Gold Price Analysis October 31Fundamental Analysis
The US Dollar (USD) attracted some buying on the dip and now appears to have halted its corrective slide from three-month highs amid bets on a slower pace of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), supported by strong economic data. This, coupled with concerns over the growing US fiscal deficit, continued to push US Treasury yields higher and limited the upside in the non-yielding yellow metal as it remained mildly overbought on the daily chart.
Traders also appeared reluctant to place fresh bullish bets on Gold, opting to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. In addition, the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday will be looked at for clues on the Fed's interest rate outlook, which will boost demand for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis
After a strong reaction around 2771, the session port zone was formed and is the immediate support level today for gold prices to react. 2756-2758 is noted in the area after which is a notable break point. In the resistance direction, SELL orders are not very favored. Ahead is the ATH level 2789, which is not too trustworthy, the second level around the port in 2799-2801. With the next resistance point, pay attention to the psychological level 2810. Wish everyone a successful trading with my analysis.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
XAU ! 10/30 ! Bulls dominate - continue to make ATHXAU / USD trend forecast October 30, 2024
Gold opened the week slightly lower, down 0.15%, pressured by rising US Treasury yields as markets gear up for significant US economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. Traders are also watching the November 5 US election closely, with FiveThirtyEight showing Trump's odds at 52%, versus 48% for Vice President Kamala Harris, though she maintains a narrow lead in most national polls.
Strong uptrend - helping gold reach highest ATH 2782. Uptrend maintained going forward - Higher ATH: 2787 - 2800
/// SELL XAU : zone 2800-2803
SL: 2808
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2773)
Safe and profitable trading
Strategic Short Positioning at ResistanceAnalysis: Today’s U.S. ADP employment data revealed a significant downside surprise, typically bearish for gold. However, gold prices have held steady, underscoring the strong fundamental support from factors such as geopolitical tensions and the lack of selling pressure. The market's reluctance to react sharply suggests the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. Despite this, gold sits at elevated levels, and while today’s data may not have triggered an immediate reaction, there’s an expectation of selling pressure as the U.S. trading session opens. Thus, our strategy focuses on initiating short positions to capitalize on potential pullbacks.
Trade Strategy:
Entry: Short gold between 2778-2780
Take-Profit Target: 2770
Mindset: Remain confident in the short strategy, stay composed, and await the gradual absorption of bearish data. Execute with discipline to optimize returns.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold soared amid U.S. election instability and geopolitical riskSpot gold prices surpassed $2,770 on Wednesday as market participants sought safety ahead of significant data releases and the upcoming U.S. elections. The precious metal gained momentum before Wall Street opened, accelerating after the release of U.S. data.
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 108.7 in October, up from 99.2 in September. The present situation index increased to 138.0, while the expectations index surged to 89.1, well above the 80 threshold that typically signals an impending recession.
Personal opinion:
XAU/USD has pulled back slightly from a new high but is still holding most of its gains for the day, trading around $2,766. The technical indicators on the daily chart still suggest that a further bullish trend could continue, indicating the possibility of another price increase in the near future.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2746 - 2744
SL: 2739
Buy Zone: 2760 - 2758
SL: 2753
Sell Zone: 2794 - 2796
SL: 2801
Gold expands its range, waiting for key U.S. economic data.USD buyers took profits after a three-month high, repositioning before key U.S. economic data. The JOLTS survey and Consumer Confidence data will be watched for insights on economic resilience and potential Fed rate cuts. Traders are cautious ahead of the PCE inflation index and Non-Farm Payroll report, as well as Q3 earnings from major companies like Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon, which are weighing on the USD.
Personal opinion:
If gold holds steady at $2,750, it could be a positive signal for optimistic traders. If it continues to rise, gold might surpass the all-time high around $2,759 and test the resistance level of the upward trend line that has been in place for nearly four months, around $2,770-2,775. If this momentum continues, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2727 - 2725
SL: 2720
Sell Scalp: 2758 - 2760
SL: 2765
Sell Zone: 2769 - 2771
SL: 2776
XAU ! 10/29 ! Continue the uptrend, wait new ATHXAU / USD trend forecast October 29, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,757-2,758 range in the Asian session on Tuesday, approaching last week’s record high. Continued safe-haven demand due to Middle East tensions and US election uncertainties supports the metal, while falling US Treasury yields keep the USD under pressure, adding to gold's appeal.
