XAUUSD SELL Gold starts the new week on the back foot and trades below $2,650. The renewed US Dollar strength and the recovery seen in the US Treasury bond yields don't allow the pair to stage a rebound despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.
From a technical perspective, an intraday slide below the lower boundary of a nearly one-week-old descending channel could be seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on daily/4-hour charts have again started gaining negative traction and suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the downside. Hence, a subsequent fall back towards last week's swing low, around the $2,605 region, looks like a distinct possibility. Some follow-through selling below the $2,600 mark would expose the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged near the $2,575 region.On the flip side, the ascending trend-channel support breakpoint, around the $2,642-2,643 area, might now act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $2,652 static resistance and last Friday's swing high, around the $2,665 region. Some follow-through buying should allow the Gold price to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark and extend the positive move further towards the $2,721-2,722 supply zone. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared decisively will suggest that the recent corrective decline from the all-time peak touched in October has run its course and pave the way for a further appreciating move.
Xauusdshort
Gold Price Analysis: Key Support at 2635Today, we made two successful long trades on gold. The first target was 2635-2643, and the second target was around 2650. Both targets were hit, and we enjoyed substantial profits. Now, gold has retreated below 2640, with weak support around 2635. If the price can stabilize around this support level, an upward move is expected. However, if the price breaks below this level, we could see a head and shoulders pattern forming, and the price might return to around 2625.
Currently, the market is experiencing low volatility, and the key trading opportunities for this week will likely come between Wednesday and Friday. A large amount of data will be released, which could lead to significant fluctuations in gold prices, offering even more favorable opportunities for trading.
Gold Market Analysis 12/2At the start of the Asian session today, gold continued its downward movement, reaching back to the previous low near 2620. Typically, previous lows often provide some support. Today, we have seen multiple candlesticks with lower wicks at this level, indicating that the support is holding well at the moment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
2615 remains a key level of support. If this level holds, a rebound is expected.
Resistance:
The resistance zone is between 2635-2643. Watch for potential price action around this area, as it could signal either a break higher or a reversal.
Market Outlook:
Given the current support at 2620 and the signs of a potential rebound, I expect a move higher, with the next target being the 2635-2643 resistance zone.
Scalping! Gold price recovers in the short term to 2648SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under pressure during the early European session on Monday, trading near $2,630, at the lower end of the day's range. The US Dollar (USD) rebounds sharply from a nearly three-week low, supported by a rise in US Treasury yields, adding downward pressure on the precious metal.
Additionally, expectations that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs and expansionary policies will drive inflation higher, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to halt further rate cuts, further weigh on gold. However, concerns over trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainties, and a cautious market sentiment may help limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD as investors await key US economic data releases later this week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has recovered - continuing sideways, scalping the liquidity zone 2648
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2653
TP1: $2644
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD (02/12) | Bears are Gaining Momentum. Retesting the ResistaXAUUSD is declining after falsely breaking the resistance level of the range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for the formation of a clear mid- to long-term strategy.
Trump's policies are creating new risks. Before taking office, he signaled the possibility of raising tariffs globally (on Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, and BRICS countries). Increased geopolitical risks are also affecting metal prices. On the backdrop of a strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, gold prices are falling, confirming the bearish structure of the market. The market's attention is focused on the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI index.
Technically, the price is breaking below the ascending support line as well as the 2636 level, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming, and we should pay attention to resistance zones, liquidity, and key imbalances.
Resistance levels: 2636, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the broken structure and the previously significant levels is forming. A false breakout of the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci retracement (retest) could trigger aggressive selling due to the newly strengthened U.S. dollar. However, globally, gold is still within a sideways range without a clear trend.
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2651 - 2652
⚰️SL: 2656
⬆️TP1: 2644
⬆️TP2: 2639
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2580 - 2581
⚰️SL: 2575
⬆️TP1: 2586
⬆️TP2: 2591
This concludes the article. Best wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.
GBPUSD Analysis Week 48🌐Fundamental Analysis
Traders have reduced their bets on another Bank of England (BoE) rate cut this year after data released last week showed that underlying price growth in the UK accelerated in October. This has further contributed to the relative outperformance of the British Pound (GBP) against its US counterpart and confirmed the positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair.
US PCE data released on Wednesday showed that the pace of deflation in the US stalled in October. Moreover, investors now appear to believe that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies will boost inflation. This follows the hawkish FOMC minutes earlier this week, which revealed that the Committee could pause its policy rate easing if inflation remains high. Additionally, geopolitical risks and trade war concerns could benefit the relative safe haven status of the Greenback and limit the upside momentum of the GBP/USD pair.
