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Xauusdshort

XAUUSD Strategies for tomorrowHow should one operate when XAUUSD opens on Monday? After the significant rally last week, how should we plan for the subsequent trading? We ought to capitalize on the very first moment to initiate our buy - in, aiming to secure a prime position in the market. Right after that, it's crucial to meticulously track the price If the price keeps climbing and the upward momentum persists, we can set a TP around the 2990 - 2995 range. Concurrently, we need to closely observe whether the price can break through the significant upper resistance point at 3000. Should there be a powerful breakthrough, XAUUSD may well continue to surpass the current upper limit and sustain its strong upward movement, potentially hitting the second resistance point at 3020. So we can set the SL at 2978 when making the first buy. If the price drops to 2978, please contact me and I will teach you how to take further actions. XAUUSD 🎁 Buy@2983-2985 🎁 SL 2980 🎁 TP 2995-3000 If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance, I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst, I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances. I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
How to get a head start on MondayHow should one operate when XAUUSD opens on Monday? After the significant rally last week, how should we plan for the subsequent trading? Just as I analyzed yesterday, the current support level is in the range of 2,970 to 2,975. Once it breaks below 2,970, it may continue to correct and reach the second support level at 2,960, while the upper resistance level is around 3,000. So we can set the SL at 2978 when making the first buy. If the price drops to 2978, please contact me and I will teach you how to take further actions. XAUUSD 🎁 Buy@2983-2985 🎁 SL 2978 🎁 TP 2995-3000 If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance, I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst, I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances. I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance – More Downside Ahead?BTC/USD is trading within a descending channel, and price is now testing a key resistance zone near $84,500. If sellers step in, we could see a strong rejection leading to a further drop. 📍 Trade Setup: Short Entry: Near $84,500 - $85,000 (resistance zone) Stop Loss: Above $87,400 (to invalidate bearish setup) Target: $71,700 - $71,500 (lower boundary of the channel) 🔍 Technical Factors: ✔️ Bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows ✔️ Resistance zone acting as a strong supply area ✔️ Descending channel guiding price lower 💡 Trading Plan: Look for rejection signs (bearish wicks, engulfing candles, or trendline rejections) before confirming a short position. A break above $87,400 could invalidate this setup and signal a potential reversal. 📢 What’s your view? Will Bitcoin break down, or are the bulls ready to take control? Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
XAU/USD Reversal Setup – Potential Drop Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) has recently tested a key resistance zone around $2,990, where price action is showing signs of rejection. The market made a strong bullish push, but the momentum appears to be fading near this supply zone. 📉 Possible Scenario: A bearish reaction from this resistance level could lead to a retracement towards the next key demand zone between $2,860 - $2,840. If selling pressure continues, we might even see a retest of the $2,822 support level. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Price is currently at a resistance zone, making it a high-probability short setup. Confirmation with bearish candles or trendline breaks could provide more confidence for sell entries. Targets for shorts are set at $2,860 and potentially $2,822. 💡 Trading Plan: Look for bearish confirmations (rejections, engulfing patterns, trendline breaks) before entering short trades. A daily close above $3,000 would invalidate this setup and could signal further bullish movement. What do you think? Are you bearish or bullish on Gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 📊🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
Analysis of XAUUSD Trend Next Week: Interweaving of Bullish and This week, the gold market has shown a highly remarkable performance. The spot gold price once surged strongly and broke through the historical high of $3,004 per ounce. Although it subsequently retreated to some extent, the weekly gain remained quite notable, vividly demonstrating the robust market momentum. Looking ahead to next week, the gold market will be influenced by a complex web of multiple factors, and its price trajectory is fraught with uncertainties. I. Impact of News (A) Geopolitical Situation The U.S. decision to levy a 200% tariff on European wines has stoked profound concerns within the market regarding the potential further deterioration of the global trade landscape. The exacerbation of trade frictions typically heightens market risk - aversion sentiment substantially. Gold, as a traditional haven asset, generally stands to benefit from such circumstances. Additionally, the progress of the Russia - Ukraine peace talks has been commanding significant market attention. Should the talks culminate in a substantive peace accord, market risk - aversion sentiment is likely to experience a sharp decline, thereby exerting downward pressure on the gold price. Conversely, if the talks collapse or progress falters, the haven demand for gold is expected to escalate further. (B) Economic Data and Policies The performance of U.S. economic data wields a pivotal influence over the gold price. Recently, the emerging changes in U.S. economic data have lent a certain degree of support to the gold price. Simultaneously, the market's anticipations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction are in a state of continuous flux. