Tariff highlights, gold price up or down ?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) find support from dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, pausing the previous day’s pullback from a fresh record high. Investors continue to seek shelter in safe-haven assets amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs and their potential repercussions on the global economy.
Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions provide further support for bullion. Mounting concerns over a potential US recession, coupled with growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, fuel demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still in a very stable uptrend, market tariff information waiting for the next price increase fomo
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3173 - 3175 SL 3180
TP: 3165 - 3150 - 3140
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3058 - $3060 SL $3053
TP1: $3070
TP2: $3080
TP3: $3090
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3106 - $3108 SL $3103 scalping
TP1: $3113
TP2: $3118
TP3: $3125
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Xauusdsignal
GOLD: May fall below 3100So far, gold has continued to fluctuate in the 3110-3136 range. Although the candle chart has many long lower shadows, the high point is moving down. If this trend is not broken, the probability of falling below 3100 today is very high, so when trading, everyone must be cautious. Personally, I suggest selling as the main method.
Gold Under Pressure In Head And Shoulders PatternGold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the form of a head and shoulders. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there is news about important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to take gold out of a new direction.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3130, sl: 3140, tp: 3115
The above is purely a personal opinion sharing. Investment involves risks and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
3100 Danger? Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier!
Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend.
In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
4/2 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday's upward movement, gold experienced a deeper pullback, testing the 3100 area before rebounding to around 3120. However, based on technical indicators, the bullish outlook remains uncertain.
The key resistance to watch is around 3125—if the price fails to break through, we shouldn't expect higher levels today. In that case, the main trading direction will be short positions, with a possible drop to 3086 before tomorrow’s data release.
However, if 3125 resistance is broken and sustained, bulls may attempt another rally towards 3138-3150. On the bearish side, support in the 3103-3096 region is crucial.
Trading Recommendations:
📌 Main Trades:
Buy in the 3098-3086 range
Sell in the 3138-3148 range
📌 Short-Term Scalping:
Sell in the 3124-3131 range
Buy in the 3109-3103 range
Continue to short gold, there is still huge downside potentialGold fell below the short-term key support of 3120 and extended to around 3100. The short-term raid caught most long traders off guard. Today, I evaluated from both market factors and risk factors, and made a plan to short gold in the 3135-3145 zone, with the goal of a pullback to 3100. The potential profit space is $50. I believe that as long as you pay attention to and follow my trading strategy, you will definitely make a lot of money today!
At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3100, but I do not recommend going long on gold in this position area; because a sharp drop in gold can easily hit the confidence of long traders, stimulate profit-taking and panic selling, so I think the decline is not over.
Even from a technical perspective, although gold has a certain degree of technical repair after a rapid decline, it is obvious that the 4-hour level has not started to make up for the decline, indicating that there is still a lot of room for correction below. In this round of decline, I think gold is likely to continue to fall to the area around 3085, or even the 3075-3065 zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can still consider shorting gold in batches after it rebounds to the 3115-3125 zone, with the target pointing to the 3095-3085 zone.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
4/1 Gold Analysis & Trading SignalsThe combination of fundamental influences and technical patterns led to a sharp surge in gold prices after the market opened yesterday. The upward momentum only slowed during the New York session, but prices remained above 3100. However, after this rally, the technical setup is not particularly favorable for bulls. That said, if fundamental factors continue to support the market, any technical pullback could provide another buying opportunity for bulls.
Key Considerations:
🔸 Besides technical factors, we need to monitor geopolitical tensions—if the situation eases, demand for gold as a safe haven could decrease.
🔸 If tensions escalate further, gold is likely to rise, making it unwise to blindly short the top. Instead, we should adjust our trading strategy based on market developments while using technical patterns for entry and exit points.
🔸 If a pullback occurs, support is seen around 3109.
🔸 If the price continues upward, given current market conditions, a single rally is unlikely to exceed $30, so the first resistance zone is estimated at 3136-3145.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📈 Buy in the 3111-3101 range
📉 Sell in the 3135-3145 range
Stay flexible, follow the market closely, and adjust strategies accordingly. Let me know if you need further insights!
XAUUSD:Adhere to the strategy of selling at high levelsI have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting gold. Today, after the gold price spiked upwards, it showed a pattern of being under pressure. The price reached a peak of 3149 and then pulled back. After fluctuating during the U.S. trading session, it continued to decline. Currently, it has broken below the intraday demarcation level of 3120, which in the short term indicates that the bullish trend has temporarily come to an end, and a retracement and adjustment trend has started.
