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Golden interval operationGold 4-hour level, yesterday's high and low repeatedly roller coaster consolidation, the current Bollinger band has gradually narrowed, the upper track 2952, the lower track 2918, and the overall 4-hour current operation is a bullish trend with gradually rising highs and lows. In the short term, it is temporarily running within the upper and lower tracks. Wait for the Bollinger band to reopen before choosing to follow the trend The upper pressure is focused on the 2950-55 area. If it breaks, it will be 2965-2985. The lower support is the 10-day moving average of 2915. If it breaks, it will be 2906-2880. Tonight, we will focus on the breakthrough of this range. The decline in the early trading today and the European trading will continue, so the US market will rebound and there will be a second decline. Therefore, the operation is mainly high-short, supplemented by low-long. Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to go short in the 2940-45 area, stop loss at 2951, and target 2925-2915 area;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
XAUUSD: Will It Break Through $3000 Next Week?XAUUSD's performance in the recent period has attracted much attention from investors. Whether it can break through the $3000 mark next week has become a hot topic of discussion. I. Data Analysis The weekly US employment data released at 21:00 on February 20th had a crucial impact on the gold price trend. Employment data is an important barometer of the US economic situation. When the data is poor, the market often becomes worried about the US economic outlook, which in turn prompts investors to seek safe - haven assets. As a traditional safe - haven tool, the demand for gold will increase. Conversely, if the data performs well, the market's confidence in the economy strengthens, and the safe - haven appeal of gold weakens. After the release of this employment data, the gold price dropped rapidly, fully demonstrating the market's high sensitivity to this data. Next week, investors need to closely monitor the release of new economic data, especially the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends and other important economic indicators. These factors can all have a significant impact on the trend of XAUUSD. II. Support and Resistance Analysis From a technical analysis perspective, the important support level for XAUUSD currently is around $2900. This support level is formed jointly by the previous low price and the moving - average system, and it has strong supporting strength. Once the price pulls back to this area, it is likely to be supported and rebound. The key resistance level above is around $2960. The gold price has failed to break through this level after several attempts previously. If XAUUSD can break through this resistance level next week, it will open up new upside potential and create favorable conditions for challenging the $3000 mark. However, if it encounters resistance and falls back near the resistance level, the price may continue to fluctuate within the current range. III. Trading Strategy Based on the current market situation, it is expected that gold will decline in a volatile manner in the short term. For traders, waiting for the price to rise and then short - selling may be a more profitable strategy. Today's trading strategy: xauusd sell@2950 - 2960 TP: 2930 - 2920 - 2900 We release professional and accurate market analysis every day, aiming to help every trader make profits in their investments. The trend of XAUUSD next week is full of uncertainties. Investors need to closely monitor market dynamics and make investment decisions carefully, taking into account their own risk - tolerance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
XAUUSD: Will it Break Through $3000?Data Analysis The weekly US employment data released at 21:00 on February 20th became an important turning point for the gold price trend. Employment data can often reflect the health of the US economy. If the data is poor, it may trigger market concerns about the economic outlook, thereby increasing the safe - haven demand for gold. Conversely, better data may weaken the safe - haven appeal of gold. After the release of this data, the gold price dropped rapidly, indicating that the market reacted significantly to the data. Market Sentiment Analysis Recently, the rising uncertainty in the global economy and geopolitical situation has led to an increase in risk - aversion sentiment, which has always been an important factor supporting the rise in the gold price. However, after the price has continued to rise and hit new highs repeatedly, some investors have started to worry about the risk of a pullback and chose to take profits. This has caused the gold price to decline to a certain extent today. But currently, the upward trend of gold has not ended. After experiencing fluctuations, it's only a matter of time before gold breaks through $3000. Support and Resistance Analysis Currently, pay attention to the resistance level of gold @2960. Pay attention to the support level at @2880. Trading Strategy In the short term, it is expected that gold will decline in a volatile manner. There are more opportunities to make a profit by short - selling after the price rises. Today's trading strategy: xauusd sell@2950 - 2960 TP: 2930 - 2920 - 2900 The most professional and accurate market analysis will be released every day, hoping to help every trader make a profit!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
XAUUSD: Real-time trading at the current price, check it outYesterday's Federal Reserve January policy meeting minutes highlighted: "Upward risks to the inflation outlook" and "some other factors are considered to be likely to hinder the process of inflation decline" and the expectation of interest rate cuts as important support for the short-term rebound in gold prices. This has made our long orders successfully profitable. After the Asian market started today, the market hit the highest position of 2950 and then quickly fell back. The impact of this news on the market after a night of digestion has been very small. Regarding the peace talks, the US Department of State is also urging the Ukrainian national leaders to sign the peace talks agreement, which means that this peace talks is very meaningful. From the trend chart of gold prices, the overall upward momentum is still very weak. After the London market opened, the gold price continued to fall. The lowest point was 2924. It is currently fluctuating at a low level. It is expected to fall sharply today. The operation is mainly short at high levels. xauusd: Choose to sell near the current price of 2930,2934-2937 TP2915 TP2905 SL2945 Detailed operations will be updated in Jack's analysis circle. Keep paying attention to the follow-up results, and leave me a message at any time if you have any questions. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
TVC:GOLDShort
by JAKE_T0
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this? Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended . I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) . Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
XAUUSD: Gold price stands firm near all-time high!Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war. Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal. The Fed’s hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions. XAU/USD Technical Overview The short-term technical outlook for Gold price remains more or less the same. The daily chart shows that Gold price hangs near the record high of $2,947. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flatlines in the overbought territory, currently near 73, suggesting that there is some room to the upside before a correction kicks in. Gold buyers await acceptance above the $2,950 barrier on a daily closing basis to extend the record rally. The next relevant resistance is seen at the $2,970 round level. Conversely, a fresh pullback could call for a test of the $2,900 round level, below which the February 14 low of $2,877 will be threatened. A firm break of that level will initiate a fresh downside toward the $2,850 psychological barrier.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xauusd_rr