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold a policy meeting from March 18th to 19th. Prior to this, it enters a quiet period. The consumer price index (CPI) data for February, set to be released next week, will emerge as the central focus of the market. If the core CPI registers a month - on - month increase of 0.2% or less, it might significantly fuel market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in May, thus powerfully driving up the gold price. Conversely, if the data records an increase of at least 0.5%, it could markedly enhance the allure of the U.S. dollar, rendering the upward movement of the gold price more challenging. Furthermore, the improvement in global risk sentiment has also exerted a certain degree of suppression on the haven demand for gold. When global stock markets perform robustly and investors' risk appetite surges, funds tend to flow away from haven assets like gold and into risk - on assets. For instance, the recent substantial rallies in the U.S. stock market and the across - the - board upswings in the European stock markets have both exerted a bearish impact on the gold's price trend. II. Technical Analysis (A) Daily Chart Level This week, the daily chart of gold presented a robust three - consecutive - day upward streak, convincingly highlighting the formidable strength of the bulls. In terms of the moving average system, the gold price closed above the 20 - day simple moving average for the majority of this week, clearly signaling an upward short - term trend. Meanwhile, the relative strength index not only successfully pierced through the 50 - level but also advanced further towards the 60 - level, indicating a strong market condition. However, currently, the RSI is edging close to the overbought zone, suggesting a high probability of profit - taking in the short - term. Analyzing through the lens of Fibonacci retracement, the confluence of the upper trend - line resistance and the Fibonacci 2618 level occurs in the vicinity of 3025. This area will emerge as a crucial resistance level for the gold price's upward movement next week. If the gold price manages to breach this resistance zone successfully, it is likely to further unlock the upward potential and strive for higher historical highs. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that on Friday, the gold price experienced a rapid retreat upon reaching the 3,000 - level, underscoring the intense profit - taking pressure among the bulls at this key psychological threshold. The 2,956 level below, which represents a bottom - to - top conversion point, becomes a vital support level. Should the gold price retrace to around this level and secure effective support, the bullish trend stands a good chance of persisting. Conversely, if the gold price breaks below this support level, it may trigger a more extensive retracement. (B) Hourly Chart Level During the U.S. trading session on Friday, the gold price underwent a relatively mild correction, bottoming out at 2,978. At present, the hourly moving average system exhibits a bullish golden - cross upward pattern, indicating that the bullish forces still hold sway in the short - term. Nevertheless, vigilant attention must be paid to the evolution of the moving average system. Should the moving average system reverse its course next week, it may signify a waning of the bullish momentum. Designating the 2970 - 2975 range as the bull - bear demarcation line, if the gold price can maintain stability above this range, it will offer favorable trading opportunities for short - term bulls. Once the gold price drops below this range, it may weaken at any moment and initiate a retracement. III. Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Recommendations Taking into account both the news - driven and technical aspects, the gold market's trend next week will be shaped by the intricate interplay of bullish and bearish factors. On one hand, the uncertainties in geopolitical risks and the market's expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut furnish the internal impetus for the gold price to ascend. On the other hand, the improvement in global risk sentiment and the profit - taking pressure on gold at elevated levels concurrently pose a certain degree of constraint on the gold price. For investors, during the trading activities next week, it is imperative to closely monitor the release of key events and data. Prior to the data release, the market is likely to adopt a cautious stance, and the gold price may exhibit relatively subdued fluctuations. Particular attention should be directed towards the market's response subsequent to the release of the February CPI data. If the data aligns with expectations, trading operations can be executed in line with the gold price's trend. For example, if the data is bullish for gold and the gold price breaks through the key resistance level around 3025, appropriate consideration can be given to chasing long positions. Conversely, if the data is bearish for gold and the gold price breaks below the critical support level of 2956, short - selling positions can be prudently considered. From a technical vantage point, if the gold price retraces to the vicinity of the 2970 - 2975 range at the onset of next week and receives effective support, a modest long - position entry can be attempted. Set the stop - loss order below 2965, with the target set at the 3000 - 3025 area. If the gold price surges directly to around 3025 and encounters resistance and retraces, short - selling positions can be contemplated near this location. Set the stop - loss order above 3,030, with the target set at the 2975 - 2956 area. It is crucial to emphasize that the gold market is characterized by extreme volatility. During trading, investors must stringently control their positions, rationally set stop - loss and take - profit levels, and effectively safeguard against significant losses that could be precipitated by sudden market shifts. If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance, I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst, I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances. I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Expect a strong pull back on Gold next week!Hello traders, We have seen that Gold experienced a significant bullish trend last week, culminating in surpassing the $3,000 per ounce milestone for the first time on March 14, 2025. Several factors contributed to this surge: 1. Market Uncertainty Driving Safe-Haven Demand – With ongoing global economic tensions, particularly due to U.S. trade policies, investors are turning to gold as a reliable hedge against instability. 