The gold shorts aren’t over yet
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
Xauusdsignal
Early Asian session. Latest market analysisIn early Asian session, spot gold rebounded slightly and is currently trading around $3,345/oz, supported by bargain hunting. The U.S. session continued its trend of retreating from record highs, falling nearly 3%, hitting a low of $3,260.08/oz and closing at $3,288.18/oz.
People familiar with the matter revealed that the Trump administration is considering reducing tariffs on imports from Asian powers, adding that any action would not be unilateral.
Quaid Analysis:
People are very relieved about the possibility of negotiations between major powers, and we are seeing this trend have a significant impact on the market.
Driven by central bank buying, tariff war concerns and strong investment demand, gold prices have risen by more than 26% since the beginning of 2025. A large number of long orders are facing profit-taking needs, and investors need to beware of the risk of further correction in gold prices.
From a technical perspective, gold prices hit $3,500, soared before this level, and then reversed sharply, which increases the risk of further correction in the short term.
The preliminary monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in March and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending April 19 will be released on the Asian trading day. Investors need to pay attention to them. In addition, they need to continue to pay attention to the relevant news on the international trade situation and the geopolitical situation.
Action suggestions:
Go long at 3345, stop loss at 3340, watch 33380
If Quaid's analysis can help traders, then Quaid will be very happy.
"The tariff war" continues to manipulate the market.As evident from the chart, the drastic ups and downs triggered by tariffs this month have persisted, with the number of days seeing gold fluctuate by over $100 surpassing the historical total. Any speech, statement, or even minor move by Trump can sway market direction. We believe this essentially constitutes market manipulation, even transforming the market into a "battlefield" for the U.S. government to siphon off capital. However, since we cannot alter the status quo, we can only choose to accept it.
Currently, gold has entered an adjustment phase, and market trends could reverse at any moment due to a single news event. During this period, we need to stay calm, observe more, think critically, and carefully assess market dynamics.
How is gold going? What to do now?After reaching the psychological high of $3500, it entered a correction phase, which was also affected by the slight easing of the US-China tariff conflict...
After failing to hit the 3250 area of concern, gold prices will be slightly stronger. Meanwhile, the market is looking forward to the US PMI data. Earlier, gold prices hit an all-time high of $3500, but fell back on hopes of a easing of the US-China trade war and the US Treasury Secretary's remarks about a possible "detente".
The dollar recovered in the correction, but investors doubted Trump's predictability and gold prices began to pull back at this time. The focus is on the S&P Global PMI index: the results of this index may affect expectations for the federal funds rate and bring a new direction to the market.
From a technical point of view, gold prices are in a correction and confirm the bearish structure. But any unexpected remarks from Trump may attract a lot of buying.
Quaid data analysis:
Upward resistance: 3340, 3360
Downward support: 3280, 3250
Quid believes that buying can be considered when retesting the support level or closing above 3370.
Traders, do you agree with Quaid's idea? Please leave your thoughts. I'll be happy that way.
Gold "skydived" from $3,500, where will the landing price be?Fundamental analysis: the game between policy signals and safe-haven demand
From a fundamental perspective, Trump's moderate statement is the core driving factor of this round of gold correction. However, as tariff expectations cool, investors are beginning to reassess the attractiveness of risky assets. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell slightly, indicating that the market's confidence in the economic outlook has recovered. Against this background, the safe-haven premium of gold has been weakened, and profit-taking has accelerated.
In addition, the Fed's policy expectations are still an important variable affecting gold. At present, the market generally expects the Fed to continue to cut interest rates in 2025, but the pace and magnitude depend on inflation data and economic performance. If the expectation of interest rate cuts further heats up, the US dollar index may be under pressure, thereby providing some support for gold.