🕯Technical Analysis
The 1.250 support level was accepted by the market as it pushed the price to 1.273 during the final trading session of the week. The break out of 1.262 marked a major development of GBPUSD back to the uptrend. To mark a new growth, GBPUSD needs to trade above the 1.276 area. And immediately we can see GBPUSD trading within the price range of 1.276 and 1.262. Watch the strongest resistance zone of 1.286 for market fluctuations in Nonfarm next week.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258
SELL GBPUSD 1.286-1.288 Stoploss 1.290
**Gold’s Dance Within the Channel: Navigating Range Boundaries**Gold Price Analysis: Navigating a Complex Fundamental and Technical Landscape
Gold (XAU/USD) has edged lower to approximately $2,620 amidst recent geopolitical developments, yet the overarching market fundamentals remain precarious. The current price dynamics are influenced by a combination of political tension, economic uncertainty, and low liquidity conditions stemming from the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States. These elements create a unique trading environment characterized by potential for sudden volatility and exaggerated price movements.
Fundamental Analysis
The recent decline in gold prices aligns with positive news out of the Middle East. Specifically, reports of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah on Wednesday appeared to ease immediate geopolitical tensions, dampening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, this relief was short-lived as new reports emerged of escalating conflicts in Aleppo, Syria, suggesting that the broader geopolitical risks remain unresolved.
Adding to the complexity is the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe, which continues to exert a strain on market sentiment. This multifaceted geopolitical backdrop leaves investors cautious, even as gold temporarily loses some of its safe-haven demand.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar (DXY) remains in a consolidation phase, creating a mixed environment for gold prices. The U.S. holiday is expected to result in low liquidity, which can amplify price swings and lead to unpredictable movements. Traders should remain vigilant, as thin market conditions often exacerbate reactions to news or technical signals.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, gold is trading within a well-defined range-bound channel, exhibiting a "flat" structure. This presents opportunities for range-based trading strategies, focusing on key levels of support and resistance.
Key Levels to Watch:
Local Channel (H1):
Resistance: $2,660
Support: $2,618
Global Channel (D1):
Resistance: $2,689 - $2,710
Support: $2,605
At present, gold appears to be gravitating towards liquidity zones above its current price. If the price tests the key resistance zone ($2,660 - $2,689), a potential false breakout could trigger selling pressure, leading to a retracement toward the lower boundary of the flat range.
Market Scenario and Strategy
Range-Bound Trading:
With gold confined within these well-established channels, traders can consider range trading strategies. Buying near support levels (e.g., $2,618 or $2,605) and selling near resistance levels (e.g., $2,660 or $2,689) could yield favorable risk-to-reward outcomes.
Volatility Risk:
Given the low-liquidity environment, sudden price spikes are a distinct possibility. It’s crucial to use tight stop-loss orders to mitigate risks in case of unexpected breakouts or breakdowns.
Focus on False Breakouts:
A false breakout above key resistance levels could signal an impending decline. If gold fails to hold above $2,660 or $2,689 and consolidates below these levels, it could be a precursor to a move back towards the lower boundary of the flat at $2,618 or $2,605.
Long-Term Perspective:
For longer-term traders, the global channel on the D1 timeframe offers broader reference points. A sustained break above $2,710 could indicate the resumption of a bullish trend, while a breakdown below $2,605 might open the door to deeper declines.
Conclusion
Gold’s price trajectory is currently shaped by a delicate interplay of geopolitical factors, technical levels, and liquidity constraints. While the immediate decline to $2,620 reflects short-term relief in geopolitical tensions, the broader risks and low-liquidity conditions suggest that volatility is far from over.
Traders should maintain a cautious and adaptive approach, leveraging the well-defined range for short-term opportunities while remaining alert to the potential for sudden, exaggerated price movements. As always, sound risk management remains paramount in navigating this complex landscape.
Gold Hits 2635 Target, Next Focus on 2646 ResistanceDuring today's Asian session, I shared a long strategy with a target of 2635-2643. Currently, the price has risen above 2635, and we have secured our first profit of the week. Congratulations to all who followed the strategy!
The price is still on an upward trend, and a rise to around 2640 should be achievable. At that point, we need to pay attention to the resistance near 2646 and observe if it breaks. A slight pullback is expected, with key support around 2632-2628. If the support holds, we could see the price push back above 2650.
XAUUSDHere is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2630s.
