Xauusdsetup
After NFP gold is still bullish? check my proper analysis!Hey everyone this is your boy Hunbal! I am looking for a good buy trade ready for Monday market open session XAUUSD is ready for a bull run I have 2 confirmations one the rejection from the support level and second choc in m30 time frame so we are hoping a good buy from here (2690) our take profit will be 200 pips 2710 and our stop loss will be 100 pips 2680 I wish we all together print some money.
Good Luck :)
Weekly Insights: Euro/Dollar and Gold Analysis
Hello, fellow traders! I hope you’re all doing well. Today, we want to share some insights and observations from the past week that might help you navigate the markets.
Euro/Dollar: We’re seeing some outflows in put options with a strike price of $1.05, which are already in the money and have intrinsic value. Additionally, there’s been a resale of put options at the $1.02 strike. This suggests a sentiment shift—at the very least, we might be witnessing a halt in the downward movement. So, keep an eye on this pair, it could be setting up for a bounce.
Gold: On the gold front, there’s been aggressive buying of call spreads with targets around $2950-$3000. However, this seems a bit too straightforward and obvious—buying after a price increase at high levels doesn’t scream insider trading or strong sentiment. It feels more like a speculative play, and honestly, it’s pretty apparent. The sentiment here is Neutral.
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150.
Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the NFP news.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2730.00 (or) Before
Bearish Robbers TP 2630.00 (or) Before
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, with the gold price sticking to its intraday gains near a multi-week top. The Fed's hawkish stance and elevated US bond yields are capping gains, but traders are still optimistic about the precious metal's potential.
From a technical perspective, the breakout through the $2,665 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. The gold price seems poised to climb further to the $2,681-2,683 intermediate hurdle and then aim to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark.
However, there are also some bearish signals to watch out for, such as the potential for a stock market crash and the rising yield curve. If the XAU/USD breaks below the $2,655 area, it could be seen as a buying opportunity, with support near the $2,635 region and the weekly low around the $2,615-2,614 zone.
Overall, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with a potential upside target of $2,700. But, as always, it's essential to keep an eye on the market and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Some key factors to watch out for include the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could impact the gold price, as well as the overall sentiment in the market. The gold-to-silver ratio is also an important indicator to keep an eye on, as it can provide insights into the relative strength of gold versus silver .
So, to sum it up, the XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, but it's crucial to stay informed and adapt to any changes in the market.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as PossibleGold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as Possible
I have 4 levels on upside to watch as Sell levels
➡️15m level 2684ish (high risk)
➡️H1 level 2690ish (medium risk)
➡️H4 level 2708ish (low risk)
➡️ Day/week level 2733ish (extremely low risk)
I would prefer start taking sell risk form H1 levels with 70 to 100 pips SL, depending on the entry I got.
For buy Risk I have 2 levels marked on charts
➡️H4/Day levels 2633ish for medium to low-risk entry
➡️Weekly level 2612ish for reentry once 2633ish failed.
This is the game plan for now for full NFP day, any change would try to convey on time.
Ignore all previous VIP inactive signals if any and follow NFP levels and updates for next move.
Today is 1st NFP data of year 2025 that can be seen as wide range move that can make leveraged traders rich in no time if entered in right side of trades with open TP. I personally stick with SL and TP
XAU/USD 09 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,664.330.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,670.150.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
1/9 Gold Trading StrategiesThe previous decline has been almost fully recovered, and from a rebound perspective, it is nearing its conclusion. A pullback of about 1/3, roughly $30, is expected next, which presents a trading opportunity.
Sell between 2670 and 2685, with a take profit (TP) target at 2638-2628.
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high.
🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫
🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12.
🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see.
Please bost if you find this one insightful.
XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 07.01.25Import costs and currency fluctuations - Differences in currency exchange rates and higher import costs have contributed to rising gold prices in other regions. Local taxes, market conditions, and logistical challenges also add to the disparity between Indian and global rates.
