XAU ! 10/24 ! Adjustment and price decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 24, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,736-$2,737 range during the European session, recovering some losses from the previous day’s pullback from a record high. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and uncertainty around the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 boost demand for the safe-haven asset. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar from its near three-month high and falling US Treasury yields further support gold's upward movement.
Gold price continues to be in the long-term uptrend - however, there needs to be adjustments for the market to stabilize and rebalance. Expected price range 2700 - 2680 in the short term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2740-2743
SL: 2748
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2713)
Safe and profitable trading
Xauusdshort
XAUUSD: Buy@2716-2700 TP2728-2738Today's fluctuations in gold have been massive, dropping from 2758 to 2708. Anticipating a decline, I mentioned continuing to short in my initial strategy, but I didn't expect the bears to be so aggressive, driving the price down by $50. Given this situation, even if there are sudden negative news reports today, it's unlikely that gold will drop more than $15 again.
Therefore, from now until the U.S. market opens tomorrow, the trading direction should focus on buying. I believe that before Friday's close, the price could at least return to 2732, or even higher. However, when trading, we shouldn’t set our take profit too high; we should leave some buffer space.
The rise should not be abrupt but rather a gradual upward movement. For those who prefer not to trade frequently, after buying, setting the take profit around 2728 should be sufficient. As for future trades, we can decide based on market conditions.
Sell gold again in the 2740-2750 areaBros, yesterday, gold retreated and once fell below 2710, laying a good foundation for the decline. Although gold has rebounded to around 2740 again, compared with the previous period, the attitude of gold rising is not firm, so relatively speaking, the current gold short position is more attractive.
The current rebound of gold may be a trap set to trap more bulls, so I am definitely not willing to go long on gold at present; from the technical structure, gold has signs of building a head and shoulders top in the short term. So in terms of short-term trading, I prefer to short gold. So now we can short gold in batches again in the 2740-2750 area.
Bros, are you optimistic about shorting gold?
Bearish pattern - XAU correction ! 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices are recovering part of Wednesday’s decline from the record high of $2,759 early Thursday. The rebound is supported by a pause in the US Dollar's rise, as US Treasury bond yields stabilize ahead of the preliminary S&P Global US PMI data.
Gold is now awaiting the US PMI data for further direction. The slight pullback in the USD and yields is likely due to improving market sentiment in Asia after Wall Street's tech sell-off. US equity futures are also recovering, helped by Tesla Inc.’s positive earnings report, which provided some relief to investors.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
A HEAD AND SHOULDERS model is forming, long-term H2 frame RSI bearish divergence. Expect gold's correction to approach 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2763 - $2765 SL $2770
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2747
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2739 - $2741 SL $2744 scalping
TP1: $2735
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
Note the support zone: 2680
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2701 - $2703 SL $2696
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2718
TP3: $2725
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Bearish Retracement and Pre-Data PositioningYesterday's sharp bearish move in gold resulted in significant pullbacks, and those who followed the strategy have reaped substantial profits. Congratulations to everyone who acted accordingly. For those still on the sidelines, please carefully review my strategy. When the market reaches the anticipated levels, you must act decisively—hesitation only leads to missed profits.
Fundamental Analysis:
Due to ongoing conflict in the Middle East and significant uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, gold remains supported by safe-haven demand in the medium to long term, which limits its downside potential. Overall, the big picture for gold still leans towards an upward trend. However, the recent decline is largely driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, reflecting positive developments in the U.S. economy. Today's "Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19th" is likely to add bearish pressure on gold. In anticipation of this data, we can initiate short positions before its release.
Technical Analysis:
On the daily chart, the market is showing a clear "avalanche" pattern, with a large bearish candlestick breaking through the previous two days' bullish momentum. Prices have rebounded to a key resistance level around 2740, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at this short-term top. Therefore, the ideal short entry point is around 3738.
Today's Strategy:
Before the data is released, short positions should be initiated around 3738. If the data proves bearish for gold, and prices fall to 2725, we can switch to long positions.
Today's trading setup is somewhat complex. If you're unsure how to execute these trades or need detailed guidance, feel free to reach out to me for personalized support.
XAUUSD: Today’s target is 2700 points, short on rebound highToday's trading strategy:
The support area of 2725-2720 was broken yesterday, and the overall trend of gold prices has been destroyed, so we can no longer maintain a bullish view.
