XAUUSD Shorts from 2030.000 down towards 1990.000My outlook for gold this week leans bearish, and I'm on the lookout for nearby shorting opportunities to drive the price towards the daily demand zone. Presently, I'm eyeing a clear 5-hour supply zone as a potential selling point. I'll be patient, waiting for a Wyckoff distribution pattern to unfold within this area before considering entry for my sell positions.
The presence of this supply zone has triggered a slight shift in momentum to the downside and left an imbalance, indicating its strength. However, I'm mindful of the trendline liquidity above the zone, which might attract price action to breach it, possibly prompting a reaction from the 22-hour supply zone above.
Confluences for GOLD Shorts are as follows:
- Price is approaching a 5hr supply zone that has caused a CHOCH to the downside.
- Theres an imbalance below that needs filling as well as some liquidity that can be taken.
- Zone also lies within the 0.78 fib range and price is also at a psychological level of 2030.
- Theres lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept as well as an imbalance.
- Price has been moving temporarily bearish short term so this is pro trend idea.
- sentimental analysis also shows that gold is bearish as well.
P.S.While I hold a temporary bearish stance and focus on the 5-hour supply zone, I'm also considering the possibility of price declining without touching my zone to break its structure and reach the daily demand area. In such a scenario, I'll be on the lookout for buying opportunities to ride the upward movement.
Xauusdshorts
XAUUSD Gold Weekly breakdownAnother bearish week, another closure below a key level on the weekly.
The close below 1917.318 is key because this was a previous level of support when looking back over the past 3 years. With this in mind, when we have seen the weekly candle close below this level there is a high probability of price driving down to 1873, with some resistance at the 1900 level due to it being a psychological level.
Overall, my bias remains bearish.
Gold Swing Trade UpdateThe trade setup I posted in my last update (link below the post) on gold has already produced a 3% move. If anyone took it, I'd move the stop loss to your entry and secure the trade by taking initial tp. If you haven't entered the I'd wait for a retrace above 2040 and then enter.
I have added a parallel channel and Anti BAT harmonic to my chart. Both are bearish patterns. The Bat pattern is successful if we break below 1953, above that there is always a chance of bounce and continuation withing the channel that's why its important to secure the trade.
Below I have added a clean chart with only levels of interest which can be used for looking for reactions and bounces along the retrace path.
So far Gold has held Macro VAH (Value Area High). Which is the only bullish sign I see right now, everything else technically is bearish. I have highlighted several drives of bear divergences on Daily Time Frame going as far back as last year November. Losing Macro VAH is important for a retract to Macro POC. If we keep holding it for a long time, it will become a good launch pad for the next move up.
I have over 6 years of trading and investing experience and have learned a lot in this time. I like to share what I have learned and if you like my content and would like to learn from my experience hit like and follow me for getting notified on my trade, market projections and several upcoming tutorials on technical analysis and several technical Indicators. You can also leave a comment and let me know if you want me to analyze any specific asset or want to learn about any specific topic in the world of Technical Analysis. I Will do my best to create a post for it.
Keep learning and Happy trading All.
XAUUSD My analysis for rest of day : v2So here is my 2nd analysis using a separate set of 2 main tools and a 3rd which is sometimes switched out with any indicator I might come across and feel the urge to give it a try but otherwise its mainly EngulfingCandle and Fluid Trades - SMC
Anyone else use these indicators and if you have/are, what settings and assets do you find works best for you?