2. Central Banks Boosting Gold Reserves – Many central banks are increasing their gold holdings, adding steady buying pressure that supports rising prices. 3. Speculation on Interest Rate Cuts – Expectations that major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates have made gold more attractive, as it benefits from a low-rate environment. 4. Inflation Concerns Fueling Demand – With fears of rising inflation, investors see gold as a traditional store of value that can help preserve wealth over time. For a long time, many investors expected gold to hit the $3000 mark. Gold broke through that level on Friday, but it ended the day below it. We can anticipate a significant pullback in gold by next week based on recent price action. And these are my thoughts: We will be looking for shorting possibilities below 2978.620, with an initial target of 2961.524 and an overall objective of 2931.979. On the other hand, we can disregard the initial assumptions and assume that the price will continue to grow if we observe that it keeps rising and closes above Friday's high. How do you plan to trade gold next week traders? Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
Analysis of the Gold Price Trend Next WeekThis week, the spot gold price witnessed a breakthrough market trend. Influenced by the continuous gold purchases by central banks of multiple countries, the heightened global economic uncertainties, and the expectations of trade frictions, the gold price soared to as high as US$3,005 per ounce at one point, reaching a historical high. Although the short-term overbought signals and the pressure of profit-taking may trigger market volatility, the long-term bullish pattern has already been established. The key resistance level on the daily chart is at 3025, which is the combination of the previous high and the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The support level below is at 2956, which is the recent level where the top has transformed into the bottom. The hourly chart shows that during the U.S. trading session, the price correction only reached 2978 before gaining support. If the price stabilizes within the range of 2970 - 2975, there will still be short-term upward momentum. Suggestions for gold trading operations next week: buy@2970-2975 SL@2963 TP:2998
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LeoBlackwood
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook: ╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish. Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish. Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish. Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish. USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish. ╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift. Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium. Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish. ╰┈➤COT Data Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish. Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable. Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest. Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk. Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution. Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral. Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906). Broker: 60% long—crowded. ╰┈➤Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880. Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk. Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets. Corporate: Hedging stabilizes. ╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish. RSI: 48—neutral. Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation. Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot. Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily. ╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish. EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains. Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven. Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral. Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold. ╰┈➤News and Events Analysis Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish. Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver. Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot. ╰┈➤Next Trend Move Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955. Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949. Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000. Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE. ╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit. ╰┈➤Future Prediction Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs). Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish). Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SPREADEX:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum. However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by burhanafridi603
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction. The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels. For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
30
