High-level shock and callback strategyGeopolitical Tensions Drive Short-Term Gold Rally – Strategic Approach for the Next Move
In recent sessions, geopolitical tensions, particularly Israel's military actions in Syria, have spurred risk-off sentiment, driving gold prices higher in early trading. However, despite the short-term surge fueled by geopolitical risks, gold prices have failed to break above last week's key resistance level at 2655. Given that gold is currently trading at historical highs, a correction or consolidation at these levels seems likely.
We believe this rally is primarily driven by short-term geopolitical risk factors, rather than fundamental support. Once the market has priced in these risks, gold prices are likely to undergo a pullback, creating more favorable conditions for a long position at lower levels.
Today's Strategy Recommendations:
Short Strategy at Key Resistance: If gold rises above 2655, consider implementing a short position. If the price breaks above 2660, additional short positions can be added, anticipating downward pressure in the near term.
Wait for Pullback to Enter Long: It is recommended to wait for a price pullback to a suitable support level before considering a long position. Exact entry points will depend on market reactions and technical signals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. All trades should be executed with strict risk management in place, avoiding over-leveraging and ensuring capital protection.
Xauusdsignal
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery.
Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning.
The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak
This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook.
Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
Xagusd
I have two scenarios for silver. As you can see on the chart, the price is located in a critical zone. It has attempted to break through this level multiple times but has not succeeded yet. If the price closes strongly above this zone on the high timeframe, I will look for candle formations on the lower timeframe as a buying opportunity, targeting $33.
The second scenario is if the price fails to close above the zone and instead just sweeps the liquidity with a shadow. In this case, the next step could be a decline to $29.
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If you have any specific areas you'd like to improve or further questions, feel free to ask!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation & Your Trading Plan
Gold is trading in sideways range for more than 2 trading weeks already.
The recent high impact fundamental releases, did not manage to violate
its weakness.
Next week, pay attention to the reaction of the price to the support
and resistance of the underlined range.
If the price breaks and closes below 2605, it will open a potential
for a further bearish continuation to 2565.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the range and a daily candle close above
2666 will confirm the strength of the buyers. The up movement will be expected
at least to 2715.
The absence of strong fundamental triggers will continue the consolidation.
Alternatively, you can trade the market within the range, buying from its support
and selling from its resistance.
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XAU ! Scalping sideway zone below 2650SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Expectations for rate cuts remained largely unchanged after the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that Initial Jobless Claims increased to 224K for the week ending November 29, up from the previous week's 215K. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield remains near its lowest point since October 22, keeping the US Dollar subdued at multi-week lows and providing added support for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Scalping the sideway price range of the European Friday session (2633 - 2650). The main trend is still down, SELL SIGNAL
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2650 - $2652 SL $2655 scalping
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
#XAUUSD 15MINXAUUSD Analysis (Lower Timeframes)
Buying opportunities are anticipated from the major key levels at 2625 and 2620.
Target Levels:
2635.00
2645.00
2655.00
Important Note:
Avoid placing pending orders at this stage. Wait for strong bullish confirmations before entering a trade.
Wishing you successful trades!
Will NFP give Gold a boost?In my comment yesterday, I mentioned that the price was trading within a tight range, making it better to stay on the sidelines until there is more clarity.
Although the price briefly broke below both the 2635 and 2620 support levels, it quickly reversed and moved back above them. This suggests that bulls remain strong above the 2600 level, indicating that a higher low might be forming.
With this in mind, I anticipate the price to continue moving upward today and in the coming days, with a clear breakout above 2650. If that happens, Gold could gain momentum and potentially reach the next significant resistance level around 2680.
For now, I’m looking to buy on dips, but I will reconsider this approach if Gold closes the week below yesterday’s low.
XAUUSD GOLD Scalp / Day Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we analyze the 4-hour chart, highlighting a clear break of structure with evident lower lows and lower highs. While my bias leans toward a short opportunity, we explore both scenarios: a potential long opportunity if the price breaks upward, and a possible short opportunity if it breaks downward. As always, this is not financial advice. 📈
XAUUSD Trade Log - Monthly Swing TradeXAUUSD Swing Long Trade
This is a high-confidence swing trade setup with multiple confluences across monthly and daily timeframes.
Trade Details :
- Risk: 5% of capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4
- Entry: Anywhere within the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has a 90-point range. You may DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into your position for better flexibility, though this is discretionary.
- Confluence: Signals align from the monthly down to the daily charts, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Macro Factors Supporting Gold Longs :
- Safe-Haven Demand: Global geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, have driven investors toward gold as a risk-averse asset.
