Profit of 130pips, retracement is an opportunity to buy goldDear traders, did you follow my trading strategy and go long on gold in the 2860-2850 zone? As I emphasized in my previous analysis, if gold holds above the 2850-2840 support level during its pullback, it retains the potential to rally toward 2900. Based on this logic, we executed a highly successful trade in the NFP session, going long on gold within the 2860-2850 range as per my outlined strategy.
Following the NFP data release, gold briefly dipped to around 2852 during the retracement. I strictly adhered to my trading plan and entered a long position at 2853. As expected, gold extended its rally above 2880, precisely hitting my projected take-profit (TP) target. This outcome reaffirms the accuracy of my trading strategy, and the gold market has indeed moved in line with my expectations. Cheers to our victory, everyone!
At this point, there are still no clear signs of a market top, and gold may attempt to test the 2900 level. However, as it approaches or touches 2900, we must remain cautious about the risk of a potential retracement.
Bros, have you followed me to do long gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusdsetup
XAU/USD 07 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,882.310.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,882.310
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
XAU/USD 05 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Is XAUUSD Gold Overextended? Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAUUSD (Gold). Although the higher timeframe shows a bullish trend, the price is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour chart, there’s a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break above the current high, followed by a retest and rejection, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
XAU/USD 04 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning and internal low are the same level.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Should price trade down to discount of 50% EQ, I would be happy to mark internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,830.755.
Price could also continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,817.215
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, buit not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,830.755
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Short gold when it hits 2820-2830 areaDear traders, gold has shown exceptional strength after breaking through the 2800 level, with aggressive buying flows providing strong support while simultaneously limiting downside retracements. Based on the current gold market structure, there remains upside potential, with prices likely to revisit the 2620-2630 range.
However, market sentiment currently plays a more dominant role than technical factors. As strong buying pressure fuels a short squeeze rally, a shift in sentiment could lead to the formation of a high wave candle on the chart, with gold potentially retesting the 2800-2790 support zone.
Given these conditions, I do not advocate chasing long positions at current levels for short-term trades. Instead, a more prudent approach would be to consider initiating long positions if gold retraces to the 2800-2790 support and holds above it. Conversely, if prices reach the 2620-2630 region, we can look for opportunities to short gold again.
Bros, do you still have the courage to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 03 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 31 January 2025, price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS which was in-line with previous analysis.
Price had printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation,
I also mentioned that I would monitor price.
Price did not pull back deep enough, therefore, I will apply discretion and ignore the previous CHoCH.
Price continued bullish before pulling back, printing another bearish CHoCH. Price also traded down to discount of 50% EQ, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Similar to H4 TF you will note an iBOS which is marked in red. I have again applied my discretion as price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS which would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to recent price action.
Price continued bullish and pulled back, printing a bearish CHoCH which continued bearish to discount of 50% internal EQ.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 30 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP UPDATEHello Traders,
We closed last week with our analysis playing out as predicted, achieving all our leveled targets as confirmed by range-to-range breaks. Corrections like these are welcome, as they provide safe opportunities to buy dips and ride the long-term trend.
For now, the price is fluctuating between 2770 and 2730 range. we anticipate levels being tested back and forth until one of the weighted levels breaks and locks to confirm the next directional range. Updated levels will help us track downward movements and identify optimal bounce points to enter trades.
Key Updates:
Resistance Levels: 2770, 2785
Bullish Targets: 2771
If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2771, the next target is (2784)
If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2784, the next target is (2796)
If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2796, the next target is (2808)
Key Level: 2742
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2742, it will open the path to TP1 (2726).
TP1: 2726
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2721, the next target is TP2 (2710).
TP2: 2710
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2710, the next target is TP3 (2694).
We will closely monitor these levels and provide updates based on EMA5’s interaction with the weighted zones.
The QUANTUM Trading Mastery
XAU/USD 29 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2660.00(OR) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The current market sentiment has shifted to bearish, driven by a combination of factors. We update our analysis to reflect the changed market conditions.
🟫Fundamental Analysis:
1. Stronger US Dollar: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has strengthened, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
2. Rising Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone and rising interest rates have increased the opportunity cost of holding gold.
3. Improved Economic Data: Stronger-than-expected economic data from the US has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🟪Macro Analysis:
1. Risk-On Sentiment: The improved economic outlook and reduced geopolitical tensions have led to a risk-on sentiment, reducing demand for gold.
2. Decreasing Inflation Expectations: Falling inflation expectations have reduced the appeal of gold as a hedge against inflation.
🟩Sentiment Analysis
1. Bullish Sentiment: 28% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to rise.
2. Bearish Sentiment: 58% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to fall.
3. Neutral Sentiment: 14% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to trade sideways.
🟨Market Positioning
1. Long Positions: 32% of traders and investors are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Short Positions: 55% of traders and investors are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Neutral Positions: 13% of traders and investors are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
🟦Open Interest
1. Increasing: 22% of traders and investors expect open interest to increase.
2. Decreasing: 60% of traders and investors expect open interest to decrease.
3. Stable: 18% of traders and investors expect open interest to remain stable.
🟥Commitment of Traders (COT) Report
1. Hedge Funds Long: 25% of hedge funds are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Hedge Funds Short: 62% of hedge funds are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Hedge Funds Neutral: 13% of hedge funds are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD 28 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Execute the trading direction of goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in yesterday’s market analysis, if gold does not break below the 2760-2750 support zone during its retracement, it is highly likely to breach the 2800 threshold later this week. Taking advantage of today’s pullback, we initiated long positions near 2756. Although gold briefly dipped to 2747, it quickly rebounded above 2750, indicating the potential for continued upside momentum.
Currently, gold is trading around 2769, and our long positions are already yielding a solid profit. If gold follows the anticipated trajectory and rises further, I will closely monitor its performance in the 2770-2775 zone. Should it struggle to decisively break through this resistance, I may consider a short-term short position to capitalize on a potential pullback.
Bros, do you think gold will break through 2800? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis you will note a bullish iBOS marked in red. I have marked this is red as price did not pull back deep enough for me a validate, therefore, on this occasion I will apply my discretion.
Price then continued bullish, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently in discount of 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
Alternative scenario: As H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Poised for Upside: Bullish Continuation Toward $2800The 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a bullish structure with a clear upward momentum. The key support zones around 2740-2755 serve as critical levels where buying interest is expected to emerge, supported by visible accumulation in these areas.
A break of structure (BOS) confirms the continuation of the bullish trend, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. The weak high above 2775 signals a potential move toward testing the next resistance levels around 2785-2790. Two entry zones are highlighted for buyers: a conservative entry above 2755 or a more aggressive approach around 2740 in the event of a pullback. The upward price target lies in the 2790-2800 range, aligning with the overall bullish trend.
From a fundamental perspective, gold prices remain supported by global economic uncertainty and continued demand for safe-haven assets. The market is also sensitive to Federal Reserve policy signals, with any dovish tones likely providing further bullish momentum. While the technical outlook favors buyers, it is crucial to implement proper risk management, with stop-loss levels below 2740 to protect against unexpected volatility.
XAU/USD 27-31 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/tPRFgn8w/
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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