Gold is trading sideways. Has it reached a high point?On the first trading day of this week, after hitting 3247 in the early Asian session, it quickly rebounded to around 3295, and then fell back slightly. It is currently maintained at around 3285.
From the hourly chart, the Fibonacci 0.618 position of this trend from 3247 to 3297 is at 3278. The price has always been above 3278, but it has only fallen below this position in a very short time. If the retracement does not break through the 0.618 position, there is a high probability that there will be a high point in the subsequent trend.
Next, we should focus on the area around 3280. If the price always closes above 3280, then today's high point of 3297 will most likely be refreshed. If the upward trend is opened again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is also the current 0.618 position. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range.
Therefore, we should be cautious when shorting gold above 3280, as there is a high probability that it will reach above 3300.
Aggressive trading can rely on entering the market and going long near 3280, and the profit range is between 3300-3310.
For short strategy trading, Quaid recommends that it is safer to short when the price rebounds near 3310.
Xauusdsignal
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart update for 30 June 2025Hello Traders,
As you can see that there are some solid in the market since morning, right now market is sustains below 3300 Psychological Level and move towards 3270-75 key support zone and then at 3350
Monthly candlestick closing also due today
only if market breaks 3305 successfully today then GOLD will move towards 3335
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Price Forecast: Bulls Defend Key Support, Eyes on TrendlineTVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from the $3,261 support zone after briefly dipping to a one-month low around $3,265 in early Asian trade. The rebound came as buyers stepped in at a major demand area, rejecting further downside and suggesting bullish intent.
Macro drivers include reduced safe-haven demand following the US-China trade agreement on rare earths and a temporary ceasefire between Israel and Iran. However, expectations of a Fed rate cut—especially after weaker US consumer spending data—could limit further losses.
Technically, OANDA:XAUUSD gold has formed a double bottom around $3,261, and price action now threatens to break above a descending trendline (TL1). A confirmed breakout above minor resistance at $3,283 may open the door toward $3,311 and potentially the upper trendline near $3,330.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,261 (defended), $3,250 (monthly low)
Resistance: $3,283 (minor), $3,311 (former support turned resistance), $3,330 (TL2 trendline)
📉 Trendlines: TL1 and TL2 still capping upside; breakout would confirm bullish shift
If bulls can maintain control above $3,283 and push through the trendline, a broader recovery could follow. However, failure to clear this zone may invite renewed selling pressure.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review:
The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing.
The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline.
Market outlook for next week:
The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310.
If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong.
From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range.
Operation strategy:
Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360.
At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time.
This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
Gold Analysis and Trading Outlook – June 27Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold encountered resistance in the 3348–3352 zone and fell back to around 3310 before rebounding toward the 3336 resistance area. Today’s session opened with renewed weakness, and so far, the overall price action has closely followed our expectations. Whether it was selling near resistance, buying after the dip, or shorting the rebound, each opportunity yielded solid profits.
Some traders have asked about my strategy’s win rate. Those who’ve followed consistently already know—the overall win rate has remained above 80%, with very few instances of error. Even in the rare case of a misjudgment, I apply specific recovery strategies to minimize risk and avoid large losses. That’s the core reason why I’m confident I can help many traders.
Technically, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, and prices are now approaching the key 3300 support zone. While the current geopolitical uncertainty adds complexity, it doesn't prevent us from executing flexible intraday trades. In fact, range-bound markets can still be highly profitable with a disciplined approach.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Dynamic support: 3318–3313
Major support: 3300–3287
Resistance levels: 3336, 3348–3352, and 3370
Today’s trades can continue to focus on these levels, using a sell-high, buy-low strategy with flexibility.
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🔒 Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
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🏁 Target Zone –
🎯 Aim for 3395.0 — or vanish before the cops show up!
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XAU/USD shows bullish momentum 🐂 backed by:
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Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends 🌍
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Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness.
📌 What happened next?
Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure.
Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup.
________________________________________
❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold?
More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us:
📉 Weekly chart? Bearish.
🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action.
________________________________________
📌 Strategy remains the same:
I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours.
Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, with the current price at 3,282.135, reflecting a decrease of 45.685 (-1.37%). The chart includes a descending trendline, support and resistance zones (highlighted in pink and teal), and key price levels ranging from 3,244.835 to 3,400.000. The analysis suggests a potential downward movement as the price approaches a support zone near 3,244.975, with indicators like the U.S. flag and lightning bolt possibly signaling significant market events or volatility.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), with the current price at 3,282.080, reflecting a decrease of 45.740 (-1.37%). The chart includes a downward trendline indicating a potential bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels marked at 3,245.627 and 3,316.901, respectively. The chart covers data from June to July 2025, with the latest update at 01:22:46.
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity.
We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later.
From the 1-hour chart
the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310.
From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend.
Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises.
Operation suggestions:
Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310.
Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,290.270, reflecting a decrease of $37.475 (-1.13%) as of 09:42. The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a potential support zone around $3,200-$3,300, with a marked resistance level near $3,380. The analysis suggests a possible reversal or consolidation phase.
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Bearish Pennant Targets UnfoldingGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline as I expected in my previous idea after the lower lines of the Ending Diagonal broke .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone ($3,349-$3,325) . And Gold seems to be crossing the 50_SMA(Daily) .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , the Bearish Pennant Pattern seems to indicate a continuation of the downtrend in Gold .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC) , and we can expect the next 5 downwaves .
I expect Gold to continue to decline at least to the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Monthly Pivot Point .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,360
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS
Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation.
Price Action & Market Structure
Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level.
We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior.
Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively.
Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance $3,315–$3,320
Demand $3,275–$3,282
Support $3,250
Targets $3,340 / $3,355
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts
4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated
Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch
Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction
Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet
ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS
The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups:
Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB
Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282
This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability.
Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play
Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315
Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle)
Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation.
Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now)
If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure:
Look to short on retests into $3,275
Target next demand around $3,235
Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant.
Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart
The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding.
In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart.
Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3350
TP 3320-3315-3300
BUY 3305-3295
TP 3310-3320-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Bulls and bears are anxious? Rebound continues to empty📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is in a sideways consolidation near 3320 in the short term. The market has no clear direction for the time being, and the long and short positions are in a tug-of-war. The hourly line rebounded to 3328 and then fell back again, suggesting that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: if it rebounds to the 3320-3330 resistance area, you can consider entering short positions again. If the market continues to decline, focus on the 3300-3290 support range. If it stabilizes, long orders can be arranged. The overall idea is to maintain a volatile market. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or falling below 3290, high-altitude and low-multiple is still the main strategy.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3310-3300-3290
BUY 3310-3300
TP 3320-3330-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: 3336–3348
Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282
Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option.
Key scenario to monitor:
If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.