If we break our KL (Key Level) 2624 , we could revisit 2604 and our target 2590 . Safe sell entries would be at the break of the KL 2624 . Be careful of possible pullbacks to the upside and breaks of 2640 .
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2624 several times last week but failed to do so. A clear break below 2624 would confirm the direction and based on that we could take advantage of the sells on gold and potentially hit our 2590 target.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2624 would confirm sells.
- Breaks below 2604 would result in sells, down to 2590 would result in even lower prices.
- Breaks above 2640 could confirm buys.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Scenario on XAUUSDOn the chart we have a level marked around which the price has been hovering all the time. This level is located around the price of 2660-2640. A correction is forming which is still not complete for me. If it cannot break through this resistance at this moment, it is quite likely that the price may correct somewhere towards the level of 2500 or even a lower price. For me, this market is still undecided and for now I am staying out of the position. If what I described happens, I will take a short.
XAUUSD Sell Limit OrderHi everyone. I think we're switching from bullish to bearish in 1H TF, and I think this area has it's potential to set an order.
Have a good trading week and let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Analysis of the Downward Trend in Gold Prices This WeekGold prices remained stable above $2,600 in the past week, primarily supported by increasing geopolitical tensions. However, after Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, gold still faced pressure to limit its price increase, as the U.S. dollar is expected to be supported by Trump's win.
Regarding gold's recent recovery, after the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data earlier this week, which met expectations, market anticipation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen, driving gold prices higher. Currently, the market is pricing in about a 66% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December, a significant increase from just over 50% a week ago.
Geopolitical tensions in Europe, caused by Russia's missile attack on Ukraine, have also provided support for safe-haven assets like gold. The Israeli military announced on Thursday that their air force had struck a facility in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to store medium-range missiles, as both sides accused each other of violating the ceasefire agreement. On Thursday, Russia launched its second major attack this month on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages in the country.
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is generally seen as a safe investment during periods of economic and geopolitical instability.
Gold prices have dropped about 3% this month, hitting a two-month low on November 14. This is mainly due to the strengthening U.S. Dollar since Trump's election, and his tariff policies, which are seen as likely to push inflation higher, thus slowing down the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle.
Next week, the U.S. will release key economic data, including job openings, ADP employment reports, and non-farm payrolls, which could provide direction on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
Important Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, ISM Services PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a panel discussion at the New York Times DealBook Summit
Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report, University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment
Technical Outlook for XAUUSD (Gold Price)
Gold is attempting to recover but remains limited by the 50% Fibonacci level and the EMA21, as pointed out in yesterday's publication. In terms of overall structure, gold still leans towards a bearish outlook, with the main trend indicated by the price channel (a) and resistance from the EMA21. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also not yet surpassed the 50 level. Therefore, in terms of trend and momentum, gold is more likely to face downward pressure rather than rise.
As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), it does not meet the technical conditions for a long-term price increase, so any rallies should be viewed as short-term recoveries.
In the short term, if gold drops below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, the next target for a decline would be around the $2,600 level.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for gold on the daily chart is bearish, with the following key levels to watch:
Support: $2,634 – $2,606 – $2,600
Resistance: $2,663 – $2,693
However, traders must note that in the context of geopolitical conflicts, technical structures can be broken very quickly due to sudden, impactful events. Therefore, the risk will be higher in the short term.
This concludes the article. Henry wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.
Drop it Like it's HotRight now price is in a much larger descending channel - indicating we are in an overall down trend. We can see from looking left there is what most retail traders would call a demand zone in anticipation for the market to push higher.
HOWEVER, keeping in mind the higher TF (Daily) and the fact that "the trend is our friend" we can see that price is in fact in this downward descending channel. I will only be looking for SHORT positions this week, especially towards the end of this week with the LAST NFP of 2024. Man, time flew by!
So far price is pushing pretty aggressively towards the downside and I will look for further confirmations (on the lower TF - 15m & 5m) for my exact entries. Thanks for checking out my idea and Happy trading!!
Accumulate - gold price will continue to FALL✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/02 - 12/06/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices edged higher late in the North American session on Friday, gaining 0.67%, though still on track for a monthly decline of over 3%. Geopolitical concerns continue to influence market movements, with the non-yielding metal hovering near $2,600. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,652, rebounding from a daily low of $2,634.
Tensions in the Middle East eased slightly after Israel and Lebanon reached a ceasefire agreement. However, both nations have since accused each other of breaching the terms of the deal.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is still accumulating, sideways below 2680, moving within 2 H4 trendlines. In the context of the end of 2024, profit taking by investors will take place, gold price will continue to be under selling pressure.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2680, $2720, 2755
Support : $2607, $2584, $2540
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD SPIKES AMID Gold spikes amid tensions but can't shake off weekly losses☄️
➡️Gold gains 0.67% in late session, but geopolitical strife keeps it above $2,600 despite monthly losses.