The uptrend is still going on - optimistic sentiment in the market makes gold still a priority investment before the US presidential election
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold: It's Time To FallAfter the Asian session opened, gold initially dropped but found support around 2739, consolidating for an hour before a direct rise. The MA5 and MA10 support levels remained strong, but with these now broken, it's likely time to aim for MA60.
I’ve taken significant sell positions above 2750 and plan to hold until the 2747-2742 range.
The Danger of Complacency in Gold’s Bullish TrendThe current sentiment around Gold is highly bullish, with traders showing a strong bias towards continued upward momentum.
This optimism, however, may be breeding a sense of complacency that often precedes a major market shift.
Technically, indeed, the recent break above local resistance around the $2,742-$2,745 zone gives bulls a target near $2,780, reflecting the recent momentum.
Yet from a swing trading perspective, entering long at this level may carry more risk than reward.
The market's potential for a significant downside reversal could present far more valuable entry points.
Waiting for clear signs of a trend change, rather than chasing highs, aligns better with my risk-conscious approach, positioning to capture more meaningful moves on the downside.
#XAUUSD: On the way to $2800! 600+ Pips Swing Buy**XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis**
Hello Traders,
Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character.
The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signaling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them.
Best of luck and trade safely.
How Much Gold Should You Hold in Your Portfolio?
Gold, often referred to as a safe-haven asset, has historically been a reliable hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. As the global economic landscape becomes increasingly volatile, many investors are turning to gold to diversify their portfolios and protect their wealth.
The Case for Gold
• Inflation Hedge: Gold has traditionally been a reliable hedge against inflation. As the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes, the value of gold tends to rise.
• Diversification: Gold has a low correlation with other asset classes like stocks and bonds. This means that adding gold to your portfolio can help reduce overall risk.
• Safe-Haven Asset: In times of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset.
•
How Much Gold Should You Own?
The optimal allocation to gold in a portfolio depends on various factors, including your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and overall financial goals. However, in the current economic climate, many experts recommend allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold.
A 15-20% Allocation: A Prudent Choice
Given the current economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and inflationary pressures, many financial advisors suggest allocating 15-20% of your portfolio to gold. This allocation can provide a solid hedge against potential downside risks and help preserve your wealth over the long term.
Factors to Consider:
• Risk Tolerance: If you have a higher risk tolerance, you may consider a higher allocation to gold. However, it's important to balance risk and reward.
• Investment Horizon: A longer investment horizon allows for a more aggressive allocation to riskier assets like stocks. However, gold can still be a valuable component of a long-term portfolio.
• Market Conditions: Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and central bank policies can significantly impact the price of gold. Stay informed about these factors to adjust your allocation as needed.
• Diversification: Ensure that your gold investment is part of a diversified portfolio. This means spreading your investments across various asset classes to reduce risk.
•
How to Invest in Gold
There are several ways to invest in gold:
• Physical Gold: Buying physical gold in the form of coins or bars is a traditional method. However, it requires secure storage.
• Gold ETFs: Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a convenient way to invest in gold without the hassle of physical storage.
• Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in gold mining companies can offer exposure to the gold market, but it comes with additional risks associated with the mining industry.
•
Conclusion
In conclusion, while gold may not offer the same potential for high returns as other asset classes, it can be a valuable tool for risk management and wealth preservation. By allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold, you can protect your wealth against a range of risks and secure your financial future.
Gold Analysis ==>>Common Gap==>>Short term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has Re-entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Today, I want to analyze Gold for you in the 15-minute time frame .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to be completing microwave 4 . Wave 5 can fill the Common Gap($2,747.215-$2,746.010) .
I expect Gold to rise at least to the upper lines of the ascending channel(small) in the coming hours.
⚠️Note: If Gold goes below the Support zone($2,738-$2,734), we should expect more dumps.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Sell, Target 2745-2736Today, I highlighted the likelihood of a gold pullback near 2754, with support in the 2745-2736 range. As expected, the price dipped to around 2746, delivering solid profits for those who followed this strategy.
Currently, DXY shows signs of an uptrend, which could intensify during the U.S. session, likely pressuring gold to drop further. Support remains focused on the 2745-2736 range, with a stronger DXY potentially pushing gold down to around 2732. For resistance, continue to reference the 2752-2758 zone.
