7/30: Watch for Sell Opportunities in the 3352–3363 ZoneGood morning, everyone!
After a period of consolidation and decline, gold has found preliminary support near the 3300 level, and early signs of a bottom formation are emerging. The key technical level now lies around the 3332–3337 resistance zone. Based on current price structure, a breakout is likely, with major resistance seen at 3352–3358, while 3323–3316 serves as the primary support range.
However, caution is warranted as today’s ADP employment data may significantly influence short-term price action. Whether gold can hold above the 3337–3343 level depends on the data's impact.
From a broader perspective:
On the weekly chart, the 20-period moving average (MA20) has climbed to around 3276, yet the overall structure remains bearish for bulls
On the daily chart, gold is still trading below the MA60, facing notable resistance
This week's key events — ADP (Wednesday), jobless claims, and NFP (Thursday and Friday) — will likely shape gold’s medium-term trend
Trading Strategy for Today:
Focus on the 3313–3353 trading range, and be highly responsive to data-driven volatility.
Important note: If gold rises to 3343–3358 before the ADP release, then regardless of whether the data is bullish or bearish, the preferred approach is to sell into strength, as a post-data pullback is a likely scenario.
Xauusdshort
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept
📊 Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30M
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell
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🔍 Key Observations:
Premium Zone Rejection:
Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill:
The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves.
Bearish Order Block Confirmation:
A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short.
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🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell):
Entry Zone:
Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone)
✅ 3325 ~3330
Stop Loss:
Just above the last high or FVG origin
✅ 3340
Take Profit:
TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg
✅ 3300
TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows
✅ 3280
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⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging.
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🏁 Summary:
> A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
BTC's latest trading strategy and analysis layout#BTCUSD
BTC's current technical signals show a bull-bear tug-of-war situation.If a golden cross is formed near the zero axis, it may indicate a new wave of rise; if it falls below the zero axis, we need to be wary of a deep correction.
There are certain opportunities for both bulls and bears in the current market, but global regulatory policies have not yet been unified. Policies such as the US "GENIUS Act" may affect BTC and require continued attention. BTC is currently facing significant buying support around 117,500, but the hourly chart shows that there is still potential for a continued pullback. The current trend has not yet finished. Pay attention to the support level of 116,000 below. If it falls below, it may fall into the consolidation range of 116,000-114,000. For aggressive traders, consider going long at 117,500-116,500, with a target of 118,500-119,500. A break above this level could lead to 120,000.
🚀 117500-116500
🚀 118500-119500
Gold Price Analysis July 29📉 XAUUSD ANALYSIS – IS THE CORRECTION OFFICIALLY STARTING?
Gold has officially broken out of the bullish wave structure and left the rising price channel – an important technical signal that the bearish correction trend has been activated. This development opens up the possibility of retests of the broken trendline, and if that happens in today's session, this could be a good opportunity to look for SELL entry points in the new trend.
📌 Short-term trading strategy:
Potential selling zone: 3343 – 3345
Downside target: 3283 first, followed by the strong liquidity zone around 3250
Confirmation of bearish force: Price continues to maintain below the 3375 area – which will act as an important resistance level. Only when the daily candle closes back above this zone will the uptrend be re-established.
✅ Reverse buying strategy if there is a strong support signal:
Buy trigger zone: Observe the price reaction around the 3285 area - there needs to be a clear bearish rejection signal (pin bar/bullish engulfing candle...)
Deeper buying zone: 3251 - where liquidity is concentrated and there is a possibility of bottom-fishing demand appearing.
GOLD: Time for massive drop? +3000 pips move! Gold has failed to breakthrough the previous resistance indicating a strong sellers hold around $3440 region. Now since the price has stared dropping we can see it dropping around $2800 in long term. In order for this to happen we need strong confirmation, which will help us understand the possible volume.
Agree with our idea?
Like and comment!
