Gold Outlook Unchanged: Waiting for a Break Below SupportFriday's NFP turned out to be a non-event, with gold prices remaining stuck in their familiar range between 2,895 and 2,930.
Following the announcement, prices initially spiked to resistance but quickly retreated to the middle of the range by the weekly close.
Looking ahead, my outlook remains unchanged—I expect a break below the 2,895 support level. If this happens, we could see accelerated downside momentum, potentially testing recent lows in the 2,830–2,840 zone.
My strategy also remains the same: selling rallies against the range’s resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdsignal
Gold Intraday Expectations Long/BuyGold trading at 2904.xx when we were publishing the analysis.
Gold has challenged PDL 2894 moved below to 2892.xx and bounced sharply to 2905 by now. As per our readings we have 2 important levels today to watch, one is 2992 that is under the consideration that it may break down if gold remains below 2916 and fall towards 2877/2871 can open that can be considered a good buying range/level. On the upside we expect gold can challenge PDH at 2929.
Our analysis suggests fall around 2877/2871 is possible that can be bearish target and from where bounce to 2916/2929 is possible that our Main Goal/Target for now.
Trade as per your plan and if you like our idea do share your feedback.
H1 bearish pattern appears , XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US labor market showed signs of slowing last month, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will proceed with multiple rate cuts this year. This sentiment pressured the US Dollar while boosting the price of USD-denominated commodities.
Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday revealed that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 151,000 in February, following January’s upwardly revised 125,000 (previously 143,000), falling short of the 160,000 market forecast.
Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate edged up to 4.1% from 4.0% in January, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Hourly Earnings, ticked higher to 4.0% from 3.9%, though it was revised down from an initial 4.1%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is sideways around 2910 at the beginning of the week, H1 frame shows head and shoulders pattern, downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2928 - $2930 SL $2935
TP1: $2920
TP2: $2910
TP3: $2900
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2886
TP1: $2900
TP2: $2910
TP3: $2920
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Latest XAUUSD news analysis, trading signal planSpot gold traded around 2910 on Monday. Gold prices rose last week, helped by safe-haven inflows and the US employment report showing lower-than-expected job growth in February, suggesting that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates this year.
News Interpretation: The Fed Chairman said at the New York Economic Forum that the Trump administration's tariff plan may push up inflation, but its impact remains to be seen. He stressed that the Fed does not need to rush to cut interest rates before it has more information, but should remain on the sidelines. February Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released on Wednesday. Since the Fed will be in a silent period before its policy meeting on March 18-19, the inflation report may affect the market's pricing of the Fed's interest rate outlook and drive gold's trend.
Gold Trend Analysis:
Gold prices have been tested below $2930 many times, but have failed to achieve an effective breakthrough. This key pressure level has successfully blocked the upward pace of gold prices in multiple rounds of market fluctuations in the past, and its effectiveness has been fully verified. In the subsequent operation plan, investors can focus on the vicinity of $2,930, which is in a sensitive range below the pressure level. Market sentiment reacts strongly to price fluctuations. Once a short-selling signal appears, it is an ideal time to enter the market. At the same time, in order to effectively avoid the possible risk of price rebound, the defensive position is reasonably set at $2,935. This price is higher than the key pressure level, which can minimize the triggering of stop losses due to short-term market fluctuations and ensure the stability of the trading strategy. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD TVC:USOIL PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
XAUUSD,GOLD 4H GOLD has broke and retested an upward channel, which means we are looking for selling oppotunity
1.The CHoCH has been created
2. A lower low has been created
On 4h timeframe I see a potential HEAD & SHOULDERS.
NOTE : We're not entring the trade until the downward break of the HEAD & SHOULDERS.