Escalation in Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions underline Gold's safe-haven appeal.
Market optimism grows for a 25 bps Fed rate cut in December, bolstering Bullion’s short-term prospects.
➡️Gold's price advanced late during the North American session on Friday, up by 0.67%, yet it remains set to print monthly losses of over 3%. Geopolitical risks continue to drive price action with the non-yielding metal fluctuating at around $2,600. The XAU/USD trades at $2,652 after hitting a daily low of $2,634.
➡️Geopolitical tensions eased in the Middle East after Israel and Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire. Nevertheless, both countries accused each other of violating the agreement.
Bearish Wedge Breakdown: Key Levels to Watch!OANDA:XAUUSD
After analyzing the 1-hour chart, we identified an Ascending Broadening Wedge, signaling a bearish continuation. In our previous analysis, we forecasted a drop to 2656, but the price fell just short, reaching 2658. This time, we anticipate a break below 2656. If the price breaks this level, our next target will be 2578.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading carries risks; trade only with capital you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Note for Traders:
Success requires strict risk management. Limit risk per trade, use stop-losses, and stay disciplined for consistent growth.
Happy Trading
Gold price moves up trendline - short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gain momentum on Friday, reaching a four-day high near $2,662 during the Asian session. Heightened geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December and a drop in US Treasury yields further support gold's appeal.
Meanwhile, the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts has pressured the US Dollar (USD) to a two-week low, boosting gold demand. However, hopes that President-elect Donald Trump's policies will spur inflation and indications of stalled progress in reducing US inflation could make the Fed cautious about further easing. This may limit USD losses and keep a lid on XAU/USD's gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame moves in 2 uptrend lines, gold price moves mainly sideways below the price range of 2700
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2675 scalping
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2638 SL $2633
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold will go Down by Bearish Flag Pattern!!!GDP , Unemployment Claims , and Core PCE data were announced almost as expected .
If the Unemployment Claims, GDP, and Core PCE data are released in line with expectations, their impact on the markets is usually limited because:
1-Priced-In Effect :
Markets tend to adjust their pricing ahead of time based on forecasts. As a result, data matching expectations typically does not provoke major market reactions unless there are surprises in other economic indicators.
2-Market Stability :
When key indicators align with predictions, investors often maintain their current strategies, leading to reduced volatility unless new risks or external shocks emerge.
3-Monetary Policy Implications :
Data in line with expectations generally confirms the prevailing outlook for monetary policy. For example:
But today's important news was the signing of the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel , which can reduce tensions in the Middle East and be a factor in preventing Gold from rising again .
-------------------------------------------------------
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold has succeeded in forming a Bearish Flag Pattern , we can confirm this pattern by breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 , and we should wait for main wave 5 .
Based on the explanation above, I expect Gold to continue to decline to at least the Support zone($2,605-$2,584) .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold has made a profit of 300% this weekTechnical analysis of gold: Gold is currently in a range of fluctuations. It was under pressure near 2650 yesterday and then fluctuated and retreated, but it rose sharply again in the morning near 2634. It is still in the stage of rebound correction after the plunge, showing a range of fluctuations. The short-term trend is still strong, but it is unlikely to form a unilateral trend of rising. The main support is still the unstable factor of the escalation of regional situation. The inflation premium of currency depreciation is long-term, but the risk aversion sentiment is short-term and fast. After the plunge at the beginning of this week, the price of gold has basically been in a state of low correction, and there has been a certain decline during the period. At present, the large-range triangular wedge consolidation is very obvious, and the short-term trend of the long and short roller coaster has no continuity. After the early morning trading today, it is a good opportunity to go short. The white plate pulled up falsely and pierced 2665-2670 during the day to directly go short. The upper rail pressure of the range is given to go short! The short-term price will also increase in volume and wait for the point to be touched before the short enters the market!
From the technical trend, gold will most likely continue to fluctuate within the current range in the near future, and the operation will be mainly short-term quick entry and exit. The sharp rise in the early trading is not expected to continue. Now the hourly chart of gold has shown a big positive resistance line pattern, and the current price is close to the edge of the previous upward trend line, and there are signs of a short-term decline! So there is nothing to hesitate about the operation. Continue to short gold at the current price of 2665, and continue to look at the 2640-2635 area in the short term.