XAU/USD Strategy: Selling Rallies Amid Bearish StructureIn my analysis of XAU/USD yesterday, I highlighted that after the 800-pip drop, a rebound was likely. However, given the weekly Pin Bar and the bearish daily structure, I emphasized that any upward move should be viewed as a correction and an opportunity to sell.
Indeed, the market did see a rebound, but it was weak and short-lived. After reaching the 2665 zone, the price reversed to the downside and ended the day with minimal change.
Currently, the price sits at 2652, with the recent lows now acting as confluent support, reinforced by the rising trendline from the recent bottom. A decisive break below this support zone would shift focus to the next key level at 2610-2615.
My strategy remains unchanged: I continue to look for selling opportunities on rallies.
Xauusdsignal
Gold Shows Bullish Signs, Eyeing 2666-2672 Resistance ZoneGold is at a critical point of contention between bulls and bears. From the technical chart, the bulls are in a stronger position, with signs of a double bottom. If this stabilizes, gold is expected to rise again towards the 2666-2672 area. Therefore, today's trading should focus on long positions.
XAU - monday sideway! Scalping follows the downtrendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Last week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease its rate cuts at a slower pace next year.
On Friday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to a three-week high, reflecting market bets on a less dovish Fed stance, which could limit gains for the non-yielding gold.
Looking ahead, Monday's release of global flash PMI data may shape broader market sentiment and potentially impact demand for the safe-haven precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is slow on the first trading day of the new week, around the 2650 area.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2662 - $2664 SL $2667 scalping
TP1: $2657
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD next possible move“Risk management is more important than being right.” – Ray Dalio
In trading and investing, always wanting to be right can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
It’s not your ego, but your ability to protect your capital that determines your long-term success.
Risk management is like a shield: it allows you to stay in the game, even when the market goes against your predictions. Being a good trader doesn’t mean always predicting the market correctly, but knowing how to limit the damage when you're wrong.
By adopting a disciplined approach to risk, you create an environment where mistakes are not failures, but learning opportunities.
Remember, the goal is not always to win, but to stay in position to win tomorrow.
The most accurate trading strategy for goldGold fell sharply again last Friday, hitting a low near 2646 before stopping, continuing the bearish trend of last Thursday. It closed in the form of two large negative lines at the end of last week, and after opening in the morning, it retreated slightly and hit a low of 2643 before rebounding and fluctuating. It is currently temporarily maintaining a volatile situation. Looking at the current trend, the two-day retreat has basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppressive pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into a top and bottom pattern to form a suppressive effect. The operation is still treated as a rebound short.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the high of 2658-62 in the early morning of last Friday. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and look down. Pay attention to the short-term support at 2640 below. The short-term long-short watershed focuses on 2670. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity.
Gold Set for Recovery After Friday's DeclineLast Friday, gold encountered strong selling pressure at 2692, continuing its downward movement to the green zone, which I’ve marked as a potential buying area. Traders who held long positions on Friday may see profits on Monday.
There could be a second downward move, but if this happens, the 2644-2636 area is expected to act as strong support. For long positions, the initial targets are 2657-2666, and if prices stabilize around 2654-2658, we can target the 2671-2679 range.
GOLD Going to the level of 2269$ GOLD Going to the level of 2269$
Gold-price may fall a bit and then bounce back to the $2690 level
Recently, the price started falling from the resistance line, breaking the $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking the $2605 level too.
Price then turned around and started rising inside a wedge where it broke the resistance line and soon reached the $2605 level.
The price exceeded this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then made a correction to the support level.
Then, the price traded for a while and then fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it made an upward momentum.
Gold went up to the wedge resistance line, violating the $2690 level, but it recently turned around and fell to the support line.
Now, I think gold may fall below the wedge support line a bit and then bounce to the $2690 level.
Gold Market Weekly Analysis | XAUUSD Price action OutlookGold prices experienced a nearly 1% decline last week, largely influenced by a series of US economic data releases. Mixed signals from consumer and producer inflation reports kept markets cautious, but the lower-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a potential Federal Reserve rate cut at its December 17-18 meeting. Currently, traders are assigning a 93% probability to a 25 basis points (bps) rate reduction.
Next week promises to be eventful, with key US economic releases such as S&P Global Flash PMIs, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and the core PCE Price Index, alongside the pivotal FOMC policy decision. These will play a critical role in shaping gold's trajectory.
In this video, I dive deep into the XAUUSD chart, breaking down technical and fundamental factors to help us navigate the upcoming trading week.
📢 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPriceForecast #FOMC #RateCut #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook
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Gold Analysis==>>Rising again==>>Short term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline from the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708) , as I expected in the ✅ previous post ✅.
Gold is moving in the Support zone($2,670-$2,653) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing wave 5 .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the PRZ and attack the Downtrend line ; if it breaks, we can expect further pumps .