- Rising Recession Risks: With several central banks maintaining high interest rates for prolonged periods, economic slowdown fears are rising, further boosting gold demand.
- Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide, especially in emerging markets, continue to accumulate gold reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
- Inflation Hedging: Persistent inflation concerns make gold an attractive hedge, particularly as real yields show signs of plateauing.
- Weakened Dollar Outlook: A potential pivot in US Federal Reserve policy could weaken the dollar, which would likely support gold prices in the medium to long term.
This swing trade offers a strong opportunity to capitalize on the current macroeconomic and technical landscape favoring gold's upward momentum. Stay aware of any unexpected fundamental developments that could influence the market.
SIDEWAY - big changes are waiting ahead ! XAU ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower during Thursday's Asian session but remains within its recent trading range as mixed signals keep traders cautious. Hawkish comments from FOMC members, including Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, have reinforced expectations that the Fed will adopt a cautious approach to rate cuts. This has led to a modest rebound in US Treasury bond yields from their lowest levels in over a month, putting pressure on the non-yielding gold price.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Unemployment news today - gold price will continue sideways waiting for NF data tomorrow, price range 2605; 2665 will be noticed in the sideway price zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2665 - $2667 SL $2672
TP1: $2655
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2622 - $2624 SL $2617
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Market Analysis 12/06Gold began to rebound after falling to around 2623. Since the 2635 support has been broken, it has now turned into resistance. Therefore, during the rebound, the first resistance to watch is 2635, followed by 2643. This was the highest point reached during the rebound after the price fell to 2635 today, making it an important resistance level. The next key resistance zone is the 2652-2657 area, where the price has recently encountered resistance.
Since tomorrow’s NFP data could have a significant market impact, if the data is bullish, it’s quite possible that gold will rise back above 2650. However, if the data is bearish, the optimal level to consider for support would be around 2608.
The prolonged period of consolidation has trapped many positions during today’s downturn, creating significant selling pressure. Therefore, it’s important to be cautious during trading and avoid blindly chasing prices higher.
This is an ideal market outlook based on current conditions, but always remember that the market is constantly changing. While you can use this analysis as a reference, it’s important to remain flexible during your trades. Don’t stick to rigid strategies—adjust as the market evolves. If you have any doubts or need further guidance, feel free to reach out to me directly. I’m here to help with personalized advice!
Gold Market Analysis 12/05Yesterday, gold faced resistance near 2657 and pulled back. Now, 2652 is acting as resistance again. If it doesn’t break through, gold may test the support around 2635 again. If that level breaks, the next support zone is between 2628-2623. However, if it breaks above 2657 and holds, gold could rise towards the 2666 resistance level.
I recommend trading around these key levels today. With Initial Jobless Claims data coming out, if the market has already chosen a direction before the release, you can trade in the opposite direction based on the trend. This may lead to unexpected profits
Gold Analysis ==>>Expanding Triangle Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is entering the Resistance zone($2,667-$2,653) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be moving in the Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 3 days .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a Zigzag Correction(ABC) . ( Wave B(WXY) was complicated ).
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $2,642 , and if the Support lines(1,2) break, the Heavy Support zone($2,642-$2,620) can also break.
⚠️Note: You can enter a Short position by considering capital management after finding a trigger near the resistance lines or after breaking the Support zone($2,652-$2,648).⚠️
⚠️Note: However, the next few hours(6:45 pm UTC) of Fed Chair Powell's Speech will greatly impact the Gold trend.⚠️
⚠️Note: If the Resistance lines(upper line of triangle) and the Resistance zone($2,667-$2,653) are broken, we should wait for the Gold pump.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DeGRAM | GOLD accumulation zoneGOLD is in the accumulation zone, in an ascending channel below the trend lines.
The chart has reached the lower boundary of the channel and respects the limits of the current area.
The price is actively rising on a decline below the 38.2% retracement level.
We expect XAUUSD to grow.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold "trembling" waiting for US employment dataGold (XAU/USD) continued to fluctuate in a narrow range on Thursday morning, supported by geopolitical risks such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, trade war concerns and political instability in France and South Korea. A weak US dollar also contributed to keeping gold prices high.
However, expectations of the Fed maintaining a tight monetary policy, along with a slight increase in US bond yields, are limiting gold's upside. Comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell kept investors cautious, waiting for the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Personal opinion:
This week’s break below the multi-day ascending channel signals bearish momentum, but neutral oscillators on the daily/4-hour charts suggest waiting for a break below the $2,630 support before positioning for further losses. A subsequent decline could drag prices toward $2,622-$2,621 and potentially to $2,600.