Gold trading opportunities next week? Baker tells youAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: This week, I have been emphasizing that gold is a volatile market. Facts have proved that my view is also very correct. Go short under the pressure of 2928 and go long on dips at 2894. The gold price has fluctuated in this range many times. I also go long at high and low in this range and make profits continuously. As long as you trade according to the range signal, you can easily make a profit. Before the market moves out, the fluctuation will continue, and the continuous profit will also continue. The non-agricultural and unemployment benefits on Friday are both bullish for gold, but gold still rose and fell. It is a volatile opportunity. Gold has two consecutive wins in shorting at 2926 after the non-agricultural in the US market on Friday.
From a technical perspective, gold closed positive this week. If it continues to close positive next week, it is expected to reach a new high in the later period. A single negative without continuous negative can only be regarded as a correction rather than a reversal. If it closes negative, the weekly line will switch between positive and negative. The weekly resistance is near the high point of this week at 2930. If it breaks above, it is likely to go to the previous high near 2956 or even a new high. If 2930 cannot break, the first look below is around 2882. Once it breaks down effectively, it will go to around 2870-2860. If the market wants to fall back significantly, it must break below 2858 effectively, otherwise it will fluctuate and clean up at a high level.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 2928-2930 is the first line, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 2888-2878 is the first line. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and do not resist the order. The specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
What news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil?How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?
On Friday (March 7), spot gold prices soared due to the weak non-agricultural report, but after the hawkish remarks of Fed Powell, gold prices staged a "high diving". Subsequently, Fed Powell reiterated that there is no rush to cut interest rates. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased, and progress in inflation and continued employment has been uneven. It remains to be seen. We can wait for the impact of Trump's policies to become clearer. Powell added that the easing of geopolitical tensions also limited the rise in gold prices, and some progress has been made in a possible ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia. In the Middle East, US President Trump continued to pressure Hamas to release hostages. At the same time, according to the World Gold Council, the People's Bank of China continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China increased its holdings of gold by 10 tons in the first two months of 2025. However, the largest buyer was the Polish Central Bank, which added 29 tons of gold reserves, the largest purchase since it bought 95 tons of gold in June 2019. The gold market is currently in a consolidation phase, and risk aversion provides continued support.
OANDA:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:USOIL FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Be careful when trading XAUUSD after the data is releasedOn Friday (March 7), the February non-farm payrolls data was released, with 151,000 new jobs, lower than the market expectation of 160,000, and the unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.1%. The annual rate of hourly wages increased by 4.0%, lower than the expected 4.1%. After the data was released, the market fluctuated violently. The US dollar index (DXY) first fell 13 points to 103.61, then rebounded 27 points to 103.88, and then plunged about 40 points, reaching a low of 103.4554, with a fluctuation range of more than 80 points. Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose by $9 to 2930 in 1 minute, and then gave up the gains, with an amplitude of about $50, and now reported at $2912.88/ounce. This slightly weak employment report ignited recession concerns. While the US dollar was under pressure, the Fed's policy expectations also faced new tests. New changes are worth paying attention to. Well-known institutions pointed out that "Trump has been engaged in civil servant layoffs and trade barriers since he took office, which is not good for the job market.
Technical analysis viewpoint: The dollar broke down and gold fluctuated under pressure
Weak signals dominate, and policy games intensify. From a technical perspective, if the US dollar index cannot return to 103.70, the 103 mark below is in danger, and it may even test 101.90. The upper resistance is 104 and the 200-day moving average (105.03), and a short-term rebound requires strong positive support. For gold, pay attention to the resistance range of 2930-2935. If it breaks through, it will point to 2950. Pay attention to the support of 2882-2876 below.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. When the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to enter the market and want to get accurate transactions and huge profits in advance, please leave me a message and I will make you feel that this is true. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD trading signal for large-scale fluctuations tonightGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,919/ounce. Gold prices fell slightly on Thursday. Some of Trump's tariff exemption policies and the market's expectation that the Russian-Ukrainian war is coming to an end have cooled risk aversion sentiment and pushed some longs to take profits. Spot gold once fell to around $2,891/ounce, but the US trade deficit hit a record high in January, suggesting that trade may drag down economic growth in the first quarter. Market expectations for the Fed's rate cut in May have increased, attracting bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices, which closed at $2,910.76/ounce on Thursday, down about 0.28%. The market's attention is currently turning to Friday's non-farm payrolls data to further understand the Fed's monetary policy trends.