This is also the risk that has been repeatedly highlighted. One should not be blindly carried away by the bullish sentiment and should always maintain a sense of reverence for the market. In the early morning, when the price tested the resistance level around 3135, short positions could be initiated. Now, the price has plummeted rapidly to the resistance level of 3100. It is estimated that most long positions have been stopped out, but we have still achieved the take-profit.
In the subsequent trading, focus on the resistance level around 3130. If this level is not breached, one can continue to chase short positions.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3130
TP:3110-3100
GOLD-Sell in the 3128-3138 rangeThe buy orders placed at 3121-3124 yesterday successfully reached the take-profit zone of 3132-3138 today, after which the price also entered the short-selling zone of 3135-3145, leading to another profitable trade.
As of now, the 3124 support remains intact, but bullish momentum has significantly weakened. Without further fundamental catalysts, a technical-based approach suggests prioritizing short positions, as the recent surge of over $130 makes a technical correction increasingly imminent.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3128-3138 range
📈 Buy in the 3103-3093 range
Gold’s Unsustainable Rally: A Strong Correction Ahead?
In my analysis yesterday, I explained that XAU/USD is significantly deviated from the mean, with its 20-period moving average nearly 1,500 pips below the current price. This level of divergence is unsustainable.
As always, trading against the trend is risky—especially when there’s no clear guide, such as a resistance level, to structure the trade.
Although my sell trade from yesterday hit its stop loss this morning, my outlook remains the same: a strong correction is likely.
Looking at a smaller time frame, we can see that Gold has risen sharply since last week, gaining 1,000 pips. The 3,125–3,130 zone is acting as a key short-term confluence support.
At the time of writing, the price is hovering just above this level with significant volatility. Typically, strong volatility signals potential reversals, and considering all factors, a downward move is highly probable.
In conclusion, I maintain my expectation of a strong downside reversal. A break below the confluence support would confirm this move, and I anticipate at least a 500+ pip drop in the coming days.
With that in mind, I will be looking to re-enter short.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit?
After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148.
Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs.
Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small.
So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
As always, we express our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Gold- Way, way too deviated from the MEAN!!!As I’ve mentioned many times in my analyses, my trading approach focuses on identifying the next big move (500 to 1,000 pips) rather than chasing small gains of 30-50 pips, which often feels more like staying busy than truly making money.
In this post, I’ll explain why I believe the next major move in Gold is downward rather than upward.
I’ll take a slightly different approach than usual, focusing on the bigger picture and using a simple 20-period moving average (MA) to smooth price action.
Looking at the posted chart, since the beginning of the recent bull market—highlighted in the chart at the 1,600 zone back in November 2022—Gold has been in a strong uptrend. A key observation is that the 20-period moving average has been forming higher lows.
After the second higher low in October 2023, the trend became even more aggressive, with only two notable higher lows since (looking on MA)—one in July 2024 and another in January 2025.
However, even during these sharp bullish legs, the market has consistently reversed to the mean—with the mean being the 20-period moving average.
At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3,110, which is significantly deviated from the mean, currently around 2,990.
Conclusion:
Based on this pattern, we could expect either a deep retracement or at least a period of consolidation to allow the moving average time to catch up with the price.
Of course, shorting into such a strong bull run carries high risk, especially without a clear stop-loss level. However, even if Gold spikes to 3,150 or even 3,170, I strongly believe that the price will eventually drop and touch the 20-period moving average.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Good news for bears, gold will fall back to 3095-3085Driven by Trump’s tariff policies and geopolitical risks, gold has sustained a strong upward trajectory. However, after reaching around 3128, its momentum has visibly slowed, with multiple signs of pullbacks emerging within the short-term structure.
From the candlestick chart, it’s evident that gold has faced repeated rejection signals above 3125, characterized by long upper shadows. The 3125 level has now formed a notable resistance zone and appears to be acting as a short-term consolidation high. This price action increases the likelihood of a potential top formation.
Moreover, gold’s recent strength is largely attributed to growing concerns of a global trade war sparked by Trump’s tariff policies, prompting investors to rotate out of risk assets like equities and into safe-haven assets such as gold. However, if Trump softens his stance on the tariffs or adopts a more diplomatic approach to maintain confidence in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite may recover. This would likely drive funds back into equities and other risk assets, leading to an outflow from gold.
For gold trading, I prefer to avoid aggressively chasing long positions at this stage, as downside risks persist. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3125-3135 resistance zone, the bullish momentum may weaken, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. If gold break below the 3100 level during a pullback, it could accelerate further declines, with potential targets in the 3095-3085 range.
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