missed It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold At Very Interesting Res Area ,Are You Ready To Get 300 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GOLD, raid for liqudity! Ver thik, her ek kom!Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also includes the previous month's high (PMH) and previous week's high (PWH)). This aligns with the monthly theory that suggests price manipulation at the beginning of the month, followed by the real move during the 2nd and 3rd weeks of the month.
I would wait until the price moves higher to the 2507 area, breaks above it, and closes on the 15-minute chart with the candle body above the London open high (LOH). Only then would I open a long position targeting the previous week's high (PWH).
Always follow risk management: after a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) move, adjust the stop-loss to the entry point. At 1:2 RR, either take full profit (TP) or trim 80% of the position.
GOLD +450 Pips 0 Drawdown , Free Long Trade Shared For Free !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD "GOLD" Robbery plan to steal the gold in long SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "GOLD" Mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
XAUUSD:Bullish resistance 2513-2527
This week features a significant amount of data with substantial impact, which is likely to lead to considerable market volatility. This presents both risks and opportunities—if managed well, doubling profits is achievable.
In Monday’s gold trading, start by taking long positions since the market is still consolidating within a flag pattern and has not broken below the support near 2488. Focus on the resistance levels at 2509-2515 and then around 2527. This resistance level is well-known and has been tested four times without an effective breakout, so it’s prudent to trade within this range for now.
Given the recent instability in the broader environment, there’s potential for gold bulls, but this assumes further deterioration in the situation. If the market remains indecisive, bulls may lack the strength to drive a significant rally. From a mid-term perspective, I personally believe that selling at higher levels may be more favorable.
GOLD H1 Analysis: Two Different Perspectives GOLD: Two Different Perspectives
Yesterday, I provided a broader time frame perspective on GOLD and detailed why it might move down again.
Given the market’s lack of clear direction, we should remain cautious as the price evolves.
This time, I am sharing my opinion on two possible scenarios, acknowledging that traders have different perspectives and the price is at a critical juncture.
Bearish Scenario:
The price is testing a strong zone near 2530 for the fourth time, as seen in the chart. If this zone holds, we could see GOLD moving down to 2504. A move below 2504 could push the price further down to 2483.
Bullish Scenario:
A move above 2530 today could push the price up to 2550, which might become the next resistance zone where we could see potential bearish momentum again.
However, I am more focused on the bearish move, as I have explained my opinion several times.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD:It could break through 2530
The price continues to fluctuate within the resistance zone. Looking at the 4-hour chart, both the indicators and the current pattern favor the bulls. If the price doesn’t break below the 2517-2511 area before tomorrow’s New York session, we can expect an upward move.
At the same time, the DXY is starting to show signs of forming a bottom, the likelihood of it moving in the same direction as gold is low. Once the DXY successfully bottoms out (which I expect to happen around the 99.5-99 level), it will likely mark the medium-term top for gold. At that point, the trading strategy should focus on selling at high levels.
XAUUSD: Short, target 2463-2452
Gold is fluctuating within the 2508-2519 resistance range, and indicators are starting to show weakness. A pullback is expected next week, and a second test of the resistance near 2519 cannot be ruled out. From the overall trend perspective, I lean towards the likelihood that it won’t break through, leading to a significant drop. The first major support during the decline is around 2500, followed by 2488-2477, and finally around 2452.
If strong resistance is encountered near 2520 and it fails to break through, a double top pattern could form, making a drop to around 2452 highly likely. Therefore, in next week’s trading, focus on observing the resistance and prioritize short positions.
Missed the Gold Drop? Re-Entry Strategy After Key RejectionOverview: The provided XAU/USD charts show a market structure that's testing key liquidity zones (LQZ) and possibly forming reversal patterns. Your trading archetype, a mix of Bold Maverick and Analytical Rabbit, suggests that you likely lean towards taking calculated risks but need confirmation before executing trades. This archetype blend requires balancing decisive action with thorough analysis, especially when you miss an initial trade idea.
1. Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
4H Chart:
The price reached a significant resistance at the 4H LQZ around 2531.595, forming a double top structure within a descending channel. This zone is a potential area for strong reversals.
The recent rejection at this resistance indicates a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
1H Chart:
There's a descending channel visible, suggesting a bearish trend in play. Price is currently at a 1H LQZ around 2494.550, which has acted as support in the past.
The rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel aligns with a confluence at the 4H resistance, enhancing the likelihood of a reversal.
The current price action is consolidating around this 1H LQZ, indicating potential for either a bounce or a further decline.
