XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2904
2nd Support – 2880
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Xauusdshort
Bears return - pushing prices down at the end of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) hovers near its all-time high after hitting a new peak in early European trading on Thursday. The surge follows US President Donald Trump's comments suggesting a potential trade deal with China. At the same time, geopolitical tensions rise as Trump claims Ukraine initiated the war with Russia and hints at repayment for US financial aid.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes had little market impact, with only a few FOMC members favoring steady rates. Expectations for a possible rate cut in June remain intact.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves within the H1 trend line in the Asian session at the end of the week, selling pressure creates market liquidity, pay attention to important support zones: 2919, 2906
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2919 - $2921 SL $2916 scalping
TP1: $2924
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2935
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2905 - $2907 SL $2900
TP1: $2915
TP2: $2922
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold’s Bull Trap? Major Reversal Incoming!As I expected in yesterday's post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) and bounced exactly on my hypothesized lines , and I hope you were able to profit.
Gold failed to break the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . And it appears to have created a Bull Trap .
In terms of the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the main wave 5 , and one of the signs for me was the Bull Trap .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) after breaking the Uptrend lines . ( Next targets are also possible ).
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone, we can expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD:Shocking reversal, short selling has wonAfter the London market started, short gold at 2930-2933, target 2915, in fact, the price only dropped to around 2916, although it did drop a lot, but it was still a bit regrettable that it did not reach TP.
After the notification followed the closing of the order, short gold immediately in the range of 2930-2925. Currently relevant trading opportunities have been published in my analysis circle, remember to keep previewing.
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910.
Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Golden interval operationGold 4-hour level, yesterday's high and low repeatedly roller coaster consolidation, the current Bollinger band has gradually narrowed, the upper track 2952, the lower track 2918, and the overall 4-hour current operation is a bullish trend with gradually rising highs and lows. In the short term, it is temporarily running within the upper and lower tracks. Wait for the Bollinger band to reopen before choosing to follow the trend
The upper pressure is focused on the 2950-55 area. If it breaks, it will be 2965-2985. The lower support is the 10-day moving average of 2915. If it breaks, it will be 2906-2880. Tonight, we will focus on the breakthrough of this range. The decline in the early trading today and the European trading will continue, so the US market will rebound and there will be a second decline. Therefore, the operation is mainly high-short, supplemented by low-long.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to go short in the 2940-45 area, stop loss at 2951, and target 2925-2915 area;
Be bold and short goldBrothers, did you short gold?
As I mentioned in my previous article, I have already entered short positions in the 2930-2940 zone. Today, gold has broken below Wednesday’s low, which has to some extent opened further downside potential and strengthened the probability of continued decline. Moreover, under the pressure of the head and shoulders pattern, I believe gold is highly likely to retest the 2920-2910 support zone today.
I have followed my trading plan and am currently in profit on my short positions. We can continue to hold and wait for further profit expansion. Did you follow me in shorting gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips.
Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone.
Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , 500 Pips Waiting For Us !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders,
When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider.
1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge
Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality.
1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing
In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%).
This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures.
2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy
Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K.
This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy.
3. Rate cut expectations are delayed
With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025.
Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates.
4. Liquidity is shrinking
On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting.
From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play.
---
2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes
Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out:
> “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.”
This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market:
1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021.
2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled.
3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs.
The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market.
---
3. Why did gold pull back?
In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following:
1. A stronger U.S. dollar
Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum.
2. Rising real interest rates
The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal.
3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets
Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
4. Technical resistance
From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback.
---
4. Technical Analysis
Weekly Chart
It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes.
Four-Hour Chart
The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated.
Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA.
---
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement.
### 🔹 **Trade Setup:**
- **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels.
- **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts.
- **🎯 Take Profit Targets:**
- **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone)
- **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction)
### 📊 **Trade Rationale:**
✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal.
✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones.
✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment.
### ⚠️ **Risk Management:**
- If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade.
- Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation.
Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉
Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
XAUUSDToday's operation strategy:
The current price of gold is around 2931, short it when it rebounds to 2937-2940, stop loss 2955, target 2925-2920
For more trading strategies, you can click on my link
But for long-term traders, the main focus is to go long on the pullback.
What do you think about gold? Welcome to comment and exchange, I wish you a smooth transaction
XAUUSD: Real-time trading at the current price, check it outYesterday's Federal Reserve January policy meeting minutes highlighted: "Upward risks to the inflation outlook" and "some other factors are considered to be likely to hinder the process of inflation decline" and the expectation of interest rate cuts as important support for the short-term rebound in gold prices. This has made our long orders successfully profitable.
After the Asian market started today, the market hit the highest position of 2950 and then quickly fell back. The impact of this news on the market after a night of digestion has been very small. Regarding the peace talks, the US Department of State is also urging the Ukrainian national leaders to sign the peace talks agreement, which means that this peace talks is very meaningful.