XAUUSD – Gold Intraday Technical Analysis (15-Min Chart) - July Current Price: 3,323.93 USD
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Last update: 17:14 UTC+7
- Trend Overview:
The 15-minute chart shows a minor recovery after a sharp drop in gold prices. However, overall pressure remains bearish as price continues to trade below all key EMAs (50–100–200), and the bulls have yet to break through significant resistance above.
- Key Technical Zones:
Nearby Resistance:
3,331.57 (EMA200): dynamic resistance, repeatedly tested but not broken
3,340 – 3,350: supply zone + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
3,360 – 3,375: strong resistance zone (purple box), previous major rejection area
Nearby Support:
3,321.70 – 3,319.34 (EMA50 – EMA100): also aligns with 0.382 Fibonacci support
3,309 – 3,310: previous low, potential demand zone on deeper pullback
- Technical Analysis:
EMA & Structure:
Price is testing EMA200 (3,331.57) – a key level to watch for confirmation of any trend reversal. However, the larger trend remains bearish as long as this resistance holds.
EMA9 and EMA20 have crossed above EMA50, suggesting short-term bullish momentum, though not yet strong enough to confirm a full reversal.
Volume Analysis:
Recent bullish candles were supported by higher volume, but the current rally is weakening in volume – a sign of fading buying pressure.
RSI (not shown but recommended):
Watch for RSI break above 60 to signal potential continuation toward higher resistance levels.
- Trading Strategies:
Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance (Sell on Rally):
Entry zone: around 3,330 – 3,335
Stop loss: above 3,340
Targets: 3,320 → 3,310
Rationale: Price is testing EMA200 and resistance; no confirmed breakout yet
Scenario 2 – Short-Term Buy on Dip:
Entry zone: 3,319 – 3,321 (EMA50/100 confluence)
Stop loss: below 3,308
Targets: 3,330 – 3,335
Rationale: Minor support holding, potential short bounce if price stabilizes
- Conclusion:
Gold is attempting a short-term rebound, but the broader trend remains bearish unless price breaks above 3,340 – 3,350 resistance. For now, focus on short setups at resistance and scalping small bounces from strong support zones.
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Got a different view on gold today? Let’s discuss it in the comments!
GOLD Slips as Dollar Gains on Trade Deal – Bearish Below 3349
Gold Pares Gains as USD Strengthens on Trade Deal Ahead of Fed
Gold gave up early gains, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar after the announcement of the US–EU trade agreement.
Meanwhile, attention shifts to upcoming U.S.–China negotiations later today, as both sides aim to extend the current trade truce and avoid new tariffs.
Investors are also closely watching the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, seeking signals on future interest rate moves.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Gold maintains a bearish trend while trading below 3349, with potential downside toward 3320.
A 1H candle close below 3320 – 3312 would confirm extended bearish pressure targeting 3285, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical risks.
⚠️ To shift back to a bullish structure, the price must stabilize above 3349.
Key Levels:
• Support: 3320 – 3285 – 3256
• Resistance: 3365 – 3375
Downward Pressure Resumes After Channel BreakdownXAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD – Downward Pressure Resumes After Channel Breakdown: Key Levels and Strategy for Today
As of the July 29 session, gold (XAUUSD) remains under short-term bearish pressure, having broken below the descending price channel on the 1H timeframe. The market structure confirms a dominant bearish trend as price continues to trade below the EMAs cluster.
1. Price Action and Market Behavior
XAUUSD is forming a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term downtrend.
Price is currently hovering around $3,316 after breaking below the lower boundary of the channel, signaling potential continuation of the sell-off.
2. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Immediate resistance: 3,337 – 3,346 USD (aligned with EMA20, EMA50 and prior channel resistance).
Major resistance: 3,378 – 3,385 USD (confluence of Fibo and former high).
Near-term support: 3,300 USD (psychological level).
Major support: 3,248 USD (projected target based on measured move from channel height).
3. Technical Indicators
EMA20 and EMA50 are both below EMA200, forming a classic “death cross” – a strong bearish signal.
Volume increased on the breakdown, reinforcing the strength of bearish momentum.
RSI remains below 50, indicating weak bullish retracements and room for further downside.