3000 Target goldThis is a 1-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA. The analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with price action currently testing a key resistance level around 2,934. The chart includes the following key elements: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: A previous resistance zone (marked in dark teal) has been broken and is now acting as potential support. The next major resistance is around 2,980, with an all-time high target of 3,000. 2. Trendline Support: A white ascending trendline indicates a bullish structure, with price respecting higher lows. 3. Projected Move: The yellow arrow suggests a pullback to the support zone (previous resistance) before bouncing higher. A successful retest could lead to an upward move towards 3,000. This analysis suggests that gold remains in an uptrend, and traders might look for confirmation of support before entering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
8
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable. The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule. Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
2
Gold is falling as expectedThe market has started to decline. Whether the 3,000 will become history remains unknown, but the current decline is real! In the evening, it is necessary to avoid emotional trading. Those who blindly follow the trend and go long are hoped to stay rational. After continuous rises, it has now started to fall. Currently, the market is in a slump. This situation won't be in a high-level range bound. If it doesn't rise, it will fall. Today is already Friday. Only after the gold price drops to the support level below will it rise further! So, go short in the evening and pay attention to the 2,970 as the dividing line! Trading Strategy: sell@2990-2980 tp 2970-2960 I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LeoBlackwood
Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAUUSD has breached its all-time high, presenting a favorable opXAUUSD has now breached the resistance level at 2990 and is likely to reach the second resistance point at 3000 or even higher today. Currently, XAUUSD is suitable for short-term long positions within the range of 2980-2983. Immediate long positions are recommended, with a target of 3000 and above. BUY 2980-2983 SL2977 TP2995-3000 If you also want to be as successful as I am, please contact me to get more and more accurate signals
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!! You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 1H or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (2930) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 2750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis with All Factors📌 Interest Rates: Rising Fed rates (e.g., 5.25% post-March hike) increase gold’s opportunity cost, pushing prices down from 2888. Inflation: Cooling global inflation (e.g., U.S. CPI at 2.5%) undermines gold’s hedge appeal, signaling overvaluation. Dollar Strength: USD rally (e.g., DXY to 102-105) suppresses gold, marking 2888 as a peak. Global Economic Health: Improving growth (e.g., U.S. GDP above 3%) reduces safe-haven demand, favoring bears. 2. Macroeconomic Factors📌 Bearish macro conditions: U.S. Economy: Strong jobs (e.g., unemployment below 4%) and PMI above 50 weaken gold’s case at 2888. Eurozone: Recovery signs (e.g., GDP at 1.5%) bolster EUR, pressuring gold. China: Industrial rebound shifts focus from safe-haven assets, softening gold. Central Bank Policies: Fed hawkishness and ECB/BOJ tightening cap upside. 3. Geopolitical Factors📌 Bearish geopolitical shifts: U.S.-China Trade: Tariff de-escalation reduces uncertainty, eroding gold’s premium at 2888. Russia-Ukraine: Ceasefire talks lower risk-off flows, targeting sub-2800. Middle East: Stabilizing oil supply (e.g., Iran deal) eases inflation fears, weakening gold. Political Uncertainty: Resolved U.S./Europe tensions diminish volatility, favoring bears. 4. Supply and Demand Factors📌 Bearish supply/demand dynamics: Supply: Increased production (e.g., new Canadian mines) or no disruptions flood the market, pressuring 2888. Demand: Physical: Western retail demand fades as prices peak. Central Banks: Slowed buying (e.g., Russia, China pausing) removes support. Investment: ETF outflows accelerate as investors sell at 2888. 5. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data (Latest Update)📌 Hypothetical COT data as of March 4, 2025: Non-Commercial (Speculators): Longs at 340,000, shorts at 70,000, net position +270,000—bullish unwind from 295,000 signals profit-taking. Commercial: Longs 65,000, shorts 400,000—heavy hedging bets on a drop. Open Interest: 525,000 (down 5,000), showing reduced speculative interest. Interpretation: Speculator liquidation and commercial shorts confirm bearish momentum below 2850. 6. Technical Factors📌 Bearish technicals at 2888: Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (e.g., 2850) crossing below 200-day SMA (e.g., 2870) signals reversal. Support/Resistance: Resistance at 2888-2900 holds; support at 2850 breaks, eyeing 2800. RSI: 70+, overbought, triggers selling. MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum. 7. Sentiment Factors📌 Bearish sentiment signals: Retail: Social media posts shift to fear at 2888, citing USD strength. Institutional: COT hedging aligns with bearish media (e.g., “Gold overbought”). Media: “Fed hikes crush gold” headlines fuel sell-offs. 8. Seasonal Factors📌 Bearish seasonal trends with added points: March Profit-Taking: Q1 tax season in the U.S. drives profit-taking, historically pressuring gold from peaks like 2888. Post-Rally Fatigue: Early-year rallies (e.g., January-February) often fade in March, amplifying bearish momentum. Lack of Festivals: Without India’s seasonal boost, global demand softens, leaving Western selling unchecked. Historical Q1 Declines: Gold’s average March performance (ex-India) shows declines as investors rebalance, targeting sub-2850. Central Bank Pause: Q1 often sees reduced central bank buying announcements, removing a key prop at 2888. 9. Intermarket Analysis📌 Bearish intermarket signals: USD: DXY rallying to 105 crushes gold to 2800. Yields: 10-year yield at 4.5% competes with gold, driving declines. Equities: Stock rallies (e.g., MSCI World above 3100) divert capital. Commodities: Oil at $70/barrel signals deflation, weakening gold. 10. Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors📌 Bearish investor sentiment: Retail: Panic selling at 2888 as USD rises; X shows fear. Institutional: Speculators trim longs (COT); hedgers pile into shorts. Central Banks: Pause buying, letting prices slide. Speculators: Futures traders short 2888, targeting 2800. 11. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction (Bearish Focus)📌 Short-Term (1-4 weeks): Bearish Target: 2820-2850. Drop to 2820 as USD hits 102 and RSI confirms overbought. Bias: Strongly bearish, driven by technicals and COT liquidation. Medium-Term (1-3 months): Bearish Target: 2700-2800. Decline to 2700 with Fed hikes, DXY at 105, and easing tensions. Bias: Bearish, with macro stabilization. Long-Term (6-12 months): Bearish Target: 2500-2600. Fall to 2500 if growth rebounds, DXY hits 110, and inflation drops below 2%. Bias: Bearish, as safe-haven demand fades. 12. Overall Summary Outlook📌 At 2888 on March 10, 2025, XAU/USD is set for a bearish slide. A strong USD (DXY to 105), rising yields (4.5%), Fed hawkishness, cooling geopolitics, and seasonal softness (Q1 profit-taking, post-rally fatigue) dominate. Short-term outlook is short/bearish, targeting 2820-2850 as overbought technicals (RSI 70+) and COT unwinding trigger a sell-off. Medium-term is bearish, eyeing 2700-2800 with macro improvement. Long-term is bearish, forecasting 2500-2600 as growth stabilizes. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe Trump administration's capricious trade policy has triggered market concerns about global economic growth, opening a new front in the global trade war, leading to increased financial marekt uncertainty, investors' risk aversion is high, and they have put money into gold, driving gold prices up. The world continues to increase its gold reserves with relatively large efforts, providing a solid bottom support for the gold price. Data from SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, shows that its gold holdings in February were at the highest level since 2023. From February 27 to March 13, the holdings also increased. The strong demand for gold investment has driven up the gold price. BUY:2965-2975 SL:2960 TP:2995-3005 We will share various trading signals every day. Fans who follow us can get high returns every day. If you want stable profits, you can contact me.
FX:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
Gold is about to plummet, double short gold!Brothers, gold accelerated to around 2985, but it could not cross 2990. The closer it is to the 3000 mark, the greater the resistance it faces. After the news is digested by the market to a certain extent, it is difficult for gold to have enough momentum to continue to break through the 2990-3000 market psychological mark in the short term, so a retracement will inevitably follow! The accelerated squeeze of gold has been separated from the technical side. After the news returns to normal, gold will inevitably have a technical retracement demand, so we can boldly short gold again in the 2985-2990 area! Tomorrow, Friday, will definitely be a turning point. Gold will at least retrace to the 2950-2940 zone tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2935. So in short-term trading, I still insist on using double trading lots to short gold at 2985-2990! Looking forward to making a profit of 400-500 pips in the short term!Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again. You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear. Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Short positions are in trouble, how to get out of trouble?Bros, gold accelerated to above 2980 today under the stimulation of news. If you hold a short position in gold, you must be in a trading dilemma, so how to get rid of the trading dilemma has become the current primary goal. First remember the key node, Thursday. Under normal circumstances, Thursday and Friday are the nodes most likely to cause market changes! And from the candle chart, it is just pulled back to the high area with the stimulation of news. From the regional conversion, we can clearly see that according to the current momentum of gold, it will only reach the area around 2980-2982 (there may be a technical false breakthrough). It is difficult to rise to the vicinity of the 3000 mark in one fell swoop. If you still have sufficient margin levels to help you get out of trouble, you might as well consider adding more positions near 2980 to continue shorting gold, effectively raising your average cost price. After gold falls back, you can choose to close all short positions and turn losses into profits. However, because gold has risen sharply, we must lower our expectations for the extent of gold's retracement. If gold retraces to the 2940-2930 area, we can consider closing our positions, so that we can turn losses into profits! And I predict that gold will enter a correction market tomorrow at the latest! Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold accelerates to the top! The plunge alarm has soundedThe gold market has reached a critical point! Driven by the strong risk aversion sentiment, the price of gold has soared all the way, quickly breaking through many resistances and accelerating to the vicinity of 2985. However, if you look closely at the K-line chart, you will find that this round of rise is mainly stimulated by news, and there is strong resistance in the vicinity of 2985. Fortunately, we have already made arrangements. We have set the number of transactions reasonably before shorting. The current margin level is sufficient to support us in dealing with the current situation. At this time, it is a good time to increase positions. We can boldly increase positions and short in the 2977-2983 area, appropriately increase the number of transactions, lower the average price, and wait for gold to fall back to the 2940-2930 area. All positions will be decisively closed to achieve a turnaround, secure the bag, and lock in profits. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1