From the trend chart of gold prices, the overall upward momentum is still very weak. After the London market opened, the gold price continued to fall. The lowest point was 2924. It is currently fluctuating at a low level. It is expected to fall sharply today. The operation is mainly short at high levels.
xauusd: Choose to sell near the current price of 2930,2934-2937
TP2915
TP2905
SL2945
Detailed operations will be updated in Jack's analysis circle. Keep paying attention to the follow-up results, and leave me a message at any time if you have any questions.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD: The best position for long gold prices is 2930-2935At present, there is no support from the dominant news. Combined with technical observations, the best buying point in the Asian market is 2930. The second buying position is 2935
tp2945.
sl2925.
Before there is clear negative news, continue to continue the long trading idea.
gold still on buy#XAUUSD) remains in a bullish trend, but a temporary drop below $2,947 is expected before resuming upward momentum. A buy entry at this level presents a good opportunity, with a take profit target at $2,965 and a stop loss at $2,938 to manage risk.
However, if the price falls below $2,932, strong bearish pressure could take over, potentially leading to a deeper decline below 2910.
xauusd: Risk and profit coexist
The trading market has always been a coexistence of risk and profit. Although the transaction failed several times. But it's nothing. Keep calm and make the transaction smoother. Just control the risk. Buy at 2946-2940.tp2965.sl2935
Continue to wait for the rise in gold prices. The more uncertain the market is. The more I like it.
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKGOLD 12H CHART UPDATE: 17th FEB 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s the latest 12H GOLD chart update, offering a thorough review of recent price movements and key insights for the upcoming sessions. Since October 2023, our careful tracking has maintained 100% target accuracy, as reflected by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s explore the highlights and what lies ahead.
Recap of Recent Chart Success!
Our recent analysis has been highly accurate:
Entry Level 2814: ✅ Achieved
TP1 2858: ✅ Achieved
TP2 2903: ✅ Achieved
TP3 2948: ✅ Partially achieved
After hitting TP3, 2948 acted as the expected resistance level, causing a price reversal of over 40 pips down to the weighted GoldTurn levels of 2900 and 2856. These levels provided support, allowing the price to bounce back toward the resistance zone.
What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish?
* Resistance Levels: 2942, 2993, 3041
* Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2900, 2856, 2813, 2770, 2710, 2664, 2599
* FVG is providing strong resistance 2910 which will cause short bearish
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2903.06
* EMA5 is fluctuating between two key weighted levels, with a gap above 2948 and below the 2900 GoldTurn level.
* A crossover of EMA5—either above or below the weighted level—will signal the next significant move for GOLD.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and hold above 2814, will open the following bullish target 2858 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2858, will open the following bullish target 2903 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2903, will open the following bullish target 2948 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2948, will open the following bullish target 2993
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2993, will open the following bullish target 3041
Bearish Targets
EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2856 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2856: will open the following bearish target 2813
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2813: will open the following bearish target 2770
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2770: will open the following bearish target 210
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2710: will open the following bearish target 2664 (Retracement Range)
Short-Term Strategy:
Anticipate possible reversals at weighted GOLDTURN levels 2856 and 2813.
Leverage 1H and 4H timeframes to capture pullbacks around these levels.
Target 30–40 pips per trade, focusing on shorter positions for effective risk management.
GOLDTURN levels provide reliable bounce opportunities, allowing you to buy at dip levels.
Long-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Final Thoughts:
Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends.
We appreciate your support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit.
Best regards,
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
XAUUSDGold is approaching the high of 2942 again, and may hit the 3000 mark again. It fell briefly at the double top pressure at the high of 2942 before, and took a small wave of correction. Yesterday, it rose again and approached 2940. It has been trading sideways at a high level since the opening of the market this morning and in the afternoon. Will the market form a three-top top pattern here, or will it hit the 3000 mark?
From a technical point of view, the strong in the bull market often encounters resistance. Generally, it will be tested many times and form a market that breaks and rises. The magnitude of the suppression of the decline will not be too large, so the resistance of the bull trend market is used to break the position. The probability of winning by going long with the trend is far greater than that of going short against the trend.
If you look at the three-top top pattern near 2942, the price will generally fall rapidly after touching it, and close with a long upper shadow line. Only when it meets this pattern can you see the top. But now it is obviously not. Instead, it continues to fluctuate sideways near the high point, accumulating momentum to rise. It is only a matter of time before it breaks. The probability of breaking today is very high, and it may set a new high and point directly to the 3000 mark.
You can focus on the 2930 line to be bullish. The watershed is 2924. If it falls below this position, it will be meaningless to be bullish. The upper pressure is 2950-2960. If you break the high and step back, you can see a second rise.
What are your views on gold? Welcome to share your opinions.