4. Trading Strategy
Primary Strategy: Sell on Rally
Ideal entry zone: 3,331 – 3,346 USD.
Stop Loss: Above 3,353 USD (above key resistance zone).
TP1: 3,300 USD.
TP2: 3,248 USD (extended target based on breakout structure).
Alternative Strategy: Countertrend Long
Only consider buy setups if strong reversal candles and bullish RSI divergence appear near 3,248 USD.
XAUUSD continues to face downside risk after the channel breakdown. Unless bulls reclaim the 3,337 – 3,346 zone, price is more likely to drift lower toward 3,300 and potentially 3,248. Traders should remain patient and wait for clean setups around these key zones.
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from mid-July to late August 2025. The current price is 3,425.000, with a slight increase of +0.03% (0.880) to 3,315.325. Key levels include a sell price of 3,315.070 and a buy price of 3,315.590. The chart highlights a recent downward trend with a support zone around 3,313.855 and resistance near 3,350.823, as indicated by the shaded areas.
Gold: This Week's Analysis & StrategyThis week, the fluctuations have clearly moderated📉. Focus on a strategy of buying at lows and selling at highs as much as possible📈. Currently, the resistance around 3350 is prominent🚧, and 3300 acts as support below🛡️. If the decline continues, it may reach around 3285👇
We successfully took short positions last week 📉, and this week I recommend going long at lower levels 📈. Over the long term, gold remains in a bull market 🐂, but it will not repeat the frenzy seen in April; instead, it will maintain a steady upward pace ⬆️.
Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have been volatile so far this year 📊. At the start of the year, as Trump-related developments unfolded, market optimism faded 😐. Meanwhile, the de-dollarization trend fueled growing expectations of Fed rate cuts 💹. By early April, Trump’s reciprocal tariff measures—far more aggressive than expected—roiled global financial markets 🌍, triggering a surge in concerns about a U.S. recession ⚠️. Markets thus anticipated that the Fed would cut rates quickly to shore up the economy, with expectations for rate cuts within the year once exceeding 100 basis points 📉. However, shortly after, Trump announced a 90-day extension of the reciprocal tariffs, easing market pessimism 😌 and driving a strong rebound in U.S. stocks 📈. At this point, markets began worrying that his tariff policies could spark an inflation rebound 🔥, leading to a steady decline in rate cut expectations—currently, expectations for rate cuts this year have dropped to fewer than two 🔄.
Risk Warning ⚠️
Event Sensitivity: Outcomes of China-U.S. trade talks 🤝, the Fed’s statements , and nonfarm payroll data 📊 may trigger one-sided volatility. Positions should be adjusted promptly to avoid risks 🛡️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
🚀 Sell@ 3350 -3340
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD BUY In the XAU/USD 2025 Forecast, FXStreet analyst Eren Sengezer suggests Gold’s 2025 outlook depends on Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, Donald Trump’s decisions and geopolitics. A bearish scenario could unfold if geopolitical tensions ease, inflation remains persistent and United States-China trade tensions weaken China’s economy, reducing Gold demand. A hawkish Fed could also pressure prices.
On the bullish side, continued global policy easing, a recovering Chinese economy or escalating geopolitical conflicts could boost safe-haven flows into Gold, supporting its resilience and pushing prices higher.
Gold's technical outlook suggests weakening bullish momentum, with the RSI at its lowest since February and XAU/USD. Key support lies at $2,530-$2,500, with further declines potentially targeting $2,400 and $2,300. On the upside, resistance at $2,900 could limit gains, with additional barriers at $3,000-$3,020 and $3,130 if Gold attempts a new record high.
SUPPORT 3,326
SUPPORT 3,336
SUPPORT 3,350
RESISTANCE 3,306
RESISTANCE 3297
Gold Price Rally: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bet Glimmer of Gold: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bullish Bet in Months
In the complex and often turbulent theater of global finance, the movements of so-called "smart money" are watched with an eagle's eye. When these sophisticated players, particularly hedge funds, move in concert, it often signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment. Recently, a powerful signal has emerged from the depths of the commodities market: hedge funds have dramatically increased their bullish bets on gold, pushing their net long positions to a 16-week high. This aggressive positioning is not a random fluctuation; it is a calculated response to a potent cocktail of persistent geopolitical instability, simmering trade tensions, and a growing conviction that the global economic landscape is tilting in favor of the ultimate safe-haven asset.