On the upside, $2,655 remains the immediate hurdle, followed by $2,666. A sustained move above $2,678 could pave the way toward the $2,700 mark, but strong resistance around $2,721-$2,722 might cap gains. A decisive break beyond this level could shift the trend in favor of buyers and trigger meaningful upside momentum.
Pay attention to price range:
BUY ZONE: 2640 - 2638
SL: 2633
BUY ZONE: 2634 - 2632
SL: 2627
SELL ZONE: 2655 - 2657
SL: 2662
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal:
Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless.
Key Details:
- Risk: 1%
- RRR: 1:3
- Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone
- TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance
- Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
Gold stuck in range. Levels to watch for directionThis week has been relatively quiet for gold traders, with the price confined to a narrow range between 2635 and 2655. In fact, aside from a few brief spikes, the price remains largely unchanged from Friday's close.
Looking ahead, this tight range is likely to break in one direction or the other. As mentioned, the key levels to watch are 2655 and 2635; a breakout above or below these levels could provide clearer indications of the next move.
For now, I am staying out of the market, awaiting further clarification, but I maintain a bullish bias.
ADP-NF Is there a chance for gold price to drop to 2605?⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a cautious approach to rate cuts, driven by concerns that President-elect Donald Trump's policies could fuel inflation, are supporting a slight rise in US Treasury yields. This provides some strength to the US Dollar (USD) and may pose a challenge for Gold prices. However, XAU/USD remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty around Trump's trade tariffs, and fears of a potential second wave of global trade wars.
Traders are now awaiting the US ADP private-sector employment report and the ISM Services PMI for fresh direction in the market.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price narrows sideway zone 2640-2655, about to break the accumulation zone with ADP NF data this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2666 SL $2669 scalping
TP1: $2658
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2635
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold fluctuates within a range, how to operate?On the disk, the price bottomed out and rebounded to 2652 on Monday, and broke the high to 2655 on Tuesday. Although new highs continue to be reached, the actual increase is not large. On the daily line, yesterday closed with a cross Yang, and closed at 2643 at the end of the day. The downward momentum of the cycle indicator has slowed down with the stabilization of the support of 2633, and there is room for rebound on the daily line. In terms of 4 hours, the gold price was under pressure from the high of 2655 overnight, and the lowest reached 2635. The real price did not break the short-term moving average support, and the other moving averages of each cycle maintained a short position arrangement. The short-term indicators also started to explore downward, so there is still a risk of a decline in the 4-hour aspect. In short, while the new high is refreshed, it will also be the beginning of the layout of short orders.
In terms of intraday operation, it is recommended to focus on high altitude and supplement by low and long positions. For the lower support, pay attention to the 2633 area, which is the short-term 10-day moving average of the daily line. You can try to participate in long orders. If it is broken by the bears, pay attention to the 4-hour Bollinger Band lower track 2620. As for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 2666 area and participate in short orders, and focus on the 2675-2680 area, and start to arrange short orders.
Gold “sideways” ahead of important Fed speechGold prices (XAU/USD) maintained a positive trend for the second consecutive day on Wednesday but remained confined within a familiar range. Investors appeared cautious, awaiting clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut trajectory before making decisions.
The focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today and the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. These events will significantly impact monetary policy decisions and the short-term outlook for gold.
Personal opinion:
Recently, prices have been trading in a narrow range, signaling a consolidation phase after last week’s downtrend. The recent break below the four-day ascending channel supports the bears, but any drop below $2,622-2,621 could find solid support near $2,600.
On the upside, the $2,655 and $2,666 levels are immediate resistance. A break above $2,678 could push prices toward the $2,700 mark. However, a sustained move beyond the strong resistance zone at $2,721-2,722 is needed to open the door for significant gains.
Pay attention to price range:
SELL ZONE: 2655 - 2657
SL: 2672
BUY ZONE: 2637 - 2635
SL: 2630
BUY ZONE: 2627 - 2625
SL: 2620
Scalping XAU ! signal BUY zone SIDEWAY SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and expectations of another Fed rate cut this month continue to support safe-haven demand for Gold. At the same time, market belief that Trump's policies could drive inflation higher and prompt the Fed to maintain elevated interest rates for longer is boosting US Treasury yields. This provides some support to the US Dollar (USD), limiting Gold’s upward momentum.
Given these mixed signals, caution is advised before making new bullish bets. Traders now turn their focus to the US JOLTS Job Openings data for potential short-term trading opportunities around XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Small frame gold price continues sideways, there are still SACLPING signals in the 2622 price range
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2623 - $2621 SL $2618 scalping
TP1: $2628
TP2: $2633
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account