From the hourly chart, the current gold price may form a head and shoulders top pattern. If this pattern is confirmed, it will enter a correction cycle.
The resistance area we need to pay attention to above is around 2740. As long as this position is not effectively broken, the gold price will start to fall, and it is very likely to test 2700 points.
Gold +100 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid To Who Missed It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Bearish P.A On Gold , Short Entry Ready To Give Us 500 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTIO)Gold Technical Analysis: Bullish Outlook
Pivot Point: 2717.00
Gold is currently exhibiting signs of a potential upward move, with support established at 2717.00. The technical indicators suggest a preference for long positions as the precious metal is poised for further gains.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are favored above 2717.00, with targets set at:
First Target: 2747.00
Second Target: 2758.00
This indicates a potential rise as the bullish momentum strengthens.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Potential
If Gold falls below 2717.00, consider looking for downside targets at:
First Target: 2709.00
Second Target: 2700.00
This would suggest a shift in momentum and a potential corrective move.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI shows strong upside momentum, signaling buying strength.
Price Action and Trends:
Above 2717.00:
As long as the price remains above this pivot point, the upside trend is expected to prevail, potentially targeting 2747.00 and 2758.00.
Below 2717.00:
A break below this support level would invalidate the bullish scenario, opening up potential losses toward 2709.00 and 2700.00. This would indicate a shift in momentum toward a bearish correction.
Reached the top and suddenly fell verticallyGold costs reduced after statistics approximately americaA housing marketplace in September. According to americaA National Association of Real Estate (NAR), general income of present homes, consisting of personal houses, townhouses, and residences condominiums and cooperatives, fell 1.0% to a seasonally adjusted price of 3.eighty four million gadgets in September. The records turned into higher than expected, as economists had forecast a 1.3% decline. right all the way down to 3.eighty million gadgets. Total sales for August turned into additionally adjusted as much as 3.88 million gadgets from the formerly pronounced 3.86 million gadgets. Year-on-year, income sales reduced with the aid of using 3.5% in comparison to September 2023.
In addition to the motive coming from new financial records, the lower in gold costs may also be a profit-taking circulate with the aid of using many investors, after this valuable steel has constantly peaked withinside the beyond few weeks. Experts additionally word that notwithstanding a robust adjustment, gold costs nevertheless keep above 2,seven-hundred USD/ounce with long-time period assisting elements together with geopolitical instability and hobby price slicing regulations of a chain of primary banks.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2715 - 2717 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2708
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🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2736 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2715
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2746
Gold price analysis October 24Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply from an all-time high of $2,758 on Wednesday as US Treasury yields rose, while the greenback hit a two-month high, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Risk appetite has deteriorated, prompting a flight to safe-haven currencies, but not assets such as the yellow metal. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note has risen more than 65 basis points (bps) since the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) on September 18, amid concerns that a Trump presidency could spark inflation.
Investors appear to believe that former President Donald Trump could defeat Vice President Kamala Harris, as most betting sites have indicated. As we approach the US election on November 5, investors are looking for shelter from that possibility. Investors are somewhat concerned that Trump's deficit spending, use of tariffs and large illegal immigrant deportation program could cause a new wave of inflation.
Technical analysis
Gold is recovering near the important price reaction zone of 2736-2738. When gold breaks this important zone, it will find the breakout zone of 2750. In case the European session gold fails to break this price zone and falls back, our target is to give a SELL signal around 2724 followed by the bottom zone of 2708 and the most important zone of today is 2700, the critical zone of the EMA. Wish you a successful trading day.
Can we accept as true with gold`s SELL signal?We acquired an apparent promote sign on Wednesday with a key reversal candle printing at the every day timeframe. However, one have a take a observe latest records indicates we've acquired masses of topping indicators and styles this year, but none generally tend to final long. That by myself makes me cautious of the bearish sign, particularly with the charge persevering with to fashion better throughout severa timeframes.
Given how strongly gold has traded recently, there can also additionally had been an detail of profit-taking up Wednesday to plug losses in different asset classes, particularly constant profits markets. The unwind additionally got here from oversold degrees on RSI (14), hinting short-time period positioning changed into turning into lopsided.