⚠️Note: We should expect further decline if Gold breaks the Support zone($2,670-$2,653).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th December 2024Gold Trading Strategy
Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 2662 on a 15-minute chart
Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 2636 on a 15-minute chart
Risk Strategies:
Risk Strategy 1:
Sell between 2660-2666
Stop-Loss: 2675
Targets: 2648, 2636, 2619
Risk Strategy 2:
Buy between 2621-2617
Stop-Loss: 2608
Targets: 2636, 2648, 2660
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact gold prices.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold at support- But is too obvious... (update)In my morning video analysis, I noted that after yesterday's strong bearish engulfing candle, the most likely scenario was a continuation of the down move, with the next support level identified around the 2660-2665 zone.
The price indeed reached this area, but I believe this support is too obvious and likely to break, instead of a meaningful reversal.
At this point, it is very risky to trade against the flow.
A more prudent approach would be to wait for rallies and consider selling at higher levels.
Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet
After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet
After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
Gold pattern analysis, profit of 300% this weekGold closed with a big negative yesterday, and the shape showed a Yin-enveloping Yang engulfing shape. In the short term, there was a certain turning point under pressure, and it also formed a double top after piercing the previous high of 2721; the market is still relatively cunning, and there is a large-scale strangulation of long and short positions back and forth. Basically, this behavior has occurred frequently this year; whether it is gold or silver, the slope of the channel that has been forced to rise all the way recently is steep, so the sustainability will not be too long, and it is easy to usher in a large-scale dive in the end. It is basically unlikely to refresh the historical high of 2790 this year, and for early 2025, bad news will come one after another, and the pressure and space may be greater and more lasting; although the overall bull market bull trend has not changed, there is still a need for adjustment in the short term or there is a long period of wide fluctuations, which is also a kind of correction; today's daily level short-term retracement pays attention to the 10-day moving average of 2662, which is also a second retracement to confirm the trend line of 2790-2721. Once it breaks down, it will point to the middle track of 2642;
The latest technical analysis of gold, enjoy the profitFrom a technical point of view, after Thursday's decline, the daily line closed negative for the first time after three consecutive positive lines, and closed with a large negative line before the upper Bollinger track. This pattern is very obvious, confirming the overall weakening, and there will be continuous room for decline. At least look at the support point of the middle Bollinger track 2660 first, and then look at the support of the lower track 2600 after breaking. Therefore, the actual intraday decline prospect is still very large. Look at the recent intraday changes, and try to focus on rebounding high altitudes. After the decline of the small cycle H4, the Bollinger is also in a closing state. It rebounded at 2675 at midnight, but the downward space is not enough. The support of the lower track is near 2660. Therefore, the intraday rebound can still be shorted. First see whether the price of 2660 breaks. If it does not break during the day, it will be regarded as a slow decline. If it breaks, it can form an opening of the lower Bollinger track and get out of the unilateral decline. Therefore, the recent decline of gold in this cycle has just begun. Don't think that you can go long after a wave of decline. In the short-term performance, gold has rebounded, and the intraday suppression should be around 2695. If it rebounds in the Asian and European sessions, you can short it. The intraday downside targets are 2675 and 2660. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds, supplemented by buying on dips. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2695-2700 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2660-2655 support.
adjustment - accumulate more waiting for interest rate cuts⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds support during the Asian session on Friday, recovering some of the previous day's pullback from a five-week high near $2,726. Safe-haven demand remains strong, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East, as well as concerns about President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs. Additionally, growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement a third consecutive rate cut at next week’s December policy meeting provide further support for the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The price recovered positively during the week around 2700, sideways and accumulated further. Waiting for information about interest rate cuts in December 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2701 - $2703 SL $2706 scalping
TP1: $2695
TP2: $2690
TP3: $2680
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2721 - $2723 SL $2728
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2700
TP3: $2690
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2656 - $2654 SL $2649
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2678
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SCALPING XAU ! Break 2676 and retest entry SELLSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Anticipation of a more cautious stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed) supports US Treasury bond yields and helps the US Dollar maintain its weekly rise to a new monthly high, which could limit gains for the lower-yielding gold. Investors are now focused on the upcoming FOMC policy decision next week, seeking clarity on the US interest rate outlook. This decision is expected to influence USD demand and provide clearer direction for XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Continue correcting below the 2670 zone, break out and wait for the SELL retest point at 2676
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2676 - $2678 SL $2681 scalping
TP1: $2672
TP2: $2665
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Very important cleso for the week. Multi-T.F AnalysisThis week’s close on OANDA:XAUUSD is poised to be crucial for determining the next directional move. Key levels to monitor include critical support zones and resistance thresholds that will shape market sentiment. A close above significant resistance could signal a bullish breakout, while a close below vital support might confirm bearish continuation. Traders should also observe intraday trends and confirm with higher time frames for alignment. Stay alert for any economic or geopolitical news impacting gold’s price.