Technical analysis: pullback pressure and key support
The gold price fell below the support of $3,300, and the next key level points to $3,282, which coincides with the low point on April 17. If the decline continues, $3,150, as the pivot point in early April, will become an important defensive line for bulls. On the contrary, if the price stabilizes and rebounds, the pivot point of $3,415 will be the first resistance level, and further upward movement needs to pay attention to the higher resistance of $3,464. It is worth noting that the current price is far away from the resistance level of $3,415, and the rebound momentum may be limited in the short term, unless new fundamental catalysts appear to push the RSI back to the overbought area.
Quaid's comprehensive analysis:
The gold market has entered a consolidation phase after a rapid rise, and short-term correction pressure still exists, but in the long run, safe-haven demand and fundamental support remain solid. Quaid recommends that traders pay close attention to US policy trends, the trend of the US dollar, and the performance of key technical levels to grasp the market rhythm.
At the same time, Quaid will always pay attention to international news so as to make timely analysis and suggestions for traders; to help traders get out of the current predicament.
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns.
Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong.
In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news.
Technical levels (excluding news impact):
Key resistance: 3410–3440
Key support: 3328–3303
Considering the news:
Key resistance: 3346-3372
Key support: 3298–3268
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3410–3440
Buy between 3297–3267
Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
XAU/USD Short Setup | M15 Trend Reversal OpportunityGold (XAU/USD) M15 timeframe par bearish signals show kar raha hai. Price ne key resistance zone reject kiya hai aur lower highs bana raha hai — possible short opportunity.
Trade idea includes:
Resistance rejection
Bearish candlestick pattern
Volume confirmation
Tight stop loss & clear TP levels
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Always manage your risk and use proper risk-reward ratio.
Gold is falling wildly, is a key position coming?As of press time, spot gold has fallen wildly to below the support level of $3,300, having hit a record high of $3,500.05 the previous trading day.
At present, gold has fallen more than 5% from its historical high, and the fundamentals seem to be changing.
Quaid believes that gold has reached a key "turning point". After a strong rebound, the precious metal not only gave up all its gains, but also fell to a new low.
The sharp rise in gold prices is mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal. From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the real yield may continue to decline against the backdrop of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if good news about tariffs continues to be released, gold prices may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Daily chart analysis
From the daily chart, gold has given up all of Monday's gains. From a risk management perspective, buyers may look for a more cost-effective entry position at 3290 in the hope of further gains, while sellers hope that prices can break further down, thereby increasing bearish bets.
4-hour chart analysis
In the 4-hour chart, prices found support around 3300 and rebounded. Buyers intervened at this position and set risks below this support level in an attempt to push prices higher again. Sellers hope that prices fall below this level to push prices further down.
Quaid's analysis:
The current market is crazy. If it can fluctuate and adjust around the 3300 support level, the downward trend will stop and it may rise to 3400.
If this support level fluctuates and falls, it may plummet to around 3150.
Traders can wait and see for a short period of time before trading.
I hope Quid's analysis can help you get out of your current predicament. I also wish that all traders can fight for their own money waves in the market and achieve financial freedom under Quaid’s advice and analysis.
Gold Trading DirectionGold fell back under the pressure of 3386, and then pulled back to the pressure of 3365. The watershed was the morning high of 3386. Focus on the break of the low of 3313. If it breaks, the support of 3283 can be long. The strong support is 3245. If the European session does not break the low, but continues to fluctuate sideways at a low level, then be careful of the rebound at night.
Gold falls from highs, medium-term bullish structure remains uncSpot gold prices continue to fall, extending the correction of the psychological level of $3,500.
At the same time, senior Trump administration officials hinted that they are "paving the way" for a trade agreement with Asian powers, further boosting investors' confidence in the global economic outlook, thereby weakening demand for safe-haven gold.
Fed policy expectations still support gold's downward space.
Despite improved risk sentiment, the market still expects the Fed to launch a new round of interest rate cuts in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year, which makes gold's medium-term trend still optimistic. At present, weak US economic data and the president's erratic trade policy have further suppressed investors' confidence in US dollar assets.
Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts have supported the structural upward trend of gold, even if it faces a technical correction in the short term.
Technical aspects show that gold may adjust in the short term, but the support below is strong.
Quaid's analysis:
The current adjustment pressure faced by gold comes more from short-term market sentiment repair and technical profit-taking, but the medium- and long-term fundamentals are still strong. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have not changed, the US dollar has a clear medium-term weakening trend, and geopolitical factors are still highly uncertain. Gold is still in a bull-dominated pattern overall.
Operation strategy:
3325 long, stop loss 3315, take profit 3350. If it stops rising at 3350, traders can flip the operation strategy and short at this position.
Gold Short Term UpdateGold on M15 formed a valid descending trendline with 4 touches rejected
so now we're waiting for a M15 candle to broke and close above the touch of the trendline to activate the long (buy) trade
Trade safe and don't forget to trade with risk management
Follow us for more updates and ideas
The president's words instantly changed the gold market
📌 Driving events
Today, Wednesday, Trump said that although he was frustrated that the Federal Reserve had not been able to lower interest rates faster, he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
The remarks marked a huge shift in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
After Trump said he had no intention of firing Powell, the situation between Russia and Ukraine slowed down, and the market's optimism about the possible easing of trade tensions heated up, U.S. stock index futures soared and the dollar strengthened.
Asian spot gold opened directly at a gap down on Wednesday, and then the decline widened further, reaching a low of $3,293. It is only $10 away from the 3,283 support line I predicted before.
📊Comment analysis
Gold has some signs of a head and shoulders top, and the current shoulder position is almost here at 3,340-50.
So, if there is a chance to pull back to 3,340-50 next. The support line is still around 3282.
Be sure to enter the market and short without hesitation.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart – Bullish Reversal Setup from RBS + RBR Zone1. Current Price:
$3,317.27
● Price is currently in a downtrend after a recent high.
● EMA (9) is at $3,333.80 — acting as dynamic resistance.
⚠️ Watch for potential reversal!
2. Support Zone:
📦 Blue box marked as "RBS + RBR zone!"
● This is a key support area where price might bounce.
● RBS = Resistance Becomes Support
● RBR = Rally-Base-Rally
● Expecting buyers to step in here.
3. Trade Idea:
● Buy near $3,280 - $3,270 (inside the support box)
● Stop Loss: ❌ Below $3,258.00
● Target: 🎯 $3,500.13
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
● Target: 🟦 +205.62 points (6.25%)
● Stop: 🔻 Small risk below support
● Good R:R setup if price respects the zone!
Scenario Summary
📉 Price is retracing
⬇️ Approaching strong support zone
📈 Possible bounce to $3,500
✅ High-probability reversal area
❗ Manage risk with tight stop below zone
Gold: Building Momentum for a SurgeThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework.
Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation — long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280 short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies.
Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences.
XAUUSD
buy@3250-3280
tp:3300-3340
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Gold operation strategy, how to grasp the ups and downs of the mAt the end of the Asian market, spot gold maintained a sharp decline in the day. The current gold price is around $3,305/ounce, and it plummeted during the day.
Gold prices fluctuated this week, hitting a record high of $3,500/ounce, and then encountered resistance and fell to the $3,300/ounce level. The main reason for the record high in gold prices was that the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would lose its independence after US President Trump verbally attacked Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
US President Trump said on Tuesday evening local time that he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Trump also said that tariffs on Chinese imports would be "substantially" reduced from the current 145%.
Quaid believes that the hope of easing Sino-US trade tensions has driven a positive shift in risk sentiment and a recovery in the US dollar. Investors used this as an excuse to take profits on their gold long positions.
Latest trading analysis:
The gold daily chart shows that the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) has fallen back from the overbought area to the bullish area. The latest decline in this leading indicator supports a new round of decline in gold prices. However, as long as gold prices can hold the $3,300/oz level, gold buyers still have hope.
