The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate!
After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3260-3270
TP:3230-3240
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Xauusdshort
Gold trend layout in the evening after the release of NFP data🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
The short orders in hand have already been profitable, and gold is now back near 3250, while the US dollar index has once again fallen by 100, reaching around 99.6, and the 1H moving average is currently showing signs of turning upward. The upper and lower shadow lines of the 1H K-line closing look like cross stars of equal length, which means that things may go wrong, and gold may rebound upwards in the short term. We can still focus on the resistance of 3260-3270 above, and further focus on the first-line resistance of 3280-3286, while the bottom has never been able to effectively break through the first-line support of 3240. If this week closes at 3240, then the market outlook next week will be conducive to long trading.
Intraday operation suggestions
🎁SELL 3260-3270
🎁TP 3245-3240
🎁BUY 3230-3240
🎁TP 3260-3270
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The decisive battle day of major data (XAUUSD/GOLD)
Yesterday, it was clearly pointed out that the pressure position after the rebound is 3255-3270. Today, due to the oversold influence of XAUUSD, it rebounded to a high of 3258. In terms of operation, it is still mainly chosen to sell. Today is the "third day" deadline. If the impact of geopolitics continues to be suspended. It is expected that XAUUSD will fall by $100/ounce today.
There have been some oversold rebounds in the Asian market XAUUSD. Beware of the market's inducement to buy more. So 3260-3270 continues to be mainly sold.
TP1 3230-3220.
TP2 3170-3160
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
5/2 Gold Trading SignalsI'm very sorry that today's update is a little late because I'm traveling during the holiday. However, I have already told you about the trading strategy yesterday. The market changes are still in line with our expectations. Following the signal of selling in the 3260-3280 range, the returns should be good.
Gold is now falling back. There is support near 3200, but the bears are strong at present, so it is still mainly selling. This decline is expected to fall below 3200, but because of the support, the possibility of a direct break is not very high. If it falls directly, there will definitely be at least one small rebound, roughly around 3210.
So the transaction can be carried out like this:
Buy in the 3194-3185 range
Sell in the 3246-3258 range
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook
Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline.
🔍 Current Technical Context:
Trend: Bearish
Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274
Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220
Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270
A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160.
📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals)
US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices.
Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs.
Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week.
Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone.
Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains.
Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility.
Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement.
📝 Strategy Notes:
Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects)
Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline
Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
gold on sell#XAUUSD have corrected back above 3267 which formation have decline from there.
Now the expected entry to sell is at 3267 which have broken now we expect the H1 to close between the rectangle to have a clear bearish range. Stop loss at 3278 target 3236
Bullish can overtake by fundamental news.
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold Trends and Analysis Before NFP Release📰 Analysis of Gold's News Background 👉 Join in
During the US trading session on Thursday (May 1st), spot gold continued its downward trend, hovering around $3,216.55 per ounce, with a decline of approximately 0.4%. It had already fallen for two consecutive days before that. On Wednesday, it even reached $3,267.07, getting close to the key support level of $3,265, which was set last week. The market's bull-bear tug-of-war stems from the divergence in expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies: The weak US economic data has boosted the expectation of an interest rate cut, but the rebound of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields has suppressed the safe-haven nature of gold.
⚠️ Key Focuses for the Day 👉 Join in
Pay attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, the data on job cuts by US enterprises in April, the final value of the manufacturing PMI, and the number of initial jobless claims. Also, keep an eye on geopolitical and trade dynamics!
📈 Quick Look at the Technical Analysis of Gold
On the eve of the Nonfarm Payrolls report, how should we choose between going long and short on gold?
🔹 Daily Chart: Closed lower with a medium-sized bearish candlestick. In the early trading session, it broke below the key support level of $3,265, confirming the end of the Wave B rebound and the start of the Wave C decline. Continue with the strategy of "going short on rebounds".
🔹 4-Hour Chart: The downward space was broken open, and the bears are in control after the top-bottom conversion.
🔹 1-Hour Chart: The moving averages formed a bearish crossover, and the gold price broke below the previous low. When it rebounds to the densely traded area near $3,265, go short without hesitation! 💥
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3230 - 3220
🚀 TP 3210 - 3200
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position.
Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market.
BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit.
The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end
If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution.
If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
3236 becomes the dividing line between long and shortGold 3243 is the watershed between long and short positions. As long as this point is not broken, shorting at highs is still the main theme. You can continue to arrange short positions based on the suppression of 3236. The 3195-3190 area below is an important support. If the market retreats to this area, you can consider going long based on the actual situation and seize the opportunity of long-short conversion.
The most fundamental trading logic of XAUUSD.From the trend of XAUUSD, it is still mainly selling.
Trading logic, the current geopolitical situation has eased, which is the biggest negative news for xauusd. Tariffs have eased.
In other words, selling pressure exceeds demand.
So continue to sell at the current price of 3230-3220. The target is below 3200.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I shared a few hours ago has hit Take Profit at the RRR 1:2 level. This was the second TP level.
For those who wish, you can hold the trade until the TP level at 3206.35.
If the price approaches this level, don’t forget to move your SL to the entry point.
Wishing everyone a pleasant end to the day.
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XAUUSD SellThere is a good zone for a sell trade on XAUUSD. This is one of our favorite types of setups—small loss zone and wide TP area, making it an ideal trade. You can activate the trade at the 3229.91 level.
The TP target will be 3208.20 and the SL level will be 3234.71.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.