XAUUSD Gold at a Key Extended Level: My Entry Criteria for a Lon👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has reached all-time highs and is currently exhibiting a double top formation. We’re considering a long position on the 4H timeframe if a significant pullback occurs towards equilibrium. *Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. 📊✅
filled GAP, sideway XAU monday⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Dollar extended its recent four-week rally, reaching its highest level since July 30, as expectations grew for a more cautious rate cut approach from the Federal Reserve. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that markets have almost fully priced in a standard 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed at its November policy meeting. Meanwhile, the latest poll suggests a close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump, with concerns mounting over deficit spending after the November 5 presidential election.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Sideway Gold price at the beginning of the week on Monday - in the price range 2717 - 2745
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2755 - $2757 SL $2762
TP1: $2748
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2717 - $2715 SL $2710
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2733
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold's Range-Bound Market: Patience for the Downside OpportunityYesterday, gold spent its last 7 hours hovering within the 2740-2746 range. I was constantly waiting for a breakout to the downside, holding short positions in the 2739-2746 zone, but it didn’t deliver by the close. If it weren’t for trading USOUL, which kept me engaged, I might have dozed off!
After recent volatility, this calm has felt quite unsteady. Today, I still expect a drop. Many of my regulars needed to rest, so I advised them to set their take-profit at 2739 before logging off. I’ll stay on, keeping an eye out for the market to drop.
For now, the focus is solely on 2739. Once the order closes, I’ll rest and resume trading after the European session opens. I’ve marked zones on the gold chart; if you want to trade on your own before I release a new signal, feel free to use these references. The range is tight, so any gains or losses should be modest.
If you profit, fantastic! If not, don’t worry; I’m confident I can help recover those few pips in no time.
Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor.
Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
XAUUSD: Trading In The 2720-2740 RangeI'm not sure if everyone followed the signals before last Friday's close, but if you did, today's trade should definitely be profitable.
Currently, after filling the gap from today’s lower opening, gold has once again begun to decline, forming a pattern similar to a double top. While there is some support at the current level, it is not strong. From the perspective of the ascending trend, strong support should be around 2722, while the horizontal support from the head and shoulders pattern lies in the 2718-2712 range.
By connecting the high point from last Friday's close to the high point of today's rebound, we can identify a downtrend, with resistance located near 2737. Therefore, today's subsequent trading will primarily focus on the range between 2740 - 2720. If the trend breaks, we will need to adjust our strategy accordingly.
Buy Gold Scalping ideaI am buying gold as we're hitting a support resistance (drawn following the 1h and 30min timeframes).
Price action seems to show that price is reversing, it might go back for the next 30 min candles.
I am placing a limit buy order on the second support zone.
I have used price action, bollinger bands, and support and resistance for this trade.
Strategic Gold Trading in NFP Week: Steady PositioningStrategy Overview: This week, marked by the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release, is likely to see limited market movement in the initial days (Monday and Tuesday) with price oscillations predominantly within a narrow range. Main volatility is expected between Wednesday and Friday evening. Based on last Friday’s daily chart analysis, gold prices are consolidating within the 2720-2740 range. Accordingly, today and tomorrow’s strategy involves maintaining positions within this range, employing a cautious approach.
Specific Trade Setups:
Enter long positions on gold between the 2725-2728 range
Initiate short positions on gold between the 2737-2739 range
Trading Mindset: Maintain composure, adhere strictly to the strategy, and seek optimal entries to capitalize on potential price swings during NFP week.
GBPUSD plan analysis week 44🌐Fundamental Analysis
In the absence of high-impact macroeconomic data and fundamental drivers, GBP/USD may react to changes in risk sentiment on Monday. On Wednesday, the UK government will present its Autumn Budget. The US economic calendar will also feature important data releases in the second half of the week.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the first estimate of annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the third quarter on Wednesday and release the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) figures for September on Thursday. Finally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release October labor market data on Friday.
🕯Technical Analysis
GBPUSD is trading within a bearish channel, and to break out of this channel, GBPUSD must trade above 1.3000. The areas of interest for next week are 1.31000 and 1.28200. This is the trading range for the week. Next week there is Nonfarm news pay attention to the further port area at the further support resistance area around 1.322-1.270.