The surge in bullish sentiment represents a significant vote of confidence in the yellow metal. It suggests that some of the world's most well-resourced and analytically driven investors are looking past the daily noise of equity markets and are instead positioning themselves for a future where security, stability, and tangible value take precedence. They are not merely dipping their toes in the water; they are making a decisive, leveraged bet that the forces buffeting the global economy will continue to drive capital towards gold's enduring allure. This move has sent ripples across the financial world, prompting investors of all stripes to ask a critical question: What does the smart money see that we should be paying attention to?
Decoding the Data: A Sharp Turn Towards Bullishness
To understand the magnitude of this shift, one must look to the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report published by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report provides a detailed breakdown of positions in the futures markets, separating traders into different categories, including "Managed Money." This category, which primarily consists of hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, is a key barometer for speculative sentiment.
The latest data reveals a sharp and decisive increase in bullish conviction. Hedge funds significantly ramped up their gross long positions—outright bets that the price of gold will rise. Simultaneously, they have been closing out their short positions—bets that the price will fall. The combination of these two actions has a powerful magnifying effect on the "net long" position, which is the difference between the number of long and short contracts.
Reaching a 16-week high is particularly noteworthy. It indicates a reversal of previous caution or bearishness and the establishment of a new, more aggressive bullish trend. For months, hedge funds may have been hesitant, weighing the prospects of higher-for-longer interest rates against emerging geopolitical risks. The current data shows that the scales have tipped decisively. This isn't a gradual accumulation; it's a forceful pivot, suggesting a high degree of conviction in the upside potential for gold. This influx of speculative capital acts as a powerful tailwind for the gold price, creating upward pressure as more funds chase the emerging momentum.
The Three Pillars of the Golden Thesis
The coordinated move by hedge funds is not based on a single factor but on a confluence of three powerful, interlocking macro-economic and geopolitical narratives. Each pillar reinforces the others, creating a compelling case for holding gold.
1. The Unsettled World: Geopolitical Risk as a Prime Catalyst
Gold has, for millennia, served as the ultimate barometer of fear. In times of peace and prosperity, its appeal can wane in favor of assets that offer growth and yield. But in an environment of escalating geopolitical tension, its value proposition becomes unparalleled. The current global landscape is rife with such tensions.
Persistent conflicts in key regions continue to create uncertainty, threatening to disrupt energy supplies, shipping lanes, and international relations. The risk of these conflicts widening or drawing in other powers keeps a floor under the demand for haven assets. Beyond active conflicts, the world is witnessing a broader realignment of global power. The rise of multi-polarity and the challenging of the post-Cold War order create a backdrop of systemic instability.
Furthermore, political uncertainty within major economies adds another layer of risk. Election cycles in dominant nations can lead to unpredictable policy shifts on everything from trade and taxation to international alliances. This policy uncertainty makes investors nervous, prompting them to allocate capital to assets that are insulated from the whims of any single government or political outcome. Gold, being a stateless monetary asset with no counterparty risk, is the natural recipient of these capital flows. Hedge funds are betting that these geopolitical undercurrents will not only persist but potentially intensify, making gold an essential portfolio hedge.
2. The Friction of Trade: A Drag on Global Growth
The era of seamless globalization has given way to a period of strategic competition and trade friction. The ongoing trade disputes between the world's largest economic blocs, most notably the United States and China, have moved beyond mere rhetoric and are now an entrenched feature of the global economy. Tariffs, export controls, and national security-driven industrial policies are disrupting long-established supply chains and creating a more fragmented and less efficient global marketplace.
This environment is a significant headwind for global economic growth. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy makes it difficult for businesses to make long-term investment decisions, dampening corporate spending and hiring. Slower global trade directly translates to slower economic growth, which in turn puts pressure on corporate earnings and equity valuations.