From a technical perspective, the upper resistance is concentrated in the 2,922 to 2,924 area. Once effectively broken, the gold price may continue to rise to around 2,940. The lower support is in the 2,893 to 28,882 range. If it falls below this support, the gold price may pull back to the 2,868 level. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to focus on callbacks and long positions, supplemented by rebound high-altitude strategies. Everyone needs to pay close attention to the impact of non-agricultural data on the market, flexibly adjust positions, and do a good job of risk management to respond to market fluctuations in a stable manner. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Non-agricultural data is coming, gold trend analysis The biggest news overnight was the expected rate cut by the European Central Bank, which indicated that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates further.
Although the trade war with the United States is imminent and Europe plans to increase military spending, it has triggered the most significant economic policy shift in Europe in decades.
In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell by 21,000, a larger drop than expected, suggesting that the labor market remained stable in February, but import tariffs and drastic government spending cuts will cause turbulence in the future.
In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell by 21,000, a larger drop than expected, suggesting that the labor market remained stable in February, but import tariffs and drastic government spending cuts will cause turbulence in the future.
In the early morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will also give a speech at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, so everyone should pay close attention.
From the perspective of the 1-hour cycle, it is very similar to the 4-hour cycle, and it is not an exaggeration to say that it is a nested structure. The same trend line breaks down, and the same high point moves down. Again, not chasing the rise is a discipline that must be followed. Even if it breaks through 2930 today, the upper 2940--44 area will still be beaten down. So in the short term, you can short around 25. Conservative investors can wait for the release of non-agricultural data and choose the opportunity to enter the market.
XAUUSD NFP Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD & NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION?📌 Market Overview
The global financial markets are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on March 7. As one of the most anticipated economic releases of the month, it is expected to trigger significant market volatility.
🔥 Geopolitical Uncertainty & The Impact on Gold & USD (DXY)
US trade policies toward China and other key economies continue to fuel uncertainty, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe haven.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains highly volatile, directly influencing gold price movements.
Investors are waiting for Nonfarm data to determine whether gold will break new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo a correction.
⚡ Expected Price Movements
Gold is currently consolidating within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, a level it has held throughout the week. Based on historical Nonfarm Payroll data, today’s price swing is expected to be between 45-50 points, possibly reaching 60 points! This presents a major trading opportunity, with the key being to catch the breakout direction.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Breakout Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954
🔻 Support Levels: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838
🚀 Trading Strategy for Today
Gold is still trading within a range-bound structure, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Wait for a breakout confirmation before entering trades.
A market update will be provided before the Nonfarm release to refine the strategy.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2874 - 2872
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2868
🎯 Target (TP): 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2952 - 2954
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2958
🎯 Target (TP): 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930
📌 Key Trading Reminders
💥 Nonfarm data is expected to create high volatility – prepare for sharp moves!
✔ Stick to TP/SL to avoid excessive risk exposure.
✔ Wait for clear breakout confirmation before opening positions.
✔ Manage risk effectively and control emotions – today could be a decisive market moment!
📢 Do you think gold will break to new highs or face a correction? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Today's gold 19-20 short, waiting for the evening non-agriculturGold, yesterday's trend also caught the market off guard. Before the non-agricultural results are released, it is very likely to continue to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term. At present, the amplitude of the volatility is too large. The current support below is maintained at the 90 line, and the pressure above is maintained at the 20 line. In the short term, we can do some volatile operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later period. The previous value of non-agricultural is 14.3, and it is expected to reach 16. The value in the evening is likely to be higher than 16, which may also achieve a negative effect. In the day, we still wait for the bulls to pull back and short around 19-20, with a target of around 05-90 and a loss of 28.5.
