XAU ! price increase ATH 2691 ! 9/26XAU / USD trend forecast September 26, 2024
The US Dollar is struggling to maintain Wednesday's recovery gains due to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve, which supports Gold prices. Despite efforts from Fed officials to downplay the chances of aggressive easing, markets are still expecting a 50 basis point rate cut in November. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday will be closely watched for signals on future rate cuts and the direction of XAU/USD. Key US data, including Q2 GDP, Weekly Jobless Claims, and Durable Goods Orders, along with speeches from other FOMC members, could also impact the outlook.
Based on M30, break resistance 2670 , ATH new
/// BUY XAU : zone 2653-2650
SL: 2645
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2680)
Safe and profitable trading
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD: Are We Heading Towards $2700?Dear Traders,
XAU touched $2400 region and then left a strong wick, the fundamental site has strong support for the gold to continue the bullish move due to the current war like scenario happening in the world. However we can enter a buy entry at our target area and target 500 pips at least from the entry. Good luck
Consolidation could lead to new ATH. Still wanted to sell thoughGold remains in consolidation, and a new all-time high could be on the horizon.
However, I still anticipate a significant correction.
For now, I'm staying out of the market, looking for opportunities to fade the current move, with the expectation of at least a 500-pip target.
Rate Cut Expectations Boost Gold TO 2700$ NEW ATHHELLO TRADERS!
As I can see market participants now see a nearly 50% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, up from 14% earlier in the week. Comments from former Fed officials and the market’s appetite for deeper cuts have intensified speculation that the Fed may take more aggressive action. This has fueled gold’s rally, with lower rates generally increasing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
U.S. Dollar and Bond Yields Support Gold’s Rise
Despite the rally in gold, the U.S. Dollar Index gained slightly this week, closing at 101.114 with a 0.07% increase. However, the expectation of future rate cuts tempered the dollar’s momentum, keeping gold prices strong. Additionally, bond yields fell, with the 10-year Treasury dropping 2.1 basis points. As bond yields decline, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, bolstering its attractiveness as a safe-haven asset.
Global Monetary Easing and Central Bank Demand Drive Gold Higher
The European Central Bank (ECB) also cut interest rates this week, contributing to global monetary easing and reinforcing gold’s strong uptrend. Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have been increasing their gold reserves, further supporting prices. With the Fed likely to follow suit, the demand for gold is expected to remain robust in the short term.
Next Week’s Forecast: Fed Meeting in Focus
Looking ahead, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for next Tuesday and Wednesday. The market widely expects a rate cut, marking the Fed’s first reduction since 2020. While the consensus is for a 25-basis-point cut, there remains a significant 49% chance of a larger 50-basis-point reduction. A larger cut would likely drive gold prices higher, potentially pushing them towards $2,600 per ounce.
Moreover, the Fed will provide updated projections on future rate cuts, which could signal further monetary easing through 2024. The Fed’s success in bringing inflation near its 2% target while avoiding a severe recession will be pivotal in determining its next moves. If inflation continues to moderate and the labor market weakens, additional cuts could be on the horizon, further supporting gold’s bullish outlook. technically chart is also crystal clear its just a trade idea
Dear traders Support the idea it will help many other traders and share ur thoughts with us in comment Stay Tuned for more updates ....
Strong breakthrough, 2700 may be reached at any timeDaily resistance 2700, support below 2650
Four-hour resistance 2700, support below 2650
In the face of the trend, any counter-trend force will be disintegrated. As retail investors, the only thing we have to do is to follow the trend. We can't change anything, we can only change ourselves, and we can only survive in the market by improving our trading awareness and ability. Short sellers are wailing, and long sellers are making money all the way. Now gold is bullish, keep going long with the trend, don't go against the market, don't think about guessing the top, followers must be happy all the way, guessing the top and shorting all the way will only be stopped continuously, or even blow up.
In terms of intraday operations, the idea is still very clear, "bullish", "long", participate in the trend, do not be afraid of heights and do not guess the top. I said not to be afraid of heights but how many people remember it? As long as there is a stop loss, there is no need to be afraid of heights. Let me emphasize again, and fear of heights is not a reason to short against the trend. The intraday support is at the 2650 mark, and the low point of last night's decline was also near this. This is the defensive position of the intraday bulls. The entry position is inferred from the stop loss position. As long as the stop loss can be placed around 2650, it is perfect. You may as well be bold and actively follow the trend. Now it has broken through the historical high. Today's low near 2655 has become our defensive position for BUY. Just BUY on the trend.
Wait patiently for the opportunity to go long. Now it has broken through strongly and 2700 may be reached at any time.
XAUUSD: How long can the bull market sustain its momentum?
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, gold has been on a persistent upward trajectory. After breaking through the key 2600 level, it is now approaching the 2700 mark. Over the past couple of days, it has consolidated above 2650, leaving short positions severely pressured. While bulls celebrate, bears are licking their wounds. I believe that after enduring this challenging phase, bears will stage a strong, retaliatory comeback.
Thus, the best strategy now is patience. Wait for the right moment—if you’ve missed the bull's rally, don’t miss the bear’s counterattack.
Gold's Aggressive Rally. Still looking for correction thoughWith Gold making new all-time highs every day since Friday and no resistance levels in sight, it's challenging to time and find an entry point for a short trade.
Although my short position from yesterday hit the stop-loss, my view remains the same: Gold should correct by at least 500 pips.