15M Chart:
Shows a recent sharp decline from the 4H LQZ, confirming the bearish momentum. The price is currently hovering around a minor support within the larger 1H LQZ.
The rejection from the 4H resistance, coupled with the bearish momentum on this lower timeframe, reinforces the potential for further downside.
2. The Rule of Three & Patterns Within Patterns:
The "Rule of Three" indicates that after three touches to a support/resistance level, a breakout is more likely. The charts show multiple touches on both the descending trendline and support level, suggesting an imminent breakout or breakdown.
The structure seen in these charts is a descending channel within a larger potential double top, a clear example of "patterns within patterns." This amplifies the probability of a significant reversal.
3. Entry Types and Missed Opportunity:
Since you missed the initial trade, you could look for:
Reduced Risk Entry:
Wait for a pullback to the LQZ after a confirmed breakout below the current 1H LQZ. You could then enter a short position, targeting a lower liquidity zone or the next support level.
This approach is less aggressive and aligns with your analytical nature.
Re-Entry Strategy:
If the price revisits the 4H LQZ and shows signs of rejection again (like a bearish engulfing pattern or strong wick rejections), this could offer a new entry point for shorts.
4. Psychological Coaching:
As a Bold Maverick, it's essential to stay disciplined and not chase the trade you missed. Instead, analyze the market's next move:
Mass Psychology:
Recognize that other traders might also be reacting to the missed opportunity, leading to a possible pullback (which you can capitalize on).
Stay focused on your strategy and avoid the temptation to overtrade or enter prematurely out of frustration.
Final Thoughts:
Given the charts' current state, patience is crucial. Wait for the market to present a clear re-entry opportunity that aligns with your mix of risk-taking and analysis. Watch for a strong, confirmed break below the 1H LQZ or a pullback to the 4H LQZ with a bearish confirmation before entering your next trade.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 28th AugLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 26th AugLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD Teeters on Edge: Multi-Timeframe Wedge & Channel ShowdownDaily Timeframe Analysis-
Pattern: Rising Wedge
Description: The daily chart shows a rising wedge pattern. This pattern typically suggests a potential bearish reversal, especially if it appears after a prolonged uptrend. The wedge is narrowing as it moves upwards, indicating a possible weakening of bullish momentum.
Implication: If the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge, it could signal a significant downward move. Conversely, a breakout above the upper trendline might invalidate this bearish pattern, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
4-Hour Timeframe Analysis-
Pattern: Rising Channel within the Wedge
Description: The 4-hour chart also reveals a rising channel pattern. This channel aligns with the broader wedge on the daily chart, but it's more refined, offering a closer look at price movement within the larger structure.
Implication: The price is near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating a potential reversal point. A break below this channel would likely confirm the bearish scenario from the daily wedge.
1-Hour Timeframe Analysis-
Pattern: Descending Channel and Liquidity Zone
Description: On the 1-hour chart, there’s a descending channel forming, along with a liquidity zone just below the current price level. This suggests that the market is in a corrective phase after a previous upward move.
Implication: This setup suggests two potential outcomes:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the descending channel, it could signify a resumption of the upward trend, targeting the upper boundary of the rising wedge on the daily chart.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above and instead drops below the liquidity zone, it could trigger a downward move toward the lower boundary of the rising wedge, potentially leading to a breakout.
15-Minute Timeframe Analysis-
Pattern: Flat Flag within the Descending Channel
Description: The 15-minute chart shows a flat flag pattern forming within the descending channel. This is a continuation pattern, often signaling that the price may continue in the direction of the preceding trend after a brief consolidation.
Implication: The immediate direction could be determined by whether the price breaks above or below this flat flag:
Bullish Continuation: A breakout above the flag and descending channel could lead to a strong upward movement.
Bearish Continuation: A breakdown below the flag would align with a continuation of the downward trend within the descending channel.
Key Takeaways and Strategy
Multi-Touch Confirmation: The trendlines have been touched multiple times across the timeframes, especially on the daily and 4-hour charts, which strengthens the validity of these patterns.
Liquidity Zone: The 1-hour chart's liquidity zone is a crucial area to watch. A decisive move away from this zone could confirm the next significant price direction.
Entry Types: Given the patterns, traders might consider a risk entry at the current levels within the descending channel on the 1-hour chart, looking for a breakout. Alternatively, waiting for a reduced risk entry after confirmation of a breakout or breakdown could be more prudent.
In summary, the charts present a potential turning point for XAUUSD, with significant implications depending on whether the price breaks out of the descending channel on the 1-hour chart. Monitoring the key levels identified across these timeframes will be essential for making informed trading decisions.