If the gold correction deepens, gold prices may challenge the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,163/oz. Before that, the $3,200/oz mark may provide some support for buyers.
On the other hand, if the upward trend resumes, gold prices may re-break through $3,400/oz and then aim for the historical high of $3,500/oz.
Gold has been volatile recently. If traders are not doing well in gold operations at present, I hope Quaid's analysis can make your investment smooth. Welcome all traders to communicate.
Gold Madness –5k Pips in 10 Days,drop almost 2k after. Now What?The last 10 trading days in Gold can be summed up in just one word: madness.
Back on April 9, the price was still under 3000 – yesterday it kissed 3500, marking an explosive 5000-pip rally in less than two weeks. That’s over 15% gain in no time!
🔙 As I mentioned in yesterday’s educational post , even though I expected a major correction, the lack of a clear stop loss setup made me choose the safest option: staying out.
Well, Gold did what it does best – surprise. Just before reaching a new all-time high, price reversed and at the time of writing, it has already dropped over 1600 pips from the peak.
📉 From a technical perspective, there are some important developments:
- Price has broken below the rising trendline, signaling a potential shift on short term
- Now, it's heading towards the 3250 support zone, which is aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
- This area could become a battleground – if bulls step in, we might see another bounce.
💡 Trading Plan:
From the selling side, the only potential setup I see is around 3450, but with a huge stop loss, making it less attractive.
On the buy side, I’ll be watching the 3250 level closely. If price action shows strength there, I may consider entering long – but only if the market conditions align properly.
Until then, I’m observing from the sidelines. No FOMO – just disciplined strategy. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
Gold adjusts at a high level, continues to be short on rebound
Gold risk aversion eased, and gold fell directly. After gold fills the gap, if gold cannot continue to rise, then the gold shorts will continue to exert their strength. The current gap resistance of gold is at 3382, but the market is volatile now. If the gap is filled, gold may have momentum to repair in the short term, so you can pay attention to the suppression of 3400.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3400, stop loss 3410, target 3370
4/22 Gold Trading StrategyGold continued its upward movement yesterday. Short positions around 3380 yielded limited gains, while those near 3410 are currently underwater. Many traders may be in a similar position, and I want to emphasize: there’s no need to panic—today offers a strong opportunity for the bears.
Technically, gold is now in the final stage of a five-wave upward structure . The bullish momentum is fading. The remaining upside is likely limited to within $50 , while the downside potential could exceed $80. In short, there’s an 80%+ chance of a pullback or consolidation today, offering a solid exit or profit opportunity for short positions.
The price is expected to retrace below 3360, and once profit-taking begins, the decline may accelerate.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3450–3480
Buy between 3330–3310
Trade flexibly within 3440–3400 / 3410–3355
Gold: Bearish, may fall below 3300📊 Yesterday, gold resumed its bullish move after a minor pullback, breaking through the 3400 level and reaching around 3440 during today’s early session, before starting to retrace.
📉 In the chart I shared yesterday, the black line represents the key bull-bear boundary. The current price has already broken below this level, and if it fails to reclaim it, the trend may shift toward bearish in the short term.
📌 Key support levels to watch:
First support: 3383
Next support: 3350
If selling intensifies, there’s a real chance price may break below 3300
Gold levels for long positions target ATH.GOLD (XAU/USD) – Smart Money Buying Opportunity!
Gold just tapped into a key Buying Zone after pulling back from its All-Time High (ATH).
Price is now sitting at a potential launchpad for bulls, aligning perfectly with Smart Money Concepts.
Entry Zone: 3357 – 3350
Target: 3500
SL: Below 3328
Risk-to-Reward: Ultra clean setup with 3R+ potential
Backup Plan: Extreme Buying Zone at 3244 for deeper entries
This is a textbook liquidity sweep and demand re-test, with a high chance of bullish continuation.
Patience pays. Let the market come to you and strike with precision!
Like, share, or save if you're trading Gold this week!