Technically, since the low last Thursday, Gold has surged by 1,200 pips, with this move contained within a very aggressive uptrend channel, which is often a sign of a final leg in a rally.
Currently, the price is testing the median support, but more confirmation is needed before entering a short position.
This could happen with a daily close below 2630 or if there's a failed attempt to reach a new ATH during the day.
In conclusion, while I remain bullish in the medium term, at this moment, I am focused on identifying a strong entry point for a short trade, expecting a 500 pips correction.
9/25 ! XAU increased strongly ! New ATH 2682XAU / USD trend forecast September 25, 2024
Following the data release, US Treasury yields fell slightly, with the 10-year note dropping to 3.73%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) also declined by 0.42%, hitting a two-day low of 100.48. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, known for her hawkish stance, emphasized significant inflation risks and supported a gradual approach to rate cuts to avoid reigniting inflation.
Based on M30, NEW ATH to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2681-2684
SL: 2689
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2654)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: What Should You Do If Your Short Position Is Trapped?
Recently, I've maintained a short position in gold, admittedly missing out on the recent upward momentum. However, at the current levels, I have no intention of chasing the rally. Instead, I will continue to hold my bearish outlook, waiting for a pullback to the 2580-2550 zone.
Chasing the price at this stage poses unnecessary risks, as technical indicators suggest the potential for a retracement. The focus remains on capturing profits as the price corrects, reaffirming my commitment to the short strategy.
ATH XAU ! 2645 ! Continuing uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new all-time high during Tuesday's Asian session but saw limited follow-through as traders await more clarity on the Fed's rate-cut plans. The focus is now on upcoming FOMC speeches and Friday's US PCE Price Index release.
Expectations for further Fed easing, which has limited the US Dollar's recovery after last week's large rate cut, support gold. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, US political uncertainty, and economic slowdown fears also continue to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's PMI news - gold price continued to positively increase, creating a new ATH. Today, the new ATH trend continues to increase slightly - then it needs to decrease to get liquidity - stabilizing the market
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2591 - $2589 SL $2584
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2599
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2600
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold- Correction loomingGold began the week by setting new all-time highs, with the latest at 2644.
However, the bulls appear to be losing momentum, and the recent rise has formed a small rising wedge, which suggests a potential pullback.
In conclusion, while the medium-term outlook remains very bullish, in the short term, I’m looking to sell in anticipation of a test near the 2600 zone or just slightly below.
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEXauusd is likely to keep moving up but there is a probalilty to make a pull back before continue going upward so is very important to keep watch the market till is make a strong support before considering of buying . So entry level for buy should like 2584.690 - 2569.669 with a traget profit of 2610.374 and 2650.453. Use money management
Gold Analysis==>>End of the Rally!!!Gold entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 5 . One sign of this completion is the breaking of the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
It should be noted that the Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will be published today, and we expect Gold to react when it is published .
I expect Gold to drop at least $2,590 in the next hours, and if the Support line breaks, we should wait for Gold to drop to the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU is up strongly! 2640XAU / USD trend forecast September 24, 2024
On Monday, Fed regional presidents noted rising risks in the labor market but opposed a 50 bps rate cut, signaling a cautious approach for future meetings. This slowed the XAU/USD rally. However, escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, with the US sending more troops to the Middle East, could boost Gold prices as risk appetite declines.
Based on M45, NEW ATH to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2639-2642
SL: 2647
TP: 50 - 150 - 250 pips (2617)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
XAU in correction range as it hits ATH 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained traction during the Asian session on Thursday, breaking a two-day losing streak and halting the pullback from its recent record high. The US Dollar's recovery following the Federal Reserve meeting lost momentum after a brief rise, which supported renewed demand for gold. Additionally, concerns over potential economic slowdowns in both the US and China, along with escalating tensions in the Middle East, boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the Federal Reserve signaled a cautious approach to large interest rate cuts, leading to a rise in US Treasury yields, which may limit further gains for gold. Traders are now awaiting key US economic data, including Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Existing Home Sales, for additional direction.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price completed the upward cycle reaching the expectation of $2,600 - within the H1 frame's downward cycle, moving within two H1 trend lines.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2531 - $2529 SL $2524
TP1: $2545
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2573
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2575 - $2573 SL $2578 scalping
TP1: $2568
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2590
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Rally Slows, Pullback Imminent
Since yesterday, gold has been fluctuating within the 2615-2635 range, with the bullish momentum clearly slowing down. In my view, it is likely to decline to 2606 by Friday at the latest.
Why 2606? This level serves as a key support in the ongoing upward trend. A healthy trend relies on robust technical support levels, which is the foundation of my prediction.
Continue to sell, and patiently wait for the price to drop, allowing the profits to materialize.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Short Trade Setup - 1:10 RRI'm am currently in a short position on Gold (XAU/USD) as the price shows signs of weakening after a steady uptrend.
Entry: 2627.79
Stop Loss (SL): 2635.6 (above recent highs and trendline)
Take Profits (TP):
TP 1: 2615.24 (Move SL to breakeven)
TP 2: 2615.305 (support level close to TP 1)
TP 3: 2586.490 (significant support zone)
TP 4: 2575.1 (deeper retracement level)
Full TP: 2546.86 (ultimate downside target, aligning with a previous major low)
The trade is based on the idea of a rejection near resistance and trendline breakout. I’m expecting a pullback towards the previous lows, supported by multiple levels of take profit to secure gains as the trade progresses.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550
Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades.
If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.