XAU/USD 07 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has been printing erratically by printing a bullish iBOS (which was against internal bearish bias) quickly followed by bearish iBOS which met yesterday's intraday expectation analysis.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is showing reaction at M15 supply zone. Strong internal high is expected to hold. Technically price should target weak internal low priced at 2,614.635.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 07.01.25With inflation issues looming and global uncertainty causing more investors to become interested in gold bars and coins, gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and gold individual retirement accounts (IRAs), rising demand for the precious metal helped to drive rapid price increases, leaving experts speculating the price
1/7 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter experiencing significant volatility, gold is now in a narrow consolidation phase. Based on previous price movements, this range appears to be relatively stable. Therefore, the trading suggestions are as follows:
Sell between 2641 and 2646, with a (TP) at 2634-2628 and a (SL) at 2649.
Buy between 2624 and 2617, with a (TP) at 2632-2637 and a (SL) at 2613.
XAU/USD "Gold USD Mines" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold USD Mines" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2700.00 (or) escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair is : Bullish
Reasons:
Increasing demand for gold: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, and investors may seek to buy gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, or market volatility.
Central bank buying: Central banks have been buying gold as a reserve asset, which could support prices and increase demand.
Limited supply of gold: The supply of gold is limited, and mining production is not expected to keep pace with growing demand, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Weakening US dollar: The US dollar has been weakening against other major currencies, which could make gold more attractive to investors and drive up prices.
Inflation concerns: Inflation concerns are rising, and gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, which could drive up demand and prices.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for gold and drive down prices.
Interest rate hikes: Interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could strengthen the US dollar and reduce demand for gold.
Regulatory changes: Changes in regulations or laws affecting the gold market could impact prices and demand.
Bullish Scenario:
Increasing demand for gold, central bank buying, and limited supply drive up prices
Weakening US dollar and inflation concerns support the bullish case
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 80%
Bearish sentiment: 20%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Momentum Hinges on 2630 SupportOANDA:XAUUSD began the year on a positive note. After testing the 2600 support level several times before the New Year, the price rose and reached a high of 2666 on Friday.
Currently, the price is undergoing a normal correction following the 600-pip rally and, at the time of writing, XAU/USD is testing support around 2635.
To sustain its bullish momentum, the price needs to reverse upward and reclaim the 2650 level. If this occurs, bulls could anticipate further continuation toward the 2700 resistance zone, with interim resistance levels at 2666 and 2680.
However, if the price falls below 2630, the 2600 level will once again be exposed, and Gold could remain range-bound.
For now, I remain bullish as long as the 2630 support level holds.
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has most recently printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,625.260.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06-10 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
Sizing Up XAUUSD into the New Year: What’s Next for GOLD?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct a quick top-down analysis, identifying key structural levels where major players may target liquidity to execute their orders. Understanding these levels—from the monthly and weekly down to the daily charts—can help pinpoint potential opportunities on the four-hour and lower timeframes. This video offers a breakdown of my analysis process. (Not financial advice.) 📊 ✅
GOLD Sell NOW Gold price (XAU/USD) rises for the third consecutive session on Thursday, following a more than 27% increase in 2024, marking its best performance since 2010. This upward momentum has been driven by US monetary easing, persistent geopolitical tensions, and record central bank purchasesHowever, the non-interest-bearing Gold may encounter some headwinds as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to take a more cautious approach toward further rate cuts in 2025, signaling a hawkish shift in its monetary policy stance. This change is influenced by uncertainties surrounding potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration’s economic plansGeopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict are expected to continue supporting Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. Additionally, a World Gold Council survey suggests that major central banks are likely to increase Gold purchases in 2025, further boosting demand for the precious metalGold price trades near $2,630.00 per troy ounce on Thursday, with the daily chart indicating a consolidation phase as the metal moves sideways. However, the price of the yellow metal moves above the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), suggesting a bullish shift in the short-term momentum. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 50 mark, reflecting a neutral sentiment