Those searching at capability setups may want to use the uptrend strolling from the lows struck on October 10 to construct trades around. It`s observed around $2720 today. If the charge manages to maintain above the uptrend, you may purchase in advance it with a decent forestall beneath for protection. The apparent exchange goal will be the file excessive of $2758.55.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
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🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2730
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
Gold Trading Strategy: Focus on Selling TodayYesterday, we bought and made some profits, and today we’ll primarily focus on selling.
The trading signal I released before the market opened suggests selling in the 2746-2752 range, with a TP set at 2738-2734. Some friends may have already traded based on the signal they received earlier; you can still join in.
Gold is currently within the selling range, and if you’re looking to place this order, now could be an even better position.
I will continue to monitor market trends, and any changes in trading will be communicated promptly. Stay tuned, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
XAUUSD: Sell, Add Positions At 2746-2751Today, gold broke through the resistance around 2728 and returned to the vicinity of 2738. Indicators show that resistance remains significant, so I recommend continuing to sell within the 2738-2743 range.
If prices continue to rise, I expect to encounter strong resistance in the 2746-2751 range. At that point, the market is likely to experience a pullback, and a return to around 2738 should not pose too much of a problem.
Therefore, today’s trading strategy is to sell in the 2738-2743 range and add to the sell position in the 2746-2751 range.
Reinitiating Gold Bearish StrategyToday, I will once again reveal my bearish strategy, entering short positions decisively at 2755. The emergence of a large bearish candlestick has successfully breached the 2750 support level, with prices even dipping to around 2700, allowing for anticipated profits from short positions. Opportunities favor the prepared; if you're still on the sidelines, you may be missing out.
Technical Analysis:
The hourly chart for gold has developed a distinct bearish pattern, with the large bearish candlestick exhibiting a free-fall movement, piercing through all support levels. The current K-line rebound continues to signal a bearish trend, expected to breach key support lines once again. Additionally, the moving averages have shown a clear downward reversal, indicating that the market's strength has shifted decisively downward. In the short term, we will continue to monitor the topping pattern, with 2725 remaining an optimal point for short entries.
XAUUSD: Sell above 2756Today, gold prices rose to around 2758 before retreating. From previous trends, there is support around 2748, and the 2743-2738 range is also significant.
Currently, the market structure is not favorable for bulls, making support crucial. In terms of trading strategy, I am leaning towards short positions today, with a key entry point at 2756, which I shared yesterday, and an additional position in the 2760-2764 range.
If the price breaks below support directly, we may need to adjust the strategy and consider going long around the main support levels, but the target should be kept modest, ideally within $6.
Additionally, there will be news releases half an hour before the New York session, which could have a substantial impact on the market, so please pay close attention while trading.
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . We have also broken the structure and our KL (Key Level) 2737 .
In detail,
As price on XAUUSD has broken our KL (Key Level) that’s sitting at 2737 , it has also broken the upside structure . We are entering at the break of our KL at 2737.811 with SL sitting at 2749.285 as it would invalidate the trade idea and continue the bullish movement creating new highs. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the previous ATH (All Time High) 2685 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2737.811
- SL: 2749.285
- TP: 2685.800
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD price is showing exhaustion.
- XAUUSD broke our KL (Key Level).
- The bullish structure has been broken.
- Breaking above our SL would result in more upside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Precision Strike: Gold Bearish Trend on the Verge of UnfoldingNo need for excessive explanation—the current gold market trend is clear, and a pullback is imminent. I am confident that now is the ideal moment to go short, focusing on swift, accurate, and decisive moves. With bearish positions already in hand, we are well-prepared for a significant price drop.
Technical Analysis:
The hourly chart for gold has displayed a strong bearish movement. The large bearish candlestick has decisively engulfed the previous bullish candlestick, forming a classic "bearish engulfing" pattern. From a technical perspective, the price will inevitably revert to the moving average. After an extended rally, gold is showing signs of exhaustion, and this single bearish candlestick has shattered the current strength, signaling a major reversal.
With the bearish momentum building, a short position around the 2755 level after a rebound is highly recommended.
Fundamental Analysis:
Additionally, there will be several bearish factors in the news today supporting further downside movement for gold. Therefore, for short-term traders, maintaining a bearish bias is advised to capitalize on the market’s downward momentum.