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Xauusdshort

Gold at Resistance Zone>Technical Patterns>Potential DropThe U.S. economic Indexes released on January 16, 2025 , have implications for Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ): Core Retail Sales m/m : ncreased by 0.4% , slightly below the 0.5% forecast, indicating moderate consumer spending. Retail Sales m/m : Rose by 0.4% , under the expected 0.6%, suggesting a potential economic slowdown. Unemployment Claims : Reached 217,000 , higher than the anticipated 210,000, pointing to a softening labor market. These factors may lead to a weaker U.S. dollar and increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving gold prices higher. --------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Gold chart in the 4-hour time frame and see how much Technical Analysis can help us predict the trend of Gold in the coming hours and days. Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($2,743-$2,700) and near the Upper line of the Ascending Channel , the upper lines of the Rising Wedge Pattern and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to be moving within the Rising Wedge Pattern . According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y . The wave count will change if the Resistance zone($2,743-$2,700) breaks . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Gold to start falling at least the Support zone($2,697-$2,689) and the lower line of the ascending channel after entering the TRZ and touching the upper line of the ascending channel and the wedge pattern. Note: If Gold can break the Resistance zone($2,743-$2,700), we can expect an All-Time High(ATH) for Gold. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
Correction Warning for Gold - Back Below 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 10 increased to 217K, up from 201K the prior week and falling short of the 210K forecast. Recent inflation data and comments from Fed Governor Waller weighed on the US Dollar, as traders grew optimistic about an earlier rate cut. Waller suggested a rate reduction could be considered in the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed confidence in the labor market's stabilization during an interview with The Wall Street Journal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold has completed its recovery to 2724, and the large sellers in this area will push the price back below 2700 before consolidating and rising again. This is consistent with the market awaiting the inauguration of President TRUMP. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2688 - $2686 SL $2681 TP1: $2695 TP2: $2702 TP3: $2710 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2723 - $2725 SL $2728 Scalping TP1: $2718 TP2: $2713 TP3: $2705 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2732 - $2734 SL $2739 TP1: $2725 TP2: $2710 TP3: $2700 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold to stall at previous highs?Gold - Intraday Selling posted close to the previous high of 2726.0. 2721.3 has been pivotal. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. We look to Sell at 2718.5 (stop at 2738.5) Our profit targets will be 2668.5 and 2658.5 Resistance: 2724.5 / 2735.0 / 2750.0 Support: 2709.7 / 2700.0 / 2690.0 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OANDA
3
XAUUSD LND SHORT - 1:5 RR Directional Bias London Bias: Bearish with price targeting keyH1/H4 levels at 2690 & 2684 Price Action Price delivered an aggressive bullish continuation with negative retail sales yesterday. I do see this being the final expansion before a more sustained short term reversal that may continue into building permits data release tonight I would enter at the current price and be prepared to enter at a pull back towards the 2712.50 level. With Stop Loss above the Asia high, the potential return on this could be a 1:3 - 1:5 Setup invalidation If price moves back above the high of Asia, this setup will be invalidated.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Pips4Breakfastx
1
XAUUSD; long-term analysis pre-NFPHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels. Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s. Our scenarios are in play after the NFP data is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view. Scenario 1: long-term BUYS -We broke above 2675. With the break of 2675 we can expect a possible move up to 2690. With a retest back at 2700s, that would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 or previous highs at 2726. Scenario 2: long-term SELLS -We respected our KL and stayed below 2675.700. If we start making our way down to 2646 and manage to break below it, we could see more sells in play down to 2604. NFP DATA! WHAT’S COMING? With the NFP data coming out tomorrow , we can expect huge volatility. Spikes are to be expected. With the Jobless claims report we got yesterday, we can possibly anticipate more positive numbers for the TVC:DXY and potentially leading into more sells on OANDA:XAUUSD which would play by our Scenario 2 ! If on the other hand the NFP data comes in lower than expected, we should follow by our long-term Scenario 1 . IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 2690 ; breaks above would result in gold revisiting previous highs - 2675 ; breaks above would result in more upside - 2646 ; breaks below would result in sells - 2633 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2620 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2604 ; breaks below would confirm gold is bearish and we should see lower levels (2590..) Personal opinion: As the new financial year is here, and we are barely in the first weeks of trading, the direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. The spikes we had last few days on XAUUSD did not give us the best or most optimal trading conditions. The market is undecided on the direction, until we get the NFP Data out. Stay patient and be smart. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking above 2675 would confirm buys. - XAUUSD failing to break above 2675 could result in lower prices. - Breaks below 2646 would result in sells. - The market has no directions until we get the NFP Data out on Friday 10th. - Positive NFP Data would result in stronger DXY and lower prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 2. - Negative NFP Data would result in weaker DXY and higher prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 1. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
3
Buying power is weakening - resistance 2724 good for SELLComment: 📌 The recent inflation data and comments from Fed official Waller put pressure on the US dollar, as traders grow increasingly confident that the US Central Bank might cut rates sooner rather than later. Waller did not dismiss the possibility of a rate cut at the March meeting, highlighting that inflation "is approaching our 2% target." Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, a voting member in 2025, expressed optimism that the labor market is stabilizing, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Market participants are now pricing in nearly equal odds of the Fed implementing two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with the first reduction expected as early as June. XAU Trend: January 17 📌 Gold is reacting downward at the H4 2724 resistance zone, buying force is becoming weaker. Opportunity for sellers to push the price back to 2705, creating more liquidity for the market Signal:📌 SELL XAU 2723-2726 SL: 2731 | TP: 2715 - 2708 - 2700 Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
Gold Approaching Key Resistance Berish Rjction or Bullish BrkoutBased on the chart provided: ### Key Observations: 1. **Resistance Zone**: - Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area. - Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action. 2. **Target Levels**: - **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs. - **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure. - **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone. 3. **Risk-Reward Setup**: - A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook. - The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements. 4. **Market Context**: - Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume. - The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone. ### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Rejection**: - Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone. - Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730. - Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order. 2. **Bullish Breakout**: - If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario. - Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions. - Target: 2,770–2,800. ### Additional Notes: - **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone. - **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term. Support and Resistance Levels Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest. Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains. Indicators and Oscillators Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry. Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading. Conclusion The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Gold Analysis==>>Still Chance to Fall by Wedge Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($2,671-$2,653) and managed to break the Support line . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern is still valid , although, after the announcement of US rates , this pattern was slightly challenged. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I think Gold will fall to at least $2,651 in the coming hours. This week, US indexes can affect the Gold trend , so be careful about your positions when the index is published. The most important economic indexes of the US this week : Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m = Tue Jan 14 Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, CPI y/y = Wed Jan 15 Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims = Thu Jan 16 ⚠️Note: If Gold goes over $2,700, we can expect more pumps⚠️ ⚠️Note: If Gold closes a 4-hour candle below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the lower line of the wedge pattern.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
22