In this context, gold shines. As an asset that does not rely on economic growth to generate returns, it acts as a valuable diversifier in a portfolio dominated by stocks and bonds. When growth falters, gold's role as a store of value becomes more pronounced. Hedge funds are positioning for a scenario where persistent trade tensions continue to weigh on the global economy, making riskier assets less attractive and defensive assets like gold more appealing.
3. The Central Bank Pivot: Anticipating Looser Money
Perhaps the most powerful financial driver for gold is the outlook for monetary policy, particularly from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The price of gold has an inverse relationship with real interest rates (interest rates minus inflation). When real rates are high, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold is also high, as investors can earn a handsome, risk-free return in government bonds. Conversely, when real rates are low or falling, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, making it a more attractive investment.
For the past couple of years, central banks have been in a fierce battle against inflation, raising interest rates at an aggressive pace. However, the market is now increasingly looking ahead to the next phase of the cycle: rate cuts. While the timing is still a matter of debate, the consensus is that the next major policy move from the Fed and other major central banks will be to lower rates to support a slowing economy.
Hedge funds are front-running this anticipated pivot. They are accumulating gold now in expectation that falling interest rates in the future will provide a significant tailwind for its price. Even before the cuts materialize, the mere expectation of looser monetary policy is enough to fuel a rally. Furthermore, there is a persistent fear that central banks might make a policy error—either by keeping rates too high for too long and triggering a deep recession, or by cutting rates too soon and allowing inflation to become re-anchored. Either scenario is bullish for gold, which performs well during both economic downturns and periods of high inflation.
This speculative demand from hedge funds is layered on top of a powerful, long-term structural trend: voracious buying from the world's central banks. For several years, central banks, particularly those in emerging markets like China, India, and Turkey, have been steadily diversifying their foreign reserves away from the U.S. dollar and into physical gold. This "de-dollarization" trend is a strategic move to reduce dependence on the U.S. financial system and to hold a neutral reserve asset in an increasingly fractured world. This consistent, price-insensitive buying from official institutions creates a strong and stable floor of demand for gold, providing hedge funds with the confidence to build their own large, speculative positions on top of it.
Conclusion: A Resounding Vote for a Golden Future
The sharp increase in bullish gold bets by hedge funds is more than just a statistic; it is a story about risk, fear, and the search for security in an uncertain world. It reflects a growing consensus among sophisticated investors that the confluence of geopolitical turmoil, economic friction, and an impending shift in monetary policy has created a uniquely favorable environment for the precious metal.
These funds are acting as canaries in the coal mine, signaling a potential increase in market volatility and a flight to safety. Their aggressive positioning, backed by billions of dollars in capital, can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, driving prices higher and drawing in more waves of investors. As the world continues to grapple with deep-seated structural changes, the decision by the "smart money" to make its largest bullish wager on gold in months is a clear and resounding signal: in the quest for a safe harbor, all that glitters is, once again, gold.
Gold Robbery Blueprint: Smart Bears on the Move Now!💣 XAU/USD GOLD HEIST PLAN: Robbery Begins at Resistance Zone! 🔐💰
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🕵️♂️💸🚀
Welcome to another strategic strike by Thief Trading Style™—where smart analysis meets bold execution. We're targeting XAU/USD (Gold) in this scalping/day-trade opportunity, primed with fundamentals, technicals, and pure robbery logic.
🔍 THE GAME PLAN
We're looking at a neutral zone turning bearish, and here’s how the robbery unfolds:
🔑 ENTRY POINTS
🎯 “Vault wide open” signal!
Initiate short orders at current price zones or set layered SELL LIMITS near swing highs on 15M/30M charts. We're running a DCA-style pullback entry for max loot.
🕵️♀️ Entry isn't about one shot—it's about precision raids.
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ALARM SYSTEM
Set SL just above the nearest swing high (4H timeframe preferred).
Use candle wick tips as your defense line (Example: 3350.00).
Adjust SL based on risk appetite and number of orders stacked.