Will the NFP report act as a catalyst for a downside breakout?In my post yesterday, I argued that multiple resistance levels exist above 2925, which could lead to a market decline.
Indeed, throughout the day, gold dipped below 2900 once again, but support held, keeping the price stuck in a range.
Looking ahead, today’s NFP data could act as a catalyst for a breakout from this range.
My bias remains bearish, and I expect a break of the support level, followed by a continuation downward toward last week's lows.
However, a breakout and sustained buying above 2925 would shift my outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Price Analysis March 6Gold price today will trade in the range of 2928-2900. There will not be enough catalyst for gold to break through this range, at least wait until Nonfarm. When breaking the range of 2929 and 2895, it will confirm a new trend of Gold. The 2915 area until the end of the Asian session cannot be broken, it can push the price up to 2922 - 2928 or if broken, pay attention to the 2912 area for a BUY signal and resistance. Today around 2900 when breaking 2912-2915 and retesting those resistance areas.
Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
XAUUSD This trading signal can make a profit.
According to yesterday's ADP data report, the number of new jobs this time was only 77,000, which was significantly lower than the expected 140,000 and a sharp drop from the previous value of 186,000, which is very favorable for XAUUSD. Therefore, after the XAUUSD price pulled back to around 2895, it quickly soared to around 2930.
In yesterday's analysis, I clearly pointed out that the upper resistance is at 2928-2935 and the lower support is at 2900-2895. Based on this trading suggestion, buying on dips and shorting on rallies can obtain considerable returns.
At present, gold is still running in this range and testing the support level of 2895-2888 again. If the support is valid, it reflects that the bullish trend is still there. I think these support and resistance levels are still valid. If the upper resistance level of 2928-2935 is completely broken, we may see a further rebound and may retest the historical high of 2956. Let's see how the market will perform.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. The specific signals are subject to implementation. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Go long gold first, then go short gold!!!Go long first and then go short
At present, gold has fallen back from around 2926 and touched around 2900. Although it has been slightly punctured, it has not effectively fallen below 2900. The support area of 2900-2890 that I suggested is still valid; and in the process of gold falling back, it is more conducive to long funds waiting for opportunities to enter the market to increase liquidity, and it is more conducive to gold continuing to rise or even breaking through the resistance area near 2930 after technical adjustments and accumulating momentum. So in short-term trading, I advocate going long gold. We can go long gold in the 2905-2895 area, and I have executed this trading plan, expecting gold to rise and bring us huge profits.
I always believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength. I want to tell you that I never talk in vain. Everything is based on transaction data. Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Those who are long gold or want to go long remember to readAt present, the candlestick chart is in an undoubted bullish trend, with large positive lines at the bottom rising one after another, showing a strong trend all the way north. The continuous large positive lines have consolidated the foundation of the bulls. Although the market has seen a large negative line drop during the period, the positive line has quickly and strongly pulled up, and has now completely engulfed the negative line entity, forming a typical bullish engulfing pattern, which is undoubtedly a strong signal that the upward trend is further strengthened. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to maintain an upward rhythm, and the 2908 point support level is as solid as a rock. This point is an excellent opportunity to enter the market.
The gold four-hour line continues to show the phenomenon of positive lines engulfing large negative lines. This candlestick chart pattern is usually regarded as a strong reversal signal, which means that the bulls are rising strongly and gradually regaining market dominance. It is a wise choice to follow the trend and arrange long orders at the key support level of 2908. It has effectively blocked the short-selling offensive many times and has strong support. Going long at this position is expected to make rich profits in the continuation of the bull market. Go long at 2908, target 2918-2928-2938.
This is the fast trading strategy, a beacon on the road, guiding your direction and allowing you to see the road clearly in the dark. If you are interested, you can join my article channel at the bottom.