🎯 TARGET: THE GETAWAY PLAN
💸 First Vault: 3280.00
💨 Or escape earlier if price action signals reversal. Protect your gains. Professional thieves don't get greedy.
📊 WHY WE’RE ROBBING HERE
This level is a high-risk barricade zone—police aka "market makers" are strong here.
We spotted consolidation, oversold signals, trend reversal setups, and a bullish trap disguised as support. A perfect time to strike. 🧠🔍
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENTAL CHECKPOINTS
🔎 Stay updated with:
Global news drivers
Macro & Intermarket analysis
COT reports & future trend targets
👉 Check the 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ TRADING ALERT - STAY SAFE DURING NEWS BOMBS!
Avoid entries during major economic data releases.
Use trailing SL to protect running profits.
Monitor volatility spikes & price anomalies.
💖 JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE HEIST!
If this plan adds value to your trades, hit that Boost Button 💥
Support the Robberhood and help grow the gang of smart money snipers 🕶️💼💣
Every boost = more ammo for next mission. Let's rob the market—not each other. 🚀🤑
📌 Remember: Market is fluid. Stay sharp, adapt quick, and trade like a shadow.
Catch you soon in the next grand heist 🎭💼
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ScalpingStrategy #DayTrading #ThiefTrader #RobTheMarket #BoostForMore #NoChaseNoCase
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD
From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉.
So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔.
If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
The correction is quite surprise. What direction for GOLD price?✏️Quite surprised with the adjustment of gold at the end of the previous trading week. The rising price channel is still holding around the lower border of the price channel around 3316. A liquidity sweep and candle wick removal in this area is considered a good buying opportunity.
If h1 closes below this border, limit trading BUY signals until the bottom support of 3286. When the price can close the candle below 3316, gold will trade in a wide range and there is no main trend dominating the market.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3316-3286
Resistance: 3372-3400-3418
Buy trigger: Reject and Trading above 3316
BUY DCA Break 3372
Target: 3400
SELL Trigger: Break bellow and Retest 3416
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Market forecasts are completely accurate, trading signals#XAUUSD
After opening today, gold tested the lowest point near 3324 and then rebounded, which is in line with my prediction of gold trend last night. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the upper 3345-3350 constitutes a short-term pressure level. If you are aggressive, you can consider shorting at 3345-3350, with the target at 3330-3325. Continue to hold if it falls below 3325, and stop loss if it breaks above 3350. After it breaks above, you can consider following up with a long order to close the position at 3360-3370. Short once at 3370-3380 for the first time, and stop loss if it breaks above 3380.
🚀 SELL 3345-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3325
🚀 BUY 3352-3355
🚀 TP 3360-3370
🚀 SELL 3370-3380
🚀 TP 3345-3325-3310
Be sure to study my trading strategy carefully. If you only look at the price points, you will definitely suffer certain losses. Participate in the transaction at the right time based on your own account funds and set stop losses.
XAU/USD 1H – Range Consolidation Below Ichimoku Cloud. Chart Review & Technical Insight
1. Ichimoku Cloud & Overall Structure
Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, with the cloud ahead sloping downward—indicative of bearish short‑term momentum and resistance overhead as long as the cloud holds above price.
The Kijun-sen (blue) line is above the Tenkan-sen (red), reinforcing the bearish bias on this timeframe.
2. Price Action & Key Zones
A support zone around 3,327–3,330 USD/oz is visible, underpinned by multiple rejection taps and price consolidation (“$$$” zone). A clean break below could open the path toward the 3,320’s or lower imbalance region.
On the upside, resistance lies near 3,339–3,340, backed by the cloud’s lower boundary and the Kijun-sen level.
The highlighted green rectangle appears to signal a potential bullish breakout target zone toward 3,365–3,392, contingent on recovery above the cloud.
3. Momentum & Trade Considerations
Momentum is weak, with price moving sideways inside a low‑volatility rectangle on diminishing volume and few directional impulses.
Possible ABC corrective structure is forming as marked, suggesting price may oscillate sideways or continue correcting within established bounds.
A bullish scenario would require clearing the Ichimoku Cloud and resistance at 3,340–3,360 USD.
Conversely, a bearish breakdown below ~3,327 could confirm continuation deeper into the 3,320s or toward the next significant demand zone near 3,300 USD.
.
✅ Summary
Bias: Slightly bearish to neutral until price can clear the Ichimoku Cloud.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,327–3,330 (immediate), then 3,320–3,300.
Resistance: 3,339–3,365, cloud top near 3,365, further target zone 3,392.
Scenarios:
Bullish breakout: Close above cloud → potential rally toward 3,365–3,392.
Bearish breakdown: Close below 3,327 → deeper correction toward 3,320 and lower imbalance areas.
Gold 8H Bullish Reversal Setup After Channel Break. Gold/USD 8H Chart Analysis:
Price has broken below an ascending channel, indicating potential short-term weakness. However, a bullish reversal setup is marked, with a suggested buy zone near current levels (~3339), targeting the 3428–3459 USD range. Stop loss placed below 3310 for risk management.
XAUUSD idea for upcoming weekThe chart presents a bearish outlook for gold based on a retracement and continuation pattern. Here's a detailed analysis:
🔍 Chart Summary:
Current Price: Around 3336
Bias: Bearish (after retracement)
Resistance Zone: 3370 – 3380
Sell Confirmation Area: Upon rejection from the 3370–3380 resistance zone
Target 1 (TP1): 3300
Target 2 (TP2): 3280
📈 Technical Structure:
Recent Trend:
The price has dropped sharply from its recent peak.
Now it's attempting a pullback to previous support, which has turned into a resistance zone (3370–3380).
Price Action Expectation:
A retracement is expected toward 3370–3380.
If the price gets rejected from this resistance block, the chart suggests the formation of a lower high.
After rejection, a bearish continuation is expected.
Projected Move:
Short entry around the resistance zone.
Targets:
TP1: 3300 (intermediate support)
TP2: 3280 (major support)
🧠 Trade Idea Logic:
The chart follows a classic bearish price action setup: impulse → retracement → continuation.
The consolidation and break area has flipped from support to resistance.
The retracement zone is clearly defined, making it a high-probability area for reversal if bearish signals (e.g., rejection candles) form.
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Wait for confirmation: Do not enter blindly at 3370–3380. Look for rejection patterns (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Volume and fundamentals: Watch for economic data or geopolitical news that might invalidate the technical setup.
SL Suggestion: Above 3385 or 3390 to allow some room for wick spikes.
Gold Market Analysis: Seize the Bearish Opportunity!Hello, amazing traders! 📊 Last week, gold put both buyers and sellers through a rollercoaster, peaking at $3,439 on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp decline shook the market. The chart reveals a classic triangle pattern with a sneaky false breakout, designed to trap the unwary. Now, with the upside liquidity swept away, a bearish move is on the horizon—let’s break it down!
📈 Chart Insights
Take a look at the attached chart! Gold’s recent action highlights:
False Breakout: The price tricked traders with a brief surge, only to reverse sharply.
Target Zone: Equal Lows at $3,240 are the next key level to watch.
Retracements: Expect a pullback to the $3,360-$3,365 range, where order blocks, 4H Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Hourly Imbalance Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) form a powerful demand zone.
🎯 Trading Plan
Entry Point: Prepare to short around $3,360-$3,365 as gold retraces to this strong PD Array.
Stop Loss: Place above $3,385 to avoid the daily and 4H FVG zone ($3,375-$3,385), which should act as resistance.
Target: Aim for $3,240, the Equal Lows, with updates on short-term targets to follow.
Note: The $3,375-$3,385 range is a balanced zone—unlikely to be revisited soon.
🚨 Why Act Now?
This setup offers a golden (or should I say bearish gold?) chance to capitalize on the market’s momentum. The chart’s clear levels and the false breakout signal a high-probability move. Stay tuned for real-time updates as we track this trade!
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Happy trading, and may your trades be as sharp as this analysis! ✨